Aristis Posted December 27, 2022 Share Posted December 27, 2022 11 minutes ago, Danhjpn said: How much is the ATP in dollars for this movie here? Around 14,4 atm (€13,63 to be precise) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Danhjpn Posted December 27, 2022 Share Posted December 27, 2022 39 minutes ago, Aristis said: 2,55M until Sunday, today (Tuesday) it passes 3M and it should be 4,3M+ next Sunday. So it needs x1.8 after next Sunday to reach 8M ... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted December 28, 2022 Author Share Posted December 28, 2022 Germany's Top14 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 Avatar 2 735.252 737 998 2.547.800 34.733.093 -36 2 2 Puss in Boots 2 120.980 606 200 149.080 1.257.500 - 1 3 Der Räuber Hotzenplotz 44.285 708 63 299.694 2.176.588 -42 3 4 Oskars Kleid 39.434 512 77 40.964 379.038 - 1 5 Teddybjørnens jul 23.777 565 42 201.159 1.307.921 -13 6 6 I Wanna Dance with Somebody 23.432 382 61 38.979 385.896 - 1 7 Black Panther 2 14.099 221 64 1.418.414 16.181.897 -56 7 8 Die Schule der magischen Tiere 2 10.118 391 26 2.383.567 17.441.560 -53 13 9 Violent Night 9.892 238 42 150.985 1.451.454 -59 4 10 Strange World 9.774 328 30 229.425 1.821.062 -68 5 11 Rheingold 8.553 109 78 957.070 9.580.218 -34 9 12 Einfach mal was Schönes 8.333 391 21 536.384 4.972.751 -71 6 13 Hui Buh und das Hexenschloss 5.768 327 18 464.274 3.550.419 -61 8 14 The Menu 5.444 164 33 265.385 2.504.884 -62 6 Massive weekend for Avatar 2, so-so for every other release. Strange World <10k admissions in week 5, what's become of Disney Animation?! Puss in Boots 2 stayed behind my expectations … as did the Withney Houston biopic. In Austria, once more, better and/or different numbers … Avatar 2 is already past 320k admissions here, Puss-in-Boots opened within my expectations (24k), so much better, and Strange World had an increase and should be somewhere around 40k by now, nearly 75% ahead of Germany. I Wanna Dance flopped equally hard, though. Next weekend: No big openers but with the low levels we're seeing atm (except Avatar of course) even a small release like domestic bestseller adaption Was man von hier aus sehen kann might make it into the top 5! Of course, general business should be much better, we'll see some healthy increases, some releases should more than double this weekend's numbers. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 (edited) Avatar 2 weekdays: 1100k (total 3650k) That's great. Apparently, yesterday was the best day since Covid-19 started. So maybe it can increase on the weekend. At least today and tomorrow should be really good. So 800k (hopefully more) - wouldn't be surprised with 700k though. Edited December 29, 2022 by Taruseth 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophia Jane Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 Avatar try to best Germany All-time B.O record Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 (edited) 9 minutes ago, Bruce said: Avatar try to best Germany All-time B.O record Won't happen. Admissions are impossible: The Jungle Book has 27.3m and Titanic has 18.8m (only movies after 1958 considered) all others below 15m. In € Titanic with 126.6m and Avatar with 119.2m are also pretty safe. Third place TFA with 102.7m might be reached, but that would need 7.7-7.8m admissions. And $ won't work either because Avatar had incredible ER (so did like $160-170m). Right now I'd say 7.5m admissions and €99-100m (~$105m) - and I am probably on the more optimistic side. Edited December 29, 2022 by Taruseth Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophia Jane Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 5 minutes ago, Taruseth said: Won't happen. Admissions are impossible: The Jungle Book has 27.3m and Titanic has 18.8m (only movies after 1958 considered) all others below 15m. In € Titanic with 126.6m and Avatar with 119.2m are also pretty safe. Third place TFA with 102.7m might be reached, but that would need 7.7-7.8m admissions. And $ won't work either because Avatar had incredible ER (so did like $160-170m). Right now I'd say 7.5m admissions and €99-100m (~$105m) - and I am probably on the more optimistic side. When I say B.O record you should know that is gross I think depends on Expenisve ATP it will have chance to do Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted December 29, 2022 Author Share Posted December 29, 2022 7 hours ago, Taruseth said: So maybe it can increase on the weekend. that's pretty much a given, even Rogue One increased a bit on the comparable weekend; the question is if it can reach 1mil again. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted December 30, 2022 Author Share Posted December 30, 2022 early weekend estimates for Germany from insidekino.de: #1: Avatar 2 - 900k admissions (+22%) #2: Puss in Boots 2 - 200k (+65%) #3: Hotzenplotz - 90k (+203% !!) 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 So Avatar will be around 4,55M at Sunday. Following RO again it'd reach 5,7M+ next WE - it's holding better though so hopefully it'll be more like 5,8M+ already. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 (edited) 5 hours ago, IndustriousAngel said: early weekend estimates for Germany from insidekino.de: #1: Avatar 2 - 900k admissions (+22%) #2: Puss in Boots 2 - 200k (+65%) #3: Hotzenplotz - 90k (+203% !!) 400k on Thursday (or a little less) - 5.2m € -> ATP only a little above 13 € (that's low) In 2016 RO had the following weekend drops -55% then +2% and -31% (dropping to second place about 25 % behind Passenger). Avatar has done -36% and now about +22 %. Will it be able to do -15% for 750k next weekend? My hope for the future: Avatar: OD: 174k OWend: 1157k (Total 1332k) OWdays: 481k (Total 1813k) 2nd Wend: 735k (Total 2548k) 2nd Wdays: 1100k (Total 3650k) 3rd Wend: 900k (Total 4550k) 3rd Wdays: 550k (Total 5100k) 4th Wend: 750k (Total 5850k) (-17%) 4th Wdays: 150k (Total 6000k) 5th Wend: 500k (Total 6500k) (-33%) 5th Wdays: 100k (Total 6600k) 6th Wend: 400k (Total 7000k) (-20%) 6th Wdays: 50k (Total 7050k) 7th Wend: 250k (Total 7300k) (-38%) 7th Wdays: 30k (Total 7330k) 8th Wend: 150k (Total 7480k) (-40%) 8th Wdays: 20k (Total 7500k) 9th Wend: 100k (Total 7600k) (-33%) - I think Titanic is shown again this weekend 9th Wdays: 20k (Total 7620k) 10th Wend: 80k (Total 7700k) (-20%) 10th Wdays: 15k (Total 7715k) After that another 250k for 7965k total and ≈103m € ≈ $109m Edited December 30, 2022 by Taruseth 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Danhjpn Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 1 hour ago, Taruseth said: 400k on Thursday (or a little less) - 5.2m € -> ATP only a little above 13 € (that's low) In 2016 RO had the following weekend drops -55% then +2% and -31% (dropping to second place about 25 % behind Passenger). Avatar has done -36% and now about +22 %. Will it be able to do -15% for 750k next weekend? My hope for the future: Avatar: OD: 174k OWend: 1157k (Total 1332k) OWdays: 481k (Total 1813k) 2nd Wend: 735k (Total 2548k) 2nd Wdays: 1100k (Total 3650k) 3rd Wend: 900k (Total 4550k) 3rd Wdays: 550k (Total 5100k) 4th Wend: 750k (Total 5850k) (-17%) 4th Wdays: 150k (Total 6000k) 5th Wend: 500k (Total 6500k) (-33%) 5th Wdays: 100k (Total 6600k) 6th Wend: 400k (Total 7000k) (-20%) 6th Wdays: 50k (Total 7050k) 7th Wend: 250k (Total 7300k) (-38%) 7th Wdays: 30k (Total 7330k) 8th Wend: 150k (Total 7480k) (-40%) 8th Wdays: 20k (Total 7500k) 9th Wend: 100k (Total 7600k) (-33%) - I think Titanic is shown again this weekend 9th Wdays: 20k (Total 7620k) 10th Wend: 80k (Total 7700k) (-20%) 10th Wdays: 15k (Total 7715k) After that another 250k for 7965k total and ≈103m € ≈ $109m 8M admits is more round and juicy number 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 On 12/23/2022 at 9:14 AM, Aristis said: Thursday #1 Avatar 2 200k (+33%) [€2,7M] #2 Puss in Boots 2 35k [€285k] #3 Oskars Kleid 13,5k [€120k] #4 Hotzenplotz 13k (+100%) [€100k] #5 ...dance with somebody 7k [€70k] Thursday #1 Avatar 2 400k (+100%) [€5,2M] #2 Puss in Boots 2 85k (+143%) [€720k] #3 Hotzenplotz 37k (+185%) [€275k] #4 Oskars Kleid 29k (+115%) [€270k] #5 ...dance with somebody 16k (+129%) [€160k] 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophia Jane Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 9 minutes ago, Aristis said: Thursday #1 Avatar 2 400k (+100%) [€5,2M] #2 Puss in Boots 2 85k (+143%) [€720k] #3 Hotzenplotz 37k (+185%) [€275k] #4 Oskars Kleid 29k (+115%) [€270k] #5 ...dance with somebody 16k (+129%) [€160k] that’s insane The box office for Thursday is even bigger than China 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nydedan Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 the french and the german really love AVATAR 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted December 31, 2022 Share Posted December 31, 2022 2nd Trend #1 Avatar 2 1M (+36%) 4,65M #2 PiB2 205k (+69%/+37%) 565k #3 Hotzenplotz 90k (+105%) Awesome for Avatar. Just needs 1,026M for 10th best 3rd WE 👀 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted December 31, 2022 Share Posted December 31, 2022 (edited) Saturday Trend: Avatar: 1000k! (that makes 8m more likely). Puss in Boots 2: 205k Hotzenplotz: 90k Oskars Kleid: 75k I wanna dance with somebody: 42.5k Schule der magischen Tiere 2: 35k (I think this is the 14th week in the Top 10) Was man von hier aus sehen kann: 27.5k Top Gun stayed in the Top 10 for 18 weeks and Minions for 16 weeks. And maybe - maybe we might see Avatar getting to 9m - like 1 % chance. Edited December 31, 2022 by Taruseth 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted December 31, 2022 Share Posted December 31, 2022 3 minutes ago, Aristis said: 2nd Trend #1 Avatar 2 1M (+36%) 4,65M #2 PiB2 205k (+69%/+37%) 565k #3 Hotzenplotz 90k (+105%) Awesome for Avatar. Just needs 1,026M for 10th best 3rd WE 👀 Incredible ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted December 31, 2022 Share Posted December 31, 2022 7 minutes ago, Aristis said: 2nd Trend #1 Avatar 2 1M (+36%) 4,65M #2 PiB2 205k (+69%/+37%) 565k #3 Hotzenplotz 90k (+105%) Awesome for Avatar. Just needs 1,026M for 10th best 3rd WE 👀 You are so quick - and even if it barely misses the 3rd weekend for 10th place on 4th weekend only about 680k are needed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted December 31, 2022 Share Posted December 31, 2022 37 minutes ago, Taruseth said: You are so quick - and even if it barely misses the 3rd weekend for 10th place on 4th weekend only about 680k are needed. Just got the notification from Twitter 👀 And playing like RO it'd reach 600k midweek - which would be good enough for 5th biggest 3rd week. Even if it doesn't do that great, 1,33M will be enough to top SW7 for 10th best so it's getting there in any case. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...