Mexico Box Office | Garfield scratches great $8.4M 6-day OW; safe $2.5M start for The Fall Guy

[Carlangonz]

Wonderful for Anyone but You, big success for a foreign rom-com. Also pretty well for Poor Things; comp with TSOW is actually funny as I remember that one got expansions on screens day after day because shows were selling way better than expected and it was similar for this one as well; we'll see how far reception takes it but is already Yorgos' highest grossing film.

 

[Carlangonz]

JANUARY 25-28 WEEKEND. 

1. Anyone but You - $26.5M/$60.7M (+17.26%)
2. Poor Things - $20.8M 

3. El Roomie - $16.1M/$48.2M (-31.2%)
4. The Lost Kingdom - $9.6M/$371.6M (-32.39%) 

5. Wonka - $8.5M/$447.6M (-24.78%)

6. Concrete Utopia - $8M 

7. The Beekeper - $6.8M/$53.9M (-45.16%)

8. Godzilla: Minus One - $5.6M/$95.2M (-17.65%)

9. Anatomy of a Fall - $4.8M

10. Mean Girls - $4.7M/$55.7M (-58.04%)

 

Once again, kudos to Anyone but You as it now will be the first $100M+ grosser of the year and only one for January saving some face. It is now unpredictable with February 24th in a few weeks and lack of direct competition. It would be the biggest non-local romance title since Fifty Shades Freed; or Overboard if you take it.

Poor Things off to a great start welcoming its awards and Oscar nominations plus Emma Stone mojo. It has already surpassed The Favourite's entire run and we'll see if WOM keeps nurturing a leggy run past $50M.

The Lost Kingdom and Wonka remain strong barely losing ground with the latter already available on PVOD. Aquaman still with chances to surpass The Nun II but it'll be quite close.

Godzilla is finishing just shy of $100M as it will end its run on Jan 31st with an estimated $97M. Distributor could still surprise with Minus Color in orden to pull the milestone but remains to be determined.

Good for Anatomy of a Fall on its limited release. It will beat what Banshees of Inisherin did last year with less screens than that one. Now wondering what would've happened if Universal had let The Holdovers to go wide; wasted opportunity. 

[Carlangonz]

As Minus One farewells as the 4th highest grossing Japanese title ever, Sony/Crunchy have just announced the release of Demon Slayer's new entry To the Hashira Training scheduled for February 22nd with tickets going on sale on the 9th.

Madame Web tickets go on sale this Thursday as it opens wide on February 14th. The Marvels/Blue Beetle numbers shall be the target.

Denis Villeneuve, Timothee Chalamet, Zendaya, Austin Butler, Josh Brolin and Florence Pugh are coming to promote Dune: Part II next Tuesday. It'll be the largest red carpet event in a long time; probably since Coco's Mexico City premiere or Batman v Superman. No details on tickets going on sale yet but Warner is showing a lot of faith into it. 

[Purple Minion]

Argylle #1 with $1.3M.

[BOfficeStats]

How are Madame Web's presales?

[Purple Minion]

Deadline is now reporting that Anyone But You repeated at #1, for a fantastic $5.3M total!

 

Other cumes: Wonka $26.4M, Poor Things $2.9M.

[Carlangonz]

FEBRUARY 01-04 WEEKEND. 

 

1. Argylle - $22.5M
2. Anyone but You - $20.8M/$92.1M (-21.51%)

3. Poor Things - $16.5M/$50.8M (-20.67%)

4. El Roomie - $10.1M/$63.8M (-37.27%)

5. Past Lives - $8.5M

6. The Lost Kingdom - $7.2M/$381.7M (-25%)

7. Wonka - $6.4M/$456.2M (-24.71%)

8. Concrete Utopia - $3.9M/$14.7M (-51.25%)

9. Migration - $3.7M/$145.4M (-2.64%)

10. Shepherd - $3.4M 

Sony overestimated Anyone but You but still a marvelous hold and still over $20M for the third weekend. It'll easily pass $100M by tomorrow with today's holiday and still no direct competition for the coming weeks! Shall be the biggest hit for a foreign romantic title since 2016's Me Before You which went over $200M.

Argylle did just bad; on par with Beekeper but a seemingly more audience-friendly premise and bigger efforts from its distributor. Will fade quickly.

Another great weekend for Poor Things which is hanging well on theaters and becoming quite a hit. It'll easily stay as the 3rd highest grossing Best Picture nominee this year behind Barbenheimer and top some other previous winners and nominees like Green Book, A Star is Born, Everything Everywhere All at Once and Emma Stone's own darling La La Land.

Great debut for Past Lives; nearly double of last weekend's Anatomy of a Fall with a slightly bigger distribution effort. December hits Wonka, Aquaman and Migration continue to put out some good numbers; Wonka is going to finish quite close to San Andreas' tally and Aquaman is looking to pass The Nun II's gross by next week.

[Carlangonz]

17 hours ago, BOfficeStats said:

How are Madame Web's presales?

Quite poor tbf so won't start tracking until T-7 or T-5

[Purple Minion]

CANACINE's weekly figures probably include Feb 5 (Bank Holiday), Anyone But You is now at 99.7M lc and 1.3M tickets. Local movie El Roomie also reached 1M audience with a 67.7M lc gross.

 

Poor Things and Wonka's totals are incorrect, let's see if they fix them.

[Issac Newton]

Spy × Family Code: White

 

25 April, 2024 across all LATAM Countries while Ecuador &Venezuela arrives at 26th April. No dates for Brazil.

Edited February 7 by Issac Newton

[Carlangonz]

QUICK PRE-SALES REPORT. OPENING DAY ONLY - NO PREVIEWS FOR NEITHER.

Madame Web (T-5) - 367/18,544 (1.98% occupancy) 
Demon Slayer: Kimetsu No Yaiba (T-13) - 5,202/19,436 (26.76% occupancy)
Dune: Part II (T-20) - 374/15,419 (2.43% occupancy)

Kimetsu No Yaiba is blowing out every single title in presales since The Eras Tour and while won't reach those heights; it's safe to say it'll keep the insane levels already set by To the Swordsmith Village last year. Sony is going more ambitious this time playing it on the biggest auditoriums plus a release on IMAX, 4DX and PLFs; neither of which happened for previous Demon Slayer entries, at least not from the start.

Madame Web is lagging behind both Aquaman and Captain Marvel at similar points; about half from the former and 15% behind the latter. Pace is all matters now but is looking like a debut on the $50M ballpark considering is getting a 5-Day release.

Dune II is doing just okay. Not expecting this to break-out but rather a decent performance akin to Death Reckoning with a bit better legs considering it'll play during holidays and won't get any big competition until Godzilla/Kong team up. Maybe a $60M opening/$180M total scenario.

Edited February 10 by Carlangonz

[TheTom]

1 hour ago, Carlangonz said:

QUICK PRE-SALES REPORT. OPENING DAY ONLY - NO PREVIEWS FOR NEITHER.

Madame Web (T-5) - 367/18,544 (1.98% occupancy) 
Demon Slayer: Kimetsu No Yaiba (T-13) - 5,202/19,436 (26.76% occupancy)
Dune: Part II (T-20) - 374/15,419 (2.43% occupancy)

Kimetsu No Yaiba is blowing out every single title in presales since The Eras Tour and while won't reach those heights; it's safe to say it'll keep the insane levels already set by To the Swordsmith Village last year. Sony is going more ambitious this time playing it on the biggest auditoriums plus a release on IMAX, 4DX and PLFs; neither of which happened for previous Demon Slayer entries, at least not from the start.

Madame Web is lagging behind both Aquaman and Captain Marvel at similar points; about half from the former and 15% behind the latter. Pace is all matters now but is looking like a debut on the $50M ballpark considering is getting a 5-Day release.

Dune II is doing just okay. Not expecting this to break-out but rather a decent performance akin to Death Reckoning with a bit better legs considering it'll play during holidays and won't get any big competition until Godzilla/Kong team up. Maybe a $60M opening/$180M total scenario.

If it’s now 15% away from The Marvels  (which debuted with 50M-ish) and 50% away from Aquaman 2 (Which debuted with 80M-ish), how is it possible you project it to make over 50M in OW?????
 

Does this mean its pace right now is better than The Marvels and Aquaman and so you’re seeing it shrinking the difference and potentially matching or surpassing The Marvels OW????? I’m curious because in American pre sales it opened with the comparisons putting it behind, but it still having a better pace, and now it’s surpassing the comps for having a better pace.

 

I don’t know about Mexico, but in America it opened much closer to the release date than the others recent superhero movies, so the day to day comparisons have distortions because for example the Aquaman T 5 had more days selling tickets.

 

I’m just curious to know if same kind of thing is happening in Mexico as well. Because by your projection it seems you’re seeing it with a better pace than The Marvel and Aquaman, and so it’s able to shrink the distance to them.

[Carlangonz]

6 hours ago, TheTom said:

If it’s now 15% away from The Marvels  (which debuted with 50M-ish) and 50% away from Aquaman 2 (Which debuted with 80M-ish), how is it possible you project it to make over 50M in OW?????

Like I said, there's a distortion on the comps because this one is getting an extra day which I'm already considering but is taking away a proper comparison to those two (T-6 for Marvels/Aquaman and T-5 for Web)

[TheTom]

4 hours ago, Carlangonz said:

Like I said, there's a distortion on the comps because this one is getting an extra day which I'm already considering but is taking away a proper comparison to those two (T-6 for Marvels/Aquaman and T-5 for Web)

Does it have now a better pre sales pace than The Marvels and Aquaman????? This is why you’re seeing it diminishing the 15% and 50% difference????? Considering the T 5 difference you reported, it’d need a better pace than Marvels and Aquaman to achieve those over 50M you’re projecting 

 

I’m just curious

 

Edited February 10 by TheTom

[Purple Minion]

Mexico Box Office 2023

 

CANACINE published 2023's Annual Results. Highlights:

• 4th biggest market worldwide in audience. 233M tickets sold, 28% higher than 2022, however 33% less than 2019.
• 9th biggest box worldwide office market (up one place from 2022). 15.59 billion pesos ($920M), a 29% increase on 2022 but still 18% behind 2019.
• 4th place worldwide in number of screens (7,241)
• 10th cheapest tickets worldwide, ATP = 66.89 lc  ($3.95)
• Bonus: 6th largest Netflix market in the world, 24% of subscribers in Latin America

Top 3 movies were Super Mario, Barbie and Fast X. Top 3 distributors were Universal (26% of market share), WB (20%) and Disney (17%).

 

https://canacine.org.mx/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/Resultados-de-industria-2023.pdf

[Carlangonz]

2 hours ago, TheTom said:

Does it have now a better pre sales pace than The Marvels and Aquaman????? This is why you’re seeing it diminishing the 15% and 50% difference????? Considering the T 5 difference you reported, it’d need a better pace than Marvels and Aquaman to achieve those over 50M you’re projecting 

 

Can't tell about sales because I won't update until T-2 but I do expect it to have better pace because these Sony Marvel movies (except Spidey himself) act less front-loaded and with less fan-rush; plus Valentine's Day benefiting it. Still we have to wait to see WOM which could still make it crumble past Day 1.
 

[Carlangonz]

1 hour ago, Purple Minion said:

Mexico Box Office 2023

 

CANACINE published 2023's Annual Results. Highlights:

• 4th biggest market worldwide in audience. 233M tickets sold, 28% higher than 2022, however 33% less than 2019.
• 9th biggest box worldwide office market (up one place from 2022). 15.59 billion pesos ($920M), a 29% increase on 2022 but still 18% behind 2019.
• 4th place worldwide in number of screens (7,241)
• 10th cheapest tickets worldwide, ATP = 66.89 lc  ($3.95)
• Bonus: 6th largest Netflix market in the world, 24% of subscribers in Latin America

Top 3 movies were Super Mario, Barbie and Fast X. Top 3 distributors were Universal (26% of market share), WB (20%) and Disney (17%).

 

https://canacine.org.mx/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/Resultados-de-industria-2023.pdf

Little by little coming back to 2017-2018 levels in lc; great news. We have to acknowledge 2019 as an outlier even despite pandemic.

New record for number of screens and ticket price average but a more stable increase compared to previous year-to-year increases.

Cool data about Netflix, I remember to have seen back in 2019 that were around 8M accounts. Both Disney+ and HBO Max must be around 2M each.

[Flip]

1 hour ago, Purple Minion said:

Mexico Box Office 2023

 

CANACINE published 2023's Annual Results. Highlights:

• 4th biggest market worldwide in audience. 233M tickets sold, 28% higher than 2022, however 33% less than 2019.
• 9th biggest box worldwide office market (up one place from 2022). 15.59 billion pesos ($920M), a 29% increase on 2022 but still 18% behind 2019.
• 4th place worldwide in number of screens (7,241)
• 10th cheapest tickets worldwide, ATP = 66.89 lc  ($3.95)
• Bonus: 6th largest Netflix market in the world, 24% of subscribers in Latin America

Top 3 movies were Super Mario, Barbie and Fast X. Top 3 distributors were Universal (26% of market share), WB (20%) and Disney (17%).

 

https://canacine.org.mx/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/Resultados-de-industria-2023.pdf

has ATP been rising in recent years or has it been steady?

[Purple Minion]

1 hour ago, Flip said:

has ATP been rising in recent years or has it been steady?

 

It has gone up in lc and (due to great ER in the last 12 months) also in USD. Here's the info from CANACINE's 2022 report, legend says "Average Ticket Price (in Mexican pesos)".

 

 

 

[Purple Minion]

Totals based on wknd estimates: Anyone But You $6.8M, first movie in 2024 to cross 100M lc; Argylle, a meh $2.6M; Wonka, a fab $27M; Migration reached $8 8M  and Poor Things had a great 30% drop for a $4.2M cume.