I am your friend, and as your friend I have got to be so honest with you. I don’t care about you or your Derby | Week 29

[AndyLL]

Only one opener...

 

http://derby.boxofficetheory.com/Predictions.aspx

 

 

[Rolling Thunder]

Guess The Infiltrator would have been too easy since it opens tomorrow?

[POTUS 2020]

2 hours ago, Rolling Thunder said:

Guess The Infiltrator would have been too easy since it opens tomorrow?

Would be like a holdover. Was tarzan or bfg easy laSt week?

[POTUS 2020]

Link for derby google sheet

You need only to enter estimates next to Andy and the rest is super computer magic.

I remember the first time I used a computer back in '71 in 1st grade. It was the size of a 1 bedroom apartment. I typed in 2+2 and it teletyped 4 about 5 seconds later. It was freaky shit.

Then ten years later there was the WOPR.

new school.  side note: Broderick played an 18 year old for 8 years. wargames '83 HS senior, Ferris Bueller '86 HS Senior. Finally made it to college in the Freshman '90

old school

 

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1GsOSofpQdbjXwQmtjXQdxzFPa6CJZklsSH-FYBVJrXk/edit?usp=sharing

Good Luck

[Eric Deetz]

@No Prisoners with that 100%

[POTUS 2020]

							Tournament
1	Fanboy	95.74	26	luxneji	90.38		Matrix4You 1	90.15
2	ChipMunky	94.17	27	cannastop	90.29		narniadis 24	Took the blue pill            0
3	Exxdee	93.74	28	Viceversa	90.25
4	Derby Average	93.35	29	Matrix4You	90.15		JMorphin 28	88.59
5	Olive	92.94	30	titanic2187	90.10		TalismanRing 4	92.22
6	Wildbill	92.58	31	heh	90.08
7	TalismanRing	92.22	32	Horror Wizard	89.76		Rolling Thunder 3	88.63
8	e1828	92.11	33	CoolEric258	89.71		Bozly 6	90.60
9	Simionski	91.97	34	RandomJC	89.31
10	No Prisoners	91.92	35	Wrath	88.98		CoolEric258 42	89.71
11	Wonka	91.91	36	AABATTERY	88.95		No Prisoners 2	91.92
12	WrathOfHan	91.80	37	Rolling Thunder	88.63
13	moviecriticguy	91.70	38	JMorphin	88.59
14	24Lost	91.54	39	BoxOfficeZ	88.05
15	darkelf	91.53	40	boxofficeth	87.19
16	Boxx93	91.50	41	Dipper	86.95
17	keysersoze123	91.47	42	nelmsey	86.41
18	Bates	91.14	43	kayumanggi	85.96
19	JohnnY	91.13	44	AndyLL	85.39
20	8wombi7	91.01	45	Lights Camera Action	84.92
21	PanaMovie	90.86	46	bapi	83.79
22	Bozly	90.60	47	Iraf	83.47
23	Spaghetti	90.59	48	BoxOffice.com	80.85
24	Tower	90.42	49	BoxOfficeMojo	78.03
25	SquareWatcher	90.42

 

For the third week in a row the pros are at or near the bottom

Derby average killing it again

No estimate for Shallows, I put it down 51%, slightly better hold than the purge based on weekday holds

Edited July 16, 2016 by No Prisoners

[TalismanRing]

7 hours ago, No Prisoners said:

							Tournament
1	Fanboy	95.74	26	luxneji	90.38		Matrix4You 1	90.15
2	ChipMunky	94.17	27	cannastop	90.29		narniadis 24	Took the blue pill            0
3	Exxdee	93.74	28	Viceversa	90.25
4	Derby Average	93.35	29	Matrix4You	90.15		JMorphin 28	88.59
5	Olive	92.94	30	titanic2187	90.10		TalismanRing 4	92.22
6	Wildbill	92.58	31	heh	90.08
7	TalismanRing	92.22	32	Horror Wizard	89.76		Rolling Thunder 3	88.63
8	e1828	92.11	33	CoolEric258	89.71		Bozly 6	90.60
9	Simionski	91.97	34	RandomJC	89.31
10	No Prisoners	91.92	35	Wrath	88.98		CoolEric258 42	89.71
11	Wonka	91.91	36	AABATTERY	88.95		No Prisoners 2	91.92
12	WrathOfHan	91.80	37	Rolling Thunder	88.63
13	moviecriticguy	91.70	38	JMorphin	88.59
14	24Lost	91.54	39	BoxOfficeZ	88.05
15	darkelf	91.53	40	boxofficeth	87.19
16	Boxx93	91.50	41	Dipper	86.95
17	keysersoze123	91.47	42	nelmsey	86.41
18	Bates	91.14	43	kayumanggi	85.96
19	JohnnY	91.13	44	AndyLL	85.39
20	8wombi7	91.01	45	Lights Camera Action	84.92
21	PanaMovie	90.86	46	bapi	83.79
22	Bozly	90.60	47	Iraf	83.47
23	Spaghetti	90.59	48	BoxOffice.com	80.85
24	Tower	90.42	49	BoxOfficeMojo	78.03
25	SquareWatcher	90.42

 

For the third week in a row the pros are at or near the bottom

Derby average killing it again

No estimate for Shallows, I put it down 51%, slightly better hold than the purge based on weekday holds

 

The Purge lost 5% theaters vs 29.6% for Shallows so it's dip might be harder

 

Edit:  Nope.  Darn it.

Edited July 16, 2016 by TalismanRing

[Rolling Thunder]

Wonder why the Derby average is so high? 

[POTUS 2020]

13 hours ago, Rolling Thunder said:

Wonder why the Derby average is so high? 

why not? it can be the highest if half are high and the other half are evenly low on picks

Its not the players average score, its the cume average prediction score.

 

1	Exxdee	94.63	26	darkelf	88.74		Matrix4You 1	88.72
2	ChipMunky	93.38	27	Rolling Thunder	88.74		narniadis 24	0.00
3	Fanboy	92.96	28	Matrix4You	88.72
4	Wonka	92.75	29	e1828	88.44		JMorphin 28	89.35
5	No Prisoners	92.47	30	BoxOfficeZ	88.39		TalismanRing 4	90.47
6	keysersoze123	91.71	31	Boxx93	88.12
7	24Lost	91.53	32	SquareWatcher	87.89		Rolling Thunder 3	88.74
8	Derby Average	91.53	33	Wrath	87.83		Bozly 6	86.38
9	moviecriticguy	90.76	34	heh	87.71
10	Wildbill	90.67	35	AABATTERY	87.67		CoolEric258 42	87.65
11	cannastop	90.49	36	CoolEric258	87.65		No Prisoners 2	92.47
12	TalismanRing	90.47	37	titanic2187	87.50
13	8wombi7	90.32	38	RandomJC	87.40
14	Simionski	90.26	39	Dipper	87.07
15	Bates	90.18	40	Bozly	86.38
16	WrathOfHan	89.97	41	kayumanggi	86.30
17	Olive	89.56	42	bapi	85.92
18	JMorphin	89.35	43	boxofficeth	85.28
19	Spaghetti	89.33	44	AndyLL	84.82
20	luxneji	89.25	45	Lights Camera Action	83.99
21	JohnnY	89.23	46	Iraf	83.13
22	Viceversa	89.04	47	BoxOffice.com	82.65
23	Horror Wizard	88.96	48	nelmsey	82.07
24	PanaMovie	88.91	49	BoxOfficeMojo	78.12
25	Tower	88.91

 

Edited July 17, 2016 by No Prisoners

[ChipDerby]

8 minutes ago, Rolling Thunder said:

Wonder why the Derby average is so high? 

 

when I score well, you know the week was easy.

[cannastop]

I finally got smart, and now I'm near the top 10. If only I hadn't overestimated Ghostbusters and underestimated Pets.

[POTUS 2020]

12 hours ago, cannastop said:

I finally got smart, and now I'm near the top 10. If only I hadn't overestimated Ghostbusters and underestimated Pets.

You are in the top ten. by a hair

 

 

[Fanboy]

Finally a good weekend for me! 

[POTUS 2020]

7 hours ago, Fanboy said:

Finally a good weekend for me! 

not bad, not bad at all!

							Tournament
1	Exxdee	95.09	25	8wombi7	89.79		Matrix4You 1	89.83
2	ChipMunky	94.17	26	BoxOfficeZ	89.79		narniadis 24	0.00
3	Fanboy	94.07	27	Wrath	89.71
	Derby Average	92.74	28	Tower	89.70		JMorphin 28	89.65
4	Wonka	92.73	29	JMorphin	89.65		TalismanRing 4	91.50
5	keysersoze123	92.08	30	heh	89.56
6	AABATTERY	91.68	31	SquareWatcher	89.53		Rolling Thunder 3	87.29
7	Olive	91.51	32	Horror Wizard	89.41		Bozly 6	88.19
8	TalismanRing	91.50	33	CoolEric258	89.30
9	No Prisoners	91.47	34	titanic2187	89.24		CoolEric258 42	89.30
10	Wildbill	91.35	35	e1828	89.08		No Prisoners	91.47
11	24Lost	91.21	36	kayumanggi	88.25
12	Simionski	91.20	37	Bozly	88.19
13	Bates	91.19	38	Dipper	87.67
14	JohnnY	91.10	39	RandomJC	87.54
15	moviecriticguy	91.07	40	boxofficeth	87.38
16	Spaghetti	90.95	41	Rolling Thunder	87.29
17	Viceversa	90.91	42	bapi	86.53
18	luxneji	90.88		BoxOffice.com	86.18
19	WrathOfHan	90.74	43	Lights Camera Action	85.21
20	cannastop	90.19	44	nelmsey	84.93
21	Boxx93	90.05	45	AndyLL	84.20
22	darkelf	89.89	46	Iraf	82.19
23	PanaMovie	89.86		BoxOfficeMojo	81.36
24	Matrix4You	89.83

 

 

Edited July 17, 2016 by No Prisoners

[ChipDerby]

Too much faith in Pets on my end. Could've had an all timer score. :/

[Rolling Thunder]

41st? Timeout, RollingThunder. 

[POTUS 2020]

Just now, Rolling Thunder said:

41st? Timeout, RollingThunder. 

Whats worse Is Bozly took 37 th and you still lost. Shame, we couldve had the top 4 seeds In the final four.  time to go back on vacation!

[POTUS 2020]

Mojo and ProBO should just take the derby ave picks from now on.

[Exxdee]

First Place! Finally

[Rolling Thunder]

1 hour ago, No Prisoners said:

Whats worse Is Bozly took 37 th and you still lost. Shame, we couldve had the top 4 seeds In the final four.  time to go back on vacation!

 

I anticipate defeating him with actuals. Still a poor performance.