BO Germany/Austria: Dune first 2024 blockbuster (3mil admissions)

[Issac Newton]

Austria WKend

 

1. Ticket to Paradise - €331,169 / €389,284

2. Chase - €90,151 / €102,897

3. Minions 2 - €84,857 / €4,771,536

4. Guglhupfgeschwader - €66,046 / €2,781,401

 

Misc.

⚪ Top Gun Maverick - €57,411 / €6,446,692

⚪ After Forever - €48,394 / €793,842

⚪ Bullet Train - €47,177 / €1,132,350

[Aristis]

1st Trend

 

#1 Ticket to Paradise 150k (-21%/-34% i.P.) 440k

#2 Avatar RR 110k

#3 Don't worry darling 75k

#4 Minions 2 60k (-20%) 3,877M

#5 Crawdads 45k (-26%) 625k

Edited September 23, 2022 by Aristis

[Aristis]

On 9/16/2022 at 9:35 PM, Aristis said:

Thursday

 

#1 Ticket to Paradise 22k

#2 Crawdads 8,3k (-35%) 

#3 Moonage Daydream 4,8k

#4 After Ever Happy 4,7k (-57%) 

#5 Chase 4,3k

Thursday

 

#1 Ticket to paradise 17,5k (-20%) [€160k]

#2 Avatar RR 15k [€175k]

#3 Don't worry darling 13k [€110k]

#4 Crawdads 6k (-28%) [€55k]

#5 Mittagsstunde 4,15k [€40k]

 

The TP for Avatar actually seems quite low with 11,65€. I would have thought it'd land above 13€ with how expensive Tickets are at my theatre.

 

[Taruseth]

8 hours ago, Aristis said:

Thursday

 

#1 Ticket to paradise 17,5k (-20%) [€160k]

#2 Avatar RR 15k [€175k]

#3 Don't worry darling 13k [€110k]

#4 Crawdads 6k (-28%) [€55k]

#5 Mittagsstunde 4,15k [€40k]

 

The TP for Avatar actually seems quite low with 11,65€. I would have thought it'd land above 13€ with how expensive Tickets are at my theatre.

 

Yeah 16€ during the weekend (though the Cinestar card helps a lot). Insane.

[el sid]

The final trend (almost no changes):

#1 Ticket to Paradise 150k
#2 Avatar RR 110k
#3 Don't Worry Darling 70k
#4 Minions 2 60k
#5 Crawdads 45k
#6 Mittagsstunde 42.5k
#7 Super-Pets 30k
#8 Top Gun Maverick 25k
#9 Chase 25k
#10 Die Känguru-Verschwörung 25k

[altglascontainer]

Monday-Trend:

Ticket to Paradise 142,5T

Avatar RR 112,5T

Don't Worry Darling 70T

Minions 2 55T

Cawdads 45T

Mittagsstunde 45T

 

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top20 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total adm.	total €	drop	week
1	Ticket to Paradise	144.317	651	222	437.591	4.074.618	-24	2
2	Avatar	111.332	365	305	112.700	1.344.565	-	1
3	Don't Worry Darling	69.093	354	195	70.043	642.583	-	1
4	Minions 2	55.547	625	89	3.873.275	33.200.199	-26	13
5	Where the Crawdads Sing	45.706	682	67	625.461	5.638.351	-26	6
6	Mittagsstunde	35.322	169	209	43.304	379.595	-	1
7	DC League of Super-Pets	30.237	467	65	643.687	4.621.552	-28	9
8	Känguru 2	25.579	516	50	458.011	3.729.246	-41	5
9	Top Gun 2	24.982	358	70	3.568.409	36.171.372	-32	18
10	Orphan 2	24.012	252	95	152.248	1.140.645	-27	3
11	Chase	23.816	383	62	96.628	769.238	-35	2
12	Bullet Train	23.120	267	87	682.549	6.447.530	-26	8
13	Guglhupfgeschwader	20.794	347	60	1.288.211	11.439.925	-41	8
14	After Ever Happy	20.467	441	46	591.228	5.100.044	-46	5
15	Bibi & Tina	18.343	440	42	676.174	4.803.756	-34	10
16	Mein Lotta-Leben	16.010	476	34	203.231	1.377.304	-32	6
17	Jeepers Creepers Reborn	14.533	225	65	44.894	403.784	-42	2
18	Lieber Kurt	13.477	402	34	65.946	567.224	-50	2
19	Freibad	10.814	273	40	132.960	1.107.979	-42	4
20	Alle für Ella	10.207	480	21	78.243	519.555	-38	3

The good news this weekend were the good hold for Ticket to Paradise, and the fact that all releases on the chart were>10k admissions. Good opening for local drama Mittagsstunde which managed a fine PTA! However, with weather being very movie-friendly atm, the overall numbers are still disappointing, no blockbuster in sight. In Austria, similar results but most releases a bit higher (Ticket to Paradise is already well past 60k here).

Next weekend: Finally some bigger openers again: A new horror release with Smile, domestic journalism drama Tausend Zeilen, and a new #1 with the Die Schule der magischen Tiere 2 - a domestic children's book adaption; the first one did really well and a result between 1,5 and 2mil total seems realistic.

[Issac Newton]

Germany WKend (Additional Numbers)

 

⚪ No Way Home - €42,424 / €46,410,300

⚪ Dragon Ball Super: Super Hero - €10,322 / €1,521,460

⚪ Brahmastra - €5,017 / €116,011

⚪ Wheel of Fortune and Fantasy - €1,945 / €51,226

⚪ Moneyboys - €1,922 / €21,688

⚪ The Deer King - €338 / €57,702

[Issac Newton]

Austria WKend

 

#1. Ticket to Paradise - €227,663 / €741,189

#2. Avatar (RE) - €145,025 / €183,410

#3. Don't Worry Darling - €81,114 / €103,775

#4. Chase - €57,873 / €185,192

#5. Minions 2 - €55,431 / €4,834,747

 

Misc.

⚪ Guglhupfgeschwader - €34,404 / €2,828,752

⚪ Top Gun Maverick - €32,787 / €6,492,918

[WayneBorg]

Can Minions 2 reach 4m admits in Germany?

And if so, its multiplier would be almost x9 from OW correct? Better than Minions 1's x6 multi.

Would be interested in the top 10 multis for animated films in Germany..

[IndustriousAngel]

12 minutes ago, WayneBorg said:

Can Minions 2 reach 4m admits in Germany?

And if so, its multiplier would be almost x9 from OW correct? Better than Minions 1's x6 multi.

Would be interested in the top 10 multis for animated films in Germany..

In Austria, Minions could reach 550k total from a 56k OW (but OW in Austria is 3day, compared to Germany's 4day)

[IndustriousAngel]

Early weekend estimates from insidekino.de, and there's a good weekend coming it seems; good openers AND good holds!

#1: Schule der magischen Tiere 2 - 250-400k admissions (opening higher than #1 which was to be expected)

#2: Ticket to Paradise - 150k (+4%, super)

#3: Smile - 110k incl previews (might still be 6-digit for Thu-Sun)

#4: Avatar - 85k (-24%)

#5: Tausend Zeilen - 80k, a bit disappointing but I didn't see much potential for this journalism drama; the real life story behind it wasn't that big or popular - as a comparison, the movie Schtonk made it to >2mil total in 1992 but that was about the infamous forged "Hitler diaries", an extremely popular scandal in its time.

[Aristis]

On 9/23/2022 at 8:25 AM, Aristis said:

Thursday

 

#1 Ticket to paradise 17,5k (-20%) [€160k]

#2 Avatar RR 15k [€175k]

#3 Don't worry darling 13k [€110k]

#4 Crawdads 6k (-28%) [€55k]

#5 Mittagsstunde 4,15k [€40k]

Thursday

 

#1 Schule der magischen Tiere 2 22k [€160k]

#2 Ticket to paradise 16k (-9%) [€145k]

#3 Smile 10,5k [€90k]

#4 Avatar RR 8,5k (-43%) [€95k]

#5 Don't worry darling 8k (-38%) [€70k]

#6 Tausend Zeilen 8k [€70k]

 

Schule der magischen Tiere 1 opened with 50k but that seems to have been during the holidays so they're not really comparable (as that one only had a x5 multipler for around 250k WE). With a holiday on Monday this WE should (as seen with the 1st Trend) have some nice internal multiplers. 

[Aristis]

2nd Trend

 

#1 Schule der magischen Tiere 2 300-450k

#2 Ticket to Paradise 140k (-3%) 630k

#3 Smile 110k i.P

#4 Avatar RR 90k (-20%) 235k

#5 Tausend Zeilen 60k

#6 Don't worry darling 60k (-14%) 155k

#7 Minions 40k (-29%) ~3,92M

 

So Avatar should stay at around 11,54M total admissions after this WE... 

Edited October 1, 2022 by Aristis

[IndustriousAngel]

Final weekend estimates from insidekino.de now have 360-425k for SdmT2, that's an excellent number, a big increase from the first one. While increases like this are quite common for popular teenie "franchises", this one's aimed at younger children, meaning 95% of the tickets are bought by the parents, which usually leads to a much lower rush factor. 2mil total are a real possibility after such an opening.

 

Also in final estimtes: Avatar around 100k so we might get 4 releases >100k (I think Smile's previews were <10k?).

[Aristis]

1 hour ago, IndustriousAngel said:

Also in final estimtes: Avatar around 100k so we might get 4 releases >100k (I think Smile's previews were <10k?).

That's an awesome drop for the re-release (down maybe just a bit above 10%). Would be great if there was the possibility for this to be prolonged. 

[Taruseth]

11 hours ago, IndustriousAngel said:

Final weekend estimates from insidekino.de now have 360-425k for SdmT2, that's an excellent number, a big increase from the first one. While increases like this are quite common for popular teenie "franchises", this one's aimed at younger children, meaning 95% of the tickets are bought by the parents, which usually leads to a much lower rush factor. 2mil total are a real possibility after such an opening.

 

Also in final estimtes: Avatar around 100k so we might get 4 releases >100k (I think Smile's previews were <10k?).

Apparently its looking to come in on the high end with 425k - probably even 450k (which would be really great).

No previews so 450k 4-day weekend.

Probably 100k tomorrow (should be significantly more)?

[el sid]

The Monday update:

#1 Die Schule der magischen Tiere 2 445k (the predecessor had 246.222 admissions)
#2 Ticket to Paradise 155k/650k total admissions
#3 Smile 115k
#4 Avatar 107.5k/255k

#5 Tausend Zeilen 75k
#6 Don't Worry Darling 60k/157.5k
#7 Minions 2 50k/3.932.5M

[Taruseth]

22 minutes ago, el sid said:

The Monday update:

#1 Die Schule der magischen Tiere 2 445k (the predecessor had 246.222 admissions)
#2 Ticket to Paradise 155k/650k total admissions
#3 Smile 115k
#4 Avatar 107.5k/255k

#5 Tausend Zeilen 75k
#6 Don't Worry Darling 60k/157.5k
#7 Minions 2 50k/3.932.5M

And Monday looks like 150k.

 

Really good.

[IndustriousAngel]

that's a really massive start for DSdmT2 ... considering that it's only got afternoon shows, the per-show average must be in blockbuster regions. 2mil total easily doable and 2,5mil would be my bet atm, extremely good for a domestic kiddie movie! (for any domestic movie, really ...)