CJohn Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 I think I put YES on the 3), I am not sure. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted May 18, 2014 Author Share Posted May 18, 2014 I get the feeling this one isn't far of being answered either now..... Answers: 1 - Outside of a magical re-release... it's locked to finish below 260m... so - NO 2 - most have this winding up just north 500m.... there is very little talk of reaching 600m at this point so NO also.. 3 - NO 4 - if 2 and 1 are gone then this is a NO also. if you went for 4 x NO's you'll be sitting pretty at the moment on this one (take a guess what i did ) Nice jajang. I too had 4 nos but chickened out on the midnight gross and abstained. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 Shit yeah. 56k here we come. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 I did YES NO ABSTAIN NO. If TASM 2's legs hadn't crumbled utterly, I'd have a decent shot of getting 21,000 instead of 4,000. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 Exhibitor Relations @ERCboxoffice Japan still hasn't cooled on FROZEN--it was #1 for the 10th consecutive weekend, increasing +8%, $179.6M total. Frozen weekend number is up and it came in at 7.8M, still bigger than OW. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michael Gary Scott Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 Cant believe I forgot the OW top 7 I thought I answered it Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted May 18, 2014 Author Share Posted May 18, 2014 Exhibitor Relations @ERCboxoffice Japan still hasn't cooled on FROZEN--it was #1 for the 10th consecutive weekend, increasing +8%, $179.6M total. Frozen weekend number is up and it came in at 7.8M, still bigger than OW. I wonder if anyone predicted it to increase this week? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted May 18, 2014 Author Share Posted May 18, 2014 As long as no one has any objections, I'm going to use the 7.8 as the number. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadAtGender Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 As long as no one has any objections, I'm going to use the 7.8 as the number. The estimates aren't always that accurate. they've been off by a few hundred thousand before. I don't know if it affects the scoring, though, but it probably could anywhere from 7.5-8.1 or so when the actual comes in. If everyone's below that, it obviously wouldn't matter and would just go to the three highest predictions. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted May 18, 2014 Author Share Posted May 18, 2014 The estimates aren't always that accurate. they've been off by a few hundred thousand before. I don't know if it affects the scoring, though, but it probably could anywhere from 7.5-8.1 or so when the actual comes in. If everyone's below that, it obviously wouldn't matter and would just go to the three highest predictions. It won't matter. There are only a handful of people who have it north of 7 mill. One person has it at 8.6 or so. I don't think the actual will change things. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Films Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 Baumer, I'll help count up this weekend tomorrow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Films Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 (edited) ANSWER KEY1) Will Million Dollar Arm open to more than 23.5 million? NO2) Will Million Dollar Arm have an opening day of more than 8.5 million? NO3) Will Neighbors and Million Dollar Arm combine to come within 20 million of Godzilla? NO4) Will Godzilla open to more than 66.4 million? YES5) Will Godzilla make at least 150 million WW by the time estimates come out? YES6) Will Godzilla gross more than 7.5 mill in Russia? YES7) Will Amazing Spider-man fall less than 50%? NO but could change with actuals8) Which film will have the softer drop? MNO or LOO:DR? LOO: DR9) Will ASM's Saturday be within 16 million of Godzilla's? NO10) Will Godzilla make more than 3.5 million on Thursday? YES11) Will Neighbors have a Saturday increase of more than 25%? NO12) Name any two movies that will drop more than 35% on Sunday. Must get both films to get points (if you don't think two will drop more, then just put the one that will or put none). Million Dollar Arm, The Other Woman and Divergent with estimates13) Will TOW finish within 18 million of ASM2? YES14) Will MDA place in second? NO15) Will any film have a 200% increase on Friday? NO [Don't think Belle Counts] Edited May 18, 2014 by 10 Things I Hate About You 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Films Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 (edited) BONUS [all estimates]Bonus 1: What will Godzilla gross? 4000 93,205,000Bonus 2: What will TOW gross? 4000 6,300,000 [with estimates]Bonus 3: What will the combined gross be of Godzilla, GBH and Rio be? 5000 98,105,000Bonus 4: What % will ASM2 drop internationally? Note: we will use the 69.5 mill from the report this weekend. Only Sunday report will count. Monday actuals do not come into play. -54.6%Bonus 5: What will Frozen gross in Japan for the weekend? 6000 (for this question only, the three closest players will get the points) 7.8M Edited May 18, 2014 by 10 Things I Hate About You 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Filmovie Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 I really hope the Godzilla number holds and stays +196 mln Ww because I put 206 mln in the best Weekend Ww and that would mean 100k points Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasmmi Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 As long as no one has any objections, I'm going to use the 7.8 as the number.I object, I need it to be 7.6M or less for me to get the bonus Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 Had Godzilla at 186m for WW Weekends, so I need its WW OW to drop just a couple hundred k to get the mega bonus. Speaking of which, what was TASM 2's WW Weekend for May 2-4? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 What's the mega-bonus for Top WW weekends? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 What's the mega-bonus for Top WW weekends? If you're within 9.9999m you get a 100,000 bonus. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 If you're within 9.9999m you get a 100,000 bonus. Well shit, that's a bridge too far for me in this case. (I had 180m). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 Well shit, that's a bridge too far for me in this case. (I had 180m). Yeah I'm about 10.3m under so I'm hoping for some overestimates for Saturday and/or Sunday to bring it down a few hundred k. 10-19.999m away is a 75,000 bonus, so still pretty good. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
