Mexico Box Office | Inside Out 2 opens to mind-blowing $30.2M, 2nd highest 4-day lc OW ever!

[Flamengo81]

17 minutes ago, Carlangonz said:

One screen per theatre initially so even if it's strong isn't blowing up because only Sony knows what they're doing.

Really low allocations here too. But the few that it has it's not selling anything.

[Carlangonz]

16 hours ago, Flamengo81 said:

Really low allocations here too. But the few that it has it's not selling anything.

I'm thinking is not going to make much noise atm. If next week still mantains a low pace then yes may be concerning.

[Carlangonz]

On 5/15/2023 at 1:56 PM, Carlangonz said:

FAST X Previews - (T-2 Days)

 

6,500 sold / 17,153 total available (+27.5% from T-5)

 

x1.11 from Guardians of the Galaxy 3 (T-6 Hours) - $26.4M 

FAST X Previews - (T-6 Hours)

 

10,139 sold / 16,907 total available - +56% from T-2 

 

x1.74 from Guardians of the Galaxy 3 (T-6 Hours) - $41.1M 

 

Insane growth. It was closer -still far tho- to Mario rather than GOTG3. Growth was significant everywhere even the ones that were underperforming to the average. Occupancy is close to 60% looking to grow even more as the evening goes on. 

 

Breakdown by theatre/area

 

	Sold	Total	Occupation	GOTG3 Final	Comp in lc (Mill)
Perisur (South)	949	2252	42,14	.96	$22,76
Buenavista (Mid)	1140	2329	48,95	.94	$22,22
Las Antenas (East)	1292	1637	78,92	.98	$23,25
Satelite (North)	868	2283	38,02	1.2	$28,37
Parque Toreo (West)	1073	1489	72,06	1.8	$42,74
Cd Jardin (Metro Area – East)	2163	3008	71,91	1.72	$40,75
Las Americas (Metro Area – North-east)	1553	2392	64,92	2.75	$65,26
Cosmopol (Metro Area – North mid)	1101	1517	71,91	2.21	$52,29
Total	10139	16907	59,97	1.73	$41,11

 

I deleted two shows from Satelite show because they simply went away. No idea if was a bug from Cinepolis or something else but it had a minimum impact. 

 

In formats 4DX is nearly sold-out at every show with a 97% occupancy followed by VIPs/Dine-in at 86% occupancy. 3D isn't bad either with a 70% of total seats already filled. IMAX and 2D Sub shows are the lowest ones with 9% and 13% occupancy each respectively.

 

I took a look into theatres close to the ones at 70%+ occupancy to see how spillover may be and it seems to be around 60% from North-East and East Metro Area locations. West is at a low 22% and another North-Mid location has sold a whopping 90% of all seats.

 

I'm thinking 2nd and 3rd tier cities are going to behave on line with the Metro Area theatres and 1st tier cities (Guadalajara/Monterrey) are going on par with South and Mid locs. If this preview average turns into reality that would be bigger than F9's entire opening day and would put the weekend as high as $280M across Wed-Sun.

 

Important soccer play-off matches on Wed/Thu and Sat/Sun which may deflate results because it's the biggest teams that play this time so may be an affect on night shows.

 

Thinking $240M-$260M 4-Day incl Previews. Huge news as well that this is opening with the best ER for a blockbuster since 2016's Civil War so this could go anywhere from $13.6M to $14.8M

Edited May 17, 2023 by Carlangonz

[Flamengo81]

55 minutes ago, Carlangonz said:

FAST X Previews - (T-6 Hours)

 

10,139 sold / 16,907 total available - +56% from T-2 

 

x1.74 from Guardians of the Galaxy 3 (T-6 Hours) - $41.1M 

 

Insane growth. It was closer -still far tho- to Mario rather than GOTG3. Growth was significant everywhere even the ones that were underperforming to the average. Occupancy is close to 60% looking to grow even more as the evening goes on. 

 

Breakdown by theatre/area

 

	Sold	Total	Occupation	GOTG3 Final	Comp in lc (Mill)
Perisur (South)	949	2252	42,14	.96	$22,76
Buenavista (Mid)	1140	2329	48,95	.94	$22,22
Las Antenas (East)	1292	1637	78,92	.98	$23,25
Satelite (North)	868	2283	38,02	1.2	$28,37
Parque Toreo (West)	1073	1489	72,06	1.8	$42,74
Cd Jardin (Metro Area – East)	2163	3008	71,91	1.72	$40,75
Las Americas (Metro Area – North-east)	1553	2392	64,92	2.75	$65,26
Cosmopol (Metro Area – North mid)	1101	1517	71,91	2.21	$52,29
Total	10139	16907	59,97	1.73	$41,11

 

I deleted two shows from Satelite show because they simply went away. No idea if was a bug from Cinepolis or something else but it had a minimum impact. 

 

In formats 4DX is nearly sold-out at every show with a 97% occupancy followed by VIPs/Dine-in at 86% occupancy. 3D isn't bad either with a 70% of total seats already filled. IMAX and 2D Sub shows are the lowest ones with 9% and 13% occupancy each respectively.

 

I took a look into theatres close to the ones at 70%+ occupancy to see how spillover may be and it seems to be around 60% from North-East and East Metro Area locations. West is at a low 22% and another North-Mid location has sold a whopping 90% of all seats.

 

I'm thinking 2nd and 3rd tier cities are going to behave on line with the Metro Area theatres and 1st tier cities (Guadalajara/Monterrey) are going on par with South and Mid locs. If this preview average turns into reality that would be bigger than F9's entire opening day and would put the weekend as high as $280M across Wed-Sun.

 

Important soccer play-off matches on Wed/Thu and Sat/Sun which may deflate results because it's the biggest teams that play this time so may be an affect on night shows.

 

Thinking $220M-$260M 4-Day incl Previews. Huge news as well that this is opening with the best ER for a blockbuster since 2016's Civil War so this could go anywhere from $12.5M to $14.8M

Very similar scenario to Brazil. It sold more than double of GOTG3 previews today.

 

Edit: just to clarify: it did not do more than 2x total previews, but it sold more than 2x today.

Edited May 17, 2023 by Flamengo81

[Carlangonz]

15 minutes ago, Flamengo81 said:

Very similar scenario to Brazil. It did more than double of GOTG3 previews today.

That bodes well for the whole region in order to surpass F9

[Carlangonz]

On 5/15/2023 at 2:36 PM, Carlangonz said:

THE LITTLE MERMAID - T-10 DAYS

 

778 sold / 15,285 total available

 

This already includes three theatres, 15 shows and 3,623 seats that were added during the weekend.

Otherwise is still a nice 58% increase from Friday on same locations.

I had a misscount from one of the added locations which is now fixed.

 

THE LITTLE MERMAID - T-8 DAYS

 

1,092 sold / 17,685 total available (+40.36% from T-10)

 

One location remaining to open sales already started but still +37.66% on same locations from T-10. Nice pace overall considering it but no comps; Mario was doing these numbers at the same point but with two locations alone.

[Carlangonz]

On 5/16/2023 at 4:37 PM, Carlangonz said:

Thursday has sold so far 2,235 (T-2 Days) compared to 3,211 from Guardians at 6PM the day before opening

3,639 at the same point before Thursday opening. +60% from Tue alone. 

[Carlangonz]

Crazy walk-ups just one hour into previews. Between Dominion last year and Mario/Fast X this year Universal is king of walk-ins. 

 

Maybe closer to F7/F8 openings than it seems. 

[charlie Jatinder]

Idk, should be 320M range from 45 Wed 

[Carlangonz]

4 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Idk, should be 320M range from 45 Wed

Yes. That's it.

 

Timing is perfect for Universal. Just yesterday Mario surpassed $1.5B becoming only the second title ever to do so. With so much competition from now on whatever else grosses now is just gravy.

[Issac Newton]

Fast X $2.1M

 

In Mexico, and following a local promotional event with 6,000 fans, the Louis Leterrier-directed franchise entry grossed an estimated $2.1M from previews on Wednesday, in line with the opening Wednesday of F9 and the biggest preview result of the year (55% ahead of Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3).

[Carlangonz]

$36.9M from Wednesday night previews. Only below Multiverse of Madness and Love & Thunder in previous years. F7/F8 opened amidst holidays and H&S/F9 were in different timeframes and different schedule so comps are kinda tough on this one.

 

If it follows L&T or MOM then it locks $220M and above F9 but that was done already. If follows Guardians then is approaching $400M but that's maybe too high because Rocket & Co. had less fan-rush and allocation. $300M should be doable by a few more or less millions.

[Purple Minion]

15 hours ago, Carlangonz said:

 Just yesterday Mario surpassed $1.5B becoming only the second title ever to do so.

Fantastic result. We now have a movie in every single hundred-million bracket in lc (like 100s, 200s, 800s)... except 1200s! May take a while to fill it.

[Carlangonz]

Even considering it's mostly fan-rush first hours for Across the Spiderverse are 

[Carlangonz]

Fast X (First 12 hours) - 825/15,548

Fast X (First 30 hours) - 1,531/15,548

The Little Mermaid (First 36 hours) - 449/11,662

 

SPIDERMAN - ACROSS THE SPIDERVERSE (First 12 hours) - 2,203/15,696

 

Seems like another $200M+ opener is on the menu this summer.

[Purple Minion]

Busy Summer ahead, the fight for screens will be mental.

 

Updated USD total for Mario as per Mojo: $83,027,186.

[Carlangonz]

5 hours ago, Carlangonz said:

SPIDERMAN - ACROSS THE SPIDERVERSE (First 12 hours) - 2,203/15,696

 

May be around 4k after 24 hours. Hard to comp because it doesn't have previews like most SH last and this year and opens on a non-holiday Thu instead of a Wed like Mario.

I think I'm going wiith Guardians OD + Previews. Spidey is going to be already at 45% of that one's total figure by the end of the day.

 

Fast X seems to be a bit front-loaded on opening day. With previews it looks like $80M ($4.5M) or so

[Flamengo81]

6 hours ago, Carlangonz said:

Even considering it's mostly fan-rush first hours for Across the Spiderverse are 

So nothing like Brazil...

[charlie Jatinder]

7 hours ago, Carlangonz said:

Even considering it's mostly fan-rush first hours for Across the Spiderverse are 

well its animation & spider-man. LATAM should be blowing up.

[Carlangonz]

Seems like Fast X fell off to $74.2M OD which is well ahead of Guardians 3 and below Mario.

 

I think football playoffs are indeed hurting it because there's much of an audience overlap and it's the biggest teams that are playing. I'm going to believe it's reception if Fri goes down or flat from Thu but if it increases then I think both Sat and Sun are going to be underwhelming as well.