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Olive

Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)

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It went from 33m to 33.5m from 1 to 8am. Usually there is just 0 -20k added and that might just be on the morning of OD for all other movies.

 

76k shows. Should take it up 10m+ today. They add a lot at 10am

Edited by POTUS
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They only added 2000 shows so far. Running at 400 -500k. May only add 7-8m unless they add several thousand more. 23-25% gain is still great after yesterday's gain. $200m still looking solid. $248m still possible

Edited by POTUS
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GitS doesn't look like it's going to bump much if at all. 7.5 rating

Kong 80% and will clear 30m and should reach $9m for the weekend. It might reach 1.2b/ $174m 

Dog going to  limp to 610m/$88.4m

BatB may fall short of 600m/$87m

 

Edited by POTUS
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[5 days+ 0 hours]
The Fate of the Furious

Midnight: 11.26m
Fri: 39.31m
Sat: 17m

5 DAYS + 0 HOURS
Journey to the West 2- 44.95m 

Warcraft - 35.92M

 

Edited by Olive
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3 hours ago, Fullbuster said:

So, can you translate these numbers guys? Better than FF7?

Yes, it's tracking for a $200 million+ OW in China. It might open higher than Avengers and JW's domestic OW. Small chance it'll be higher than TFA domestic OW.

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13 hours ago, Mrstickball said:

[6 days+ 0 hours]
The Fate of the Furious

Midnight: 9.78m
Fri: 32.87m
Sat: 13.48m

 

 

[5 days+ 0 hours]
The Fate of the Furious

Midnight: 11.32m  (+15.7%)
Fri: 39.45m (+20%)
Sat: 17.03m (+26.3%)

[4 days+ 9 hours]
The Fate of the Furious

Midnight: 11.86m - Now (+5.%)
Fri: 41.85m - Now (+6.5%)
Sat: 18.40m - Now (+8.6%)

[4 days+ 9 hours]
Warcraft

Midnight: 24.12m
Fri: 37.93m

Sat: 13.02m

Edited by abra
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23 minutes ago, abra said:

 

 

[4 days+ 9 hours]
The Fate of the Furious

Midnight: 11.86m - Now (+5.%)
Fri: 41.85m - Now (+6.5%)
Sat: 18.40m - Now (+8.6%)

[4 days+ 9 hours]
Warcraft

Midnight: 24.12m
Fri: 37.93m

Sat: 13.02m

Warcraft opened on WED.

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Fridays burst is making yesterday and today look bad. However it works out to 25% average daily gains since Thursday. well above the 20% I thought would happen. They added 10k shows on Friday. Just 5k yesterday and so far only 2k today totaling 83k. 80k+ shows are still to be added. I assume itll be 10k or more starting tomorrow, 20k+ and 30k+ on wed and thurs causing the ramp up in % increases.  The daily increases and multies below are well below normal parameters for CA3, AoU, SW7,  RE, Martha Smurf, XXX and Kong. a little above JttW and WC because those were holiday releases when shows are assigned earlier.

$200m still looks good especially with lower projection than normal. SW7 is still in play unless this model deviates a bit

Martha Smurf displays when B v S is typed together. Very funny

  JttW2         WC     FF8 low end      
PS 1am OD PS % gain   MN PS % gain OD PS % gain   MN PS % gain OD PS gain % gain  
Sa 12.7         8.8         2.5      
Su 16.9 32.7%   11.0   12.0 37.1%       5.4 2.9 116.0%  
Mo 19.4 14.9%   13.0   14.8 23.3%       8.3 2.9 53.7%  
Tu 22.1 14.2%   14.9   17.0 14.9%       11.4 3.1 37.3%  
We 25.5 15.3%   16.0   20.0 17.6%   5.0   14.5 3.1 27.2%  
Th 29.1 14.1%   18.1 0.0% 23.0 15.0%   6.4 28.0% 19.5 5.0 34.5%  
Fr 33.3 14.4%   19.6 8.3% 27.0 17.4%   8.0 25.0% 24.6 5.1 26.2%  
Sa 38.4 15.3%   21.8 11.2% 31.5 16.7%   9.8 22.5% 33.0 8.4 34.1%  
Su 44.0 14.6%   22.5 3.2% 35.9 14.0%   11.3 15.3% 39.6 6.6 20.0%  
Mo 51.0 15.9%   23.4 4.0% 40.8 13.6%   13.3 17.7% 47.0 7.4 18.7% est
Tu 57.0 11.8%   25.7 9.8% 44.8 9.8%   16.0 20.3% 57.5 10.5 22.3% proj
We 72.0 26.3%   27.1 5.4% 50.7 13.2%   20.0 25.0% 74.0 16.5 28.7% proj
Th 88.8 23.3%   30.0 10.7% 64.8 27.8%   30.0 50.0% 99.0 25.0 33.8% proj
Fr(OD) 140.0 57.7%   50.1 67.0% 96.0 48.1%   60.0 100.0% 157.0 58.0 58.6% proj
OD Rev 356.0 154.3%       251.5 162.0%   60.0   431.8   175.0% proj
Multi   2.54         2.62           2.75  
                             
  OD OW   Total OD $ OW $ Total $   FF8 high end      
JttW2 356 777   1656 52 113 240   MN PS % gain OD PS   % gain  
WC 251 819   1472 36 125 225       2.5      
FF8 Lo 432 1382   2763 63 200 400       5.4 2.9 116.0%  
FF8 Hi 513 1694   3557 74 245 516       8.3 2.9 53.7%  
                      11.4 3.1 37.3%  
              Wed   5.0   14.5 3.1 27.2%  
              Thu   6.4 28.0% 19.5 5.0 34.5%  
              Fri   8.0 25.0% 24.6 5.1 26.2%  
              Sat   9.8 22.5% 33.0 8.4 34.1%  
              Sun   11.3 15.3% 39.6 6.6 20.0%  
              Mon   13.3 17.7% 47.0 7.4 18.7% est
              Tue   16.2 21.8% 58.0 11.0 23.4% proj
              Wed   22.0 35.8% 77.0 19.0 32.8% proj
              Thu   34.0 54.5% 106.0 29.0 37.7% proj
              Fri OD   70.0 105.9% 177.0 71.0 67.0% proj
              OD Rev   70.0   513.3   190.0% proj
              Psmulti           2.90  
Edited by POTUS
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1 hour ago, Olive said:

90+ average attenance is not happening on weekday, enough said.

TF4 had 80.

Depends on how many shows. I'm thinking 62% of 290k. 180k. Needs 82 per show.

I estimate TF4 had 60k shows and made 174m. They had about 100k total shows back then. 

Kong had 114k of 250k for 150m OD

RE6 had 115k of 256k for 200m

JTTW2 had 107k of 318k for 355m on CNY. 

510m on 180k. Can get there with 20% less saturation plus it'll have all of the large theaters. I assume JttW didn't have them all. 

 

What's the buzz in Chinese forums?

Do you think they'll add a lot of 11pm shows?

 

Records happen when the not happening happens. :D

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