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ELEMENTAL | 342.0M overseas | 496.4M worldwide

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On 8/12/2023 at 11:00 AM, cannastop said:

Edited this post to reflect the actuals of the Overseas gross.

After the overseas box office is updated in a few hours we should have a fairly good idea on how Elemental is tracking towards $500m…if Elemental is at $445m to $450m that means a drop of 35% to 25% overseas excluding Japan and indicating it’s well on track for $500m. If it’s below $445m it’s going to be difficult unless Japan has a South Korea run.

Edited by noeliam
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1 hour ago, noeliam said:

After the overseas box office is updated in a few hours we should have a fairly good idea on how Elemental is tracking towards $500m…if Elemental is at $445m to $450m that means a drop of 35% to 25% overseas excluding Japan and indicating it’s well on track for $500m. If it’s below $445m it’s going to be difficult unless Japan has a South Korea run.

 

What time is the overseas box office typically updated? 

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SK dropped >50% this week since the holidays finished, presales are up for the next week though, it should see a nice jump on Liberation Day despite all the new competition. Japan is also on holiday for basically the whole week so even if it drops big this week it should have a much softer drop next week.

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OS Trends -

 

06.18 - $15.0M

06.25 - $55.6M (+40.6M)

07.02 - $98.0M (+42.4M)(+4%)

07.09 - $142.7M (+44.7M)(+5%)

07.16 - $186.4M (+43.7M)(-2%)

07.23 - $219.4M (+33.0M)(-24%)

07.30 - $248.7M (+29.3M) (-11%)

08.06 - $274.3M (+25.6M) (-13%)

08.13 - $291.5 (+17.2M) (-32.8%)

Edited by cannastop
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1 hour ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:

SK dropped >50% this week since the holidays finished, presales are up for the next week though, it should see a nice jump on Liberation Day despite all the new competition. Japan is also on holiday for basically the whole week so even if it drops big this week it should have a much softer drop next week.

Yeah but there could be a nasty typhoon this week in Japan. But next weekend could be alright 

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Pretty steep drop, 500m is looking less likely now. Finally started slowing down in Korea so I guess its legs took a significant hit because of that. Fortunately that piece Jim Morris put out about its profitability has hopefully already quelled the flop discourse.

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2 hours ago, noeliam said:

Close enough to $445m - I still believe in $500m…need the rain to come back to the UK, France and Germany

 

Yeah that was biggest reason for large drops in those countries.  Still amazes me that their b.o is so weather driven - not by hurricanes , tsunamis or blizzards - but by sunshine.

 

 

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