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Official France Box Office Thread

By Olive, in International Box Office

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Aristis Box Office Gold

Aristis

Posted
Posted

20.02. - 24.02.

 

1 552.500 -30 5.208.703 4 Serial (Bad) Weddings 2
2 457.062 -14 2.409.992 3 HTTYD3
3 441.134 -36 1.332.730 2 WIR2
4 425.018 -32 1.207.796 2 Alita
5 351.961 --- 351.961 1 Le Chant du loup
6 243.506 -24 1.297.875 3 Nicky Larson
7 213.161 --- 213.161 1 Grace a Dieu
8 180.413 -41 587.757 2 All Inclusive
9 171.868 --- 171.868 1 The Lego Movie 2
10 124.461 -17 1.112.269 5 Green Book

 

Weddings2 is on its way to become the first 6M+ local movie since 2014 having much better drops than last years big comedies. Maybe it can even approach around 6,5M. Will be interesting to see if there's any movie to top it this year (SW9 should do...)

 

After having a rather weak hold last week, HTTYD3 got the 2nd position back with a great drop. The drop was much better than HTTYD2 too (274k/-53%/2,33M). It'll pass its predecessor with ease now. Having next weeks forecast in mind (430k/-25%/2,95M) it's safe to assume it'll do 3,5M+. Maybe it can even approach 4M... Eitherway it'll be the series biggest:

HTTYD1  530k*  /  2,32M (x4,38)

HTTYD2  1,04M /  3,32M (x3,24)

HTTYD3  1,02M /  3,5M (x3,43)

 

Having a worse drop than the Dragons, WIR2 had to settle third this time. While it dropped worse than the first one (230k/-19%/622k) its cume 's still up 115%. It may pass WIR1 as soon as next week. 2M+ is safe and it should still get close to 2,5M.

WIR1  283k  /  1,64M (x5,78)

WIR2  687k  /  2,5M (x3,64)

 

Alita had a good drop as WOM seems to be well (much better than I thought!). It dropped much better than RPO last year (379k/-43%/1,27M). It'll get past 2M.

 

Lego2 opened a very sad 51% below its predecessor... The first one got to 1,5M, this may not do half of it...

 

Green Book will have no problems getting past 1,5M now. That's a multipler of at least x6,5.

 

Some minor changes in last years Top10:

1 5.845.365   I2
2 5.687.200   Les Tuche 3
3 5.626.049   Le ch'tite famille
4 5.141.500   AIW
5 4.276.382   BR
6 4.257.519   Le grand bain
7 4.036.279   FB2
8 3.860.079   Asterix
9 3.688.070   BP
10 3.653.933   Taxi 5

 

This year is dominated by Weddings 2 for now:

1 5.208.703   Serial (Bad) Weddings
2 2.409.992   HTTYD3
3 1.730.470   The Mule
4 1.726.378   Creed 2
5 1.332.730   WIR2
6 1.297.875   Nicky Larson et le parfum de Cupidon
7 1.258.122   Les Invisibles
8 1.244.081   Glass
9 1.207.796   Alita
10 1.112.269   Green Book

 

http://www.insidekino.de/BO/F2019.htm

http://www.cine-directors.net/boxbis.htm

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Aristis Box Office Gold

Aristis

Posted
Posted

27.02. - 03.03.

 

1 407.358 -26 5.760.121 5 Serial (Bad) Weddings
2 344.766 -25 2.867.998 4 HTTYD3
3 318.865 -28 1.753.351 3 Ralph2
4 298.603 -30 1.603.214 3 Alita
5 272.593 -23 721.348 2 Le Chant du loup
6 248.632 --- 248.632 1 Escape Room
7 226.093 --- 226.093 1 Jusqu'ici tout va bien
8 190.220 +53 1.370.754 6 Green Book
9 158.813 -25 435.000* 2 Grace a Dieu
10 153.749 --- 153.749 1 Hard Powder

 

SBW2 is first for the 5th time and has a nice drop again. It'll reach 6M as soon as next WE. The sequel to 2014s big hit ist still on course for around 6,5M+ (around 53% of its predecessor).

 

HTTYD3 continues to drop better than its predecessor (154k/-44%/2,6M) and is now 10% ahead (its 4th WE was up by 124% from the second!). It'll still be able to reach somewhere around 3,5M+. Next WE will tell if more is possible...

HTTYD1  530k*  /  2,32M (x4,38)

HTTYD2  1,04M /  3,32M (x3,24)

HTTYD3  1,02M /  3,5M (x3,43)

 

Ralph2 passed its predecessors 1,64M admissions this WE. It is up on the first one by 113%, though that gap will reduce since Ralph1 stood right before christmas and was able to double its total after that. I'm still going with around 2,5M, though that might shrink since I think holiday is over now...

WIR1  283k  /  1,64M (x5,78)

WIR2  687k  /  2,5M (x3,64)

 

Alita was 4th with another good hold in France. It wasn't able to drop better than RPO this time its 3rd WE was still better though (280k/-26%/1,64M). It's just 2% behind for now, that gap will probably increase though since CM might take some viewers this WE. It should still get to 2M.

 

Green Book had a big increase this WE and had the biggest WE since the 2nd one. It already passed last years Oscar Winner TSOW (1,36M). If the Oscar halo endures it might get to 2M+.

 

In 2018s TOP10 there's still change:

1 5.845.365   I2
2 5.687.200   Les Tuche 3
3 5.626.049   Le ch'tite famille
4 5.141.500   AIW
5 4.345.607   BR
6 4.267.504   Le grand bain
7 4.036.279   FB2
8 3.912.883   Asterix
9 3.688.070   BP
10 3.653.933   Taxi 5

+70k for BR since the last update. There's probably not much coming for it now but it had a great run!

 

2019 TOP10:

1 5.760.121   Serial (Bad) Wedding 2
2 2.867.998   HTTYD3
3 1.802.025   The Mule
4 1.753.351   Ralph2
5 1.732.595   Creed 2
6 1.603.214   Alita
7 1.503.064   Nicky Larson et le parfum de Cupidon
8 1.370.754   Green Book
8 1.281.238   Les Invisibles
10 1.249.475   Glass

Ralph shoud become 3rd before CM takes that spot...

 

http://www.cine-directors.net/boxoff.htm

http://www.insidekino.de/BO/F2019.htm

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Aristis Box Office Gold

Aristis

Posted
Posted

06.03. - 10.03.

 

1 1.125.726 --- 1.125.726 1 CA
2 294.945 --- 294.945 1 Le Mystere Henri Pick
3 259.113 -36 6.112.775 6 Serial (Bad) Weddings 2
4 217.982 -32 2.041.739 4 Ralph2
5 210.126 -39 3.147.931 5 HTTYD3
6 194.400 -29 990.547 3 Le Chant du loup
7 162.738 -35 463.053 2 Escape Room
8 149.299 -50 1.812.249 4 Alita
9 138.924 -27 1.572.355 7 Green Book
10 132.217 -17 616.037 3 Grace a Dieu

 

CA has the 6th biggest OW for a MCU movie and the biggest for a 1st Solo. It's behind AIW (1,84M), IM3 (1,64M), AOU (1,56M), Av1 (1,44M), CA3 (1,21M) and 32% above BP (851k) which was the biggest 1st Solo before.

While its OD was rather disappointing after early numbers the OD-OW ratio was quite well with x5,3 (BP x4,8).

BP had a great multipler - in fact its x4,34 is one of the biggest among SH movies, even bigger than AQM which opened before christmas to boos its legs. CM probably won't come close to that (--> would get to 4,88M) though its multipler should be better than IM3 (x2,69) (--> would get to 3,03M).

With legs a bit better than AIW it would reach 3,25M (~$26M).

 

Serial (Bad) Weddings 2 reached 6M now as the first movie since SW8. It'll reach 6,5M+ with ease now.

 

Ralph2 reclaimed a position in front of HTTYD3 again. It's still 79% in front of its predecessor though its 4th WE was lower than Ralph1 (260k/+63%/1,14M). It's still on course for 2,5M+.

WIR1  283k  /  1,64M (x5,78)

WIR2  687k  /  2,5M (x3,64)

 

HTTYD3 passed 3M this WE. It's 5th WE is still 51% and its total 11% bigger than its predecessor (139k/-10%/2,84M). It'll pass the second part of the series and should still reach 3,5M.

 

Alita had a big drop this WE facing CA. It still had just 269 admissions less than RPO on its 4th (150k/-47%/1,87M). It's 3% behind RPO but this gap should grow from now on. Still, 2M is safe.

 

Green Book had its worst drop yet (still great with 27%). It may end really close to 2M.

 

 

Top OW 2019

1 1.852.556   Serial (Bad) Weddings)
2 1.125.726   Captain Marvel
3 1.020.715   Drachenzähmen leicht gemacht 3

Last year CM would have 7th at the end of the year...

 

Top10 2019

1 6.112.775   Serial (Bad) Weddings
2 3.147.931   HTTYD3
3 2.041.739   Ralph 2
4 1.812.249   Alita
5 1.802.025   The Mule
6 1.732.595   Creed 2
7 1.604.716   Nicky Larson et le parfum de Cupidon
8 1.572.355   Green Book
9 1.281.238   Les Invisibles
10 1.249.475   Glass

CM should become 5th next WE with at least 1,85M.

 

http://www.insidekino.de/BO/F2019.htm

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terrestrial Global Phenomenon

terrestrial

Posted
Posted (edited)
26 minutes ago, Bishop54 said:

What does that have to do with what I asked?

In my observation the fans searching also for OS $ after a movie is out for a while, react at first shocked and than sad when they get back to BOM and see there a reduction, when they do not know that, often followed with the question about the exact changes. miss the old details.

If you know this, you can go there and save in betwen numbers and... in e.g. a chart and than add up newly found numbers to see 1. what really was earned, and how the rates change for which country what.

= big enough fan to go and search, maybe interested into saving data?

(Euro in several countries, it was just a thought, cusd cs today thr was a post about a certain movie lost around $20m at BOM for later changed exchange rate reasons)

Edited by terrestrial
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Bishop54 Blockbuster

Bishop54

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, terrestrial said:

In my observation the fans searching also for OS $ after a movie is out for a while, react at first shocked and than sad when they get back to BOM and see there a reduction, when they do not know that, often followed with the question about the exact changes. miss the old details.

If you know this, you can go there and save in betwen numbers and... in e.g. a chart and than add up newly found numbers to see 1. what really was earned, and how the rates change for which country what.

= big enough fan to go and search, maybe interested into saving data?

(Euro in several countries, it was just a thought, cusd cs today thr was a post about a certain movie lost around $20m at BOM for later changed exchange rate reasons)

I'm just looking for a current total ad a projected finish for Alita in France  at the current exchage rate...I'll worry about how the ER fluctuates at a later date.

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terrestrial Global Phenomenon

terrestrial

Posted
Posted

13 minutes ago

Déjà 463 053 entrées en seulement 12j pour qui devrait dépasser les 700 000 entrées en fin de carrière (mieux que Saw mais un peu moins bien que Cube et Destination Finale)

Translated from French by

Already 463 053 entries in only 12d for that should exceed the 700 000 entries at the end of career (better than Saw but a little less well than Cube and final Destination)

 

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Aristis Box Office Gold

Aristis

Posted
Posted
12 hours ago, Bishop54 said:

What dollar total is Alita at and what will it's likely final total be?

To answer your question: According to Deadline is around $16,4M, which is where I'd get it too, and it should reach at least $18M but not much more. Still great result, especially compared to WW numbers.

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Aristis Box Office Gold

Aristis

Posted
Posted
3 hours ago, VenomXXR said:

@Aristis Do you have any analysis for how we may expect TLK to do in France?

Well, I can't really say much about France since I'm apparantly not french. So I don't know if there's any hype or something... Maybe some french members can help with that.

 

However, I think I can tell you that your $75M prediction is extremely optimistic. BATB and TJB were rather weak as both couldn't cross $30M. $75M would probably require between 9M and 10M admissions which would be huge (TLK did 10,1M).

 

BATB 3,57M €20M $23,9M

TJB 3,72M €26,5M $28M

 

With those numbers in mind maybe you should lower your hopes a bit. Maybe it could do

5M to 6M admissions

€32,5M to €40M

$36,5M to $45M

 

Of course it's possible to get a huge hype and to reach SW7 level with more than 10M. I just wouldn't expect that...

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XXR vs XXR Global Phenomenon

XXR vs XXR

Posted
Posted
26 minutes ago, Aristis said:

Well, I can't really say much about France since I'm apparantly not french. So I don't know if there's any hype or something... Maybe some french members can help with that.

 

However, I think I can tell you that your $75M prediction is extremely optimistic. BATB and TJB were rather weak as both couldn't cross $30M. $75M would probably require between 9M and 10M admissions which would be huge (TLK did 10,1M).

 

BATB 3,57M €20M $23,9M

TJB 3,72M €26,5M $28M

 

With those numbers in mind maybe you should lower your hopes a bit. Maybe it could do

5M to 6M admissions

€32,5M to €40M

$36,5M to $45M

 

Of course it's possible to get a huge hype and to reach SW7 level with more than 10M. I just wouldn't expect that...


Fair enough. I'll hope for a very high number, but expect something more realistic (around $40m USD). The one thing I'm holding onto, is that the box office for the original BATB was just over $25m in France, but the original TLK is nearly $65m. Maybe this one will catch the same zeitgeist that the original did. 

I guess we will see what happens 4 months :) 

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terrestrial Global Phenomenon

terrestrial

Posted
Posted

On en rêvait il y a quelques mois, c'est officiel. Avec 1 170 294 entrées à dimanche soir, dépasse "Octobre Rouge", "Le Bateau", "USS Alabama"... et devient le plus gros film de sous-marin des 60 dernières années en France. MERCI !!!

Translated from French by

We dreamed about it a few months ago, it's official. With 1 170 294 entries to Sunday evening, exceeds "Red October", "the boat", "USS Alabama"... and became the biggest submarine film of the last 60 years in France. Thank you!!!

 

Déception pour avec seulement 248 501 en 5 jours sur 498 copies - un cumul final probable autour de 700 000 entrées

Translated from French by

Disappointment for with only 248 501 in 5 days on 498 copies-a probable final cumulation around 700 000 entries

 

Déjà 600 000 entrées pour en près de 3 semaines - joli succès pour

Translated from French by

Already 600 000 entries for in almost 3 weeks-nice success for

 

 

 

 

 

 

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terrestrial Global Phenomenon

terrestrial

Posted
Posted

Déjà 1,9 million d'entrées en près de 2 semaines pour qui devrait terminer sa carrière sous la barre des 3 millions - encore un carton pour

Translated from French by

Already 1.9 million entries in almost 2 weeks for who should finish his career under the bar of 3 million-still a carton for

 

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terrestrial Global Phenomenon

terrestrial

Posted
Posted (edited)

26 seconds ago

fait largement moins bien que Mommy (273 026 entrées) et Juste la Fin du Monde (320 770 entrées) avec seulement 133 969 entrées en 5 jours malgré 370 copies

Translated from French by

made far less well than mommy (273 026 entries) and just the end of the world (320 770 entries) with only 133 969 entries in 5 days despite 370 copies

Joli succès pour et avec déjà 750 000 entrées en près de 1 mois ce qui en fait déjà le 4ème succès de

Translated from French by

Nice success for and with already 750 000 entries in almost 1 month which makes it already the 4th success of

 

 

 

Edited by terrestrial
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terrestrial Global Phenomenon

terrestrial

Posted
Posted

They seem to love to spread te details tweet for tweet..

 

Super démarrage pour avec 347 193 entrées en 5 jours sur seulement 306 copies

Translated from French by

Super start for with 347 193 entries in 5 days on only 306 copies

 

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