Australia Australian Box Office | ....

[JJ-8]

Top Films Showdown

 

I've removed No Way Home as it's now been surpassed by Avatar TWOW.  Avatar TWOW will surpasse AEG sometime over the weekend (probably already has by this post) moving it up to 4th all time only behind TGM, SW: TFA and Avatar itself.  Avatar TWOW continues to lead TGM by around 9m and while it lost a little ground over the past weekend is still in a good place to pass TGM before the end of it's run (93m).  TWOW is catching up with the run total of TFA at a very fast rate as that film had fallen off a cliff by this point.  I'm thinking that the 94m total is well within reach now.  The real question is, can TWOW make it to 100m. Avatar had reached 92m after the coming weekend, while TWOW will probably be between 85m and 87m after the weekend is done.  Which means TWOW isn't going to reach the same heights of it's predeccessor. 115m is out of the question (actually don't forget Avatar only reached 114.6m when it first exited the top 20 and received a rerelease in August of 2010 where it bumped it up over the 115m mark - this is considered part of the original run as Avatar never left theatres during that time.)  (*** I'm also ignoring the > 3.2m or so Avatar has made in re-releases since then - especially in Sept/Oct of last year)

 

My projection is for exactly 100m at the moment.  but I have a +/- 5m on that final right hence the range below.

 

Movie	Avatar		Star Wars: The Force Awakens		Avengers: Endgame		Top Gun: Maverick		Avatar: The Way of Water
Released	17/12/2009		17/12/2015		24/04/2019		26/05/2022		16/12/2022
Week 0	$931,125	$931,125			$10,290,526	$10,290,526	$1,346,822	$1,346,822
Week 1 (OW)	$11,962,308	$12,895,497	$27,254,820	$27,254,820	$34,116,525	$44,394,082	$13,788,797	$15,135,619	$14,743,196	$16,589,748
	$7,349,693	$20,245,190	$11,286,747	$38,541,567	$7,781,367	$52,175,449	$4,608,549	$19,744,168	$4,608,549	$19,744,168
W/E Screens/Ave	588	20,344	941	28,964	1,112	30,680	905	15,236	1,281	11,509
Opening Day			9,425,000		10,290,526		2,500,000  EST		3,000,000  EST
Single Day			9,425,000 (Thursday)		10,290,526 (Wednesday)		5,000,000 EST (Saturday)		4,500,000 EST (Saturday)
Week 2	$8,749,099	$28,994,289	$11,800,884	$50,342,451	$13,597,138	$65,772,587	$12,988,636	$32,732,084	$7,160,885	$30,762,664
	$9,772,863	$38,767,152	$10,604,824	$60,947,275	$3,094,595	$68,867,182	$3,910,391	$36,643,195	$10,027,219	$40,789,883
W/E % Drop	-26.9%		-56.7%		-60.1%		-5.8%		-51.4%
Week 3	$9,659,700	$48,426,852	$9,001,962	$69,949,237	$5,450,085	$74,317,267	$8,856,601	$45,499,796	$10,629,969	$51,424,196
	$6,475,778	$54,902,630	$5,017,486	$74,966,723	$1,278,696	$75,595,963	$3,967,915	$49,499,796	$7,012,650	$58,436,846
Week 4	$8,338,365	$63,240,995	$4,917,825	$79,884,548	$3,071,304	$78,667,267	$6,937,497	$56,405,208	$8,275,562	$66,712,040
	$5,032,850	$68,273,845	$2,249,767	$82,134,315	$644,464	$79,311,731	$2,424,242	$58,829,450	$3,260,094	$69,972,134
Week 5	$7,002,454	$75,276,299	$2,988,963	$85,123,278	$1,519,720	$80,831,451	$5,349,050	$64,178,500	$5,178,706	$75,150,840
Week 6	$5,604,268	$84,804,886	$1,826,202	$88,275,958	$790,477	$82,022,485	$5,777,726	$72,966,168	$4,041,478	$81,386,424
Week 7	$4,548,004	$92,706,581	$1,290,271	$90,638,978	$499,225	$82,753,423	$2,762,622	$78,029,960
Week 8	$3,936,622	$98,374,262	$754,425	$91,783,059	$256,402	$83,232,204	$2,189,240	$81,288,912
TOTAL:	$115,623,586		$94,034,011		$84,258,444		$93,070,000		$83,037,970
Projected									95m-105m

 

 

[JJ-8]

As a follow up I did an extended comparison with Avatar to give you idea how leggy that run was out to 20 weeks.

 

Movie	Avatar		Avatar: The Way of Water
Released	17/12/2009		16/12/2022
Week 0	$931,125	$931,125	$1,846,552	$1,846,552
Week 1 (OW)	$11,962,308	$12,895,497	$14,743,196	$16,589,748
	$7,349,693	$20,245,190	$4,608,549	$19,744,168
W/E Screens/Ave	588	20,344	1,281	11,509
Opening Day			3,000,000  EST
Single Day			4,500,000 EST (Saturday)
Week 2	$8,749,099	$28,994,289	$7,160,885	$30,762,664
	$9,772,863	$38,767,152	$10,027,219	$40,789,883
W/E % Drop	-26.90%		-51.40%
Week 3	$9,659,700	$48,426,852	$10,629,969	$51,424,196
	$6,475,778	$54,902,630	$7,012,650	$58,436,846
Week 4	$8,338,365	$63,240,995	$8,275,562	$66,712,040
	$5,032,850	$68,273,845	$3,260,094	$69,972,134
Week 5	$7,002,454	$75,276,299	$5,178,706	$75,150,840
Week 6	$5,604,268	$84,804,886	$4,041,478	$81,386,424
Week 7	$4,548,004	$92,706,581
Week 8	$3,936,622	$98,374,262
Week 9	$2,850,321	$102,615,052
Week 10	$1,874,114	$105,454,142
Week 11	$1,709,239	$107,859,934
Week 12	$1,003,500	$109,539,127
Week 13	$780,998	$110,866,504
Week 14	$561,868	$111,653,739
Week 15	$323,301	$112,170,651
Week 16	$296,592	$112,634,016
Week 17	$197,100	$113,030,587
Week 18	$171,377	$113,306,853
Week 19	$302,534	$113,690,469
Week 20	$168,482	$114,044,223
TOTAL	$115,623,586		$83,037,970

 

[todos]

So relieved but shocked this is heading for #2 all time in Australia.

 

Like the UK, it looked like it had been rejected by audiences for whatever reason until the 3rd or 4th weekend. Still wondering the why and what caused the shift. WOM perhaps?! It’s incredible!

 

Edited January 28, 2023 by todos

[Shanks]

2 hours ago, JJ-8 said:

As a follow up I did an extended comparison with Avatar to give you idea how leggy that run was out to 20 weeks.

 

That Avatar's Pre + OW from Cinefile were updated in MPDAA's. Please correct 'em.

Avatar (2009)
		WE Drop %	MPDAA Total	Cinefile Weekly
Pre	$933,189			A$ 931,125
OW	$11,962,308		$12,895,497
	$7,349,693		$20,245,190	A$ 19,302,196
2nd W-End	$8,749,099	-26.86%	$28,994,289

 

only 1st two weeks differ, then all numbers align equal.  I pm-ed you full list, Please cross-check.

Edited January 28, 2023 by Shanks

[Issac Newton]

Pathaan 

 

Wed - A$566,745

Thu - A$670,152

Fri - A$463,113

Sat - A$593,726

Sun - A$157,702 till12:30PM

Cume - A$2,451,438

[Issac Newton]

AU$1.6M SAT+SUN

[Robertron]

No numero tweet today?  

[Issac Newton]

4 minutes ago, Robertron said:

No numero tweet today?  

AU$3.25M WKend - AU$86.29M Total

[todos]

4 hours ago, Issac Newton said:

AU$3.25M WKend - AU$86.29M Total

Beating TGM by Friday?

[Sophia Jane]

10 minutes ago, todos said:

Beating TGM by Friday?

TGM is 93m,at least need one more week

[efialtes76]

6 hours ago, Issac Newton said:

AU$3.25M WKend - AU$86.29M Total

And PiB?

[Issac Newton]

18 minutes ago, efialtes76 said:

And PiB?

AU$1.499M WKend - AU$18.53M Total

[setna]

Does anyone know the all time top 10 in admissions in Australia?
i´d love to see it.

Thanks in advance!!

[Robertron]

$3.26m/$86.24m for TWOW. Officially #4 all-time. 
 

Sadly I think the $100m dream is over. It’s going to get so so close though.

[Sophia Jane]

maybe cross Maverick when antman 3 arrive

[Robertron]

3 minutes ago, Sophia Jane said:

maybe cross Maverick when antman 3 arrive

I just want it to beat TFA. 

[Inceptionzq]

On 1/27/2023 at 4:16 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Ant-Man and the Wasp Quantumania Event Cinemas [+2 days of sales]

 

T-18 Wednesday(278 showings): 2366(+258)/59773

 

T-19 Thursday(803 showings): 903(+83)/174708

 

T-20 Friday(800 showings): 620(+84)/175137

 

T-21 Saturday(801 showings): 752(+111)/175241

 

T-22 Sunday(778 showings): 260(+39)/169133

Ant-Man and the Wasp Quantumania Event Cinemas [+4 days of sales]

 

T-14 Wednesday(278 showings): 2912(+546)/59773

 

T-15 Thursday(807 showings): 1166(+263)/175625

 

T-16 Friday(804 showings): 833(+213)/175924

 

T-17 Saturday(805 showings): 1065(+313)/176034

 

T-18 Sunday(778 showings): 370(+110)/169133

[Sophia Jane]

On 1/31/2023 at 12:51 AM, Robertron said:

I just want it to beat TFA. 

It’s locked for beating TFA

[Robertron]

3 minutes ago, Sophia Jane said:

It’s locked for beating TFA

This makes me very happy.

[Sophia Jane]

6 minutes ago, Robertron said:

This makes me very happy.

Well comps with New Zealand ,Australia is nothing impressive

Maybe we need to wait Avatar 3 beating All-time record here(like 130m+) with a James Cameron’s standard quality movie.