Mexico Box Office | Kongzilla repeats on top, Civil War and Abigail underperform

[Carlangonz]

2 hours ago, Purple Minion said:

That's not good for Pika Pika, may not reach $10M... seems to be struggling OS.

I mean it could go up towards $70M territory but OD is already front-loaded from previews so that's why I'm keeping it there. Like someone already pointed out in the weekend thread: there's interest on Detective Pikachu as a character (adorable, funny, meme material) but not on Detective Pikachu as a movie. That's happening everywhere and is why many of us were misleaded on the potential of the film.

[Carlangonz]

Weekend looking to be stronger for Top 3. Endgame and Dulce Familia being the most benefited; $85M+ and $65M+ respectively.

 

Pika-Pika still the wildcard competing for No. 2 with the local title but previews should give it the advantage. 

Edited May 12, 2019 by Carlangonz

[Purple Minion]

85M lc for Endgame = brilliant, $4.5M would push it very close to $70M.

[Purple Minion]

Disney is reporting $69.7M total for Endgame, about 1325M lc.

[Purple Minion]

And $5.0M OW for Detective Pikachu, may have grabbed the #1 spot after all.

[salvador-232]

You guys basically danced conga around DP numbers when your first impressions: 

On 5/9/2019 at 10:57 PM, Carlangonz said:

Expecting $4M-$5M from previews. That would bode well for a $100M+ opening.

Were basically spot on.

 

[Purple Minion]

Deadline confirmed Pika was #1:

Mexico ($4.97%/ 2,686 screens) won the top spot and bested comps.

[Carlangonz]

Nuts for Pika-Pika. Very front-loaded OD from previews but then OW from OD behaves like an animation. Wonder how it'll leg on the entire run.

[Purple Minion]

Well well, looks like Team Rocket was meddling with the box office. Detective Pikachu may have been overestimated, Canacine is reporting 78.1M lc weekend for a 82.7M lc total (including Thu previews). That'd be about $4.3M.  That means Endgame repeated at #1 with a 1,326M lc total, 21.7M tickets sold.

Edited May 13, 2019 by Purple Minion

[Carlangonz]

MAY 10-12 WEEKEND. ENDGAME BEATS DETECTIVE PIKACHU AFTER A VERY CLOSE WEEKEND. LOCAL RELEASE DULCE FAMILIA OPENS SOLID AMIDST MOTHER’S DAY HOLIDAY.

 

Avengers: Endgame

- Now is the highest grossing movie ever in USD beating Toy Story 3 by a difference of nearly $7M. Should pass $70M as late as tomorrow.

- First title ever to surpass $1.3B lc topping Infinity War’s previous record by 16.30%. Final figure looking to $1,455M-$1,465M.

- Now is the second biggest movie in admissions, ahead of Infinity War (21.5M) but below Coco (24.03M). Should land with 24M-24.3M at the end of its run.

 

 Detective Pikachu

- Opened 15.37% above Ready Player One and 4.62% ahead of Bumblebee. Next weekend faces Uglydolls but that shouldn’t concern, and the week after Pikachu is being challenged by Aladdin which could limit his numbers.

 

#	TITLE	WEEKEND	% CHANGE	TOTAL (MXN)	TOTAL (USD)	ADM.	TOTAL ADM.
1	Avengers: Endgame	$82	-59,50%	$1,327.2	$69.30	1.4	21.7
2	Detective Pikachu	$78.9		$83.5	$4.35	1.4	1.4
3	Dulce Familia	$46.9		$46.9	$2.45	842.7K	842.7K
4	Us	$6.5	-52,55%	$27.6	$1.42	101.8K	464.2K
5	No Manches Frida 2: Paraìso Destruido	$6.3	-53,33%	$321.4	$16.78	120.8K	6.4
6	Long Shot	$5	-56,52%	$23.2	$1.20	65.3K	366.2K
7	The Curse of la Llorona	$4.8	-57,52%	$199.1	$10.40	94.6K	3.8
8	What They Had	$2.6		$2.6	$135K	28.5K	28.5K
9	Air Strike	$1.6	-69,23%	$9.8	$502K	29.4K	195.6K
10	He's Out There	$1.4		$1.4	$73K	28.2K	28.2K

 

This Friday opens: John Wick: Parabellum (Thursday night previews), A Dog’s Journey, Uglydolls, Brightburn, The Aftermath, Un Couteau Dans Le Coeur, El Sueño de Mara ‘Akame and Desde Tu Infierno.

[Carlangonz]

In the last four days tickets have gone on sale for:

• John Wick: Parabellum
• Aladdin
• Dark Phoenix

John Wick 3 is been selling good for premium shows (VIPs) at main cities. It'll play without 3D, 4D, PLF and IMAX, also it got a C rating (18+) nevertheless it has created a devoted fan-base and aims $20M+ OW but could do more if keeps pace.

 

Aladdin is opening without Thursday previews or midnights. Pre-sales have been so-so, expecting it to be walk-up based for regular shows and premium formats should pick up the upcoming weeks. Staying with $120M-$130M opening but if buzz increases could go north $150M+. Social media activity is very strong, later this week Mena Massoud and Naomi Scott will hold a junket and fan-event in Mexico City.

 

Dark Phoenix just started today and could pick up steam after today's junket and event with Jessica Chastain and Sophie Turner. Expecting a $110M+ opening at the moment.

King of Monsters tickets should go on sale real soon, waiting other $100M opening from it.

Disney is going to start presales for Toy Story 4 in about two weeks, TV spots have begun to show up and Cinèpolis launches its merchandise next week. Expecting Thursday previews starting 9:00 PM like Incredibles 2 and a race for #2 of summer against Far From Home.

[Purple Minion]

La Llorona crawled all the way to 200M lc, scarily good legs! Frida 2 is also doing great, but may not reach Nosotros Los Nobles for the #2 position.

 

Have a good feeling for the Disney releases. The last X-Men movie was a let-down box-office wise, so no idea if Dark Phoenix will rebound.

 

 

[Carlangonz]

On 5/14/2019 at 4:54 AM, Purple Minion said:

Frida 2 is also doing great, but may not reach Nosotros Los Nobles for the #2 position.

Even if doesn't make it that run is insane. Is $100M above first Frida and is been immune to weeping ladies, Earth Mightiest Heroes and Pokemons. 

 

On 5/14/2019 at 4:54 AM, Purple Minion said:

The last X-Men movie was a let-down box-office wise, so no idea if Dark Phoenix will rebound.

They've been consistent here so I wouldn't worry.

[Carlangonz]

This weekend's scheduling is very strange: Pika-Pika has lost the 4D and PLFs, instead they're going to be shared by Endgame and John Wick 3. But then Endgame is losing IMAX screens to Pika-Pika. 

 

Overall this week most of titles are very close on screen count. Endgame and Pikachu at 1,200+ screens. Dulce Familia, John Wick 3, Brightburn and A Dog's Journey at 800+ screens each. 

[Stewart]

4 minutes ago, Carlangonz said:

This weekend's scheduling is very strange: Pika-Pika has lost the 4D and PLFs, instead they're going to be shared by Endgame and John Wick 3. But then Endgame is losing IMAX screens to Pika-Pika. 

 

Overall this week most of titles are very close on screen count. Endgame and Pikachu at 1,200+ screens. Dulce Familia, John Wick 3, Brightburn and A Dog's Journey at 800+ screens each. 

This actually makes a bit of sense, I think in Japan Pika is getting IMAX this weekend as well iirc.

 

So perhaps IMAX has a deal that gets Pika the screens this weekend, due to Endgame hogging? Then Cinemas would take away Pika's other PLFs in favour of Wick as that's the new release?

 

Maybe this is nonsensical speculation, but I can see a flicker of logic somewhere there 

[Carlangonz]

On 5/15/2019 at 8:35 AM, Stewart said:

So perhaps IMAX has a deal that gets Pika the screens this weekend, due to Endgame hogging? Then Cinemas would take away Pika's other PLFs in favour of Wick as that's the new release?

It doesn't make much sense to me tbh. Most theatres are removing Pika-Pika from their biggest auditoriums and giving them back to Endgame so I don't know why give all the IMAX shows right away to DP instead of just share them with Endgame. Doesn't make sense based on demand. 

 

Also is quite strange they do the IMAX DMR for a movie only in a few countries. Although not the first time, Coco had IMAX release here (I think in China too) but it wasn't the case in the US.

 

As for John Wick 3 the split makes sense because they're putting it on the late evening-night shows so there's not much effect on Endgame or Pikachu.

[Carlangonz]

Hearing positive words from Aladdin premiere held yesterday. Disney ramping up buzz for next week opening. 

 

All four 2019's Disney live-action releases potentially over $400M ($20M USD). Insane! 

[Yandereprime101189]

That's a tad surprising 

Edited May 16, 2019 by Yandereprime101189

[Carlangonz]

$3M from Thursday night previews for John Wick! Could challenge $50M+ opening! Above John Wick 2 lifetime! 

[Carlangonz]

If Parabellum follows Glass (devoted fan-base, adult skewed) then it would gross $53M on FSS frame and $56M including previews, which is astonishing for a C rated film; only under Logan and two Fifty Shadows titles. My only concern are screens but if demand keeps then it'll start to steal screens from Llorona, Frida and Brightburn.

 

Weekend is going to be a triple threat match for #1 between Endgame, Pikachu and John Wick 3.