JCS Posted September 6, 2012 Share Posted September 6, 2012 Decent opening in Japan and Brazil.Should do well when it opens this month in the UK too!BOM has OS (including Canada) total at $355.5M but it will be higher by now, anyone know the OS total now? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted September 6, 2012 Share Posted September 6, 2012 It's run in germany is as good as over - made nr. 20 this weekend with 8.294 admissions and a really low PTA. 8.632.855 admissions as of Sunday which is nr.25 on Germany's chart since 1968 - just a few tenthousand behind "Finding Nemo"'s 8.678.707 but it's not going to make it. Still, what a run! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted September 6, 2012 Share Posted September 6, 2012 It's run in germany is as good as over - made nr. 20 this weekend with 8.294 admissions and a really low PTA. 8.632.855 admissions as of Sunday which is nr.25 on Germany's chart since 1968 - just a few tenthousand behind "Finding Nemo"'s 8.678.707 but it's not going to make it. Still, what a run!Incredible run. Could it finally win the year in Germany, at least, in admissions? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lab276 Posted September 6, 2012 Share Posted September 6, 2012 Incredible run. Could it finally win the year in Germany, at least, in admissions? I think it's pretty much locked. The Hobbit probably won't retain enough of the LOTR audience to beat it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted September 6, 2012 Share Posted September 6, 2012 I have to agree, dollar-wise The Hobbit should win but in admissions there's the 3D problem. The LotR-films each had >10 million admissions but with 3D the rewatch-factor will be a lot smaller. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted September 6, 2012 Share Posted September 6, 2012 I think it's pretty much locked. The Hobbit probably won't retain enough of the LOTR audience to beat it.According to Lumiere database, LOTR admissions in Germany were:FOTR: 11,831,850 - http://lumiere.obs.coe.int/web/film_info/?id=17253TTT: 11,148,470 - http://lumiere.obs.coe.int/web/film_info/?id=18679ROTK: 10,430,320 - http://lumiere.obs.coe.int/web/film_info/?id=20301I agree with you. I'm asuming about a 30-35% drop in admissions from LOTR nearly everywhere. I think Hobbit should finish with about 7-8 million admissions. Intouchables is favorite to win the year in admissions. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchumacherFTW Posted September 6, 2012 Share Posted September 6, 2012 Hows this looking in regard to $400m in the end?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted September 6, 2012 Share Posted September 6, 2012 Depends on the few remaining markets (South American mostly) + UK + it still does moderate business in the USA. In Mexico it already looks like a winner and next weekend will show if Brazil can show some legs too but the UK will decide if there's a chance at 400Mil. It's at 364 million US$ atm so it needs about 30mil US-$ from the UK. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchumacherFTW Posted September 6, 2012 Share Posted September 6, 2012 I wouldn't hold my breath for it going that high here, but it should be fairly solid. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rudolf Posted September 6, 2012 Share Posted September 6, 2012 Hows this looking in regard to $400m in the end??I hoped for $30m from Japan . Looks like $10m now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rudolf Posted September 6, 2012 Share Posted September 6, 2012 According to Lumiere database, LOTR admissions in Germany were:FOTR: 11,831,850 - http://lumiere.obs.c..._info/?id=17253TTT: 11,148,470 - http://lumiere.obs.c..._info/?id=18679ROTK: 10,430,320 - http://lumiere.obs.c..._info/?id=20301I agree with you. I'm asuming about a 30-35% drop in admissions from LOTR nearly everywhere. I think Hobbit should finish with about 7-8 million admissions. Intouchables is favorite to win the year in admissions.If they go for a much younger audience,who knows? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCS Posted September 6, 2012 Share Posted September 6, 2012 (edited) It's at 364 million US$ atm so it needs about 30mil US-$ from the UK.It won't need $30M from the UK with all the other markets opening + holdovers as well as the USA. Maybe $15-20M from the UK.I wouldn't hold my breath for it going that high here, but it should be fairly solid.Agreed. It won't be really high here like Germany but it should do well.$400M WW is on the cards for sure. Edited September 6, 2012 by JCS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted September 6, 2012 Share Posted September 6, 2012 If they go for a much younger audience,who knows?I know it, but beyond I would like Hobbit to make enormous numbers, it would be great if a small and wonderful movie like Intouchables wins over the biggest blockbusters in a so big country like Germany Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted September 6, 2012 Share Posted September 6, 2012 Well, Intouchables has already won the year 2011 in France which is a far bigger film market than Germany (though not necessarily for Hollywood I think since in France more than 40% of the market are french films). According to this statistic , in 2011 France had 216 million admissions, Germany 130 million. So winning France means a lot more than winning Germany. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rudolf Posted September 6, 2012 Share Posted September 6, 2012 Well, Intouchables has already won the year 2011 in France which is a far bigger film market than Germany (though not necessarily for Hollywood I think since in France more than 40% of the market are french films). According to this statistic , in 2011 France had 216 million admissions, Germany 130 million. So winning France means a lot more than winning Germany.I agree that winning France is more than winning Germany, but you could argue that winning Japan is even more. A lot of Japanese movies have done that, but have they won another big market? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCS Posted September 6, 2012 Share Posted September 6, 2012 Indeed, the film is French so doing very well in its own market is pretty much a given and expected. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted September 7, 2012 Share Posted September 7, 2012 Ok that's true. Though it wasn't that easy in France either, it had to beat "Rien à déclarer" which - as a kind of sequel to "Bienvenue chez les Ch'tis" was as near to Blockbuster status as a comedy can get, "Tintin" and HP8. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted September 7, 2012 Share Posted September 7, 2012 Well, Intouchables has already won the year 2011 in France which is a far bigger film market than Germany (though not necessarily for Hollywood I think since in France more than 40% of the market are french films). According to this statistic , in 2011 France had 216 million admissions, Germany 130 million. So winning France means a lot more than winning Germany. Of course. The French number is outstanding. It's the same that if in USA a movie could sell about 95 million admissions. But Intouchables is a French movie, and given French people love their own movies, I think what Intouchables has made in Germany has nearly the same merit, if not the same, than what it did in France. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted September 7, 2012 Share Posted September 7, 2012 I agree that winning France is more than winning Germany, but you could argue that winning Japan is even more. A lot of Japanese movies have done that, but have they won another big market?Agreed. In fact, Intouchables is still the main movie in Spain this year too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rudolf Posted September 7, 2012 Share Posted September 7, 2012 Agreed. In fact, Intouchables is still the main movie in Spain this year too.in Austria IA4 has dethroned it Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...