Mexico Box Office | Garfield scratches great $8.4M 6-day OW; safe $2.5M start for The Fall Guy

[Purple Minion]

This is just ridiculous. I checked all Cinepolis and Cinemex in my home town (average medium size, lower Top 20 market), and 95% of all screens are devoted to Endgame on the 26th. That's 176 shows, one every 8 minutes. I'm actually scared of doing any calculations based on this!

 

 

[pepsa]

12 minutes ago, Purple Minion said:

This is just ridiculous. I checked all Cinepolis and Cinemex in my home town (average medium size, lower Top 20 market), and 95% of all screens are devoted to Endgame on the 26th. That's 176 shows, one every 8 minutes. I'm actually scared of doing any calculations based on this!

 

 

Are you afraid of the calculations because EG 3-day over CM might be the floor? 😛 

[Purple Minion]

Those numbers may come back and bite me in the face!

 

La Llorona didn't reach 100M lc.

[Carlangonz]

APRIL 18-21 WEEKEND. THE BREEZE BEFORE THE STORM. LLORONA TOPS THE WEEKEND CLOSE TO $100M LC; NO MANCHES FRIDA 2 PASSES THE FIRST INSTALLMENT AND SHAZAM BEATS FIRST ANT-MAN.

 

The Curse of La Llorona

- 27.46% above The Conjuring’s 3-Day opening and 31.47% below Annabelle’s 2 4-Day opening weekend.

-  5^th best opening in The Conjuring franchise.

 

No Manches, Frida 2: Paraíso Destruido

- Surpassed No Manches, Frida as 5^th highest local grosser ever in lc and 7^th in admissions. Soon is going to pass Mirreyes Contra Godínez in both charts.

 

Shazam!

- Now has passed first Ant-Man in lc and is going to pass Ant-Man and The Wasp before this Thanos’ arrival. As for admissions is going to pass the first one and edge the second.

 

#	MOVIE	WEEKEND	% CHANGE	TOTAL (MXN)	TOTAL (USD)	ADM.	TOTAL ADM.
1	The Curse of La Llorona	$71		$96.3	$5.10	1.2	1.7
2	No Manches Frida 2: Paraíso Destruido	$56.4	-35,32%	$223.3	$11.77	1	4.4
3	Shazam!	$30.9	-38,20%	$270.4	$14.17	561.1K	5
4	Dumbo	$20.8	-33,11%	$386.5	$20.08	401.9K	7.3
5	Wonder Park	$13.3	-33,16%	$52.3	$2.73	254.5K	1
6	El Complot Mongol	$9		$11.4	$583K	156.8K	200.4K
7	Breakthrough	$6.8		$8.5	$360K	114.8K	144.3K
8	Hellboy	$5	-62,68%	$29.3	$1.52	78.4K	520K
9	Pet Sematary	$3.9	-74,34%	$83.7	$4.36	72.7K	1.6
10	After	$2.7	-77,11%	$26.2	$1.37	43.9K	473.8K

 

 

This Friday opens: The Old Man and the Gun and Avengers: Endgame.  

[Carlangonz]

ER on Monday ended up better than ER on Monday before Infinity War's release. 

[Carlangonz]

• Midnights > OD for Black Panther, Wonder Woman and Deadpool 2. Thor: Ragnarok (?)
• Opening Day > Justice League OW. Venom (?), Iron Man 3 (?!).
• Opening Weekend > Lifetime Gross of Spider-Man: Homecoming and Suicide Squad. Avatar (?!).

Staying on ground for midnights and opening day; both have more potential but I rather to underestimate than overestimate. As for opening weekend not sure how high can go because of Sunday.

[Carlangonz]

Seeing a handful more of theatres starting to run shows past midnight for Saturday and Sunday.

Edited April 22, 2019 by Carlangonz

[Purple Minion]

Based on the samples from 5 markets (Cinepolis & Cinemex shows x average of occupied seats x average ticket price), these are my totally unscientific, just for fun predictions for Endgame.

 

OD: 198.4M lc (low end); 208.8M lc (median); 224.5M lc (high end)

OW, using IW's multiplier: 533.7M lc (low end); 561.7M lc (median); 603.9M (high end)

OW, frontloaded: 496.0M lc (low end); 522.0M lc (median); 561.25M (high end)

 

ER is 18.8 at the moment, which would result in these ranges: $10.5-$11.9M OD / $26.4-$32.1M OW.

As comparison, IW opened to 171.8M/462.9M lc, 8.1M tickets sold.

[Carlangonz]

2 hours ago, Purple Minion said:

OD: 198.4M lc (low end); 208.8M lc (median); 224.5M lc (high end)

OW, using IW's multiplier: 533.7M lc (low end); 561.7M lc (median); 603.9M (high end)

OW, frontloaded: 496.0M lc (low end); 522.0M lc (median); 561.25M (high end)

I have same lows but higher ceilings.

[Purple Minion]

Ceilings as high as... El Macho? Scrat 4? Even... The Two Marthas?

[Carlangonz]

1 hour ago, Purple Minion said:

Ceilings as high as... El Macho? Scrat 4? Even... The Two Marthas?

🤐 Let's wait for first figures to show up. 

[Carlangonz]

Entire schedule has showed up for Perisur, they've booked 61 shows for opening day including IMAX, 4DX and VIP and that's not including the midnights and 4:00 AM shows. They also have nearly sold-out the midnight show for Saturday on their 4DX auditorium.

[Carlangonz]

With CM opening to $245M and now Endgame potentially opening with $550M+ I wonder if it's time to see a new $300M+ opener -first time for a non-Marvel title-, summer is going to be exciting!

[HouseOfTheSun]

37 minutes ago, Carlangonz said:

With CM opening to $245M and now Endgame potentially opening with $550M+ I wonder if it's time to see a new $300M+ opener -first time for a non-Marvel title-, summer is going to be exciting!

Best contenders? Lion King/Godzilla?

[Carlangonz]

2 hours ago, HouseOfTheSun said:

Best contenders? Lion King/Godzilla?

Toy Story 4 if lives up to hype. Curious on Lion King and Far From Home. 

[Carlangonz]

# of shows for OD 

W/o midnights/Incl. midnights

Perisur. 61/84

Buenavista*. 48/65

Universidad*. 44/63

Galerías Guadalajara*. 50/72

Tlaquepaque*. 43/59

Angelópolis*. 56/85

Galerías Pachuca*. 56/90

Plaza Aragón. 47/70

 

* - Yet to add more shows.

[Legion Again]

4 hours ago, Carlangonz said:

With CM opening to $245M and now Endgame potentially opening with $550M+ I wonder if it's time to see a new $300M+ opener -first time for a non-Marvel title-, summer is going to be exciting!

So Endgame will double the highest non-Marvel OW?    

 

Spoiler

Same as WW  

 

[Purple Minion]

I think the 3-day OW record outside SH movies is Minions with 249.5M lc (4-day went up to 306.6M lc) So yes, there's a chance Endgame will double that.

 

Feels like by releasing on Friday we're missing half of the Endgame box office fun!

 

Edited April 24, 2019 by Purple Minion

[Carlangonz]

CINEMEX PRESALES. MIDNIGHT SHOWS. 31 HOURS BEFORE RELEASE.

 

 

• 86.68% above Infinity War at the same point before opening. 
• 88 shows booked past 3:30 AM.
• 2,166 sellouts for OD, including midnights. 

[Legion Again]

I.... I... That...    

 

... How?