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Chasmmi's Winter Game - Grey Ghost is the WINNER!

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12 minutes ago, chasmmi said:

Ok I have made the executive decision that all scores from week 14 will be multiplied one hundred fold as it is clearly the week that showed the best displays of skill to date ;)

 

Name Part 1 Part 2 Part 3 Total
kayumanggi 28000 0 18000 46000
Chasmmi 28000 0 18000 46000
infernus 32000 0 13000 45000
damienRoc 31000 0 13000 44000
Exxdee 25000 6000 8000 39000
Wrathofhan 22000 6000 8000 36000
Avi  22000 0 13000 35000
MikeKaye42 22000 0 13000 35000
Telemachos 20000 6000 8000 34000
Wrath 18000 6000 4000 28000
background 20000 6000 2000 28000
jajang 20000 0 8000 28000
Movieman89 22000 0 4000 26000
Darkelf 18000 0 8000 26000
Grey Ghost 18000 0 8000 26000
misafeco 22000 0 4000 26000
glassfairy 19000 0 6000 25000
Dajk 19000 0 4000 23000
Blankments 11000 0 2000 13000

excited leonardo dicaprio exciting django unchained yes

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Ok SOTM 6... The following will be the official scores for this question, so if you have issue with anything, it is this post you need to address (although the people preceding me have done a great job with the scoring. :)

 

These are the films that qualify for potential points scoring:

 

BEST PICTURE - 5000 - BIG SHORT, BRIDGE OF SPIES, BROOKLYN, ROOM, SPOTLIGHT

BEST DIRECTOR - 5000 - BIG SHORT, ROOM, SPOTLIGHT

BEST ACTOR - 4000 - TRUMBO, DANISH GIRL,

BEST ACTRESS - 4000 - CAROL, ROOM, BROOKLYN

 

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR - 3000 - BIG SHORT, SPOTLIGHT, BRIDGE OF SPIES, CREED

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS - 3000 - CAROL, SPOTLIGHT, DANISH GIRL

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY - 2000 - BIG SHORT, BROOKLYN, CAROL, ROOM

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY - 2000 - BRIDGE OF SPIES, SPOTLIGHT,

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE - 2000 - NONE

 

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY - 1000 - CAROL,

BEST SONG - 1000 - YOUTH, SPECTRE

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE - 1000 - BRIDGE OF SPIES, CAROL,

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS - 1000 - NONE

BEST MAKE UP - 1000 - NONE

 

Name BIG SHORT SPIES BROOKLYN ROOM SPOTLIGHT TRUMBO
Darkelf 15000 11000 11000 33000 60000 3000
Wrathofhan 15000 11000 8000 16000 36000 4000
Glassfairy 0 6000 0 8000 60000 0
Bcf 0 0 8000 0 10000 0
Wrath   15000 0 11000 0 18000 0
Avi 15000 11000 11000 16000 18000 4000
Background 0 0 11000 16000 18000 0
Dajk 0 11000 27000 27000 10000 0
Jajang 0 11000 11000 0 18000 0
Greyghost 0 11000 11000 16000 18000 0
Filmovie 0 24000 8000 18000 60000 0
Exxdee 15000 11000 11000 16000 -51000 0
Blankments 0 15000 8000 8000 60000 0
Chasmmi 15000 6000 0 16000 30000 4000
Telemachos 15000 30000 0 16000 21000 0
Misafeco 15000 6000 27000 33000 60000 0
Movieman 15000 6000 8000 33000 36000 0
Infernus 15000 -48000 33000 33000 60000 4000
Kayumanggi 15000 -48000 8000 18000 60000 0
MikeKaye 4000 -57000 -45000 27000 -66000 0

 

 

Name DANISH CREED CAROL SPECTRE WRONG TOTAL
Darkelf 21000 0 -42000 0 0 112000
Wrathofhan 6000 3000 11000 0 0 110000
Glassfairy -27000 0 40000 0 0 87000
Bcf 21000 0 8000 0 0 47000
Wrath   7000 3000 11000 0 -21000 44000
Avi 7000 3000 11000 1000 -60000 37000
Background 7000 3000 11000 0 -30000 36000
Dajk 21000 -30000 11000 1000 -42000 36000
Jajang 0 3000 0 1000 -15000 29000
Greyghost 0 3000 11000 0 -42000 28000
Filmovie 21000 -30000 -57000 0 -21000 23000
Exxdee 7000 0 11000 0 0 20000
Blankments 8000 3000 -63000 0 -30000 9000
Chasmmi 7000 3000 -42000 0 -42000 -3000
Telemachos 21000 3000 -42000 0 -69000 -5000
Misafeco -39000 0 -72000 2000 -42000 -10000
Movieman -39000 6000 -57000 2000 -21000 -11000
Infernus -30000 3000 -72000 0 -42000 -44000
Kayumanggi -39000 6000 -57000 1000 -72000 -108000
MikeKaye 0 -60000 27000 0 -66000 -236000

 

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Ok, that is a bit of a mess the table, but I wanted to show how I marked each specific film for each player so its easier for anyone to checked discrepancies that they see.

 

Interestingly, if you remove the top 3 and the bottom 2, the rest of the player base is only within 100k of each other which is less than some previous SOTMs in both summer and winter have produced.

 

I'm not trying to admit the question wasn't seriously flawed (it was and I will address that next year and talk about it more in detail when the game is over), but this SOTM may not be as gamebreaking as it potentially could have ended up.

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In hindsight going for something like say Spectre: Song was a ridiculous risk as you stood to lose 18k for the potential win of just 2.

 

Animations and Carol were the big losers here. (Suffragette and Crimson Peak were the only non-animations mentioned to not get a single nomination I believe).

 

Weirdly, not a single player went specific on Big Short.

 

Overall though I liked bring Oscars into the game and I liked the concept of the question and trying to predict categories. The gulf between success and failure and the pointlessness of going for say Spectre for song or Creed for supporting actor, need to be addressed for next time.

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12 minutes ago, chasmmi said:

Overall though I liked bring Oscars into the game and I liked the concept of the question and trying to predict categories. The gulf between success and failure and the pointlessness of going for say Spectre for song or Creed for supporting actor, need to be addressed for next time.

 

I think if you knock the potential gains/losses down by something close to a factor of 10, it'll be a worthwhile and challenging SOTM for the future.

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12 minutes ago, chasmmi said:

Overall though I liked bring Oscars into the game and I liked the concept of the question and trying to predict categories. The gulf between success and failure and the pointlessness of going for say Spectre for song or Creed for supporting actor, need to be addressed for next time.

 

I think if you knock the potential gains/losses down by something close to a factor of 10, it'll be a worthwhile and challenging SOTM for the future.

Maybe make it a preseason question. Then the points make more sense. ?

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

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Here's a thought for the question.

 

Guess a movie, and you get points for each nomination it gets. Perhaps just a flat 1k points, regardless of the category. So if a film you guess gets 6 noms, that's 6k points.

Guess a specific nomination for that movie and you get a flat bonus per category you state. Say 1k points in this case. You still get the points for other nominations it receives. Say the above 6 nom film got best actor, which you guess, so you get 7k points. At best if you guess all noms correctly, it'll be double the normal value.

Guess a specific nomination wrong, and you get no points for any category and lose 5k points.

Guess a film that receives no nominations and you lose 2k points.

Abstain and get 5k points.

 

With a question as broad as this, it feels like it should give incentive for people to play. The risk of going specific should be bigger than the reward if you're right, but it shouldn't be so punishing. I think the above could give some nice rewards, but won't be as swingy as it turned out to be. Someone could plug in my scoring into the answers everyone gave to see how it differs, though.

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Estimated answers:

 

 

1. Which new opener will make the most this weekend? Dirty Grandpa

2. Will at least 1 new entry enter into the top 3? 2000 No

3. Will the Big Short drop less than 8% this weekend? No

4. Will Norm of the North have the biggest drop amongst all animated (including Alvin) films this weekend? No

5. Will the Revanant finally hit the number 1 spot this weekend? 3000 Yes

 

6. Will Sisters remain in the top 10 this weekend? 3000 No

7. Will the forest finish above Norm of the North? No

8. Will Star Wars cross 875M total by the end of the weekend? Yes

9. Will Spotlight finish above Brooklyn this weekend? 2000 No

10. Will any film in the top 12 drop more than 62%? Yes

 

11. Will Monster Hunt have a PTA above $6000? No

12. Will any film increase 2005 or more on Friday? 2000 Yes

13. Will any film decrease more than 47% on Sunday? Yes

14. Which film in the top 8 will have the highest PTA? 3000 The Revenant

15. Do you miss the lack of bear films being released this weekend? Audiences clearly didn't

 

10/15 - 2000

11/15 - 3000

12/15 - 4000

13/15 - 6000

14/15 - 8000

15/15 - 10000

 

Part 2

 

1. What will the 3 highest new openers combined OW be? 5000 $33,485,000

2. What will Creed's total be by end of Saturday? 5000 $108,294,759

3. What will Ride Along make on Sunday? 5000 $3,180,000

 

Part 3

 

1. The Revenant

3. Ride Along 2

5. The Boy

8. Daddy's Home

10. The Big Short

13. Brooklyn

16. Joy

 

2000 each plus...

4/7 - 2000

5/7 - 5000

6/7 - 8000

7/7 - 11000

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26 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

Good week for me, although Exxdee is seriously a machine at this point. Looks like he might be almost perfect on both part 1 and part 3 and get a bonus as well. :blink:

 

This is supernatural stuff. No mere mortal can accomplish such feats. I had my doubts before but there's no denying it anymore - Exxdee is a Timelord! :worthy:

Edited by Infernus
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