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Chasmmi's Winter Game | In a big shock | Wrath & The old man (Tele) crash the party stealing the win from Jake Gittes.... DamienRoc crashed and burned.....

By chasmmi, in Chasmmi's Infamous Box Office Game

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chasmmi Summer Tentpole

chasmmi

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Will answer the Dark Tower question later, gonna do week 1 and 2 answers first...

 

1. Will Jack Reacher open to more than $19M? YES

2. Will Jack Reacher open to more than $22M? 2000 YES

3. Will Madea open to more than $15M? YES

4. Will Madea open to more than $18M? YES

5. Will Ouija open to more than $10M? YES

6. Will Ouija open to more than $12.5M? 3000  YES

 

7. Will Keeping up With the Joneses open to more than $10M? NO

8. Will Keeping up With the Joneses open to more than $12.5M? NO

9. Will Keeping up With the Joneses open to more than Ouija? 2000 NO

10. Will Ouija and Joneses combine to more than Jack Reacher? NO

11. Will the top 3 films all be new entries? 3000 YES

12. Will the Accountant drop less than 48%? YES

13. Will Miss Pereguine pass $77.5M total Domestic? NO

 

14. Will Kevin Hart drop more that 52%?   2000  YES

15. Will Max Steel have a weekend above $2M?  UMM WELL...

16. Will The Handmaiden have a PTA above $6,500? YES

17. Will I'm not Ashamed have a PTA above $8,000? 3000 NO

18. Will Storks still be in the top 11 at the end of the weekend?  YES

19. Will Birth of a Nation stay above Sully?  NO

20. Will Jack Reacher inevitably go back during the course of his film?  INSERT MICHAEL CAINE GIF HERE

 

Bonus:

 

14/20 2000

15/20 3000

16/20 5000

17/20 7000

18/20 10000

19/20 14000

20/20 20000

 

Part 2: Closest predictor wins 5000 points (Added Bonus: If prediction is within 10% win 6000, 5% 7000,  2.5% 9000, 1% 12000)

 

1. Predict Madea's Friday total.   $9.47M

2. Predict Ouija's Sunday PTA   $950

3. Predict the total gross of the 5 highest new openers.  $71.81M

 

 

Part 3: Predict the films that place in the following positions:

 

1. MADEA (THIS WAS SUPPOSED TO BE A WEEK ONE GIMME)

3. OUIJA

6. PEREGRINE

8. HART

11. MAG 7

15. NOT ASHAMED

 

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Wrath Box Office Gold

Wrath

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Posted (edited)
31 minutes ago, chasmmi said:

Will answer the Dark Tower question later, gonna do week 1 and 2 answers first...

 

1. Will Jack Reacher open to more than $19M? YES

2. Will Jack Reacher open to more than $22M? 2000 YES

3. Will Madea open to more than $15M? YES

4. Will Madea open to more than $18M? YES

5. Will Ouija open to more than $10M? YES

6. Will Ouija open to more than $12.5M? 3000  YES

 

7. Will Keeping up With the Joneses open to more than $10M? NO

8. Will Keeping up With the Joneses open to more than $12.5M? NO

9. Will Keeping up With the Joneses open to more than Ouija? 2000 NO

10. Will Ouija and Joneses combine to more than Jack Reacher? NO

11. Will the top 3 films all be new entries? 3000 YES

12. Will the Accountant drop less than 48%? YES

13. Will Miss Pereguine pass $77.5M total Domestic? NO

 

14. Will Kevin Hart drop more that 52%?   2000  YES

15. Will Max Steel have a weekend above $2M?  UMM WELL...

16. Will The Handmaiden have a PTA above $6,500? YES

17. Will I'm not Ashamed have a PTA above $8,000? 3000 NO

18. Will Storks still be in the top 11 at the end of the weekend?  YES

19. Will Birth of a Nation stay above Sully?  NO

20. Will Jack Reacher inevitably go back during the course of his film?  INSERT MICHAEL CAINE GIF HERE

 

Bonus:

 

14/20 2000

15/20 3000

16/20 5000

17/20 7000

18/20 10000

19/20 14000

20/20 20000

 

Part 2: Closest predictor wins 5000 points (Added Bonus: If prediction is within 10% win 6000, 5% 7000,  2.5% 9000, 1% 12000)

 

1. Predict Madea's Friday total.   $9.47M

2. Predict Ouija's Sunday PTA   $3.01M 

3. Predict the total gross of the 5 highest new openers.  $71.81M

 

 

Part 3: Predict the films that place in the following positions:

 

1. MADEA (THIS WAS SUPPOSED TO BE A WEEK ONE GIMME)

3. OUIJA

6. PEREGRINE

8. HART

11. MAG 7

15. NOT ASHAMED

 

Hmm. The gimme was worth 20k, right? Looks like I'd have gotten 61k if I hadn't edited my answers, which is quite a bit. I don't remember exactly all that I changed, but I know that removing Inferno was part of it. I'm pretty sure I replaced it with Hacksaw Ridge so I suspect I'm still going to come out ahead.

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chasmmi Summer Tentpole

chasmmi

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Week 1 answers (names in Red edited after the deadline, so their points will not be scored).

 

* Part 1 scores are huge due to the 20k bonus for getting predictions in on time :) 

 

Name Part 1 Part 2 Part 3 Total
Spaghetti 53000 6000 8000 67000
sakskidz 62000 　 4000 66000
Damienroc 51000 12000 0 63000
Blankments 53000 7000 2000 62000
Wrath   54000 　 8000 62000
Thatoneguy 52000 　 4000 56000
Glassfairy 52000   2000 54000
Darkelf 49000   4000 53000
Chewy 49000 　 4000 53000
Randomjc 51000   0 51000
bcf26 51000   0 51000
WrathofHan 47000   2000 49000
cooleric258 47000   2000 49000
Nutella 45000 　 4000 49000
Dajk 44000   4000 48000
MOvieman89 40000   8000 48000
Kayumanggi 45000   2000 47000
Chasmmi 41000   2000 43000

 

In case anyone is worried, I noticed the Ouija PTA issue as soon as I started marking and so sadly Damienroc's bonus is legit. When I finally leave this window I suspect that 47 people will be quoting and highlighting that marking mistake :D

 

 

 

 

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chasmmi Summer Tentpole

chasmmi

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1. Will Inferno open to more than $25M? NO

2. Will Inferno open to more than $29M? 2000 NO

3. Will Inferno open to more than $32.5M? NO

4. Will Madea stay more than $2.5M ahead of Jack Reacher? YES

5. Will Ouija drop more than 60%? NO

6. Will The accountant cross $60M by the end of the weekend? 3000 YES

 

7. Will Keeping up With the Joneses stay above Storks? YES

8. Will any non-new relaese film increase less than 80% on Friday? NO

9. Will Miss Pereguine increase more than 65% on Saturday? 2000 YES

10. Will Max Steel gross less than $150k this weekend (being pulled form theaters would equate to a gross of $0)? YES

11. Will any film in the top 12 have had a theater increase of more than 25 theaters? 3000    YES

12. Will Kevin Hart stay above Deepwater Horizon?  NO

13. Will Suicide Squad have a higher PTA than Secret Life of Pets?  NO

 

14. Will the top 10 make a combined weekend gross above $82.5M   2000  NO

15. Will Moonlight's PTA stay above $20k?  NO

16. Will Girl on the Train decrease more than 40% on Sunday?   NO

17. Will Mr. Donkey have a PTA above $2,500? YES

18. Will Blair Witch stay above Pete's Dragon? $3000  NO

19. Will any film drop over 800 theatres and finish inside the top 16 this weekend?   YES

20. IS this already the most pointless and dullest weekend this winter will have? LET'S HOPE SO

 

Bonus:

 

14/20 2000

15/20 3000

16/20 5000

17/20 7000

18/20 10000

19/20 14000

20/20 20000

 

Part 2: Closest predictor wins 5000 points (Added Bonus: If prediction is within 10% win 6000, 5% 7000,  2.5% 9000, 1% 12000)

 

1. Predict Ouija's Friday total.   $2.196M

2. Predict Moonlight's PTA    $23,614

3. Predict the OW of Inferno.  $14.86

 

 

Part 3: Predict the films that place in the following positions:

 

3.  JACK REACHER

6.  GIRL ON TRAIN

8.  KEEP UP WITH THOSE JONES PEOPLES

11.  DEEPWATER HORIZON

14. MIDDLE SCHOOL

16. MOONLIGHT

 

3/6 2000 points

4/6 5000 points

5/6 8000 points

6/6 13000 point

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chasmmi Summer Tentpole

chasmmi

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Week 2 scores:

 

Name Part 1 Part 2 Part 3 Total
Wrath   16000 12000 18000 46000
sakskidz 19000 12000 13000 44000
bcf26 15000 12000 13000 40000
Nutella 18000   18000 36000
cooleric258 17000   18000 35000
Kayumanggi 25000   8000 33000
Exxdee 19000   13000 32000
Darkelf 23000   8000 31000
Blankments 17000   13000 30000
Dajk 17000   13000 30000
Greyghost 17000   13000 30000
Spaghetti 21000   8000 29000
Damienroc 14000   13000 27000
Glassfairy 14000   13000 27000
Chasmmi 19000   8000 27000
Thatoneguy 18000   8000 26000
Chewy 15000 5000 4000 24000
WrathofHan 16000   8000 24000
Fancyarcher 23000   0 23000
jj8 14000   2000 16000
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chasmmi Summer Tentpole

chasmmi

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1 hour ago, Wrath said:

Hmm. The gimme was worth 20k, right? Looks like I'd have gotten 61k if I hadn't edited my answers, which is quite a bit. I don't remember exactly all that I changed, but I know that removing Inferno was part of it. I'm pretty sure I replaced it with Hacksaw Ridge so I suspect I'm still going to come out ahead.

 

Thanks for reminding me of that, gonna change those scores now :) 

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chasmmi Summer Tentpole

chasmmi

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Ok as for Black Tower:

 

Preseason Question 21: 

 

If you predicted answer 1 then your prediction is now automatically abstain (Even if the other three outgross 2,3 and 4 alone).

If you predicted 2, 3, or 4 then your answer is still live but it is only a three horse race.

 

 For other potential issues... The FAQ in post (I think 3 or 4) says:

 

Q. The film I predicted in my top 15/7/10/5 got moved out of the release window of the game. What happens to that prediction?

             If the schedule changes before the start of the game, then you are free to change this prediction to a new film. If it happens after the game begins, or you do not notice in time, then it is just hard luck  Points wise you would only score the negative 10,000 for having an incorrect placement and would not lose extra for your gross being 40M more than $0.

 

 

 

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WrathOfHan Cinematic Universe

WrathOfHan

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1 minute ago, chasmmi said:

Ok as for Black Tower:

 

Preseason Question 21: 

 

If you predicted answer 1 then your prediction is now automatically abstain (Even if the other three outgross 2,3 and 4 alone).

If you predicted 2, 3, or 4 then your answer is still live but it is only a three horse race.

 

 For other potential issues... The FAQ in post (I think 3 or 4) says:

 

Q. The film I predicted in my top 15/7/10/5 got moved out of the release window of the game. What happens to that prediction?

             If the schedule changes before the start of the game, then you are free to change this prediction to a new film. If it happens after the game begins, or you do not notice in time, then it is just hard luck  Points wise you would only score the negative 10,000 for having an incorrect placement and would not lose extra for your gross being 40M more than $0.

 

 

 

So I should have kept Jackie then :sadben: 10k isn't too bad at least.

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Wrath Box Office Gold

Wrath

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2 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

Or that. The last spot was a crapshoot. 

 

Yeah, seriously. I feel like the top 5 are pretty much set in stone, and the next ~8 aren't quite that certain but a really high % of people are going to consistently guess mostly the same ones. But the last couple spots are going to all be like (5/24), (6/24), (3/24) and such when they get posted.

 

Edit - Wow. I'm glad I dumped Inferno and all, but Week 1 and 2 might have been my best back-to-back Weekly performances, ever.

Edited by Wrath
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