Taruseth Posted May 5, 2019 Share Posted May 5, 2019 (edited) 52 minutes ago, IndustriousAngel said: Final weekend estimates for Germany: #1: Endgame - 875k admissions (-48%, everything better than 50% is excellent!) #2: Collini - 110k (-5%) #3: QecqoaefaBD? - 95k (-18%) #4: 90k and best opener: The Queen's Corgi Nahm 48% isn't excellent ... It's good, but definitely not excellent, especially as it's OD wasn't a part of last weekend, if it was (and that would mean Previews would have been a part of OD) it certainly would have been a great drop. What do you think will be the final adm count. Endgame vs TLJ (In brackets are the totals) - Final for TLJ was 5906k Before Weekend: 462k vs 0k -> +462k OWend: 1672k (2134k) vs 1627k -> +45k (+507k) OWdays: 706k (2840k) vs 490k (2117k) ->+216k (+723k) 2nd Wend: 875k (3715k) vs 721k (2838k) -> +154k (+877k) It will be about 875k ahead after this weekend, but that in no way means that Endgame will get to more than 6.5m adm, because: 2nd Wdays: 300k (4000k) vs 706k (3544k) -> -406k (+481k) 3rd Wend: 500k (4525k) vs 849k (4393k) -> -349k (+132k) 3rd Wdays: 150k (4675k) vs 351k (4744k) -> -201k (-69k) Edited May 5, 2019 by Taruseth Corrected total after 2nd Week to 4000k not 400k 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moses Posted May 5, 2019 Share Posted May 5, 2019 10 minutes ago, Taruseth said: Nahm 48% isn't excellent ... It's good, but definitely not excellent, especially as it's OD wasn't a part of last weekend, if it was (and that would mean Previews would have been a part of OD) it certainly would have been a great drop. What do you think will be the final adm count. Endgame vs TLJ (In brackets are the totals) - Final for TLJ was 5906k Before Weekend: 462k vs 0k -> +462k OWend: 1672k (2134k) vs 1627k -> +45k (+507k) OWdays: 706k (2840k) vs 490k (2117k) ->+216k (+723k) 2nd Wend: 875k (3715k) vs 721k (2838k) -> +154k (+877k) It will be about 875k ahead after this weekend, but that in no way means that Endgame will get to more than 6.5m adm, because: 2nd Wdays: 300k (400k) vs 706k (3544k) -> -406k (+481k) 3rd Wend: 500k (4525k) vs 849k (4393k) -> -349k (+132k) 3rd Wdays: 150k (4675k) vs 351k (4744k) -> -201k (-69k) So are we talking total above 65 million dollars?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted May 5, 2019 Share Posted May 5, 2019 2 minutes ago, Moses said: So are we talking total above 65 million dollars?? Wouldn't bet on it yet, but i'd say yes. $65m ≈ €58.3m ≈ 5.2m adm and it should get that without too many problems and actually could, approach 70m, so I won't go that far without knowing the drop next weekend. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted May 5, 2019 Share Posted May 5, 2019 So: Presales for three movies: Detective Pikachu: Preview on Wednesda 8 May 20:00 26th April 23:59 (T-12): 51 / 425 -> 12% 28th April 23:59 (T-10): 66 / 425 -> 15.5% 29th April 23:59 (T-9): 73 / 425 -> 17.2% 1th May 04:00 (T-8): 75 / 425 -> 17.6% (I counted this so late because I saw Endgame) 1th May 22:00 (T-7): 85 / 425 -> 20% 2th May 23:54 (T-6): 94 / 425 -> 22.1% 3th May 23:58 (T-5): 102 / 425 -> 24% 4th May 23:59 (T-4): 114 / 425 -> 26.8% 5th May 22:59 (T-3): 146 / 425 -> 34.4 % (I know it's an hour early, sorry) Aladdin: Preview on Wednesday 22nd May 19:45 5th May 22:59(T-17): 3 / 572 -> 0.5% John Wick 3 Preview on Wednesday 22nd May 20:15 5th May 22:59(T-17): 8 / 425 -> 1.9% 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
el sid Posted May 6, 2019 Share Posted May 6, 2019 (edited) The Monday update from insidekino.de - A: E (almost) stable and nice holds: #1 A: E 870k/3.71M (and is now already #2 of all Marvel films, behind Spider-Man; overtook Infinity War on Saturday) #2 Der Fall Collini 105k/425k #3 Monsieur Claude2 92.5k/more than 1M #4 Royal Corgi 80k #5 After Passion 75k/900k #6 Wonder Park 55k/400k Anecdotal: In mathäser, John Wick 3 gets on Wednesday (the 22th) the biggest cinema hall and has sold so far a bit more than 100 tickets of 839 for the evening show. Pokémon Detective Pikachu gets this Wednesday the biggest cinema hall in mathäser and so far ca. half of the tickets are sold (means around 400). I can't judge if this is good, it's probably quite ok for an afternoon showing. Edited May 6, 2019 by el sid 6 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted May 6, 2019 Share Posted May 6, 2019 (edited) On 5/5/2019 at 11:01 PM, Taruseth said: So: Presales for three movies: Detective Pikachu: Preview on Wednesda 8 May 20:00 26th April 23:59 (T-12): 51 / 425 -> 12% 28th April 23:59 (T-10): 66 / 425 -> 15.5% 29th April 23:59 (T-9): 73 / 425 -> 17.2% 1th May 04:00 (T-8): 75 / 425 -> 17.6% (I counted this so late because I saw Endgame) 1th May 22:00 (T-7): 85 / 425 -> 20% 2th May 23:54 (T-6): 94 / 425 -> 22.1% 3th May 23:58 (T-5): 102 / 425 -> 24% 4th May 23:59 (T-4): 114 / 425 -> 26.8% 5th May 22:59 (T-3): 146 / 425 -> 34.4 % (I know it's an hour early, sorry) Aladdin: Preview on Wednesday 22nd May 19:45 5th May 22:59(T-17): 3 / 572 -> 0.5% John Wick 3 Preview on Wednesday 22nd May 20:15 5th May 22:59(T-17): 8 / 425 -> 1.9% Detective Pikachu: Preview: 6th May 23:59 (T-2): 148 / 425 -> 34.8 % (but what the hell is this?) For OWend (counted at the same time) It started presales today, no, please don’t ask me why it only did today. Thursday: 3D 17:00: 2 / 425 3D 20:30: 8 / 296 3D 22:30: 0 / 280 2D 14:20: 0 / 425 Total: 10 / 1426 -> 0.7% Friday: 3D 17:00: 0 / 425 3D 20:30: 0 / 296 3D 22:30: 8 / 280 (probably one group) 2D 14:20: 0 / 425 Total: 8 / 1426 -> 0.6% Saturday: 3D 17:00: 5 / 425 3D 20:30: 9 / 296 3D 22:30: 0 / 280 2D 14:20: 0 / 425 Total: 14 / 1426 -> 1% Sunday: 3D 17:00: 0 / 425 3D 20:30: 0 / 296 2D 11:20: 4 / 425 2D 14:20: 12 / 425 Total: 16 / 1571 -> 1% Overall without previews: 48 / 5849 -> 0.8% Overall with Previews: 196 / 6274 -> 3.1% Which is absolutely useless in every single way as presales started way to late. Though at least the preview number is 31% of Endgame (translating that to OWend would mean about 500k) More Preview numbers: Aladdin: Preview on Wednesday 22nd May 19:40 6th May 23:59(T-16): 9 / 572 -> 1.6% (all 6 added probably by a group) John Wick 3: Preview on Wednesday 22nd May 19:40 6th May 23:59(T-16): 8 / 425 -> 1.9% (+0) Godzilla: Preview on Wednesday 29nd May 20:15 6th May 23:59 (T-23): 7 / 425 -> 1.6% Edited May 6, 2019 by Taruseth 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted May 7, 2019 Author Share Posted May 7, 2019 Germany's Top20 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 Avengers - Endgame 871.287 736 1.184 3.712.000 42.085.004 -48 2 2 Der Fall Collini 105.365 573 184 425.284 3.743.677 -9 3 3 Qu'est-ce qu'on a encore fait au Bon Dieu ? 95.867 676 142 1.011.318 8.292.704 -18 5 4 After 74.623 579 129 901.638 7.370.374 -37 4 5 The Queen's Corgi 63.381 415 153 81.182 564.229 - 1 6 Wonder Park 56.288 620 91 400.608 2.832.810 -42 4 7 Dumbo 35.524 513 69 653.361 5.024.280 -43 6 8 At Eternity's Gate 32.277 165 196 127.511 1.042.258 -8 3 9 Pet Sematary 25.825 429 60 479.833 4.150.151 -31 5 10 Fighting with My Family 20.323 173 117 30.375 237.629 - 1 11 La Dernière Folie de Claire Darling 19.853 116 171 21.224 168.490 - 1 12 The Curso of La Llorona 16.739 318 53 102.504 894.111 -29 3 13 Die Goldfische 16.208 320 51 575.757 4.643.623 -28 7 14 The Hole in the Ground 15.584 187 83 29.429 207.980 - 1 15 Astérix - Le Secret de la Potion Magique 14.349 347 41 437.968 2.948.746 -47 8 16 Captain Marvel 11.460 207 55 2.057.543 21.641.934 -55 9 17 Alfons Zitterbacke 10.028 230 44 120.768 786.409 -52 4 18 Serenity 9.485 97 98 27.498 176.909 - 1 19 How to Tame Your Dragon 3 8.554 209 41 2.235.596 18.411.451 -44 13 20 Rocca verändert die Welt 8.177 217 38 197.796 1.295.327 -36 8 Once more a good weekend, pushed by movie-friendly weather. Avengers Endgame had an ok drop and should have no problem topping 5mil total; also remarkable domestic courtroom drama Der Fall Collini. Among openers, The Queen's Corgi did quite well; it remains to be seen how it will fare in the coming weks. French blockbuster sequel Qu'est-ce qu'on a encore fait au Bon Dieu ? crossed 1mil total and has some more miles in the tank; while not reaching the first one's heigths, it's still a success. The latest Astérix otoh is struggling for 500k total, not so good. Next weekend: Pokémon Detective Pikachu will be the big opener; I'm too old for that stuff but among the younger generations there seems to be quite some buzz, it might even beat the Avengers' 3rd weekend! Also opening: The Hustle (ok scheduling, little competition here, might make the Top3). With weather still on the nasty side and a wide range of offerings, we should see a very satisfying overall weekend! 8 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted May 7, 2019 Share Posted May 7, 2019 On 5/7/2019 at 12:03 AM, Taruseth said: Detective Pikachu: Preview: 6th May 23:59 (T-2): 148 / 425 -> 34.8 % (but what the hell is this?) For OWend (counted at the same time) It started presales today, no, please don’t ask me why it only did today. Thursday: 3D 17:00: 2 / 425 3D 20:30: 8 / 296 3D 22:30: 0 / 280 2D 14:20: 0 / 425 Total: 10 / 1426 -> 0.7% Friday: 3D 17:00: 0 / 425 3D 20:30: 0 / 296 3D 22:30: 8 / 280 (probably one group) 2D 14:20: 0 / 425 Total: 8 / 1426 -> 0.6% Saturday: 3D 17:00: 5 / 425 3D 20:30: 9 / 296 3D 22:30: 0 / 280 2D 14:20: 0 / 425 Total: 14 / 1426 -> 1% Sunday: 3D 17:00: 0 / 425 3D 20:30: 0 / 296 2D 11:20: 4 / 425 2D 14:20: 12 / 425 Total: 16 / 1571 -> 1% Overall without previews: 48 / 5849 -> 0.8% Overall with Previews: 196 / 6274 -> 3.1% Which is absolutely useless in every single way as presales started way to late. Though at least the preview number is 31% of Endgame (translating that to OWend would mean about 500k) More Preview numbers: Aladdin: Preview on Wednesday 22nd May 19:40 6th May 23:59(T-16): 9 / 572 -> 1.6% (all 6 added probably by a group) John Wick 3: Preview on Wednesday 22nd May 19:40 6th May 23:59(T-16): 8 / 425 -> 1.9% (+0) Godzilla: Preview on Wednesday 29nd May 20:15 6th May 23:59 (T-23): 7 / 425 -> 1.6% 5thMay 23:59 MESZ (T-1) Previews: Wednesday 3D 20:00: 175 / 425 -> 41.2 % It started presales yesterday. Thursday: 3D 17:00: 8 / 425 3D 20:30: 11 / 296 3D 22:30: 0 / 280 2D 14:20: 0 / 425 Total: 19 / 1426 -> 1.3% (+9) Friday: 3D 17:00: 8 / 425 3D 20:30: 24 / 296 3D 22:30: 22 / 280 (probably one group) 2D 14:20: 8 / 425 Total: 62 / 1426 -> 4.3% (+54) Saturday: 3D 17:00: 12 / 425 3D 20:30: 17 / 296 3D 22:30: 0 / 280 2D 14:20: 24 / 425 Total: 53 / 1426 -> 3.7% (+39) Sunday: OV 3D 20:15: 2 / 166 3D 17:00: 0 / 425 3D 20:30: 0 / 296 2D 11:20: 4 / 425 2D 14:20: 17 / 425 Total: 23 / 1737 -> 1.3% (+7) Overall without previews: 157 / 6015 -> 2.6% (+109) Overall with Previews: 332 / 6440 -> 5.2% (+136) It added one show, the OV on Sunday (Endgame: Previews: 565 (Previews) and 1848 (4-day OWend one more day out) so DP is at 31% for Previews (even with yesterday) and 8.5% for OWend (without Previews) and 18% with Previews. I am still counting Aladdin, John Wick 3 and Godzilla but won't post those for either a week or maybe not even until the Sunday before OD. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
altglascontainer Posted May 8, 2019 Share Posted May 8, 2019 Avengers Endgame entered the Top 50 German Box-Office at Rank 43. It is the first superhero-movie to achieve this in Germany. Top 48 Top 3 #1 Titanic #2 Avatar #3 Star Wars TFA 8 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted May 8, 2019 Share Posted May 8, 2019 Spoiler On 5/8/2019 at 12:18 AM, Taruseth said: 5thMay 23:59 MESZ (T-1) Previews: Wednesday 3D 20:00: 175 / 425 -> 41.2 % It started presales yesterday. Thursday: 3D 17:00: 8 / 425 3D 20:30: 11 / 296 3D 22:30: 0 / 280 2D 14:20: 0 / 425 Total: 19 / 1426 -> 1.3% (+9) Friday: 3D 17:00: 8 / 425 3D 20:30: 24 / 296 3D 22:30: 22 / 280 (probably one group) 2D 14:20: 8 / 425 Total: 62 / 1426 -> 4.3% (+54) Saturday: 3D 17:00: 12 / 425 3D 20:30: 17 / 296 3D 22:30: 0 / 280 2D 14:20: 24 / 425 Total: 53 / 1426 -> 3.7% (+39) Sunday: OV 3D 20:15: 2 / 166 3D 17:00: 0 / 425 3D 20:30: 0 / 296 2D 11:20: 4 / 425 2D 14:20: 17 / 425 Total: 23 / 1737 -> 1.3% (+7) Overall without previews: 157 / 6015 -> 2.6% (+109) Overall with Previews: 332 / 6440 -> 5.2% (+136) It added one show, the OV on Sunday (Endgame: Previews: 565 (Previews) and 1848 (4-day OWend one more day out) so DP is at 31% for Previews (even with yesterday) and 8.5% for OWend (without Previews) and 18% with Previews. I am still counting Aladdin, John Wick 3 and Godzilla but won't post those for either a week or maybe not even until the Sunday before OD. 8thMay 23:59 MESZ (T-0) Previews: Wednesday 3D 20:00: 175 / 425 -> 41.2 % (forgot to count at 8pm) Thursday: 3D 17:00: 19 / 425 3D 20:30: 31 / 296 3D 22:30: 2 / 280 2D 14:20: 5 / 425 Total: 57 / 1426 -> 4% (+38) Friday: 3D 17:00: 14 / 425 3D 20:30: 52 / 296 3D 22:30: 32 / 280 (probably one group) 2D 14:20: 12 / 425 Total: 110 / 1426 -> 7.7% (+48) Saturday: 3D 17:00: 12 / 425 3D 20:30: 45 / 296 3D 22:30: 0 / 280 2D 14:20: 47 / 425 Total: 104 / 1426 -> 7.3% (+51) Sunday: OV 3D 20:15: 4 / 166 3D 17:00: 2 / 425 3D 20:30: 7 / 296 2D 11:20: 12 / 425 2D 14:20: 26 / 425 Total: 51 / 1737 -> 2.9% (+28) Overall without previews: 322 / 6015 -> 5.4% (+165) Overall with Previews: 497+ / 6440 -> 7.7+% (+165+) I also started counting Rocketman but won't post about that either until I will post for godzilla. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted May 9, 2019 Share Posted May 9, 2019 5 hours ago, altglascontainer said: Avengers Endgame entered the Top 50 German Box-Office at Rank 43. It is the first superhero-movie to achieve this in Germany. Top 48 Top 3 #1 Titanic #2 Avatar #3 Star Wars TFA It can reach top 20 I guess. €57mn plus. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted May 9, 2019 Author Share Posted May 9, 2019 (edited) Austria's April numbers are now available and thanks to Avengers, QecqoaefaBD? and After and the fact that it was a 5-wekend-April, it's been a really strong one (in recent history, only 2017 and 2006 have been stronger). A welcome relief after the disasterous 1st quarter; let's hope the good numbers continue with Pikachu. Edited May 9, 2019 by IndustriousAngel 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted May 9, 2019 Share Posted May 9, 2019 (edited) 21 hours ago, Charlie Jatinder said: It can reach top 20 I guess. €57mn plus. Needs ~58.5m for Top 20. Hope it gets to 60m that would be #18. #17 would need 63m, that might be a bit too much. Edited May 9, 2019 by Taruseth 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted May 9, 2019 Share Posted May 9, 2019 9th May 23:00 MESZ (T-(-1)) Thursday: ~150-160 (final presales) Friday: 3D 17:00: 17 / 425 3D 20:30: 81 / 296 3D 22:30: 34 / 280 2D 14:20: 14 / 425 Total: 146 / 1426 -> 10.3% (+36) Saturday: 3D 17:00: 26 / 425 3D 20:30: 66 / 296 3D 22:30: 5 / 280 2D 14:20: 55 / 425 Total: 152 / 1426 -> 10.7% (+48) Sunday: OV 3D 20:15: 6 / 166 3D 17:00: 17 / 425 3D 20:30: 7 / 296 2D 11:20: 15 / 425 2D 14:20: 38 / 425 Total: 83 / 1737 -> 4.8% (+32) So Presales for Friday are 2.56 times as large as those for Thursday were. Presales for Saturday are 1.38 times as large as those for Friday were 24h ago. And Presales for Sunday are 0.8 times of those for Saturday 24h ago. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted May 10, 2019 Author Share Posted May 10, 2019 Early weekend estimates for Germany from insidekino.de: #1: Pikachu - 525k admissions incl. previews #2: Endgame - 425k (-51%) #3: Hustle - 150k incl. previews #4: Collini - 80k (-24%) 5 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted May 10, 2019 Share Posted May 10, 2019 1 minute ago, IndustriousAngel said: Early weekend estimates for Germany from insidekino.de: #1: Pikachu - 525k admissions incl. previews #2: Endgame - 425k (-51%) #3: Hustle - 150k incl. previews #4: Collini - 80k (-24%) Endgame slightly worse than I thought: Spoiler On 5/5/2019 at 12:30 PM, Taruseth said: Nahm 48% isn't excellent ... It's good, but definitely not excellent, especially as it's OD wasn't a part of last weekend, if it was (and that would mean Previews would have been a part of OD) it certainly would have been a great drop. What do you think will be the final adm count. Endgame vs TLJ (In brackets are the totals) - Final for TLJ was 5906k Before Weekend: 462k vs 0k -> +462k OWend: 1672k (2134k) vs 1627k -> +45k (+507k) OWdays: 706k (2840k) vs 490k (2117k) ->+216k (+723k) 2nd Wend: 875k (3715k) vs 721k (2838k) -> +154k (+877k) It will be about 875k ahead after this weekend, but that in no way means that Endgame will get to more than 6.5m adm, because: 2nd Wdays: 300k (4000k) vs 706k (3544k) -> -406k (+481k) 3rd Wend: 500k (4525k) vs 849k (4393k) -> -349k (+132k) 3rd Wdays: 150k (4675k) vs 351k (4744k) -> -201k (-69k) 1 Endgame vs TLJ (In brackets are the totals) - Final for TLJ was 5906k Before Weekend: 462k vs 0k -> +462k OWend: 1672k (2134k) vs 1627k -> +45k (+507k) OWdays: 707k (2841k) vs 490k (2117k) ->+217k (+724k) 2nd Wend: 871k (3712k) vs 721k (2838k) -> +150k (+874k) 2nd Wdays: 163k (3875k) vs 706k (3544k) -> -548k (+326k) 3rd Wend: 425k (4300k) vs 849k (4393k) -> -424k (+93k) 3rd Wdays: 90k (4390k) vs 351k (4744k) -> -261k (-354k) 4th Wend: 275k (4665k) vs 467k (5211k) -> -192k (-546k) 4th Wdays: 60k (4725k) vs 91k (5302k) -> -31k (-577k) 5th Wend: 150k (4875k) vs 202k (5504k) -> -52k (-629k) 5th Wdays: 35k (4910k) vs 49k (5553k) -> -14k (-643k) 6th Wend: 90k (5000k) vs 110k (5663k) -> -20k (-663k) 6th Wdays: 25k (5025k) vs 28k (5691k) -> -3k (-666k) TLJ had 215k more admissions after that, if Endgame would add that it would get to 5240k, which is probably the highest it could go, would mean a little below €60m, translating to ~$67m. It would also mean that it would beat Spider-Man 1 (5186k) in adm. More realistic would probably a finish closer to 5m adm and with that slightly below Spider-Man 1. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
el sid Posted May 10, 2019 Share Posted May 10, 2019 (edited) And some Thursday actuals (source Blickpunkt:Film): The new releases: Pokémon Detective Pikachu (released in 547 theaters): 40k/415k US$ The Hustle (420): 15k Nur eine Frau (66): 1.5k Stan & Ollie (111): 1.350 → 17.5k admissions OW in the first trend Master Z: The Ip Man Legacy (116, Eventstart): 820 Das Ende der Wahrheit (36): 700 The holdovers: Avengers: Endgame: 50k (actuals last Thursday 110k) Der Fall Collini: 8k (10k) Monsieur Claude 2: 5.5k (8k) Edited May 10, 2019 by el sid 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brainbug Posted May 10, 2019 Share Posted May 10, 2019 22 minutes ago, IndustriousAngel said: Early weekend estimates for Germany from insidekino.de: #1: Pikachu - 525k admissions incl. previews #2: Endgame - 425k (-51%) #3: Hustle - 150k incl. previews #4: Collini - 80k (-24%) Overall solid if that comes true. Decent opening for Pika, but a slightly worse hold for Endgame than i thought, but the film exceeded all expectations here anyway already. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nakamura Posted May 10, 2019 Share Posted May 10, 2019 7 minutes ago, Taruseth said: Endgame slightly worse than I thought: Reveal hidden contents Endgame vs TLJ (In brackets are the totals) - Final for TLJ was 5906k Before Weekend: 462k vs 0k -> +462k OWend: 1672k (2134k) vs 1627k -> +45k (+507k) OWdays: 707k (2841k) vs 490k (2117k) ->+217k (+724k) 2nd Wend: 871k (3712k) vs 721k (2838k) -> +150k (+874k) 2nd Wdays: 163k (3875k) vs 706k (3544k) -> -548k (+326k) 3rd Wend: 425k (4300k) vs 849k (4393k) -> -424k (+93k) 3rd Wdays: 90k (4390k) vs 351k (4744k) -> -261k (-354k) 4th Wend: 275k (4665k) vs 467k (5211k) -> -192k (-546k) 4th Wdays: 60k (4725k) vs 91k (5302k) -> -31k (-577k) 5th Wend: 150k (4875k) vs 202k (5504k) -> -52k (-629k) 5th Wdays: 35k (4910k) vs 49k (5553k) -> -14k (-643k) 6th Wend: 90k (5000k) vs 110k (5663k) -> -20k (-663k) 6th Wdays: 25k (5025k) vs 28k (5691k) -> -3k (-666k) TLJ had 215k more admissions after that, if Endgame would add that it would get to 5240k, which is probably the highest it could go, would mean a little below €60m, translating to ~$67m. It would also mean that it would beat Spider-Man 1 (5186k) in adm. More realistic would probably a finish closer to 5m adm and with that slightly below Spider-Man 1. The worst case can be about $63-65M ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted May 10, 2019 Share Posted May 10, 2019 (edited) 4 hours ago, Nakamura said: The worst case can be about $63-65M ? I'd say the worst case is 4.9m adm and -> €54m ~$60m (somewhat low average ticket price of just €11 and exchange rate of $1.11. Though I don't think it will fall that much, because for that it would pretty much need to crash now. Below 63m is disappointing. 65m is not worst case, I'd say that is realistic, that would be about €58m and that would mean around 5.09m adm (ticket price of €11.40, though it was higher last weekend, the for the whole run is lower, due to the higher weekend share in the future I think it overall average ticket price will increase). Leg wise that wouldn't be impressive (just a 3.04x of the 4-day opening and it had a 462k OD before that, so no midnight-previews are part of OWend and it deflated Thursday itself a little bit too) That would be the second worst multi for any movie in the yearly top 10 for the last couple years, only worse was FF8. Anything above 67m would be best case. Though it needs to be said, that Spider-Man 1 is the only Superhero movie ever to have more than 5m adm. And this most likely will be only the second to do more than 5m adm. and the first to gross more than €40 and €50m. Edited May 10, 2019 by Taruseth Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...