Purple Minion Posted December 13, 2019 Author Share Posted December 13, 2019 (edited) Weekdays! Frozen 2 up to 433.9M lc (about $22.5M) after a $1.1M M-Thu. Enters 2019's Top 10 and the all-time Top 50 in lc. $750K for Jumanji 2 Thu night previews, pointing to a potential $6M OW. Maleficent 2 this close to half a billion! 497.3M lc. Edited December 13, 2019 by Purple Minion 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 22 hours ago, Purple Minion said: $750K for Jumanji 2 Thu night previews, pointing to a potential $6M OW. More like $4.2M-$4.7M. Another step drop for Frozen 2. $500M still not looking good. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted December 15, 2019 Author Share Posted December 15, 2019 (edited) $4.8M OW for Jumanji 2, bit underwhelming. $23.8M total for Frozen 2, 455-460M lc. Deadline mentioned a sub-50 decrease. Edited December 15, 2019 by Purple Minion 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted December 16, 2019 Author Share Posted December 16, 2019 (edited) Jumanji 2 was underestimated, OW with previews = $5.0M, 95.8M lc. Still in the lower end of expectations. Top Movies 2019 lc 08 498,700,000 Maleficent: Mistress of Evil 09 462,600,000 Frozen 2 Edited December 16, 2019 by Purple Minion 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mau Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 4 hours ago, Purple Minion said: Jumanji 2 was underestimated, OW with previews = $5.0M, 95.8M lc. Still in the lower end of expectations. Top Movies 2019 lc 08 498,700,000 Maleficent: Mistress of Evil 09 462,600,000 Frozen 2 500 lc still possible for frozen 2, with holidays? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 6 hours ago, Mau said: 500 lc still possible for frozen 2, with holidays? Very likely. It makes it if follows Ralph Breaks the Internet and that one had way more and stronger competition. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 DECEMBER 12TH-15TH WEEKEND. THE NEXT LEVEL LEADS THE CHART BEFORE HOLIDAYS START AND ELSA & ANNA CLEARS THE PATH TOWARDS $500M LC. Jumanji: The Next Level - No fair comps for this one. Opens above past Jumaji but that had a deflated Sunday due to Christmas’ Eve. Aquaman opened with nearly double amount and Bumblebee and Into the Spiderverse had a 5-Day start. - Holidays are around the corner and by Friday 100% of schools should be off labor. The period should give a nice boost and legs to the film just like it happened for the past Jumanji and last winter’s hit Aquaman. $300M+ in sight and good retention from Welcome to the Jungle. Frozen 2 - Past week passed It: Chapter 2 as the 8th highest grosser of the year. Right now it aims at $500M+ finish and over 40% from Walt Disney Animation Studios second highest grosser (Ralph Breaks the Internet). Maleficent: Mistress of Evil - I’ll dig a bit more but no movie during 2017-2019 achieved more than 8 weeks on Top 10. This one is been 9 weekends by now. # MOVIE WEEKEND % CHANGE TOTAL (MXN) TOTAL (USD) ADM. TOTAL ADM. 1 Jumanji: The Next Level $81.2 $95.8 $5.02 1.4 1.6 2 Frozen 2 $28.6 -47,42% $462.6 $23.76 558.7K 8.6 3 Last Christmas $10.3 -35,49% $36.9 $1.92 155K 622.8K 4 Knives Out $9.4 -41,11% $41 $2.12 133.3K 614.9K 5 Guadalupe Reyes $4.9 -51,81% $55.6 $2.87 86.4K 1 6 Ford v Ferrari $2.4 -52,00% $94.6 $4.88 29.4K 1.4 7 21 Bridges $2 -60,00% $9.8 $510K 34.3K 185.6K 8 Official Secrets $1.5 $1.7 $89K 15.3K 17.8K 9 Maleficent: Mistress of Evil $1.3 -55,17% $498.7 $25.91 30.7K 9.3 10 Zombieland: Double Tap $696.2K -56,48% $55.9 $2.77 13.1K 1 This Thursday opens: Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker (Midnight), Doblemente Embarazada, Black Christmas, The Good Liar and Le Meilleur Reste à Venir. 3 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 At Cinemex, The Rise of Skywalker is outselling Joker and It: Chapter 2 at the same point before release (only a day of difference with Joker) and midnights are pretty much where Joker's were the afternoon before opening. This is by no means a sign of a $250M+ opening for Episode IX but puts into perspective how presale-heavy is Star Wars and how much it leans into midnight shows. Back in 2015, The Force Awakens smashed Age of Ultron entire advanced sales yet it opened with about half gross. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mau Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 19 hours ago, Carlangonz said: At Cinemex, The Rise of Skywalker is outselling Joker and It: Chapter 2 at the same point before release (only a day of difference with Joker) and midnights are pretty much where Joker's were the afternoon before opening. This is by no means a sign of a $250M+ opening for Episode IX but puts into perspective how presale-heavy is Star Wars and how much it leans into midnight shows. Back in 2015, The Force Awakens smashed Age of Ultron entire advanced sales yet it opened with about half gross. I guess frozen is losing so many screens this thursday and when spies in desguise open Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 30 minutes ago, Mau said: I guess frozen is losing so many screens this thursday and when spies in desguise open That movie opens until next Wednesday. And I wouldn't be concerned with screens this weekend either. TROS is barely playing over 2,500 screens which is by far the lowest opening for Disney this year and the second lowest for the saga (Disney era) after Solo. Will have pretty much the same number of screens as Jumanji and this benefits Frozen 2. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted December 17, 2019 Author Share Posted December 17, 2019 3 minutes ago, Carlangonz said: TROS is barely playing over 2,500 screens which is by far the lowest opening for Disney this year and the second lowest for the saga (Disney era) after Solo Just checked the Cinepolis shows at my old hometown (500,000-people city) and Jumanji and TROS have about the same # of shows on Fri. The force is not strong with this one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 What are you expecting for OW and final box office for SW9 in Mexico ? Do you think that SW9<SW8 here ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 (edited) 14 hours ago, LPLC said: What are you expecting for OW and final box office for SW9 in Mexico ? Do you think that SW9 About the same as TLJ ($6.5M-$6.8M OW/$13M+ total). Conditions are better than the ones for TLJ and RO as the ticket prices are higher and ER is better now than back in December 2017 and December 2016 but buzz isn't there. Only SW niche can save this. Edited December 18, 2019 by Carlangonz 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted December 19, 2019 Author Share Posted December 19, 2019 No change in the # of theatres for SW9 vs Jumanji 2 in the middle-tier cities I checked, they're neck and neck. Tickets for Chewbacca & co are much higher. Pre-sales for Thu evening so far weaker than expected... really hope its OW can match TLJ. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted December 20, 2019 Share Posted December 20, 2019 7 hours ago, Purple Minion said: No change in the # of theatres for SW9 vs Jumanji 2 in the middle-tier cities I checked, they're neck and neck. Tickets for Chewbacca & co are much higher. Pre-sales for Thu evening so far weaker than expected... really hope its OW can match TLJ. Unfortunately (and expected) sales for midnights couldn't keep the pace of the likes such as It 2 (and Joker but that was more back-loaded) so not a good sign for OD considering midnights typically account for about 40% of previous SW opening days. Also Jumanji 2 is keeping the largest auditoriums at most of theatres. Other red flag there. I'm being positive on the USD gross given the 10% inflation on ticket price and the better ER compared to the previous holidays (2016, 2017 and 2018) but admissions and lc are definitely taking a hit. Seeing it closer to RO than TLJ. 2 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bart Allen Posted December 20, 2019 Share Posted December 20, 2019 3 hours ago, Carlangonz said: Unfortunately (and expected) sales for midnights couldn't keep the pace of the likes such as It 2 (and Joker but that was more back-loaded) so not a good sign for OD considering midnights typically account for about 40% of previous SW opening days. Also Jumanji 2 is keeping the largest auditoriums at most of theatres. Other red flag there. I'm being positive on the USD gross given the 10% inflation on ticket price and the better ER compared to the previous holidays (2016, 2017 and 2018) but admissions and lc are definitely taking a hit. Seeing it closer to RO than TLJ. Wowers haha :3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Marston Posted December 20, 2019 Share Posted December 20, 2019 13 hours ago, Carlangonz said: Unfortunately (and expected) sales for midnights couldn't keep the pace of the likes such as It 2 (and Joker but that was more back-loaded) so not a good sign for OD considering midnights typically account for about 40% of previous SW opening days. Also Jumanji 2 is keeping the largest auditoriums at most of theatres. Other red flag there. I'm being positive on the USD gross given the 10% inflation on ticket price and the better ER compared to the previous holidays (2016, 2017 and 2018) but admissions and lc are definitely taking a hit. Seeing it closer to RO than TLJ. Mexico - $2.4M for TROS 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted December 20, 2019 Share Posted December 20, 2019 (edited) 1 hour ago, John Marston said: Mexico - $2.4M for TROS $45M lc/576K admissions+15% from TLJ in USD+13.6% in MXN-4% in admissions ATP is up from TLJ by +18% ER is 0.8% better Solid result considering how is behaving in most places. 4-Day Weekend shall go towards $135M-$140M ($7.1M-$7.4M) Edited December 20, 2019 by Carlangonz 5 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted December 20, 2019 Share Posted December 20, 2019 Hi, this OD looks really strong for SW9, what is your expectations about OW and lifetime forecast ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted December 20, 2019 Author Share Posted December 20, 2019 Frozen 2 now Top 40 all time in lc 38 485,873,912 Inside Out (2015) 39 485,214,287 Spider-Man: Homecoming (2017) 40 476,100,000 Frozen 2 (2019) 41 475,616,865 Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015) 42 471,835,362 Justice League (2017) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...