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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

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Posted by Shawn Robbins,

PSA:   As a heads up to everyone, we'll be starting a new thread here very soon. For those who are newer to the forum, we typically have to split threads once they reach 1,000+ pages and are still highly active. In the past, such topics have created database slowdown issues that affect the entire forum.   Rest assured, this thread will be archived when it is locked and a link to the new one will be posted to help you find it easily (it will also be pinned to the top of the box o
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Posted by XXRDJisDoctorDoom,

Yea we're gonna drop all this non tracking stuff. That expressly means you, @excel1. Next post from you that isn't tracking related is a thread ban.    Anyone else continues, it's points. 

We're all tired of the non-tracking related thread derailments. This is your fair warning.

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YM! Global Phenomenon

YM!

Posted
Posted

I feel 6-7M without Early Access would be good for the sequel to get to 60m-70m. It’ll be more frontloaded due to the fanbase and certain characters returning.

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Borobudur Box Office Gold

Borobudur

Posted
Posted
41 minutes ago, BruiseCruise said:

I mean the first one had a 19x IM

With preview getting this early of the day on Thursday and countless early access, it is getting harder and harder to go very far north of 10x nowadays.  

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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted

Doctor Strange 2 Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total 452 3886 11.63%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 392 3590 10.92%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST 4.5HRS TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
2687 2687 35188 7.64% 15 248

 

AMCs sold 1545
Cinemarks sold 482
Regals sold 404
Harkins sold 256

 

The first 6ish hours of Batman sold 1726 tickets. NWH's first 11 hours was 6470 sold.

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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted (edited)

Doctor Strange 2 Megaplex(First 4 hours)

 

Thursday(153 showings): 3245/39041

Batman first 6ish hours: 2196 sold

NWH first 3 hours: 6613 sold

NWH first 11 hours: 9703 sold

 

Friday(271 showings): 1226/68868

Batman first 6ish hours: 610 sold

NWH first 3 hours: 2872 sold

NWH first 11 hours: 4990 sold

 

Saturday(275 showings): 468/69122

Batman first 6ish hours: 255 sold

NWH first 3 hours: 834 sold

NWH first 11 hours: 1706 sold

 

Sunday(260 showings): 82/63892

Batman first 6ish hours: 24 sold

NWH first 3 hours: 159 sold

NWH first 11 hours: 325 sold

Edited by Inceptionzq
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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted

Doctor Strange 2 Drafthouse(First 4 hours)

 

Thursday(196 showings): 8745/28793 ATP: $15.38

Batman first 6ish hours: 4971 sold

NWH first 3 hours: 6909 sold

NWH first 11 hours: 13922 sold

 

Friday(274 showings): 5252/39861 ATP: $15.56

Batman first 6ish hours: 4136 sold

NWH first 3 hours: 3040 sold

NWH first 11 hours: 8502 sold

 

Saturday(280 showings): 4333/40990 ATP: $14.95

Batman first 6ish hours: 3078 sold

NWH first 3 hours: 1342 sold

NWH first 11 hours: 5205 sold

 

Sunday(266 showings): 1313/38948 ATP: $14.29

Batman first 6ish hours: 1129 sold

NWH first 3 hours: 403 sold

NWH first 11 hours: 1794 sold

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XXRDJisDoctorDoom Global Phenomenon

XXRDJisDoctorDoom

Posted
Posted
5 minutes ago, Inceptionzq said:

Doctor Strange 2 Megaplex(First 4 hours)

 

Thursday(153 showings): 3245/39041

Batman first 6ish hours: 2196 sold

NWH first 3 hours: 6613 sold

NWH first 11 hours: 9703 sold

 

Friday(271 showings): 1226/68868

Batman first 6ish hours: 610 sold

NWH first 3 hours: 2872 sold

NWH first 11 hours: 4990 sold

 

Saturday(275 showings): 468/69122

Batman first 6ish hours: 255 sold

NWH first 3 hours: 834 sold

NWH first 11 hours: 1706 sold

 

Sunday(260 showings): 82/63892

Batman first 6ish hours: 24 sold

NWH first 3 hours: 159 sold

NWH first 11 hours: 325 sold


Extrapolating this against The Batman 6 Hours and NWH 3 Hours…

 

VS The Batman 

Previews = $32M

True Friday = $70.4M

Saturday = $79.4M

Sunday = $116.6M

 

VS No Way Home

Previews = $24.5M

True Friday = $30.7M

Saturday = $41.5M

Sunday = $33.1M

 

Do with this what you will.

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charlie Jatinder Global Phenomenon

charlie Jatinder

Posted
Posted
3 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Harkins isn't opening showtimes for me for 2-3 days but checking on ATOM, sales are already good % of NWH full day in 3 locs I checked. 

And... they already crossed Batman first 24 hours 👀

Thanks to @Menor Reborn for developing a scrapper for the chain and saving me hours of tabs shuffling & data entry.

 

In around ~3.5-4 hours around 8k seats sold in Harkins as compared to 29k full day of NWH & 3.9k full day of Batman.

 

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BruiseCruise Box Office Gold

BruiseCruise

Posted
Posted
6 minutes ago, KnucklesXXR said:


Extrapolating this against The Batman 6 Hours and NWH 3 Hours…

 

VS The Batman 

Previews = $32M

True Friday = $70.4M

Saturday = $79.4M

Sunday = $116.6M

 

VS No Way Home

Previews = $24.5M

True Friday = $30.7M

Saturday = $41.5M

Sunday = $33.1M

 

Do with this what you will.

$214.1m OW

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katnisscinnaplex Box Office Gold

katnisscinnaplex

Posted
Posted
On 4/5/2022 at 12:00 PM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Santikos Tracking

 

Format

 

Day Movie Format Shows New Sls Sold True Cap % Sold ATP Gross
T-1 Sonic 2 (EA) PLF 3 554 554 822 67.40% $14.80 $8,197.36
    Standard 1 83 83 231 35.93% $15.16 $1,258.28
  Sonic 2 (EA) Total   4 637 637 1,053 60.49% $14.84 $9,455.64
T-2 Ambulance PLF 4 4 4 992 0.40% $15.16 $60.64
    Standard 14 4 6 1,463 0.41% $10.51 $63.04
  Ambulance Total   18 8 10 2,455 0.41% $12.37 $123.68
T-2 Sonic 2 PLF 15 116 460 4,362 10.55% $14.28 $6,567.20
    Standard 44 142 545 6,803 8.01% $10.52 $5,734.14
  Sonic 2 Total   59 258 1,005 11,165 9.00% $12.24 $12,301.34
T-9 FB3 PLF 22 37 355 5,844 6.07% $14.73 $5,228.81
    Standard 33 28 168 4,266 3.94% $11.16 $1,874.67
  FB3 Total   55 65 523 10,110 5.17% $13.58 $7,103.48

 

Matinee

 

Day Movie Mat Shows New Sls Sold True Cap % Sold ATP Gross
T-2 Sonic 2 N 40 214 809 7,677 10.54% $12.74 $10,307.73
    Y 19 44 196 3,488 5.62% $10.17 $1,993.61
  Sonic 2 Total   59 258 1,005 11,165 9.00% $12.24 $12,301.34
T-9 FB3 N 38 66 479 7,094 6.75% $13.87 $6,644.22
    Y 17 -1 44 3,016 1.46% $10.44 $459.26
  FB3 Total   55 65 523 10,110 5.17% $13.58

$7,103.48

 

Early access looking really good for Sonic.  Morbius was at 1,137 preview sales at this point; thinking Sonic will pass it when all is said and done.  I didn't start Morbius until T-3 (942), but I would think FB3 is likely ahead of it as well.

 

Santikos Tracking

 

Format

 

Day Movie Format Shows New Sls Sold True Cap % Sold ATP Gross
T-0 Sonic 2 (EA) PLF 3 86 640 822 77.86% $14.77 $9,450.80
    Standard 1 96 179 231 77.49% $15.16 $2,713.64
  Sonic 2 (EA) Total   4 182 819 1,053 77.78% $14.85 $12,164.44
T-1 Ambulance PLF 4 0 4 992 0.40% $15.16 $60.64
    Standard 16 0 6 2,173 0.28% $10.51 $63.04
  Ambulance Total   20 0 10 3,165 0.32% $12.37 $123.68
T-1 Sonic 2 PLF 15 215 675 4,362 15.47% $14.21 $9,592.93
    Standard 49 303 848 7,080 11.98% $10.46 $8,872.92
  Sonic 2 Total   64 518 1,523 11,442 13.31% $12.12 $18,465.85
T-29 Doctor Strange 2 PLF 58 3,525 3,525 11,808 29.85% $16.16 $56,968.43
    Standard 100 1,719 1,719 12,822 13.41% $12.33 $21,196.66
  DS2 Total   158 5,244 5,244 24,630 21.29% $14.91 $78,165.09
T-8 FB3 PLF 25 38 393 6,066 6.48% $14.74 $5,791.28
    Standard 44 25 193 5,971 3.23% $11.32 $2,185.55
  FB3 Total   69 63 586 12,037 4.87% $13.61 $7,976.83

 

Matinee

 

Day Movie Mat Shows New Sls Sold True Cap % Sold ATP Gross
T-1 Sonic 2 N 44 404 1,213 7,891 15.37% $12.64 $15,336.84
    Y 20 114 310 3,551 8.73% $10.09 $3,129.01
  Sonic 2 Total   64 518 1,523 11,442 13.31% $12.12 $18,465.85
T-29 Doctor Strange 2 N 116 4,599 4,599 17,847 25.77% $15.32 $70,443.68
    Y 42 645 645 6,783 9.51% $11.97 $7,721.41
  DS2 Total   158 5,244 5,244 24,630 21.29% $14.91 $78,165.09
T-8 FB3 N 49 61 540 8,301 6.51% $13.89 $7,502.41
    Y 20 2 46 3,736 1.23% $10.31 $474.42
  FB3 Total   69 63 586 12,037 4.87% $13.61 $7,976.83

 

Sonic 2 T-1 comps (Thu only)

 - Morbius - 1.068x (6.09m)

 - NWH - .08x (4m)

 - Batman - .25x (4.45m)

 

Sonic 2 T-1 comps (Incl EA)

 - Morbius - 1.64x (9.36m)

 - NWH - .123x (6.16m)

 - Batman - .36x (7.81m)

 

It's a bit tricky when factoring in EA shows against comps.  Batman only had 1 EA show (Tuesday), and the others didn't have any.  Sonic, however, has 4 shows and is pulling audiences from 4 of the 10 locations.  While that is a much bigger impact on this chain, it won't be like that nationwide.  Those 4 shows are accounting for 819 tickets sold though and that heavily impacts the comps as you can see.  

 

FB3 T-8 comp

 - NWH - .038x (1.9m)

 (NWH won't be much help here, so we'll have to wait for other comps to kick in.)

 

DS2 comp

 - NWH (15 hr) - .44x (21.98m)

 - Batman (19 hr) - 2.86x (50.3m)

 

I started the DS2 run 3 1/2 hours after tickets went on sale.  Doubt I'll be able to do a comparable run tonight but starting with really good pace.

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katnisscinnaplex Box Office Gold

katnisscinnaplex

Posted
Posted
23 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

I just refreshed after noticing that three more of my tracked theaters had put up listings.  Up to 15,730 in 1,299 theaters and it officially passed Shang-Chi final show count.

Good time for an update now that most places have put up their initial slates.  I'm seeing 22,417 shows in 1,840 theaters at this point.

 

IMAX - 768

3D - 3,993

IMAX 3D - 128

Dolby - 453

D-Box - 470

XD - 404

 

Time Shows %
3:00 1,623 7.24%
3:01-3:59 1,807 8.06%
4:00-4:59 2,871 12.81%
5:00-5:59 2,066 9.22%
6:00-6:59 3,179 14.18%
7:00-7:59 3,137 13.99%
8:00-8:59 2,153 9.60%
9:00-9:59 2,525 11.26%
10:00-10:59 2,166 9.66%
11:00-11:59 700 3.12%
12am+ 190 0.85%

 

 

*This wasn't in the quoted message, but for comparison...

 

For reference though, here's where other CBM finished:

Black Widow - 23,129 (3,109 TC)

Shang-Chi - 15,697 (3,026)

Venom 2 - 21,288 (3,024)

Eternals - 14,155 (3,086)

Spider-Man - 40,351 (3,270)

Batman - 30,665 (3,334)

Morbius - 17,516 (3,086)

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Menor the Destroyer Summer Tentpole

Menor the Destroyer

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, Inceptionzq said:

Doctor Strange 2 Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total 452 3886 11.63%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 392 3590 10.92%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST 4.5HRS TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
2687 2687 35188 7.64% 15 248

 

AMCs sold 1545
Cinemarks sold 482
Regals sold 404
Harkins sold 256

 

The first 6ish hours of Batman sold 1726 tickets. NWH's first 11 hours was 6470 sold.

Was that including Batman Early Access?

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