Weekend Prediction thread 5/17-5/19 Play the Derby

[vonGneisenau]

1. Ted 2 - $55.4m

2. Inside out - $52.9m

2. Jurassic World - $48.4m

4. Max - $14.1m

5. Spy - $7.4m

6. San Andreas - $4.9m

7. Dope - $3.8m

8. Pitch Perfect 2 - $2.3m

9. Insidious Chapter 3 - $1.9m

10. Avengers: Age of Ultron - $1.5m

[VictorHugogui]

Top 3

1) TED 2: 60M

2) JW     : 55M

3)INSIDE: 52M

[Impact]

Is Ted 2 really tracking this well?

 

Seemed quite a few were turned off by the rom com of the first so not sure how well it will do to be honest.

[Impact]

Some predicts for future openers:

 

Terminator 5: 65.5 (5 day)

Magic Mike 2: 45.5 (5 day)

 

Minions: 95.0

Gallows: 9.0
Self/Less: 5.0

 

Ant-Man: 85.5

Trainwreck: 23.0 (People might be tiring of the director-though not as much as Rogen though IMO who is not in this at least-not sure at the moment for this-thought this was a action film till a couple weeks ago with this title even)

 

Pixles: 50.0

Paper Towns: 30.1

Southpaw: 5.9 (really Hollywood, do you think its 1958 still for sports films and that boxing is huge still?)

 

MI5: 68.8

Vacation: 25.0 (5 day-wild card, could breakout or could bomb-seeing mixed reactions-some want this to be left alone and not have Ed Helms while others are really looking forward to it)

 

Fantastic Four: 50.0 (Don't think I've seen a single advertisement though...)

The Gift: 15.0 (Hey they are remaking this already? Oh wait this isn't a remake )

Shaun the Sheep: 13.0

Ricki and the Flash: 8.0 (If this goes wide-wouldn't surprise me if it starts limited instead)

 

Man from Uncle: 24.0

Underdogs: 10.2

Straight Outta Compton: No idea what this is

Edited June 22, 2015 by Impact

[mahnamahna]

6/26-6/28

• Ted 2: $73 million
• Jurassic World: $57 million ($509 million)
• Inside Out: $56 million ($191 million)
• Max: $10.5 million
• San Andreas: $6.5 million ($145 million)
• Spy: $6 million ($87 million)
• Dope: $5 million ($15 million)
• Insidious Chapter 3: $2.5 million ($50 million)
• Pitch Perfect 2: $2.5 million ($182 million)
• Mad Max - Fury Road: $2 million ($148 million)

$220 million for the top 10... a little bullish, but I think a $200 million+ weekend is happening again. July 4th and Minions should keep that streak going until at least July 17th.

 

7/3-7/5 ($215 million) 

1. Terminator Genysis: $52 million ($80 million)
2. Inside Out: $42 million ($276 million) 
3. Jurassic World: $38.5 million ($586 million)
4. Ted 2: $32 million ($137 million)
5. Magic Mike XXL: $25 million ($42 million) 
6. Max: $8 million ($27 million) 
7. Spy: $4 million ($95 million) 
8. Dope: $4 million ($23 million) 
9. San Andreas: $3.5 million ($152 million) 
10. Insidious Chapter 3: $1.5 million ($53 million) 

7/10-12 ($235 million) 

1. Minions: $127 million 
2. Jurassic World: $24 million ($634 million) 
3. Terminator Genysis: $23 million ($127 million) 
4. Inside Out: $20 million ($316 million) 
5. Ted 2: $16 million ($173 million) 
6. Magic Mike XXL: $9 million ($60 million)
7. The Gallows: $7 million 
8. Self/Less: $4.5 million 
9. Max: $4 million ($35 million)
10. Spy: $3 million ($101 million) 

7/17-19 ($210 million) 

1. Ant-Man: $67 million
2. Minions: $64 million ($255 million) 
3. Trainwreck: $29 million 
4. Inside Out: $13 million ($342 million) 
5. Terminator Genysis: $10.5 million ($148 million) 
6. Jurassic World: $10 million ($654 million) 
7. Ted 2: $6.5 million ($186 million) 
8. Magic Mike XXL: $3.5 million ($67 million) 
9. Max: $3 million ($41 million) 
10. Gallows: $2.5 million ($12 million) 

7/24-26 ($200 million) 

1. Pixels: $57 million 
2. Minions: $36 million ($327 million) 
3. Ant-Man: $31 million ($129 million) 
4. Paper Towns: $28 million 
5. Trainwreck: $19.5 million ($68 million) 
6. Inside Out: $8.5 million ($359 million) 
7. Southpaw: $6 million 
8. Terminator Genysis: $5.5 million ($159 million) 
9. Jurassic World: $4.5 million ($663 million) 
10. Ted 2: $3.5 million ($193 million) 

7/31-8/2 ($205 million) 

1. MI5: $72 million 
2. Pixels: $34 million ($125 million) 
3. Vacation: $24 million ($38 million) 
4. Minions: $23 million ($373 million) 
5. Ant-Man: $14 million ($157 million) 
6. Paper Towns: $12 million ($52 million)
7. Trainwreck: $10 million ($88 million)
8. Inside Out: $7 million ($373 million)
9. Southpaw: $4.5 million ($15 million)
10. Terminator Genysis: $2.5 million ($164 million) 

8/7-9 ($170 million) 

1. Fantastic Four: $46 million 
2. MI5: $32 million ($136 million) 
3. Pixels: $21 million ($163 million) 
4. Ricki and the Flash: $18 million 
5. Vacation: $16 million ($70 million) 
6. Minions: $13 million ($396 million)
7. Paper Towns: $7 million ($66 million) 
8. Trainwreck: $6.5 million ($101 million) 
9. Ant-Man: $6 million ($169 million) 
10. Inside Out: $5.5 million ($383 million) 

Would be great to see $200 million+ weekends until August 7th

Edited June 24, 2015 by mahnamahna

[lilmac]

I have Inside Out squeaking by JP4. Both around $47mil.

Ted, maybe $42m, maybe.

[Impact]

So what will be the next film to repeat at number one then?

[Blankments]

1. Jurassic World - 59.7M
2. Ted 2 - 53.7M
3. Inside Out - 51.6M
4. Max - 17.4M
5. Spy - 7.5M
6. San Andreas - 7.3M
7. Dope - 3.7M
8. Insidious Chapter 3 - 2.5M
9. Mad Max: Fury Road - 2.4M
10. Avengers: Age of Ultron - 2.3M
11. Love and Mercy - 1.9M
12. Pitch Perfect 2 - 1.8M

[bcf26]

6/26-6/28

• Ted 2: $73 million
• Jurassic World: $61million ($543 million)
• Inside Out: $56 million ($191million)
• Max: $10.5 million
• San Andreas: $6.5 million ($145 million)
• Spy: $6 million ($87 million)
• Dope: $5 million ($15 million)
• Insidious Chapter 3: $2.5 million ($50 million)
• Pitch Perfect 2: $2.5 million ($182 million)
• Mad Max - Fury Road: $2 million ($148 million)

$238 million for the top 10... a little bullish, but I think a $200 million+ weekend is happening again. July 4th and Minions should keep that streak going until at least July 17th.

 

 

You're expecting Spy to drop around 50% this weekend.

It just dropped 28% last weekend.

[Kalel009Shel]

Hey all. How was jps ow 2

[Kalel009Shel]

Ted 77 m. Jp world 57m, inside out 48m

[vonGneisenau]

Hey all. How was jps ow 2

u mean 2nd weekend for JW?

106,58 million, broke the record again!

[dxmatrixdt]

(new) - Ted 2 - 59.50 - 59.50

-46% - Jurassic World - 58.01 - 506.79

-41% - Inside Out - 53.01 - 186.84

 

(new) - Terminator - 52.82 - 94.16

(new) - Magic Mike - 39.60 - 80.10

-41% - Jurassic World - 34.00 - 573.92

-36% - Inside Out - 34.00 - 258.45

-50% - Ted 2 - 29.92 - 119.00

 

(new) - Minions - 153.20 - 153.20

-46% - Terminator - 28.50 - 151.16

-42% - Jurassic World - 19.72 - 613.14

-52% - Magic Mike - 18.98 - 124.33

-48% - Inside Out - 17.85 - 297.77

-48% - Ted 2 - 15.50 - 152.01

(new) - The Gallows - 12.17 - 12.17

(new) - Self/Less - 11.95 - 11.95

 

(new) - Ant-Man - 102.82 - 102.82

-43% - Minions - 88.00 - 329.20

(new) - Trainwreck - 53.26 - 53.26

-55% - Terminator - 12.95 - 178.55

-39% - Inside Out - 10.80 - 318.72

-47% - Magic Mike - 10.05 - 144.28

-52% - Jurassic World - 9.45 - 632.45

-50% - Ted 2 - 7.68 - 168.37

-55% - The Gallows - 5.50 - 23.75

-58% - Self/Less - 5.00 - 22.45

 

(new) - Pixels - 66.38 - 66.38

-38% - Minions - 54.18 - 438.16

-55% - Ant-Man - 46.02 - 197.20

(new) - Paper Towns - 27.00 - 27.00

-50% - Trainwreck - 26.40 - 106.39

(new) - Southpaw - 11.00 - 11.00

-42% - Terminator - 7.56 - 192.94

-41% - Inside Out - 6.36 - 331.38

-41% - Jurassic World - 5.60 - 643.05

-45% - Magic Mike - 5.55 - 155.53

-54% - Ted 2 - 3.50 - 171.87

 

(new) - Mission Impossible 5 - 81.10 - 81.10

-44% - Minions - 30.42 - 500.06

(new) - Vacation - 28.48 - 45.48

-58% - Pixels - 28.13 - 121.70

-61% - Ant-Man - 17.85 - 235.53

-41% - Trainwreck - 15.68 - 136.26

-51% - Paper Towns - 13.20 - 54.60

-28% - Southpaw - 7.92 - 23.82

-42% - Inside Out - 3.68 - 338.98

-52% - Terminator - 3.60 - 200.73

-47% - Jurassic World - 2.97 - 649.02

-73% - Magic Mike - 1.50 - 160.06

-65% - Ted 2 - 1.23 - 174.95

[mahnamahna]

You're expecting Spy to drop around 50% this weekend.

It just dropped 28% last weekend.

Ted 2 should hurt it a little. Maybe 40-45% if it's another crazy weekend for sellouts. I think it'll stabilize over July 4th and Minions' OW. Then plummet when Trainwreck comes out.

 

It'll get past $100 million DOM 

[Quigley]

Even if in third place, I think Inside Out will earn at least $54M.

Edited June 24, 2015 by Quigley

[DAJK]

I have JW at third this weekend...

June 26: 1. Ted 2 - $64.9M

2. Inside Out - $58.5M

3. Jurassic World - $52.1M

July 3: 1. Terminator - $47.8M ($69.2M)

2. Inside Out - $31.2M

3. Magic Mike - $29.8M ($55.8M)

4. Jurassic World - $28.6M

5. Ted 2 - $27.3M

July 10: 1. Minions - $118.5M

2. Terminator - $26.1M

3. Inside Out - $16M

4. Jurassic World - $14.8M

5. Magic Mike - $14.5M

6. Ted 2 - $14.3M

[Impact]

Some predicts for future openers:

 

Terminator 5: 65.5 (5 day)

Magic Mike 2: 45.5 (5 day)

 

Minions: 95.0

Gallows: 9.0

Self/Less: 5.0

 

Ant-Man: 85.5

Trainwreck: 23.0 (People might be tiring of the director-though not as much as Rogen though IMO who is not in this at least-not sure at the moment for this-thought this was a action film till a couple weeks ago with this title even)

 

Pixles: 50.0

Paper Towns: 30.1

Southpaw: 5.9 (really Hollywood, do you think its 1958 still for sports films and that boxing is huge still?)

 

MI5: 68.8

Vacation: 25.0 (5 day-wild card, could breakout or could bomb-seeing mixed reactions-some want this to be left alone and not have Ed Helms while others are really looking forward to it)

 

Fantastic Four: 50.0 (Don't think I've seen a single advertisement though...)

The Gift: 15.0 (Hey they are remaking this already? Oh wait this isn't a remake )

Shaun the Sheep: 13.0

Ricki and the Flash: 8.0 (If this goes wide-wouldn't surprise me if it starts limited instead)

 

Man from Uncle: 24.0

Underdogs: 10.2

Straight Outta Compton: No idea what this is

Well after these:

 

Masterminds: 25.2 (5 day)

Hitman: 16.5

Sinister 2: 14.0

America Ultra: 7.5

 

Regression: 8.0

We Are Your Friends: 5.0

 

Transporter 4: 12.0/14.5

Jane Got a Gun: 5.0/6.0

No clue what to predict for Kitchen Sink, No Escape or Walk in the Woods

 

Perfect Guy: 15.0

The Visit: 7.8

 

Maze Runner 2: 37.9

Black Mass: 12.0

Everest: 10.5

Captive: 7.8

 

Hotel Transylvania 2: 43.0

The Intern: 15.0

Green Inferno: 10.3 (If it actually comes out this time!)

Before I Wake: 7.2

Disappointments Room: 7.0

 

The Martian: 50.0

The Walk: 15.0

Hillsong: 6.5

Adam Jones: 6.4

 

Pan: 17.0

Kidnap: 10.0

Jobs 2: 7.0

 

Bridge of Spies: 25.0

Goosebumps: 20.0

Crimson Peak: 18.0

 

Last Witch Hunter: 20.0

Paranormal 6: 20.0

Jem and the Holograms: 17.5

Rock the Kabash: 8.0

Secret in their Eyes: 5.0

 

Scouts vs. Zombies: 200 trillion based off the title okay really, I'll say 7.0

Autobahn: 4.5

 

Am I really just doing random predicts for most of September and October? Probably (and watch the ones I know nothing about with random numbers be the most accurate)

Okay not that random otherwise I might of had something like a 80M ow lol.

[boxofficeth]

So what will be the next film to repeat at number one then?

 

Straight Outta Compton? Another punch from Universal, maybe.

 

Or potentially Minions, if it breaks out and Ant Man opens roughly on par with Thor/CA.

Edited June 25, 2015 by boxofficeth

[Impact]

Straight Outta Compton? Another punch from Universal, maybe.

Apparently that's already on VOD.

[Impact]

Masterminds-the 2nd and 3rd weekend have basically no big releases!