Top 10 of 2018 predictions: From JAN 1st 2018 to DEC 31st 2018

[YM!]

12 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

Guys just a little piece of information about Battle Angel Alita because I know it's being overlooked. The production budget is excepted to be around $200m, so the advertising will match that.

 

http://www.the-numbers.com/market/2016/top-grossing-movies

 

So only 33 films have had a higher budget.

 

These 33 films made an average of 1.23x the budget as DOM and an average of 3.58x the budget as World Wide Gross.

What do you think for Alita?

[Eevin]

Let's see. Every movie that I see making $100m+ domestically (excluding a lot of the "untitled projects"):

 

1. Avatar 2- $150m/$525m

2. Avengers: Infinity War- $200m/$500m

3. Han Solo- $180m/$450m (if it stays in May)

4. Jurassic World 2- $160m/$425m

5. The Incredibles 2- $125m/$400m

6. Deadpool 2- $120m/$320m

7. Mulan- $90m/$300m

8. Animated Spider-Man- $80m/$280m

9. Black Panther- $100m/$270m

10. Wrinkle in Time- $60m/$250m

 

Grinch- $70m/$240m

Ready Player One- $80m/$225m

Fantastic Beasts 2- $90m/$200m

Ant-Man and the Wasp- $75m/$200m

Mortal Engines- $40m/$180m

Mission: Impossible 6- $60m/$175m

Transformers 6- $75m/$170m

Aquaman- $60m/$160m

Hotel Transylvania 3- $50m/$150m

Mary Poppins Returns- $30m/$150m

Ocean's 8- $45m/$145m

Gigantic- $40m/$130m

Alita: Battle Angel- $40m/$125m

Tomb Raider- $45m/$120m

Scooby-Doo- $40m/$120m

Jungle Book: Origins- $45m/$115m

Bad Boys for Life- $50m/$110m

Pacific Rim: Uprising- $40m/$100m

Holmes and Watson- $30m/$100m

[IronJimbo]

1 minute ago, YourMother said:

What do you think for Alita?

it's extremely hard to say, I want to see a trailer.

Rodrigues is a more than competent director and this is the biggest budget he has been given by a large margin. He has also proven he can work with 3D and CGI/greenscreen effectively (look at Sin City).

 

The cast is pretty strong so it looks like they're going all out.

 

	Mahershala Ali
	Jennifer Connelly
	Christoph Waltz
	Ed Skrein
	Jackie Earle Haley
	Rosa Salazar

 

It's an R rated movie so that's going to hurt it, or perhaps it could pull a deadpool and make the R rated tag part of it's appeal.

 

It's going to have the James Cameron name on it.

It's going to be using to be using the Jimbo's latest technology and his 3D cameras.

 

It's going to have Cameron overseeing it, it's hard to say how much of a role he will play. But this will be the most Cameron has put into a production he didn't direct himself.

 

Here's Cameron wearing an Alita t-shirt on the set of Avatar.

 

I'm going to be optimistic here and go for a massive 320dom and 1000ww

[That One Girl]

This list will be constantly updating as release dates change:

 

1. Han Solo - 190/570

2. Jurassic World 2 - 200/500

3. Avengers: Infinity War - 180/450

4. How the Grinch Stole Christmas - 110/440

5. Incredibles 2 - 121/425

6. Deadpool 2 - 145/365

7. Black Panther - 130/315

8. Ready Player One - 100/300

9. Animated Spider-Man - 60/300

10. Scooby-Doo - 100/290

11. Mortal Engines - 70/290

12. Mulan - 85/237

13. Alita: Battle Angel - 90/234

14. Ant-Man and the Wasp - 80/210

15. Ocean's 8 - 66/200

16. Wreck-it Ralph 2 - 50/200

17. Venom - 80/184

18. Fantastic Beasts 2 - 65/182

19. First Man - 30/180

20. Mission: Impossible 6 - 50/165

21. Aquaman - 45/158

22. Rampage - 60/156

23. Mary Poppins Returns - 20/155

24. Cruella - 45/150

25. Hotel Transylvania 3 - 45/144

26. Gigantic - 35/140

27. Predator - 50/130

28. Halloween - 40/130

29. Peter Rabbit - 35/122

30. The Pact - 40/120

31. X-Men: Supernova - 45/115

32. Jungle Book: Origins - 40/110

33. The New Mutants - 45/108

34. Action Point - 40/100

35. Holmes and Watson - 33/100

36. Bumblebee - 40/96

37. Tomb Raider - 40/90

38. Smallfoot - 25/90

39. Scarface - 20/80

40. Purge 4 - 33/76

41. Fifty Shades Freed - 35/75

42. Invisible Man - 30/72

43. The Nun - 30/70

44. White Boy Rick - 25/75

45. Amusement Park - 20/70

46. Bad Boys for Life - 30/65

47. The Darkest Minds - 25/65

48. Proud Mary - 21/64

49. Skyscraper - 25/63

50. Meg - 25/61

51. Slenderman - 30/60

52. Pacific Rim 2 - 28/60

53. Game Night - 20/60

54. Goosebumps 2 - 15/60

55. Barbie - 19/57

56. Anubis - 17/56

57. Maze Runner: Death Cure - 20/55

58. A Wrinkle in Time - 17/51

59. A Star is Born - 16/50

60. Sherlock Gnomes - 15/46

61. Life of the Party - 18/45

62. Horse Soldiers - 18/43

63. Equalizer 2 - 17/42

64. The Girl in the Spider's Web - 15/39

65. The Commuter - 15/38

66. Robin Hood - 15/30

67. Simon vs. The Homo Sapiens Agenda (which is probably the Greg Berlanti flick) - 10/28

68. Den of Thieves - 12/25

69. A Quiet Place - 10/24

70. Extinction - 10/23

71. God's Not Dead 3 - 7/20

72. Entebbe - 5/12

73. Cadaver - 5/10

Edited April 1, 2017 by That One Guy

[IronJimbo]

13 minutes ago, Eevin said:

Let's see. Every movie that I see making $100m+ domestically (excluding a lot of the "untitled projects"):

 

1. Avatar 2- $150m/$525m

2. Avengers: Infinity War- $200m/$500m

3. Han Solo- $180m/$450m (if it stays in May)

4. Jurassic World 2- $160m/$425m

5. The Incredibles 2- $125m/$400m

6. Deadpool 2- $120m/$320m

7. Mulan- $90m/$300m

8. Animated Spider-Man- $80m/$280m

9. Black Panther- $100m/$270m

10. Wrinkle in Time- $60m/$250m

 

 

doing my list and I have Han Solo making less than Rogue one and deadpool 2 making more than the original.

Could you read my Alita posts and tell me if you've changed your mind! I think 120dom is far too low if you see the effort/money going into the film.

[IronJimbo]

1 minute ago, That One Guy said:

This list will be constantly updating as release dates change:

have a like for respecting Alita, no comment on the other thing..

[YM!]

3 minutes ago, That One Guy said:

This list will be constantly updating as release dates change:

 

1. Han Solo (this is assuming it keeps its current date) - 190/570

2. Jurassic World 2 - 200/500

3. Lion King remake (which is the most likely to be the live action remake scheduled in August) - 160/480

4. Avengers: Infinity War - 180/450

5. Avatar 2 - 90/450

6. How the Grinch Stole Christmas - 110/440

7. Incredibles 2 - 121/425

8. Deadpool 2 - 150/375

9. The Batman (which I assume is the untitled DC film for July 2018) - 150/337

10. Black Panther - 130/325

11. Ready Player One - 100/300

12. Animated Spider-Man - 60/300

13. Scooby-Doo - 100/250

14. Mulan - 85/238

15. Alita: Battle Angel - 90/234

16. Ant-Man and the Wasp - 80/210

17. Mortal Engines - 70/210

18. Ocean's 8 - 66/200

19. Wreck-it Ralph 2 - 50/200

20. Fantastic Beasts 2 - 65/182

21. Mission: Impossible 6 - 50/165

22. Rampage - 60/156

23. New Mutants - 50/150

24. Gigantic - 35/140

25. Mary Poppins Returns - 18/140

26. Aquaman - 60/135

27. Predator - 50/130

28. Halloween - 40/130

29. Hotel Transylvania 3 - 40/125

30. Peter Rabbit - 35/122

31. The Pact - 40/120

32. X-Men: Supernova - 45/113

33. Jungle Book: Origins - 40/110

34. Holmes and Watson - 33/100

35. Bumblebee - 40/96

36. Tomb Raider - 40/90

37. Smallfoot - 25/85

38. Scarface - 20/80

39. Fifty Shades Freed - 35/75

40. Invisible Man (which I assume is coming this year) - 30/68

41. White Boy Rick - 25/75

42. Larrikins - 20/70

43. Bad Boys for Life - 30/65

44. Slenderman - 30/60

45. Pacific Rim 2 - 28/60

46. Game Night - 20/60

47. Goosebumps 2 - 15/60

48. Barbie - 19/57

49. Anubis - 17/56

50. Maze Runner: Death Cure - 20/55

51. Proud Mary - 18/54

52. A Wrinkle in Time - 17/51

53. A Star is Born - 16/50

54. Sherlock Gnomes - 15/46

55. Life of the Party - 18/45

56. Amusement Park - 15/45

57. Equalizer 2 - 17/42

58. Meg - 18/36

59. Robin Hood - 15/30

60. Cadaver - 5/10

I think The Batman is confirmed for 2019 and I think Disney 8/3/17 might be Dumbo. Grinch over $440M, X-Men Supernova under $115M, Bumblebee under $100M, Animated Spider-Man over $300M and S.C.O.O.B over $250M those are bold!

[That One Girl]

6 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

have a like for respecting Alita, no comment on the other thing..

 

It's still number 4/5 and tied with Infinity War, but I think Han Solo, Jurassic World, and Lion King have more going for it at the moment.

[That One Girl]

2 minutes ago, YourMother said:

Grinch over $440M, X-Men Supernova under $115M, Bumblebee under $100M, Animated Spider-Man over $300M and S.C.O.O.B over $250M those are bold!

 

Grinch will have holiday legs and the Illumination brand behind it.  X-Men: Supernova will probably suffer from fatigue assuming it opens in November, which I am expecting (will be released a month after Aquaman, two X-Men films throughout the year already, etc.).  I already expect The Last Knight to only make about 170M, and no one will give a shit about Bumblebee.  Spider-Man will have a lot going for it, which includes benefiting from Spider-Man Homecoming, the additional fanboy crowd, and holiday legs.  Scooby Doo will indefinitely have the nostalgia hype train going for it.

[YM!]

1 minute ago, That One Guy said:

 

Grinch will have holiday legs and the Illumination brand behind it.  X-Men: Supernova will probably suffer from fatigue assuming it opens in November, which I am expecting (will be released a month after Aquaman, two X-Men films throughout the year already, etc.).  I already expect The Last Knight to only make about 170M, and no one will give a shit about Bumblebee.  Spider-Man will have a lot going for it, which includes benefiting from Spider-Man Homecoming, the additional fanboy crowd, and holiday legs.  Scooby Doo will indefinitely have the nostalgia hype train going for it.

You should consider doing clubs for those films when it's time.

[Jonwo]

3 hours ago, YourMother said:

1.) Avatar 2 (if it comes out this year) $120M/$600M

2.) Infinity War $210M/$550M

3.) Incredibles 2 $150M/$505M

4.) Jurassic World 2: The squeakquel $190M/$475M

5.) Han Solo/Deadpool 2 $130M/$375M

6.) Black Panther $350M

7.) Mulan $325M

8.) Grinch/Animated Spider-Man $60M/$280M

9.) Ready Player One $90M/$275M

10.) New Mutants/Fantastic Beasts 2/Mortal Engines $85M/$250M

11.) Aquaman $80M/$230M

12.) Dumbo (might be 8/3/17) $65M/$220M

13.) Ant Man and The Wasp $75M/$210M

14.) Mission Impossible 6/Alita: Battle Angel/Wreck It Ralph 2 $65M/$200M

15.) Hotel Transylvania 3 $55M/$180M

16.) S.C.O.O.B $55M/$175M

17.) Rampage/Wrinkle In Time $55M/$160M

18.) Bumblebee $65M/$150M

19.) Predator $45M/$140M

20.) Larrikins $35M/$130M

21.) The Invisible Man/Robin Hood/The Pact/Watson and Holmes $45M/$120M

22.) Peter Rabbit $35M/$110M

23.) Jungle Book Origins/Goosebumps 2 $30M/$105M

24.) Smallfoot $28M/$90M

25.) Fifty Shades Freed $45M/$90M

26.) Maze Runner: The Death Cure/Pacific Rim 2 $35M/$85M

 

 

I think RPO will be a hit but $90m might be too high, I'm thinking $70-75/$240-250m total. SCOOB I'm not sure myself but I'm thinking $40-45m/$145-150m, Smallfoot I'm thinking the same maybe a tad higher if it move. 

Edited February 13, 2017 by Jonwo

[IronJimbo]

3 minutes ago, YourMother said:

You should consider doing clubs for those films when it's time.

The Avatar under 450 club!

[That One Girl]

This will be the year of original sci-fi doing fantastically.  Expect big numbers from Ready Player One, Alita, and Mortal Engines.

[IronJimbo]

11 minutes ago, That One Guy said:

 

It's still number 4/5 and tied with Infinity War, but I think Han Solo, Jurassic World, and Lion King have more going for it at the moment.

I look forward to a FRIENDLY battle when Avatar is released.

2 minutes ago, That One Guy said:

This will be the year of original sci-fi doing fantastically.  Expect big numbers from Ready Player One, Alita, and Mortal Engines.

not to nitpick but A2 is more original than Alita which is based on the manga. Those 3 films are going to be great.

Edited February 13, 2017 by IronJimbo

[YM!]

2018 will be the rebound year for animation at the box office. Incredibles 2 will do $500M, Grinch should do over $300M (maybe $400M with great reviews not the usual for Illumination), Animated Spider-Man should do around $200M-$300M, Wreck It Ralph 2 should do around $200M-$230M, same with Gigantic (don't get the $40M/$130M predictions), Scoob will do around the $150M but with Lego Movie reviews $200M wouldn't surprise me. Peter Rabbit, Amusement Park, Larrikins, Anubis, and Smallfoot will do around the $75M-$120M range.

[That One Girl]

Just now, YourMother said:

2018 will be the rebound year for animation at the box office. Incredibles 2 will do $500M, Grinch should do over $300M (maybe $400M with great reviews not the usual for Illumination), Animated Spider-Man should do around $200M-$300M, Wreck It Ralph 2 should do around $200M-$230M, same with Gigantic (don't get the $40M/$130M predictions), Scoob will do around the $150M but with Lego Movie reviews $200M wouldn't surprise me. Peter Rabbit, Amusement Park, Larrikins, Anubis, and Smallfoot will do around the $75M-$120M range.

 

Gigantic is destined to get lost in the shuffle.  Opens hot off the heels of Mulan, Grinch, and Fantastic Beasts 2.

[YM!]

1 minute ago, That One Guy said:

 

Gigantic is destined to get lost in the shuffle.  Opens hot off the heels of Mulan, Grinch, and Fantastic Beasts 2.

Still think it should do at least $160M.

[Mango]

I'll do a top five because I can't be assed to look up 2018 releases.

 

1.) Han Solo - $500M

2.) Avengers: Infinity War - $435M

3.) Avatar 2 (if it actually releases) - $385M

4.) The Incredibles II - $350M

5.) Jurassic World 2 - $340M

[IronJimbo]

Honestly I'll delete my account if Han Solo and Avengers: Infinity Wars both make more than Avatar 2 domestically , you can quote me on that.

Edited February 13, 2017 by IronJimbo
edited for clarity

[YM!]

5 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

Honestly I'll delete my account if Han Solo and Avengers: Infinity Wars both make more than Avatar 2 domestically , you can quote me on that.

Should we also expect a total breakdown like Excel had during the opening of Suicide Squad or the mild breakdown of Blankments if it happened?

Edited February 13, 2017 by YourMother