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South Korea Box Office

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6-16 Thursday
1. The Witch: Part 2 - 177,825 (-33.3%) [448,708]
/ 6,348 showings
2. The Roundup - 85,567 (-5.2%) [10,909,328] / 4,389 showings
3. Broker - 31,393 (-3.5%) [949,024] / 2,251 showings
4. Lightyear - 15,482 (-49.1%) [47,025] / 2,436 showings
5. JW Dominion - 9,464 (+5.8%) [2,686,551] / 772 showings 

 
presale
1. The Witch: Part 2 - 171,395 
2. Top Gun 2 - 99,151 (D-05)
3. The Roundup - 81,289
4. Broker - 48,067  
5. Lightyear - 47,641 
 

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1 hour ago, BruiseCruise said:

Do you think TG2 will open like MI6?

 

What we know so far: TGM had 79.5k ps at D-07 whilst MI6 had 28.5k

MI6 had a later ps start so it make the ramp up faster than TGM that just chucking along. MI6 ended ps with 363k, this was quite good for movies in 2018. Ps have become more common so TGM needs more PS to open even compared to MI6.

 

MI6 had an OD of 602k and had a OW of 3300k (3.3m). I don't expect TGM to out open MI6 at the current PS pase, depending on when ps start to ramp up it might get to 350-400k. But WoM was great from the prescreenings so with an opening close to 3m it should manage to leg it pass 7.5m admisson (more than MI6), if WoM is very good (Round up level) 10m is on the cards with a 3m opening week. Roundup had an OW of 3.5m and will finish around 13m so yeah.

 

Currently I am thinking OW around 3m admission, that said we will know more once ps start to ramp up, aslo great wom can give it better than normal jumps on FSS.

 

 

 

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TGM:

D-13 - 17.15K

D-12 - 26K

D-11 - 36.8K

D-10 - 43.3K

D-09 - 49.5K

D-08 - 67.5k

D-07 - 79.5k

D-06 - 89.1k

D-05 - 99.2k

D-04 - 117.7k

 

Ramp up has started, another decent day. Let's see how the weekend goes.

 

 

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6-17 Friday
1. The Witch: Part 2 - 223,589 (+25.7%) [672,405]
/ 6,631 showings
2. The Roundup - 118,162 (+38.1%) [11,027,492] / 4,561 showings
3. Broker - 37,267 (+18.6%) [986,306] / 2,287 showings
4. Lightyear - 21,984 (+42%) [69,011] / 2,480 showings
5. JW Dominion - 13,156 (+39%) [2,699,709] / 784 showings 

Tom Cruise is here.
 
presale
1. The Witch: Part 2 - 190,671 
2. Top Gun 2 - 117,716 (D-04)
3. The Roundup - 96,423
4. Lightyear - 60,214 
5. Broker - 52,221  

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6-18 Saturday
1. The Witch: Part 2 - 422,065 (+87.9%) [1,095,529]
/ 7,121 showings
2. The Roundup - 233,604 (+97.2%) [11,261,414] / 4,697 showings
3. Lightyear - 71,934 (+227.1%) [140,955] / 2,886 showings
4. Broker - 65,018 (+74.2%) [1,051,382] / 1,872 showings
5. JW Dominion - 34,806 (+164.4%) [2,734,524] / 790 showings 
6. Top Gun: Maverick - 25,532 [32,409] / 421 showings

 

TG2 have some preview showings this weekend.
 
Presale
1. Top Gun 2 - 125,114 (D-03)
2. The Witch: Part 2 - 117,642 
3. The Roundup - 70,805
4. Lightyear - 36,865 
5. Broker - 33,580  
6. Decision To Leave - 25,583 (D-10)

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TGM:

D-13 - 17.15K

D-12 - 26K

D-11 - 36.8K

D-10 - 43.3K

D-09 - 49.5K

D-08 - 67.5k

D-07 - 79.5k

D-06 - 89.1k

D-05 - 99.2k

D-04 - 117.7k

D-03 - 125.1k

 

Had hoped the weekend dip woudn't have been this bad. Still I think some more previews were played so that lowered the ps increase quite a bit. Still thinking ps should certainly go over 300k but 400k is a big question mark. Reviews once again should help.

 

19 minutes ago, Bruce said:

How many chance for TG2 beating NWH in Korea?

 

I can't see TGM going lower than NWM should take the number 1 spot for holywood movies.

But to be fair it's probably more fair to say it has a 80% chance to go over NWH.

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TGM:

D-13 - 17.15K

D-12 - 26K

D-11 - 36.8K

D-10 - 43.3K

D-09 - 49.5K

D-08 - 67.5k

D-07 - 79.5k

D-06 - 89.1k

D-05 - 99.2k

D-04 - 117.7k

D-03 - 125.1k

D-02 - 131.3K

 

Only 6k today, there were again previews so they consumed about 10k ps maybe a bit more.

With this sunday I think 400k is offf that table, 300k is still doable, needs a good last 2 days.

 

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TGM:

D-13 - 17.15K

D-12 - 26K

D-11 - 36.8K

D-10 - 43.3K

D-09 - 49.5K

D-08 - 67.5k

D-07 - 79.5k

D-06 - 89.1k

D-05 - 99.2k

D-04 - 117.7k

D-03 - 125.1k

D-02 - 131.3K

D-01 - 194.9K  (+63.6K)

 

Expecting at least 120k tomorrow. Hoping it manages to do 150k +. PS are good enough to ensure a 2.5m Opening weekend I think.  WoM will be the most important factor.

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6-20 Monday
1. The Witch: Part 2 - 120,280 (-66.6%) [1,578,400]
/ 6,661 showings
2. The Roundup - 79,431 (-59.8%) [11,539,739] / 4,485 showings
3. Broker - 20,798 (-62.8%) [1,128,283] / 1,958 showings
4. Lightyear - 11,186 (-82.7%) [216,953] / 1,791 showings
5. JW Dominion - 8,700 (-73.6%) [2,776,317] / 760 showings 

 

Beyonce will release new single today.

 
Presale
1. Top Gun 2 - 194,921 (D-01)

2. The Witch: Part 2 - 39,671 
3. Decision To Leave - 31,747 (D-08)
4. The Roundup - 29,818
5. Broker - 11,358  
6. Lightyear - 6,901 
 

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1 hour ago, Bruce said:

What about this presale compare to MI6?

All we know is that MI6 had 363k D-0, will be hard for TGM to match this, something in the low 300k is more likely imo. Even if it matches it, movies have gotten more ps heavy so it won't match the opening day of 600k that MI6 had.

 

If for some reason it does crazy tomorrow and it has great walk ups equaling the OD of IM6 would assure 9m+ easily I think. (as WoM seems to be great)

 

So for now I would say expect something between 2.5m -3m OW what do you think @imbruglia?

Edited by pepsa
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1 hour ago, pepsa said:

All we know is that MI6 had 363k D-0, will be hard for TGM to match this, something in the low 300k is more likely imo. Even if it matches it, movies have gotten more ps heavy so it won't match the opening day of 600k that MI6 had.

 

If for some reason it does crazy tomorrow and it has great walk ups equaling the OD of IM6 would assure 9m+ easily I think. (as WoM seems to be great)

 

So for now I would say expect something between 2.5m -3m OW what do you think @imbruglia?

so the PS is simliar to MI6?

Then OW 2.5m locked,Probably more.

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45 minutes ago, Bruce said:

Best OW of all-time in South Korea

1 AEG 4.14m

2 AWTG2 3.84m

3 Frozen 2 3.8m

4 RC 3.34m

5 TTB 3.21m

6 AIW 3.18m

7 Taxi 2.92m

8 S:Homecoming  2.85m

9 A2 2.81m

10 Parasite 2.78m

Probably break in Top 10 OW of all-time

 

These OW are only Friday till Sunday, so TGM has no shot at getting in to the top 10. The 5-day opening weekend will be over 2.5m but 3day will be closer to 2m (1.8m-2.3m), a 3day of 2.8m would mean close to 4m 5-day OW. Impossible with current ps.

Edited by pepsa
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47 minutes ago, pepsa said:

 

Các OW này chỉ diễn ra từ Thứ Sáu đến Chủ Nhật, vì vậy TGM không có khả năng lọt vào top 10. Cuối tuần mở cửa 5 ngày sẽ vượt 2,5 triệu nhưng 3 ngày sẽ gần hơn 2m (1,8 triệu-2,3 triệu), 3 ngày 2,8 triệu có nghĩa là gần 4 triệu OW 5 ngày. Không thể với ps hiện tại.

What is your prediction for the total box office in Korea?

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