The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[ZackM]

 

Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-5 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	35	24	0	49	185
Seats Added	2,235	4,102	0	4,615	16,148
Seats Sold	11,275	12,346	12,413	11,086	10,485
4/30/2022	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	430	7,483	376,990	1,222,930	30.83%
% of Seats Sold	Sellouts	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	7	66	345	869	1,527
ATP
$16.48

 

T-5 Comps:

1.66x - The Batman ($35.7M)

0.61x - Spider-Man: No Way Home ($30.4M)

 

 

T-5 ATP Weighted Comps:

1.47x - The Batman ($31.8M)

0.68x - Spider-Man: No Way Home ($34.2M)

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

To coalesce @ZackM's last few tracks....

 

T-7 Comps:

1.66x - The Batman ($35.9M)

0.60x - Spider-Man: No Way Home ($29.9M)

 

T-7 ATP Weighted Comps:

1.48x - The Batman ($31.9M)

0.67x - Spider-Man: No Way Home ($33.5M)

 

-------------------------------------------------

 

T-6 Comps:

1.66x - The Batman ($35.9M)

0.60x - Spider-Man: No Way Home ($30.2M)

 

T-6 ATP Weighted Comps:

1.48x - The Batman ($31.9M)

0.68x - Spider-Man: No Way Home ($34.0M)

 

------------------------------------------------

T-5 Comps:

1.66x - The Batman ($35.7M)

0.61x - Spider-Man: No Way Home ($30.4M)

 

T-5 ATP Weighted Comps:

1.47x - The Batman ($31.8M)

0.68x - Spider-Man: No Way Home ($34.2M)

 

 

Edited May 1, 2022 by MultiverseXXR

[Eric Prime]

12 hours ago, Eric is a furry said:

Doctor Strange 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-6 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	245	12372	46437	26.64%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 539

 

Comp

0.651x of Spider-Man: No Way Home T-6 (32.55M)

1.998x of The Batman T-6 (43.15M)

Doctor Strange 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-5 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	245	12669	46437	27.28%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 297

 

Comp

0.645x of Spider-Man: No Way Home T-5 (32.23M)

1.945x of The Batman T-5 (42.01M)

[Eric Prime]

11 hours ago, Eric is a furry said:

Jurassic World: Dominion Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-41 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	130	778	23332	3.33%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 243

 

Comp

1.809x of F9's First Two Days of Sales (12.85M)

0.821x of Black Widow's First Two Days (10.84M)

1.102x of Shang-Chi's First Two Days (9.7M)

2.585x of Venom 2's First Two Days (29.98M)

0.842x of Eternals' First Two Days (8M)

Jurassic World: Dominion Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-40 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	130	820	23332	3.51%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 42

 

Comp

1.666x of F9's First Three Days of Sales (11.83M)

0.776x of Black Widow's First Three Days (10.24M)

0.989x of Shang-Chi's First Three Days (8.7M)

2.343x of Venom 2's First Three Days (27.18M)

0.819x of Eternals' First Three Days (7.78M)

[Tokugennumataka]

Are we expecting a good growth in showtimes for DS2 this week? Looks like there's still demand to be met. 

[Porthos]

16 minutes ago, Tokugennumataka said:

Are we expecting a good growth in showtimes for DS2 this week? Looks like there's still demand to be met. 

 

 

6 hours ago, EmpireCity said:

Wait until you see the avalanche of new showtimes hit on Monday.  That 126 minute run time is going to be huge for fitting a lot of extra shows in vs. Spider-Man and The Batman.  

 

Going to be a fun week.  

 

[Porthos]

On 4/29/2022 at 11:50 PM, Porthos said:

 

Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-6 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	353	29617	42680	13063	30.61%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

506

 

T-6 Comps - SOME COMPS BETTER THAN OTHERS EDITION

	%		Sold T-6	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
NWH:	67.92		559	19233		1/325	19887/39120	49.16%		28183	46.35%		33.96m
Batsy:	241.82		220	5402		0/297	31388/36790	14.68%		11757	111.11%		52.23m

PRE-SALE NOTE: Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness tickets have been on sale for twelve more days than No Way Home's tickets had been on sale at this point in pre-sales, and eight more days than The Batman's main showings had been on sale.

 

Multiverse of Madness has sold...

	Final Sold	% of Final	Est Gross
BW:	9196	142.05%	19.63
SC:	5847	223.41%	19.66
LTBC:	7712	169.39%	19.65
ET:	6409	203.82%	19.36
NWH:	28183	46.35%	23.18
Batsy:	11757	111.11%	24.00

 

Regal:     2905/11027  [26.34% sold]
Matinee:    887/4632  [19.15% | 6.79% of all tickets sold]

 

===

 

Nothing_Stops_This_Train_DOT_GIF

 

Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-5 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	353	29171	42680	13509	31.65%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

446

 

T-5 Comps - SOME COMPS BETTER THAN OTHERS EDITION

	%		Sold T-5	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
NWH:	68.41		515	19748		1/325	19372/39120	50.48%		28183	47.93%		34.20m
Batsy:	238.97		251	5653		0/297	31137/36790	15.37%		11757	114.90%		51.62m

PRE-SALE NOTE: Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness tickets have been on sale for twelve more days than No Way Home's tickets had been on sale at this point in pre-sales, and eight more days than The Batman's main showings had been on sale.

 

Multiverse of Madness has sold...

	Final Sold	% of Final	Est Gross
BW:	9196	146.90%	20.30
SC:	5847	231.04%	20.33
LTBC:	7712	175.17%	20.32
ET:	6409	210.78%	20.02
NWH:	28183	47.93%	23.97
Batsy:	11757	114.90%	24.82

 

Regal:     3028/11027  [27.46% sold]
Matinee:    933/4632  [20.14% | 6.91% of all tickets sold]

[Porthos]

On 4/29/2022 at 11:51 PM, Porthos said:

 

Jurassic World Dominion Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-41 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	158	21395	22332	937	4.20%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

222

 

Day 2 Comps

	%		Sold Day 2	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
F9:	198.94		78	471		0/92	13512/13983	3.37%		4407	20.97%		14.79m
GBA:	377.82		49	248		0/108	16447/16695	1.49%		3034	30.88%		17.00m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Jurassic World Dominion's current tickets sold versus that final number.

COMP NOTE: The F9 comp has been adjusted to reflect the absence of Ontario theaters in the DOM market during F9's pre-sale run (what would normally be the comp/0.955).

 

***EXTREMELY UNOFFICIAL COMP***
JW3 = 1.02581x JW2 at the same sources of tracking on Day 2 [14.13m adj]
JW3 = 2.38323x KotM at the same sources of tracking on Day 2 [13.51m adj]

NOTE: Comp has been adjusted downward by 10% to account for differences in comping in Sacto from 2018/19 to 2022.

Regal:     132/5932  [2.23% sold]
Matinee:    45/1537  [2.93% | 4.80% of all tickets sold]

 

===

 

Every single comp went up, and this is before the extra three weeks (or so) of pre-sales enters the picture.  Very nice start indeed.  This keeps up and I might climb aboard that 20m preview train I've seen boarding at the station.

 

PROGRAMMING NOTE:  Comps will be leaving the picture either tomorrow or Sunday, depending on mood.  Might decide to do a percentage of final of a couple of similar movies, though I'm not sure which ones yet.  Or might just "fly blind" for a while.  Suggestions welcome, though I don't promise to act on them.

 

Jurassic World Dominion Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-40 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	163	21792	22825	1033	4.53%

 

Total Net Showings Added Today	5
Total Net Seats Added Today	493
Total Seats Sold Today	96

 

Day 3 Comps

	%		Sold Day 3	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
F9:	188.16		78	549		0/92	13434/13983	3.93%		4407	22.67%		13.99m
GBA:	375.64		27	275		0/108	16420/16695	1.65%		3034	34.05%		16.90m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Jurassic World Dominion's current tickets sold versus that final number.

COMP NOTE: The F9 comp has been adjusted to reflect the absence of Ontario theaters in the DOM market during F9's pre-sale run (what would normally be the comp/0.955).

 

***EXTREMELY UNOFFICIAL COMP***
JW3 = 1.00344x JW2 at the same sources of tracking on Day 3 [13.82m adj]
JW3 = 2.35215x KotM at the same sources of tracking on Day 3 [13.34m adj]

NOTE: Comp has been adjusted downward by 10% to account for differences in comping in Sacto from 2018/19 to 2022.

Regal:     153/5924  [2.58% sold]
Matinee:    50/1537  [3.25% | 4.84% of all tickets sold]

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Doctor Strange 2 Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total

1830

3886

47.09%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

1423

3859

36.87%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
9571	367	41737	22.93%	15	291

 

AMCs sold	5443
Cinemarks sold	1652
Regals sold	1433
Harkins sold	1043

 

2.00x Batman T-5 (43.11M)

0.627x NWH T-5 (31.35M)

 

1.10x Batman Final (23.86M)

0.413x NWH Final (20.66M)

Doctor Strange 2 Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total

1880

3886

48.38%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

1473

3859

38.17%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
9992	421	41862	23.87%	15	291

 

AMCs sold	5627
Cinemarks sold	1744
Regals sold	1521
Harkins sold	1100

 

1.98x Batman T-4 (42.77M)

0.637x NWH T-4 (31.87M)

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Doctor Strange 2 Megaplex

 

T-5 Thursday(192 showings): 10957(+428)/47249

1.98x Batman T-5 (42.74M)

0.516x NWH T-5 (25.82M)

 

1.02x Batman Final (22.07M)

0.334x NWH Final (16.71M)

 

T-6 Friday(289 showings): 7099(+468)/73523

2.32x Batman T-6 (81.22M)

0.434x NWH T-6 (31.19M)

 

0.648x Batman Final (22.69M)

0.230x NWH Final (16.52M)

 

T-7 Saturday(292 showings): 4372(+410)/72730

2.62x Batman T-7 (113.53M)

0.429x NWH T-7 (31.73M)

 

0.399x Batman Final (17.24M)

0.145x NWH Final (10.74M)

 

T-8 Sunday(265 showings): 1125(+94)/67700

2.83x Batman T-8 (96.50M)

0.469x NWH T-8 (30.08M)

Doctor Strange 2 Megaplex

 

T-4 Thursday(192 showings): 11668(+711)/47249

2.01x Batman T-4 (43.48M)

0.534x NWH T-4 (26.72M)

 

T-5 Friday(289 showings): 7791(+692)/73523

2.28x Batman T-5 (79.66M)

0.456x NWH T-5 (32.80M)

 

T-6 Saturday(292 showings): 4864(+492)/72730

2.57x Batman T-6 (111.10M)

0.446x NWH T-6 (32.95M)

 

T-7 Sunday(265 showings): 1301(+176)/67700

2.87x Batman T-7 (98.05M)

0.494x NWH T-7 (31.68M)

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Doctor Strange 2 Drafthouse

 

T-5 Thursday(248 showings): 21019(+664)/35172 ATP: $15.21

1.74x Batman T-5 (37.57M)

0.767x NWH T-5 (38.37M)

 

0.985x Batman Final (21.27M)

0.542x NWH Final (27.08M)

 

T-6 Friday(305 showings): 19420(+901)/44535 ATP: $15.03

1.55x Batman T-6 (54.32M)

0.759x NWH T-6 (54.63M)

 

0.671x Batman Final (23.50M)

0.455x NWH Final (32.74M)

 

T-7 Saturday(312 showings): 20466(+1276)/45729 ATP: $14.47

1.58x Batman T-7 (68.34M)

0.795x NWH T-7 (58.79M)

 

0.589x Batman Final (25.47M)

0.407x NWH Final (30.07M)

 

T-8 Sunday(284 showings): 11130(+814)/41859 ATP: $14.27

1.84x Batman T-8 (62.85M)

0.777x NWH T-8 (49.86M)

Doctor Strange 2 Drafthouse

 

T-4 Thursday(248 showings): 21918(+899)/35172 ATP: $15.20

1.71x Batman T-4 (37.01M)

0.786x NWH T-4 (39.28M)

 

T-5 Friday(305 showings): 20498(+1078)/44535 ATP: $14.99

1.52x Batman T-5 (53.06M)

0.782x NWH T-5 (56.22M)

 

T-6 Saturday(312 showings): 21873(+1407)/45729 ATP: $14.45

1.54x Batman T-6 (66.44M)

0.819x NWH T-6 (60.51M)

 

T-7 Sunday(284 showings): 12428(+1298)/41859 ATP: $14.25

1.80x Batman T-7 (61.32M)

0.818x NWH T-7 (52.53M)

[ThomasNicole]

At this point looks like 35M previews is definitely happening, it's hard seeing missing 200M OW 

 

Let's hope for some great reviews giving it more push

[BruiseCruise]

Sunday for DS2 should be deflated by Mothers day?

[Cooper Legion]

9 minutes ago, BruiseCruise said:

Sunday for DS2 should be deflated by Mothers day?

Probably mostly unaffected

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

38 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said:

At this point looks like 35M previews is definitely happening, it's hard seeing missing 200M OW 

 

Let's hope for some great reviews giving it more push

 

$35M previews SHOULD get us over $200M but I'd be more comfortable at $37M+. I'm thinking 5.6-5.9x IM off of whatever previews brings us. Still a big range at this point ($185-235M).

[ZackM]

 

Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-4 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	6	35	24	0	49
Seats Added	1,591	2,235	4,102	0	4,615
Seats Sold	19,401	11,275	12,346	12,413	11,086
5/1/2022	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	430	7,489	396,391	1,224,521	32.37%
% of Seats Sold	Sellouts	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	7	73	388	950	1,635
ATP
$16.42

 

T-4 Comps:

1.66x - The Batman ($35.8M)

0.62x - Spider-Man: No Way Home ($31.1M)

 

 

T-4 ATP Weighted Comps:

1.48x - The Batman ($32.0M)

0.70x - Spider-Man: No Way Home ($34.9M)

[druv10]

10 minutes ago, ZackM said:

 

Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-4 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	6	35	24	0	49
Seats Added	1,591	2,235	4,102	0	4,615
Seats Sold	19,401	11,275	12,346	12,413	11,086
5/1/2022	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	430	7,489	396,391	1,224,521	32.37%
% of Seats Sold	Sellouts	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	7	73	388	950	1,635
ATP
$16.42

 

T-4 Comps:

1.66x - The Batman ($35.8M)

0.62x - Spider-Man: No Way Home ($31.1M)

 

 

T-4 ATP Weighted Comps:

1.48x - The Batman ($32.0M)

0.70x - Spider-Man: No Way Home ($34.9M)

Damn, Ramp up has begun!!! Looking good for high 30s.

[ZackM]

Now that I'm getting apples-to-apples data, I'm going to see if I can maintain a comp trend chart for big releases.  Here's the first one for Dr. Strange:

 

Dr. Strange in the Multiverse of Madness Comps
	Spider-Man: No Way Home		The Batman
	Unweighted	Weighted	Unweighted	Weighted
D0	-	-	-	-
T-0	-	-	-	-
T-1	-	-	-	-
T-2	-	-	-	-
T-3	-	-	-	-
T-4	$31.1	$34.9	$35.8	$32.0
T-5	$30.4	$34.2	$35.7	$31.8
T-6	$30.2	$34.0	$35.9	$31.9
T-7	$29.9	$33.5	$35.9	$31.9
T-8	$29.5	$33.0	$35.5	$31.5

[Eric Prime]

On 5/1/2022 at 12:27 AM, Eric is a furry said:

Doctor Strange 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-5 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	245	12669	46437	27.28%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 297

 

Comp

0.645x of Spider-Man: No Way Home T-5 (32.23M)

1.945x of The Batman T-5 (42.01M)

Doctor Strange 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-4 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	245	13420	46437	28.90%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 751

 

Comp

0.659x of Spider-Man: No Way Home T-4 (32.94M)

1.936x of The Batman T-4 (41.82M)

[Eric Prime]

On 5/1/2022 at 12:35 AM, Eric is a furry said:

Jurassic World: Dominion Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-40 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	130	820	23332	3.51%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 42

 

Comp

1.666x of F9's First Three Days of Sales (11.83M)

0.776x of Black Widow's First Three Days (10.24M)

0.989x of Shang-Chi's First Three Days (8.7M)

2.343x of Venom 2's First Three Days (27.18M)

0.819x of Eternals' First Three Days (7.78M)

Jurassic World: Dominion Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-39 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	130	871	23332	3.73%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 51