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Presale Numbers 5/17 (Sat) - Toho  some Theaters

 

*Shibuya 

-Today____5/17.. 1168 / 1485 - 78.6%
-Last Sat 5/10...1143 / 1485 - 77%
 
 
*Yurakucho/Hibiya 
-Today___ 5/17... 694 / 3270  - 21.1% 
-Last Sun 5/11...1044 / 3270  - 32%
 
 
*Roppongi Hills 
-Today____5/17....696 / 3687 - 18.8%
-Last Sat 5/10....807 / 4903 - 16.4%
 
 
*Nihonbashi 
-Today____5/17....895 / 4098 - 21.8%
-Last Sat 5/10....850 / 4392 - 19.3%
 
 
*Today Total   5/17...3453 / 12540- 26.5%                
-Last Sunday 5/11...3846 / 9134 - 42.1% (Toho 57118 x14.85)
-Sunday______5/4....7150 / 10106--70.7% (Toho 96537 x13.5)
-Saturday____5/3....5630 / 11864 -47.4% (Toho 82960 x14.7)
 
 
 
*Compare 3 Cinemas [shibuya+Nihonbashi+Roppongi]
 
*Today Total  5/17....2759 /  9270 - 29.7%                
-Sunday____5/11....2802 /  5864 - 47.7% (Toho 57118 x20.38)
-Last Sat  5/10....2800 / 11320 - 24.7% (Toho 50503 x18.03)
-Sunday____5/4.....4858 /  7216 - 67.3% (Toho 96537 x19.87)
-Saturday__5/3.....4611 / 10569 - 43.6% (Toho 82960 x17.99)
Edited by Hans13
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Weekend Forecast [05/17-18]

01 (01) ¥649 million ($6.4 million), -12%, ¥18.40 billion ($180.7 million), Frozen (Disney) Week 10
02 (02) ¥201 million ($2.0 million), -21%, ¥3.50 billion ($34.3 million), Thermae Romae II (Toho) Week 4
03 (03) ¥128 million ($1.2 million), -30%, ¥2.55 billion ($25.1 million), The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (Sony) Week 4
04 (04) ¥126 million ($1.2 million), -26%, ¥3.70 billion ($36.1 million), Detective Conan: The Sniper from Another Dimension(Toho) Week 5
05 (--) ¥90 million ($890,000), 0, Ushijima the Loan Shark 2 (Toho) NEW
06 (05) ¥75 million ($740,000), -31%, ¥1.75 billion ($17.2 million), Partners the Movie 3 (Toei) Week 4
07 (06) ¥71 million ($700,000), -34%, ¥270 million ($2.6 million), Wood Job! (Toho) Week 2
08 (--) ¥65 million ($640,000), 0, Mobile Suit Gundam UC: Episode 7 - Over the Rainbow (Shochiku) NEW
09 (07) ¥61 million ($600,000), -32%, ¥1.55 billion ($15.0 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Serious Battle! Robot Dad Strikes (Toho) Week 5
10 (08) ¥51 million ($500,000), -30%, ¥660 million ($6.4 million), Enchanted Kingdom 3D (Toho-Towa) Week 3


>Frozen exceeded ¥17.6 billion ($173 million) on Thursday to overtake both Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets andBayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! to become the #6 Film of All-Time.

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Corpse:

Most-Consecutive Weeks at #1 [1998-]16 - Spirited Away [July 21-22 to Nov. 03-04] (2001)14 - Armageddon [Dec. 12-13 to Mar. 13-14] (1998-1999)10 - Frozen [Mar. 15-16 to May 17-18] (2014)10 - Avatar [Dec. 26-27 to Feb. 27-28] (2009-2010)9 - Howl's Moving Castle [Nov. 20-21 to Jan. 15-16] (2004-2005)9 - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! [July 19-20 to Sept. 13-14] (2003)9 - Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets [Nov. 23-24 to Jan. 18-19] (2002-2003)9 - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone [Dec. 01-02 to Jan. 26-27] (2001-2002)9 - Star Wars Episode I: The Phantom Menace [July 10-11 to Sept. 04-05] (1999)8 - The Eternal Zero [Dec. 21-22 to Feb. 08-09] (2013-2014)8 - The Wind Rises [July 20-21 to Sept. 07-08] (2013)7 - Alice in Wonderland [Apr. 17-18 to May 29-30] (2010)7 - Hero [sept. 08-09 to Oct. 20-21] (2007)7 - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King [Feb. 14-15 to Mar. 27-28] (2004)7 - Spider-Man [May 11-12 to June 22-23] (2002)6 - Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides [May 21-22 to June 25-26] (2011)6 - Umizaru: The Last Message [sept. 18-19 to Oct. 23-24] (2010)6 - 20th Century Boys: The Last Chapter [Aug. 29-30 to Oct. 03-04] (2009)6 - Ponyo [July 19-20 to Aug. 23-24] (2008)6 - The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe [Mar. 03-04 to Apr. 08-09] (2006) 6 - Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire [Nov. 26-27 to Jan. 07-08] (2005-2006)6 - Star Wars Episode III: Revenge of the Sith [July 09-10 to Aug. 13-14] (2005)6 - Monsters, Inc. [Mar. 09-10 to Apr. 13-14] (2002)6 - The Sixth Sense [Oct. 30-31 to Dec. 04-05] (1999)6 - The Matrix [sept. 11-12 to Oct. 16-17] (1999)6+Frozen will earn its 10th-consecutive week on top this weekend, and will also be #1 next weekend to make it 11-consecutive weeks. And if it holds off All-Around Appraiser Q on May 31st, then it'll be aiming for 12+ straight weeks atop the box-office. And as I've mentioned before, there is potential for it to remain at #1 until July.
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Anyone have an idea how big Godzilla might be in Japan? It's dropping a week after the next Ghibli film, and is followed up two weeks later by Trans4mers. I wonder if the competition might be pretty hefty for it, and if the market isn't especially interested. (Pac Rim only did $14m, and Godzilla: Final Wars did just $12m.)

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Anyone have an idea how big Godzilla might be in Japan? It's dropping a week after the next Ghibli film, and is followed up two weeks later by Trans4mers. I wonder if the competition might be pretty hefty for it, and if the market isn't especially interested. (Pac Rim only did $14m, and Godzilla: Final Wars did just $12m.)

 

like everything else, from corpse:

I think it'll have subdued opening weekend given the reception of the last Hollywood Godzilla film, but will develop good legs and finish with a nice total if the film is good. 

I don't know if I'd expect more than ¥3-4 billion ($30/40 million), though. Godzilla was huge in the 50's and 60's (the franchise has a few films on the Top 50 Most-Attended Films of All-Time), but over time his popularity waned and films from the 80's and 90's all disappointed barely making more than ¥1 billion until the final film, Godzilla: Final Wars, was released in 2004 to disappointing numbers, too.

The new film has a prime release date in late July, in the middle of Summer Vacation and a couple weeks before Obon Week, so that'll help.

And Toho (which produced all 28 Japanese Godzilla films) is part of the production team for the new Godzilla, and they'll be handling the film's distribution in the market rather than Warner Bros. as well. This is a positive that will help the film out I believe, and retaining the original Godzilla's appearance (mostly) may help assure audiences it won't be an abomination like Hollywood's last effort.

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Top 50 Most-Attended Films of All-Time01 :: 23.50 million - Spirited Away (2001)02 :: 19.50 million - Tokyo Olympiad (1965)03 :: 16.83 million - Titanic (1997)04 :: 16.20 million - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (2001)05 :: 15.50 million - Howl's Moving Castle (2004)06 :: 14.20 million - Princess Mononoke (1997)07 :: 14.00 million - Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (2002)08 :: 13.50 million - Frozen (2014) [59 days in release]09 :: 13.00 million - Emperor Meiji and the Great Russo-Japanese War (1958)10 :: 12.87 million - Ponyo (2008)11 :: 12.60 million - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (2003)12 :: 12.55 million - Godzilla vs. King Kong (1962)13 :: 12.10 million - The Last Samurai (2003)14 :: 11.00 million - Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban (2004)15 :: 10.69 million - E.T. the Extra-Terrestrial (1982)16 :: 10.10 million - Avatar (2009)17 :: 9.72 million - The Wind Rises (2013)18 :: 9.61 million - Godzilla (1954)19 :: 9.00 million - Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire (2005)20 :: 8.90 million - Armageddon (1998)21 :: 8.80 million - The Sinking of Japan (1973)22 :: 8.60 million - Finding Nemo (2003)23 :: 8.55 million - Jurassic Park (1993)24 :: 8.40 million - Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End (2007)25 :: 8.34 million - The Return of Godzilla (1955)26 :: 8.30 million - Star Wars Episode I: The Phantom Menace (1999)27 :: 8.00 million - Antarctica (1983)27 :: 8.00 million - The Da Vinci Code (2006)29 :: 7.80 million - Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix (2007)30 :: 7.75 million - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest (2006)31 :: 7.71 million - The Matrix Reloaded (2003)32 :: 7.65 million - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King (2004)33 :: 7.60 million - Monsters, Inc. (2002)34 :: 7.56 million - Arrietty (2010) 35 :: 7.50 million - The Adventures of Milo and Otis (1986)36 :: 7.33 million - The Sands of Kurobe (1968)37 :: 7.30 million - Alice in Wonderland (2010)38 :: 7.20 million - Toy Story 3 (2010)38 :: 7.20 million - Godzilla vs. Mothra (1964)40 :: 7.10 million - Bayside Shakedown (1998)41 :: 7.09 million - The Eternal Zero (2013) [21 weeks in release]42 :: 7.05 million - Monsters University (2013)43 :: 7.02 million - A.I. (2001) 44 :: 7.00 million - Seven Samurai (1954)45 :: 6.95 million - Rookies (2009)46 :: 6.90 million - Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 (2011)47 :: 6.80 million - Star Wars Episode II: Attack of the Clones (2002)48 :: 6.70 million - The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring (2002)49 :: 6.67 million - A Slope in the Sun (1958)50 :: 6.54 million - Pokemon: Mewtwo Strikes Back! (1998)Newest Entries

 

 

4 godzilla movies in the top50 most attended

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Saturday 5/10 admission 2:30 PM Local

 

added to LABAS previous Post

 

           m      t      w      t      f      s       s

First W   ---------------------------18517--29035--38186

Second    9396--10976--21854--12231--33278--32430--39828

Third    14958--19027--46478--25446--21273--29380--45305 (SB)

Fourth   25661--41430--43550--25701--22309--28912--39206 (SB)

five     11300---6600--15565---4400---3900--25002--38584  

Sixth     8552---3795--12737---3642---4167--23857--38683

7th       6919--15728--14489---3828---3850--25879--39237

8th      11905--42217--18274--21316---8933--43529--51195 (GW)

9th      60863--56650--12570---4430---4214--23741

 

 

Toho - 2:30pm 

 

Wk-5...25002

Wk-6...23857

Wk-7...25879

Today..23741

 

kinezo - 2:30pm 

 

Wk-6...5751

Wk-7...5685

Today..5306

 

109 - 2:30pm    

 

Wk-5...6098 (Seats-16323)

Wk-7...6392 (Seats-10730, Thermae2 Seats-14007)

Today..9866 (Seats-15823) - discounts day

 

Weekend Gross

 

Wk-5...$8,286,116

Wk-6...$8,046,563

Wk-7...$7,558,540

*red=Today admission

movix 6838 5/10

Numbers to beat.

Edited by T E Lawrence
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Last Saturday 5/10  [2:30pm-7:00pm-00:30am]

 

*4 Cinemas Total.....45751--78130--95293 (x2.08)

 

Toho....23741--41015--50503 (x2.12)

109.... 9866---15505--18022 (x1.82)

Kinezo..5306---8656---10710 (x2.10)

Movix...6838---12954--16058 (x2.34)

Edited by Hans13
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like everything else, from corpse:

I think it'll have subdued opening weekend given the reception of the last Hollywood Godzilla film, but will develop good legs and finish with a nice total if the film is good. 

I don't know if I'd expect more than ¥3-4 billion ($30/40 million), though. Godzilla was huge in the 50's and 60's (the franchise has a few films on the Top 50 Most-Attended Films of All-Time), but over time his popularity waned and films from the 80's and 90's all disappointed barely making more than ¥1 billion until the final film, Godzilla: Final Wars, was released in 2004 to disappointing numbers, too.

The new film has a prime release date in late July, in the middle of Summer Vacation and a couple weeks before Obon Week, so that'll help.

And Toho (which produced all 28 Japanese Godzilla films) is part of the production team for the new Godzilla, and they'll be handling the film's distribution in the market rather than Warner Bros. as well. This is a positive that will help the film out I believe, and retaining the original Godzilla's appearance (mostly) may help assure audiences it won't be an abomination like Hollywood's last effort.

 

Hmm... $30m would be quite good for it. Pacific Rim only did $14m and it had a similar release date.

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Frozen just beat ow.7.6-8.0m estimateLast week the evening was weak at toho and sunday was only up 12% instead of 20% from saturday. Up 6% along with a very strong movix and 109 performance, 7.6m is the low end. If this evening and sunday return to it normal saturday afternoon multiplier, it has shot at 8m. Do you see 300m now?

Edited by T E Lawrence
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compare 2:30pm admissions (Last Sat-Today)

 

*4 Cinemas Total

Last Sat 5/10.....45751

Today__5/17.....46520 (+1.6%)

 

toho....23741--25389(+6.9%)

109.....9866---7117 (-27.9%) *last week discounts day

Kinezo..5306---5361 (+1%)

Movix...6838---8653 (+26.5%)

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;

compare 2:30pm admissions (Last Sat-Today)

*4 Cinemas Total

Last Sat 5/10.....45751

Today__5/17.....46520 (+1.6%)

toho....23741--25389(+6.9%)

109.....9866---7117 (-27.9%) *last week discounts day

Kinezo..5306---5361 (+1%)

Movix...6838---8653 (+26.5%)

by backing out the extra 2700 from 109s discount day we get an 8.3% overall increase from TMK1 that will properly reflect the rest of the market place for the rest of the weekend. 109 is just 4.5% of the market. The 5000 extra at 109 last sat was just 1% of total weekend admissions. That adjusts to a 7.3% increase as the rest of the weekend will follow suit based on frozens consistent weekend trend

46520(TMK1) x 2.1 (sat eve) x 2.15(sun) x 2.78(TMK1 mrkt share) x 13.20 (tix price)= 7.7m

Ifn it follows week 4,5,6 trend

46520 x 2.2 x 2.2 x 2.78 x 13.20=8.2m

Edited by T E Lawrence
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