Year 1 Part 2: Predictions

[4815162342]

Of course, no one would admit to making unreasonable predictions. But I think you're skewing very high on a lot of summer films, some of which happen to be yours.

March

The End of the Universe- 37.2 OW/142.4 DOM

Land of Storms- 22.8 OW/63.5 DOM

Barren World- 27.7 OW/102.9 DOM

God's Deal- 51.4 OW/115.6 DOM

Our Friend the Witch- 17.5 OW/55.0 DOM

Night of Error- 20.6/29.2 (5-Day)/58.1 DOM (A Scorsese film starring DiCaprio will put butts in the seats)

The Adventures- 44.2 OW/127.4 DOM

Lucky in Love- 24.6 OW/74.1 DOM

[Impact]

January:The Nine Tailors:OW: 7.6M2nd weekend drop: -53% (3.6M/4.3M)Total: 18.2MIllusiono:OW: 26.0/31.42nd weekend Drop: -50% (13M)Total: 57.5MPhone Fiend:OW: 5.7/7.02nd weekend drop: -55% (-2.6M)Total: 14.0Hills Abduction:OW: 17M2nd weekend drop: -45% (9.35M)Total: 46MYou Just Got Beat By a Girl:OW: 12M (I have to admit, the plot makes me laugh)2nd weekend drop: -37% (7.6M)Total: 43M (Remember its the only family film for a while)Spider Baby:OW: 500000M Kidding. 3.3M (I better stop or else Ry might give it a good opening)2nd weekend drop: -65% (1.15M)Total: 5.8MEverglades:OW: 18M2nd weekend: -47% (9.5M)Total: 41.4MReady...Aim...Fire!:OW: 9.7M2nd weekend: -60% (3.9M)Total: 21.6M

[SilverShark]

Well I hope that God´s Deal have a bit better legs than that. Something like 50+-/125-130M would be awesome

[Hiccup]

Of course, no one would admit to making unreasonable predictions. But I think you're skewing very high on a lot of summer films, some of which happen to be yours.

March

The End of the Universe- 37.2 OW/142.4 DOM

Land of Storms- 22.8 OW/63.5 DOM

Barren World- 27.7 OW/102.9 DOM

God's Deal- 51.4 OW/115.6 DOM

Our Friend the Witch- 17.5 OW/55.0 DOM

Night of Error- 20.6/29.2 (5-Day)/58.1 DOM (A Scorsese film starring DiCaprio will put butts in the seats)

The Adventures- 44.2 OW/127.4 DOM

Lucky in Love- 24.6 OW/74.1 DOM

Ok you got me . I am Nikki of CAYOM

[Hiccup]

Hiccup's Tracking Numbers- September Tracking

Sep. 2–5 (Labor Day)

Christine is the only film opening over Labor Day. This Stephen King adoption is looking for a 10M four day weekend.

Sep. 9–11

Path of Justice is tracking toward 17M while A Family of Families is heading toward a 6M opening weekend

Sep. 16–18

The Horn which has received some attention is tracking toward a strong 23M opening weekend. Lenny is tracking toward a 5M opening weekend and Cinerama opening limited is heading toward a 2M start.

Sep. 23–25

Computer Love is tracking toward a 24M opening weekend while horror film The 13th Night is tracking at a poor 7M

Sep. 30–Oct. 2

Choose Your Own Adventure is seeing a box office return to family films. However families are on board and this is tracking to disappoint at 20M. Mac the Knife is tracking at a 11M opening weekend.

[4815162342]

April

Band of the Decade: 15.9 OW/55.2 DOM

The Machine Stops: 23.4 OW/73.6 DOM

Spring Awakening: 26.2 OW/94.1 DOM

The Day I Met Mina: 11.3 OW/37.9 DOM

Trails of Tears: 1.2 (OW Limited)/13.4 (Wide at 3000)/50.3 DOM

Paranoia: 28.1 OW/75.7 DOM

Sarah's Surefire Cure For The Blues: 14.6 OW/46.0 DOM

Elantris: 34.8 OW/83.7 DOM

Con Air 2: 41.2 OW/85.8 DOM

Tarsem Singh's Cinderella: 32.7 OW/110.4 DOM

[Hiccup]

Hiccup's Tracking Numbers- October Tracking

Oct. 7–9

The Great Inferno is tracking to start off October poorly with only 16M while Everybody Dies is tracking at 9M.

Oct. 14–16

The Screaming Skull is tracking at 8M and Number 61 at 7M. Rapture begins its limited run and tracking look great for it with a 7M start. This weekend could be the first weekend with a under 10M film.

Oct. 21–23

The Vast Dark Trilogy: Part One - The Serpent's Egg begins the trilogy off poorly with tracking saying only 12M while Fright Town is tracking poorly this weekend with only 5M. Rapture heads wide with 10M.

Oct. 28–30

Pandemic's tracking is disappointing for the disease film at 14M while Angel of Death is looking strong at 19M.

[Hiccup]

Hiccup's Tracking Numbers- November Tracking

Nov. 4–6

Bartimaues and the Amulet of Samarkand looks to start off the holiday season well at 64M. Santa Baby is opening early ahead of the Christmas themed movie rush. Tracking is suggesting a strong 23M start. And the Band Played On is opening at 12 sites with tracking saying a powerful .9M while 56 Days of Love isn't doing to hot at 5 sites with .1M.

Nov. 11–13

Seth McFarlane's The Neighbourhood is looking for a front loaded start at 41M. The Father Figure is heading toward a 26M start and American Idols is opening at 10 sites with a strong .6M start.

Nov. 18-20

On one of the biggest weekend of the year, Wings Of Icarus is tracking well at 74M while Wolfenstein is tracking at 53M.

Nov. 23- 27 (Thanksgiving Day)

The Modern Prometheus: Frankenstein is tracking poorly at 37M on the five day weekend while Santa Goes to Jail's 5 day tracking number is hot at 52M. Opening on Friday, American Idols goes wide with 8M.

[Hiccup]

Hiccup's Tracking Numbers- December Tracking

Dec. 2-4

A Very Amazing(Crazy) Christmas Movie isn't doing well at only 15M. And the Band Played On and 56 Days of Love are tracking at 7M and 4M respectively.

Dec. 9-11

The Seventh Seal is tracking strong at 56M thanks to a strong cast and marketing. A Bend in the Road is tracking for a 29M opening.

Dec. 16-18

The much anticipated The Morrow is smashing theaters this December with tracking saying a powerful 89M opening. The film should hold very well through the Christmas and New Year's Weekends. Apes on the Run is tracking decently at 16M.

Dec. 23- 25 (Christmas Day)

Spellforce- The Order of Dawn is heading toward a five day weekend of 91M while Mars Trilogy: Red Mars is tracking at a five day weekend of 39M. The Bear and the Fox should offer something for families over Christmas weekend and is tracking toward a 36M three day weekend.

[SilverShark]

I like.

[Impact]

February:Seduction:OW: 13.7M2nd weekend drop: -65% (4.8M)Total: 27.5MTeratoma:OW: 15M2nd weekend drop: -62% (5.7M)Total: 30.8MDisco Dan:OW: 22M (Sleeper hit)2nd weekend drop: -38% (13.64M/17.3M)Total: 75MValentine's Day Vendetta:OW: 15M2nd weekend drop: -74% (3.9M/4.8M)Total: 27M (Yeah really falls off the face of the planet)(Really? Bryan Singer directing this???)Ghost Story:OW: 12M2nd weekend drop: -42% (7M/8.7M) (Yeah it gets great WOM all of a sudden for a horror film)Total: 36MBTW is that a remake?Cycle of the Werewolf:OW: 27M/32.8M2nd weekend drop: -68% (8.6M)Total: 53MCorporate Secrets:OW: 23M/29M2nd weekend drop: -39% (14M)Total: 77MSiri:OW: 32M (First MAJOR family film/animated film of the year) 2nd weekend drop: -37% (20.2M)Total: 119MJust for Cash:OW: 11M2nd weekend drop: -42% (6.4M)Total: 34M(IMO this should of started limited and then go wide)Hiccup, you made Bray Road way too confusing on the schedule.So 3 moderate-big hits it seems. (4 big openers though)

[4815162342]

May

Interconnected: 60.2 OW/206.8 DOM

Fab 5: 23.8 OW/70.2 DOM

The Secrets of Mana: Journey Begins: 49.5 OW/140.4 DOM

Northwest Nightmare: 31.6 OW/68.2 DOM

Alien-Nation: 54.6 OW/180.4 DOM

Birds of a Feather: 38.1 OW/132.7 DOM

Apocalypse: 87.2 OW/105.5 4-day/268.3 DOM

The Penny Jar: 21.8 OW/27.6 4-Day/71.6 DOM

[4815162342]

June

The Ultimate Race- 37.6 OW/95.2 DOM

Nation: 35.1 OW/121.6 DOM

Sitting Ducks: 52.2 OW/187.3 DOM

Pride and Prejudice and Zombies (3D): 30.5 OW/71.0 DOM

Day of the Destructor: 59.5 OW/138.2 DOM

Pizza Man: 13.7 OW/37.2 DOM

Jane Loves Karen: 10.3 OW/35.8 DOM

Fairylight: 64.1 OW/229.3 DOM

The Dark Victorian: 36.5 OW/102.3 DOM

[Impact]

48, I am doing March right now, but before you say anthing about Universe's predict-remember, this is a new CAYOM and sci-fi animation is one of the TOUGHEST sales out there. (Unless if your Wall-E)

[Impact]

I cannot find God's Deal.

[Impact]

^Nevermind, found it, for some reason it was not showing up when I was searching.

[Impact]

March:The End of the Universe:OW: 30M (For a sci-fi animated film, this is fantastic)2nd weekend drop: -46% (16.2M)Total: 111MLand of Storms:OW: 9M (This actually does not sound that bad I will admit, but its not the type of film that would do well)2nd weekend drop: -60% (3.6M)Total: 20M (WW total: 120M )Barren World:OW: 43M2nd weekend drop: -39% (26.3M)Total: 175MGod's Deal:OW: 34.7M2nd weekend drop: -62% (13.2M)Total: 75MOur Friend the Witch:OW: 16M2nd weekend: -43% (9.1M)Total: 53MNight of Error:OW: 20M/29M2nd weekend: -55% (9M)Total: 65MThe Adventures:OW: 45M2nd weekend: -43% (25.7M)Total: 163MLucky in Love:OW: 20M2nd weekend: -43% (11.4M)Total: 64M

[4815162342]

JULY

Call of Duty: 87.4 OW/108.1 4-Day/276.2 DOM

Paperboy: 12.3 OW/16.0 4-Day/42.6 DOM

Nightmare Chronicles: 26.8 OW/66.3 DOM

Cries in the Night: 16.3 OW/42.9 DOM

Park51: 1.8 (OW- Limited)/6.9 (Wide)/30.2 DOM

Vesta: 91.5 OW/310.2 DOM

My Side of the Mountain: 15.5 OW/59.2 DOM

City of Bones: 33.1 OW/90.2 DOM

The Chrysalids: 54.8 OW/173.1 DOM

Beer Buddies: 14.3 OW/39.4 DOM

AUGUST

To Kill A Mockingbird: 17.5 OW/62.4 DOM

Mr. Belvedere: 14.6 OW/47.5 DOM

After Doomsday: 38.4 OW/103.9 DOM

Not So Tall Tales (3133 Theaters) (Page 5)

Hired Guns: 30.4 OW/117.4 DOM

Flight of Fear: 11.2 OW/32.6 DOM

Defensive: 12.4 OW/34.0 DOM

Chronicle: 24.8 OW/92.5 DOM

[RySenkari]

Nice to see the Fairylight love, $200 million+ domestic would guarantee a sequel for sure.

[4815162342]

Something had to break out in June. Sitting Ducks appeals to families, but Fairylight was the only June option to attract multiple quadrants of adults.