el sid Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 And some Thursday actuals from Blickpunkt:Film: The new releases: The Post: 20k – clearly underestimated yesterday probably because of the I guess a bit older target group that doesn't buy/reservate tickets in advance as much as younger moviegoers do Wendy 2: 10k Heilstätten: 7.5k → 60k OW predicted so far, in line with expectations The holdovers: Fifty Shades Freed: 45k (actuals last Thursday 90k) Black Panther: 35k (75k) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted February 24, 2018 Author Share Posted February 24, 2018 Saturday update - everything lower except The Post (first estimates seemed too good to be true anyway) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted February 25, 2018 Share Posted February 25, 2018 (edited) 3rd Trend: FSOG3 (305k, -47%), BP (280k, -33%) and The Post (175k) are up. The others, especially Family movies are down. Edited February 25, 2018 by Aristis 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted February 25, 2018 Author Share Posted February 25, 2018 That's fantastic for "The Post" Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fastclock Posted February 25, 2018 Share Posted February 25, 2018 Deadline is saying BP is higher than 50S this weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted February 25, 2018 Share Posted February 25, 2018 (edited) 20 minutes ago, fastclock said: Deadline is saying BP is higher than 50S this weekend. In €. Last WE BP had a TP of 11,35€ while FSOG3 had 9,4€. So BP should be €3,1M+ and FSOG3 at €2,8M+. Edited February 25, 2018 by Aristis 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted February 26, 2018 Author Share Posted February 26, 2018 Actuals tomorrow but latest estimates seemed spot-on. In Austria, same Top2 with Arthur&Claire on 3rd, should at least reach 100k total. Btw, Autria's 2017 numbers are now final and while we have the same leader as Germany (Fack Ju Göhte 3), #2 is not Star Wars 8 but Despicable Me 3 (a close race). 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
el sid Posted February 26, 2018 Share Posted February 26, 2018 (edited) Spot-or even a little bit better: #1 FSF 305k/2.395M #2 BP 287.5k/805k #3 The Post 162.5k/175k #4 Die kleine Hexe 137.5k/1.105M #5 Wendy 2 105k/130k #6 Wonder 72.5k/905k #7 Heilstätten 57.5k #8 Hilfe 47.5k/725k #9 Shape of Water 47.5/175k #10 Maze Runner 3 45k/565k #11 Billboards 37.5k/500k #12 Ferdinand 20k/ 1.045M #13 Kobiety Mafii 20k #14 All the Money in the World 20k/80k #15 Le Sens de la fête 20k/230k Edited February 26, 2018 by el sid 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted February 27, 2018 Author Share Posted February 27, 2018 Germany's Top20 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 Fifty Shades of Grey 3 305.602 736 415 2.393.636 21.917.081 -47 3 2 Black Panther 288.991 572 505 809.862 9.016.879 -30 2 3 The Post 167.505 306 547 181.791 1.588.996 - 1 4 Die kleine Hexe 137.923 773 178 1.105.912 7.292.252 -37 4 5 Wendy 2 105.915 560 189 130.990 874.936 - 1 6 Wonder 72.655 622 117 909.790 7.257.928 -32 5 7 Heilstätten 57.202 257 223 57.202 521.991 - 1 8 Hilfe, ich hab meine Eltern geschrumpft 47.576 566 84 721.917 4.683.707 -35 6 9 The Shape of Water 47.019 229 205 174.520 1.437.926 -34 2 10 Maze Runner 3 44.322 460 96 562.821 5.912.990 -45 4 11 Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri 36.966 354 104 499.817 4.004.850 -31 5 - MET: La Boheme 32.409 199 163 32.409 938.835 - 1 12 Ferdinand 21.293 349 61 1.045.236 7.303.153 -27 11 13 Kobiety Mafii 19.977 63 317 19.977 246.605 - 1 14 All the Money in the World 19.925 258 77 76.786 697.769 -54 2 15 Le Sens de la fête 19.804 204 97 231.184 1.854.894 -39 4 16 Jumanji 18.790 287 65 1.955.329 18.723.820 -39 10 17 Dieses bescheuerte Herz 15.406 346 45 2.001.235 16.605.268 -36 10 18 Criminal Squad 14.892 268 56 219.979 1.997.025 -46 4 19 The Darkest Hour 14.348 217 66 332.254 2.882.651 -38 6 20 Coco 12.089 241 50 1.323.786 10.039.599 -33 13 An ok weekend - The Post with a nice opening (highest PTA, look for a slight expansion) while Wendy 2 opened a bit behind expectations. Domestic dramedy Dieses bescheuerte Herz has finally crossed 2mil total, good after the lukewarm start! Next weekend: Life for family releases won't get easier with Die Biene Maja 2 - an opening in the 100-150k range seems feasible. For bigger children, Red Sparrow will deliver some action - I expect a run similar to Atomic Blonde, with a reasonable opening (same range as the bee or a bit higher) but hard drops. Also opening: Game Night, which might surprise given the current lack of competition comedies. #1 might become a close race between Panther and Shades. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Giesi Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Marvel‘s top superheroes first feature films after 11 days 948.874 GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY 867.107 DR STRANGE 809.862 BLACK PANTHER 654.870 THOR 555.857 SPIDER-MAN HC 484.818 IRON MAN 411.869 HULK 320.796 ANT-MAN 259.918 CAPTAIN AMERICA BB already fell behind Strange after 50k more on OW. It shows that the „first black maincast superhero“ novelty just doesn‘t work here like it does in other parts of the world. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted March 1, 2018 Author Share Posted March 1, 2018 Sparrow is off to a good start, should open to >200k, so it'll do better than Atomic Blonde (which topped out at <300k total ...) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
el sid Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 (edited) The Thursday estimates from insidekino.de/forum: The new releases: Red Sparrow: 33k (released in 521 theaters, very mixed reviews between 2 and 8/10) - very acceptable indeed if it holds Game Night: 6.5k (475, good reviews) Die Biene Maja 2 - Die Honigspiele: ?k (462, mixed reviews between 2 and 7/10) Das schweigende Klassenzimmer: 2k (115, mostly good and very good reviews) Call Me by Your Name: 2.5k (109, mostly excellent reviews) The holdovers: Fifty Shades Freed: 23k (actuals last Thursday 45k) Black Panther: 18k (35k) The Post: 11k (20k) - was underestimated by far last Thursday Heilstätten: 1k (7.5k) - was also underestimated last week, still that`s low Shape of Water: 5.5k (from here the numbers in brackets are only the estimates from last Thursday; 7k) Wonder: 4.5k (7.5k) Billboards: 3.5k (5k) Maze Runner 3: 2k (5k) Edited March 1, 2018 by el sid 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George Parr Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Surprising no.1 after the first trend: #1 Black Panther 200k (-31%) #2 FSoG3 165k (-46%) #3 Red Sparrow 155k #4 The Post 140k (-16% / -23% with previews) #5 Biene Maja 2 100k 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
el sid Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 And the Thursday actuals from Blickpunkt:Film: The new releases: Red Sparrow: 22.6k – was overestimated by ca. 1/3 yesterday, the reservations looked indeed pretty good in „my“ theaters too so I`m very disappointed by this actual Game Night: 9k → 82.k OW estimated in the first trend from insidekino.de, a liitle bit under the expectations Die Biene Maja 2 - Die Honigspiele: 5.5k Das schweigende Klassenzimmer: 4.1k → 35k OW in the frist trend Call Me by Your Name: 3k → 35k OW The holdovers: Fifty Shades Freed: 23.5k (actuals last Thursday 45k) Black Panther: 23k (35k) – even a bit better than in the estimates The Post: 17.5k (20k) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted March 2, 2018 Author Share Posted March 2, 2018 wow, I had seen Sparrow much higher ... obviously it's doing much better in certain locations than in others. Maja on the lower end of expectations. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George Parr Posted March 3, 2018 Share Posted March 3, 2018 2nd trend is up, only a few changes, the most noticeable being Biene Maja. #1 Black Panther 200k #2 FSoG3 165k #3 Red Sparrow 160k (up 5k) #4 The Post 140k #5 Game Night 85k #6 Die kleine Hexe 80k #7 Biene Maja 2 75k (down 25k) #8 Wendy 2 65k #9 Wonder 47.5k #10 Heilstätten 40k rest at http://www.insidekino.com/News.htm 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted March 3, 2018 Author Share Posted March 3, 2018 Wow, that's a big drop from the first Maja ... And I was wrong in believeing we might see a close race for #1, this is a worse drop for Shades than expected. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 (edited) Great 3rd Trend! All movies being up: BP 215k (-26%) Wow... Will have made near 1,1M admissions, better than Spiderman, WW or Justice Leaugue! Red Sparrow 200k Great! FSOG3 175k (-43%) The Post 155k (-8%/-15%) Great! Game Night 105k Kleine Hexe 92,5k (-33%) Biene Maja 85k Wendy2 75k (-29%/-43%) Wonder 50k (-32%) Should be between 975k and 1M admissions after this weekend. Shape of Water 35k (-26%) Call me by your name 32,5k Billboards 30k (-19%) Edited March 4, 2018 by Aristis 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 24 minutes ago, Aristis said: Great 3rd Trend! All movies being up: BP 215k (-26%) Wow... Will have made near 1,1M admissions, better than Spiderman, WW or Justice Leaugue! Red Sparrow 200k Great! FSOG3 175k (-43%) The Post 155k (-8%/-15%) Great! Game Night 105k Kleine Hexe 92,5k (-33%) Biene Maja 85k Wendy2 75k (-29%/-43%) Wonder 50k (-32%) Should be between 975k and 1M admissions after this weekend. Shape of Water 35k (-26%) Call me by your name 32,5 Billboards 30k (-19%) BP and Red Sparrow look far better and the Post hold is really good. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted March 4, 2018 Author Share Posted March 4, 2018 yesterday's estimates were way down it seems ... very nice now and Sparrow is coming close to what I thought it should do. Terrific numbers from Post and Panther, and family stuff is not so shabby either. Satisfying weekend if those final estimates hold! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...