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peludo

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Everything posted by peludo

  1. 3 days to release Fri-Sun presales FFH: 1,282 tickets TLK: 1,916 Joker: 959 Presales are picking up. Joker is at a 75% of FFH and 50% of TLK at the same point. Applying the same proportion, it would mean about €3m OW. To put into context, it would be in the same league than Suicide Squad, Venom, GOTG2 or Deadpool 2 (all of them opened to 3-3.2 million), and over Aquaman, Black Panther or Logan (2.3-2.6 million range).
  2. Spain (biggest theater of the country) 4 days to release 584 tickets sold At the same point, "Far from home" had sold 1,088. Applying the same proportion, Joker would open to €2.1m, although I guess that Joker could have more walk-ups. This is not the same kind of film than FFH.
  3. Maoyan is forecasting very big numbers for the new 3 releases: My people, my country: 3.51b Yuan (9.7 rating) The Captain: 2.08b Yuan (9.4) The Climbers: 1.40b Yuan (9.4) The ratings are very high too. Are these numbers realistic? It seems like a CNY period.
  4. Third weekend in a row that "Padre no hay más que uno" makes the same amount (€0.5m)
  5. I have listed nearly every 70s film I have seen, so there are films in the list that I do not like too much (maybe the last 10-12 of my list). But Robin Hood is not one of them I saw it lots of times when I was a child. I think it is a bit underrated. I love it.
  6. My list (already sent by PM) 1. The Godfather I 2. The Godfather II 3. The Deer Hunter 4. Alien 5. The Sting 6. Young Frankenstein 7. Star Wars 8. Ryan's daughter 9. Taxi Driver 10. Close encounters of the third kind 11. Jaws 12. Life of Brian 13. Apocalypse Now 14. Murder by death 15. La escopeta nacional 16. The twelve tasks of Asterix 17. Frenzy 18. Murder on the Orient Express 19. Manhattan 20. All the President's men 21. Amarcord 22. Duel 23. The taking of Pelham one, two, three 24. The exorcist 25. Yakuza 26. Rocky 27. Kramer versus Kramer 28. Mi querida señorita 29. The aristocats 30. Monty Python and the Holy Grail 31. Robin Hood 32. Grease 33. Superman 34. Annie Hall 35. Rocky 2 36. Chinatown 37. The towering inferno 38. Network 39. Everything you always wanted to know about sex… 40. A clockwork orange 41. Smokey and the Bandit 42. Rollerball 43. Shoot out 44. Barry Lyndon 45. American graffiti 46. The way we were 47. Farewell, my lovely 48. Saturday night fever 49. The spy who loved me 50. Slap shot 51. National Lampoon's animal house 52. Live and let die 53. Diamonds are forever 54. California suite 55. Moonraker 56. Carnal knowledge 57. Airport 1975 58. And then there were none 59. The man with the golden gun 60. Ransom
  7. I do not have data in euros of each weekend of IT1, but applying the ER to the BOM figures, IT was at €6m after 2 wekends, so IT2 is doing the same. In fact, a bit better. The first part did €11,271,836. Let's see if it is able to reach that.
  8. Yes, the drop of this last weekend is amazing (-9%). It has grossed nearly €500k during last week, so it could gross another €1m. Finally "8 apellidos catalanes" could be beaten since it was released. It does not deserve to be so high. It is a VERY bad movie. Edit: btw, "Padre no hay más que uno" has increased relative to last weekend. It started with €1.48m. It has already a x8 multiplier. It could reach a x10. Amazing performance. It will have a sequel next year.
  9. I have been collecting it. I know Ministry of Culture gives other data but following it week after week I think they are not updated. Which data do not fit with yours?
  10. Toy Story 3: €24,985,359 Toy Story 4: €20,756,981 Toy Story 3: 3,624,912 admissions Toy Story 4: 3,643,280 admissions Toy Story 3: €6.89 avg Toy Story 4: €5.70 avg With a bit more admissions than TS3, TS4 is grossing 4 million less. The 3D ratio in 2010 is the responsible of this gap.
  11. Spain top 10 unadjusted (updated by Sep 8th): I think that TLK will land somewhere between €35.5 and €36m. The chance to outgross Ocho apellidos catalanes exists, but it seems a bit hard. Anyway, the most impressive data is that it will nearly match the number of admissions of the animated version (6.3 million admissions).
  12. Sure. Titanic beats them all. My point is that even making $800m OS less than Endgame or $900m less than Avatar, TLK has been able to manage very well balanced grosses among the biggest markets being all of them very big figures.
  13. 10 OS countries over $40m and Italy will be the 11th. Among billion OS grossers we have this: Avatar: 12 countries Endgame: 11 The Lion King: 11 Titanic: 9 Infinity War: 9 Jurassic World: 7 TFA: 6 Furious 7: 5 Furious 8: 2 I find this data astonishing for TLK.
  14. Sure. In fact, it has a chance to become the 6th film ever reaching 1 billion OS excluding China. The 5 films which did it are: Avatar: 1.825b Titanic: 1.339b Endgame: 1.323b Infinity War: 1.010b TFA: 1.007b * Numbers taken from BOM
  15. I do not know what to say. I precisely did the breakdown because the reported data seem strange. Summer is obviously a season which weekdays are better than rest of the year, but this case seems really curious.
  16. After this weekend, TLK has entered in top 10, over Endgame, which was at #10. The top 10 is right now: * Both gross and admissions figures of TLK are estimated TLK is locked to outgross LOTR and TFA. And I think it has a chance to beat Ocho apellidos catalanes and become the 5th biggest film ever. €36m would imply a bit over 6 million admissions, very similar to what animated film did (6.3 million).
  17. If TLK's total is really $33m, as it was announced yesterday in TLK OS thread, weekdays are dropping way better than weekends. 2nd week Weekdays: €6.0m Weekend: €4.5m Cume: €18.5m 3rd week Weekdays: €4.2m (-30%) Weekend: €2.2m (-51%) Cume: €24.9m 4th week Weekdays: €3.3m (estimated) (-21%) Weekend: €1.3m (estimated) (-41%) Cume: €29.5m (estimated)
  18. The $33m Spain figure implies TLK is already the biggest film of the year over Endgame. And it enters in top 10 ever. It should still have enough fuel to outgross the 3 LOTR films and TFA, becoming the 3rd Hollywood film ever, just behind Avatar and Titanic.
  19. Valentine Day. It seems China celebrates several days like this along the year. Btw, Maoyan has risen its prediction for Ne Zha to 4.743b Yuan
  20. Ne Zha: at 21pm is already at 154m. Btw, ER has dropped to 7.04. I had not seen over 7 since I follow Chinese BO, last 3-4 years.
  21. I have seen 10 films of him (I am trying to see all of them). I could rank those 10 films as follows: Spirited Away (A+) Princess Mononoke (A+) My neighbour Totoro (A+) Castle in the sky (A) Ponyo (A) Kiki's delivery service (A-) Porco Rosso (A-) Howl's moving castle (A-) Nausicaä in the valley of the wind (B+) The wind rises (B+) IMO, Spirited Away is the best animated film ever. And it is among my 10 favorite films (and maybe in top 5). It is an absolute masterpiece. Mononoke is epic. And probably, the most adult Miyazaki's film. It is thrilling. Talking about children oriented films, both Totoro and Ponyo are magical. If I had seen it being a child I would probably see both over and over again. I had Pixar as the best studio of animation, but I discovered Ghibli some years ago and I think it is already a step over. I love Pixar, but Ghibli is really special. And Miyazaki is Ghibli's soul.
  22. That is really hard to say. Spain is not very different to the rest of the world. If A2 makes huge business everywhere, it will do the same here. With current ERs, Avatar's gross is $85m, so $50m would mean a 41% drop (I am not taking into account inflation). It is definitely possible, but just speculation as everything around this film.
  23. That seems a way bigger drop than I had calculated for TLK. If the cume reported yesterday is true ($28.1m), that would mean that weekdays have been amazing and competition released this weekend has really hurt it.
  24. In fact, beyond Wolf Warrior 2 in China and both TFA and Endgame Domestically, is there any other Chinese film which had done a bigger 2nd weekend than Ne Zha? I can not remember any other. So it would be the 4th biggest 2nd weekend ever in every market.
  25. The $28.1m Spanish figure implies a 33% weekly drop. If it drops in the same way from now it would finish with about $45m. Let's say $40m for the moment and we'll see what happens during upcoming weeks. The $40m would mean to be the 3rd biggest dollar gross for a Hollywood film, just behind Avatar ($111m) and Titanic ($48m), and basically tied to ROTK ($39.9m).
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