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Everything posted by Sam
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Monday Numbers: Justice League 7.5M | Wonder 4M | Thor 2.5M
Sam replied to WrathOfHan's topic in Numbers and Data
I still think holiday season can help the legs. But the thing is, for a direct sequel to BvS that has to combat the toxic WOM of that movie and get to a good multiplier of 2.7-2.8x, you need reactions that say “this movie is absolutely amazing, you need to go see it asap!”, and not “It’s pretty good, better than BvS” (which is what I see is the more popular consensus from our members here) 2.4-2.5x is my guess. -
JUSTICE LEAGUE | 427.2 M overseas ● 654.4 M worldwide
Sam replied to kayumanggi's topic in International Box Office
It matters how exactly? Like releasing everywhere at once give you a better multiplier or what? The concept of multiplier is you take total gross divided by opening number. It’s that simple. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Sam replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
The Incredibles 2 already built some good buzz with the little teaser. -
Coco | Pixar / Lee Unkrich | New attraction announced at DCA
Sam replied to AniNate's topic in Box Office Discussion
I don’t have time to go watch the movie this week but I’ll definitely go watch it as soon as possible after Thanksgiving is over -
JUSTICE LEAGUE | 427.2 M overseas ● 654.4 M worldwide
Sam replied to kayumanggi's topic in International Box Office
When you actually know how BO works, it’s not that hard. -
JUSTICE LEAGUE | 427.2 M overseas ● 654.4 M worldwide
Sam replied to kayumanggi's topic in International Box Office
The Harry Potter franchise is a completely different beast OS. Comparison between it and a superhero movie in the OS markets have little value. -
China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26
Sam replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in China At The Box Office
Ragnarok looks to end right around $110M total. Good result. -
THOR: RAGNAROK | 538.9 M overseas ● 854.0 M worldwide
Sam replied to kayumanggi's topic in International Box Office
0.1%? But that wasn’t the goal in the first place. As soon as we know that 800M is locked, the next hope has always been the 850M milestone. -
THOR: RAGNAROK | 538.9 M overseas ● 854.0 M worldwide
Sam replied to kayumanggi's topic in International Box Office
That’s a harsh weekend-to-weekend drop I think? (-68%?) But the weekdays was great before that and make up for it. Understandable though with JL as direct competition. 738M globally is in the high end of what I projected earlier too. I see it recover nicely over holiday. 530M OS and 310M Dom. If Dom can push higher, $850M WW would be nice. -
JUSTICE LEAGUE | 427.2 M overseas ● 654.4 M worldwide
Sam replied to kayumanggi's topic in International Box Office
That’s like 155M for 3-day OW, lower end of my expectation. And with like 50M-55M from China already. I can’t see 500M OS total off of that. Thanks Rth. -
JUSTICE LEAGUE | 427.2 M overseas ● 654.4 M worldwide
Sam replied to kayumanggi's topic in International Box Office
Let’s go with 180M OS opening weekend. 2.6x gives it about 470. +27M from this week Wed/Thu. And like 10M from Japan. That’ll put it at 505M OS. 2.6x legs seem a bit generous too. So I think it’ll be a really close call for the 500M OS milestone.