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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

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Once again frozen performance leaves me amazed! :DTracking films once frozen ends will be so boring in comparison :(

 

It'll be interesting to see if there's a "Frozen effect" on the next few WDAS films, especially in countries where WDAS doesn't traditionally do well but saw Frozen enjoy amazing runs.

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It'll be interesting to see if there's a "Frozen effect" on the next few WDAS films, especially in countries where WDAS doesn't traditionally do well but saw Frozen enjoy amazing runs.

 

Isn't BH6 based on a Japanese manga? If the story is strong enough it should do well there :)

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The Frozen Prediction from Japanese Forum

 

(3/14-3/16)  990 m Yen(3/17-3/23)  2 .02b(3/24-3/30)  2 .17b  107% bump

 

The prediction3/31-4/6 90% 1.953b (Spring Break)4/6-4/13 80% 1.562b4/13-4/20 70% 1.093b4/20-4/27 60%   0.655b4/28-5/4 80%   0.524 (GW)5/5-5-11 80%   0.416 (GW)

0.99 | 3.01| 5.28 | 7.23| 8.8| 9.89 | 10.54| 11.07 | 11.48 | ..... 

Final: 12.b Yen

Edited by LABAS
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The Frozen Prediction from Japanese Forum

 

(3/14-3/16)  990 m Yen(3/17-3/23)  2 .02b(3/24-3/30)  2 .17b  107% bump

 

The prediction3/31-4/6 90% 1.953b (Spring Break)4/6-4/13 80% 1.562b4/13-4/20 70% 1.093b4/20-4/27 60%   0.655b4/28-5/4 80%   0.524 (GW)5/5-5-11 80%   0.416 (GW)

0.99 | 3.01| 5.28 | 7.23| 8.8| 9.89 | 10.54| 11.07 | 11.48 | ..... 

Final: 12.b Yen

 

That's actually a pretty conservative prediction and Frozen will still cross 12b Yen with those weekly drops.

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The Frozen Prediction from Japanese Forum

 

(3/14-3/16)  990 m Yen(3/17-3/23)  2 .02b(3/24-3/30)  2 .17b  107% bump

 

The prediction3/31-4/6 90% 1.953b (Spring Break)4/6-4/13 80% 1.562b4/13-4/20 70% 1.093b4/20-4/27 60%   0.655b4/28-5/4 80%   0.524 (GW)5/5-5-11 80%   0.416 (GW)

0.99 | 3.01| 5.28 | 7.23| 8.8| 9.89 | 10.54| 11.07 | 11.48 | ..... 

Final: 12.b Yen

Next week should have larger drop w/o SB, but GW should see a 50% increase. Its close to my table. Ill update after 2200 number.
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So  last Monday's big increase (and all of last week) was attributed to Spring Break, but what's the explanation for the huge increase from a SB day this week? Frozen defies all boxoffice rules and expectations. I honestly thought we'd see flat, or a small decrease this week. :blink:

 

 

Toho

 

first Monday - 19,967last Monday - 28363 (+42%)today - 40807 (+43%)

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Tomorrow the new consumption tax rate will come into effect, so people rush to the movies today. Tomorrow, however, is the discount day so we are likely to see another big bump.

Are people that concerned about saving $1? Here in Canada our discount days are all Tuesdays, with prices about 40% off (full price $11.99, Tuesdays $6.52).

I hate when ticket prices go up, but it doesn't really change my movie plans, I wouldn't go a day earlier to save $1.

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Are people that concerned about saving $1? Here in Canada our discount days are all Tuesdays, with prices about 40% off (full price $11.99, Tuesdays $6.52).

I hate when ticket prices go up, but it doesn't really change my movie plans, I wouldn't go a day earlier to save $1.

Totally agree!!! Here in Spain we have 3 days at only €2.9 (normal price is around €8-€9) starting today and last weekend was the best for 2014 until now... 

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Are people that concerned about saving $1? Here in Canada our discount days are all Tuesdays, with prices about 40% off (full price $11.99, Tuesdays $6.52).

I hate when ticket prices go up, but it doesn't really change my movie plans, I wouldn't go a day earlier to save $1.

 a 10% hike, first hike in 20 years, can have an affect on people.

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2.4-2.5m day. 7x Monday(7x worked the last 2 weeks) would be 17.5 for the midweek. Mon could be inflated pre price hike though.

 

Everyone pays 1100/$11 tomorrow. could see ladies day admission levels, back to back 70k toho admissions/$4m+ days possible and maybe last weeks 13m could be beat. 13m-15m midweek

 

Next weekend's admissions may drop but the hike could make up the dif. 8.5m. 

 

21m-24m is possible, matching or beating the last 7days. Will have to wait til wed to see how it plays out

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Phenom Update. If it holds real well it looks like this. My original prediction was 110m. Im hoping and thinking it has a chance to beat TS3

Lets see how it tracks TS3 which has a 15% currency advantage.  Its got MU beat no need to compare.

With unprecedented consecutive WE increases, we may have a run at the Top Ten.

 

TS3  Frozen

Weekend         Total  Midweek  Weekend  Week Total

$11,156,768   $11,156,768. $7,531,000  $9,731,000 $ 9,731,000

$8,312,960.    $27,090,842.  9,500,000   8,500,000 20,000,000  29,700,000

$6,121,284.    $44,328,765 13,300,000   8,600,000 21,900,000    51,600,000

$7,134,502.    $62,557,777 14,000,000   8,000,000 22,000,000   73,600,000 Est. End SB. 8% hike bumps rev.

$4,864,813.    $76,990,462 7,000,000 7,000,000 14,000,000   87,600,000 Got to hold post SB. Midweek may drop 50%.WE +15%

$6,245,451.    $95,797,512 6,000,000   6,000,000 12,000,000  99,600,000 15% drop

$3,185,494     $107,751,566 5,000,000   4,500,000 9,500,000  109,100,000  Spidey,2 locals compete. -25% WE. Will hold screens.

$2,908,764     $115,404,636 8,000,000   5,000,000 13,000,000  122,100,000  Golden week. Midweek bump 60%+. WE 10%

$1,600,000  $122,700,000 5,000,000   3,000,000 8,000,000  130,100,000  One day of GW on Mon

  $126,660,533   $140,000,000+ ? 20 x OW? Ponyo?

 

Sick projection, but who thought Avatar would do186m after $6.8m third weekend at 50m.

Edited by mfantin65
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Phenom Update. If it holds real well it looks like this. My original prediction was 110m. Im hoping and thinking it has a chance to beat TS3

Lets see how it tracks TS3 which has a 15% currency advantage.  Its got MU beat no need to compare.

With unprecedented consecutive WE increases, we may have a run at the Top Ten.

 

TS3                                              Frozen

Weekend         Total  Weekend Mid Week  Total

$11,156,768   $11,156,768.     $7,531,000   $9,731,000

$8,312,960.    $27,090,842.     $8,500,000    $  9,500,000  $29,700,000

$6,121,284.    $44,328,765 $8,600,000 12,400,000  $51,000,000

$7,134,502.    $62,557,777   $8,000,000 13,000,000  $72,000,000 Est. End SB. 8% hike bumps rev.

$4,864,813.    $76,990,462 $7,000,000   7,000,000  $86,000,000 Got to hold well post SB. Midweek may drop 50%. WE 15%

$6,245,451.    $95,797,512   $6,000,000 6,000,000  $98,000,000 15% drop

$3,185,494     $107,751,566 $4,500,000 5,000,000  $107,500,000 Spidey,2 locals compete. -25% WE. Should hold screens.

$2,908,764     $115,404,636   $5,000,000 8,000,000  $120,500,000 Golden week. Midweek bump 60%+. WE 10%

$1,600,000  $122,700,000 $3,000,000 5,000,000  $128,500,000  One day of GW on Mon

$126,660,533 $140,000,000+ ??? Goldfish?

 

Sick projection, but who thought Avatar would do186m after $6.8m third weekend at 50m.

Actually I like Japan for two reasons: Frozen boxoffice run and Yuko, my wonderful Akita Inu dog.

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