peludo

Edit: Seeing the numbers, posts and, mainly, Corpse's projections it seems F2 will beat WWY

I hope it does not

Right now: 1900s: 33 1910s: 1 20s: 5 30s: 24 40s: 38 50s: 57 60s: 58 70s: 71 80s: 137 90s: 274 2000s: 433 2010s: 245 Total: 1,376 I have probably seen some more, but these are what I have classified.

Frozen did €3.1m last weekend. It has dropped about a 10%. For those who do not know, Friday was national holiday, and today, Monday, is holiday in 8 regions out of 17. This explains the good holds.

IMHO, it overperformed DOM. I do not find nothing special in the film beyond being the first female CBM. I do not get the Homecoming comparison. Spidey is WAAAAY more well known by GA than Wonder Woman.

Catalonia will not be independent. At least not without a deep change in current Constitution which will not be done. Maybe Spain could change its status towards a federal system, but not with independent states (we have more nationalistic issues like the already well known Basque Country because of 40 year ETA's terrorism or with way lower strength, in Galicia). Spain is a really complicated country. Sorry for the off-topic.

Maybe 550

Just to notice that the $32.2m figure reported for Spain means €29.27m (using 1.10 ER), what implies that Joker is already the biggest CBM film ever in Spain, over Endgame (€29.18m).

I do not understand. What do you mean? How much did Nemo gross in France? or how is possible Nemo could be that big in France?

I have found that, at least, Ice Age 3 and Finding Nemo had bigger openings: Ice Age 3: 2,403,734 Finding Nemo: 2,056,621 I do not know if there is any other bigger than F2.

Yes, it has that chance. IMO, the target is €25m, what means about $27.5m. But if it is able to hold well and with so many holidays it could reach those $30m (€27m).

I think it can go higher than that. Some examples of big movies released the weekend before Thanksgiving: Catching Fire: x1.73 Fantastic Beasts: x1.95 Mockingjay 1: x1.96 Mockingjay 2: x1.60 An animated film uses to have way better legs than this kind of franchises. Dory's number ($486m) should be reachable.

You were right. I had taken into account some markets where it has not been released (Australia, Brazil, Russia, ...). Anyway, amazing opening. Heading to billion OS.

€5.2m: provisional OW for Frozen 2. €1.7m for "Si yo fuera rico". Amazing hold (-19%) after the €2.1m OW. Another local hit. We will see where it can finish. €0.5m for Joker, which should outgross Endgame by next Sunday.

DOM or WW? DOM yes, but WW... I do not see it even winning some oscars.

Thank you I have started this year to track presales. so I do not have too many examples to compare. It is obvious that I have to learn a lot to try to give more accurate numbers. Sorry for creating unreal expectation.

Yes, I have been wrong extraoplating the same results than TLK with similar presales. $5.8m means about €5.3m. even although with actuals it can increase, it is too far from €7m that we said. Heavy presales could be the main reason of my bad prediction. Critics are worse than for first part, but I think WOM can not be the reason. There is not any other external reason like weather to explain it. We overpredicted. That's all. With this opening we have to rule out the €30m target and be fine trying 24-25 (50% more in local currency and 25% in dollars than first part). That result would put Frozen 2 at the same level than Toy Story 3, Minions or Up (all with €24m), but behind Shrek 2 (€28m) which would remain to be the biggest animated film (if we exclude TLK 2019).

IMO, over. It could challenge both TA and F7

Sorry, but I did not get the joke 135 DOM / 250 OS / 385 WW I do not see how it can be disappointing. That makes real the chance of reaching $1.5b and even $1b OS. At the same level than TLK

I think it can go higher than that. Maybe 370-380

Final presales: Frozen: 5,630 tickets Friday: 2,154 Saturday: 2,587 Sunday: 889 TLK: 5,816 (4-day) Thursday: 2,452 Friday: 1,658 Saturday: 1,127 Sunday: 579 Hard to compare, but I agree with @ScareLol that over €7m is likely. I would not rule out 7.5-8 million. It is amazing, talking into account that first part opened to barely €3m. We have another monster in Spanish BO this year.

25m Peso are $0.5m

Just for the record, Frozen had a 9.5 on Maoyan. 9.2 could drop under 9.0. That does not mean it will have worse legs for sure. For example, Despicable me 3 had a 8.8 and was able to have over x2 multiplier. It opened to 444m and finished over 1 billion yuan. But it was Summer... Said this, DM3 came after DM2's 323 million Yuan and Minions' 435m. And it was able to jump to billion territory. One could have imagined F2 making more than those probable 600m. IMHO, OK probable run, but that's all.

That is correct. Right now, and among CBM films, Joker ranks #2 in gross, behind Endgame. It will beat it and it will probably be the first CBM grossing €30m. In terms of admissions, it already ranks #4 ever after surpassing Endgame. It will probably reach 5 million admissions. The top 3 are: Superman: 5.268 million Spider-man: 5.249 million Mortadelo y Filemón: 4.986 million (2003 film. It is based in the most famous Spanish comic) Will Joker reach #1 in admissions? who knows...

Presales 2 days to go (Kinepolis Madrid): Frozen 2: Total: 3,704 tickets (33 showtimes) Friday: 1,406 Saturday: 1,711 Sunday: 587 The Lion King: Total: 4,442 (82 showtimes) Thursday: 1,925 Friday: 1,163 Saturday: 879 Sunday: 475 I guess that tomorrow lots of showtimes more will be added. Hard to compare since TLK opened on Thursday. But for example, F2 has already matched Joker's OW presales (3,705 final presales). Right now, I am thinking in around €7m OW.