mr1006 Posted July 6, 2023 Share Posted July 6, 2023 (edited) 7 hours ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said: Thanks for finding these! Slam Dunk ended with ~4.7m admissions after having 1.58m after week 3, which would be equivalent to over 7m admissions for Elemental's finish. Frozen in comparison was much more frontloaded, ending with 10.3m, not even 2x its 6.5m number at week 3! A similar run for Elemental would point to only 3.8m admissions. Hopefully it behaves more like the former than the latter. Frozen sputtered out about reaching 10 million admissions in early March because Disney decided to release the movie on VOD immediately afterwards. The movie performed really well on VOD, topping the charts for 4 weeks and killing off a lot of demand to see the movie in cinemas. Edited July 6, 2023 by mr1006 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KP1025 Posted July 6, 2023 Share Posted July 6, 2023 18 minutes ago, mr1006 said: Frozen sputtered out about reaching 10 million admissions in early March because Disney decided to release the movie on VOD immediately afterwards. The movie performed really well on VOD, topping the charts for 4 weeks and killing off a lot of demand to see the movie in cinemas. Same thing happened in Japan with early home release. Probably cost the movie at least $30 million theatrically, but it did go on to become the best selling Blu-ray there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son Posted July 6, 2023 Share Posted July 6, 2023 9 hours ago, TalismanRing said: Elemental THUR 11am: 37,578 (-5.65% from Wed) 1pm: 44,646 +18.8% (-7.2%) 3pm: 58,479 +30.98% (-7.5%) 5pm: 70,497 +20.55% (-8.5%) 7pm: 82,840 9pm: 91,554 Really nice evening business today, caught up to Wednesday's pace which means we're probably looking at another 4k to end the day at ~95.5k, just -6% from yesterday and a whopping +29% from last week! 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son Posted July 6, 2023 Share Posted July 6, 2023 2 hours ago, pepsa said: I just took a peek at what killed inside out in Korea, because that movie had a 38% jump on second weekend compared to it's opening weekend. IO had a 3.4m opener in its 3rd weekend, resulting in a 26% drop. Follow by a 51.5% drop in its 4th weekend facing MI5 with an opening of 2.5m and minions opening to 1m. So basicly 2 times rougly 3.5m admission in competition + a direct competator in minions. I would say this show how 1 big movie will hurt a movie a bit, I am expecting the same type of drop (25% - 30%) vs MI. Having 2 weeks of big competition is very bad for showtimes. The good news is I think Elemental will have 1 week to recover showtimes vs barbie (if that movie doesn't break out) before the DOM blockbuster arrives. Side note 27th of July was the start for the holidays in 2015, in that trend this years should start at 24th and this would make sense with the release of the DOM summer blockbuster. (Hopefully a week earlier though). Yep it seems like IO handled the first big opener well, losing hardly any screens, but MI + Minions was too much and it lost nearly a third of its screens (~700 to 500 on weekends, ~650 to ~450 on weekdays). In 2023 we've seen already that 3 big movies can coexist without losing too many screens since in Elemental's OW we had Elemental, Flash and RoundUp play to over 1200 screens each, so I think Elemental will be fine as long as we don't get a situation where it's directly competing against MI7, a big local movie and Barbie at the same time. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted July 6, 2023 Share Posted July 6, 2023 1 hour ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said: Yep it seems like IO handled the first big opener well, losing hardly any screens, but MI + Minions was too much and it lost nearly a third of its screens (~700 to 500 on weekends, ~650 to ~450 on weekdays). In 2023 we've seen already that 3 big movies can coexist without losing too many screens since in Elemental's OW we had Elemental, Flash and RoundUp play to over 1200 screens each, so I think Elemental will be fine as long as we don't get a situation where it's directly competing against MI7, a big local movie and Barbie at the same time. I think more important than screens is showtimes, cause you can lose 20% of your screens but 50% of your showtimes. Also the week after IO had antoher 3m+ lockal movie opening (that went on to make 10m+) so yeah having 3 weeks of 3m+ openings will kill your run I think 3 weeks from now it might have to face a strong MI7 and a big local movie but if barbie isn't to strong it should be fine. (Though I kind of want barbie to do well, I hate the duality) 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted July 6, 2023 Share Posted July 6, 2023 2 minutes ago, pepsa said: if barbie isn't to strong it should be fine Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted July 6, 2023 Share Posted July 6, 2023 Well, works should run in parallel, South Korea should be No.1 Asian Market for Barbie (I expect Barbie to do a bit better so the effect of missing gross of South East Asian countries will be nullified) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustLurking Posted July 6, 2023 Share Posted July 6, 2023 Elemental has about the same amount of presales today as it had last friday, so another increase this weekend seems pretty locked 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son Posted July 6, 2023 Share Posted July 6, 2023 14 minutes ago, pepsa said: I think more important than screens is showtimes, cause you can lose 20% of your screens but 50% of your showtimes. Also the week after IO had antoher 3m+ lockal movie opening (that went on to make 10m+) so yeah having 3 weeks of 3m+ openings will kill your run I think 3 weeks from now it might have to face a strong MI7 and a big local movie but if barbie isn't to strong it should be fine. (Though I kind of want barbie to do well, I hate the duality) That makes sense, do you know of anywhere where you can track the showtimes? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted July 6, 2023 Share Posted July 6, 2023 On 7/4/2023 at 8:30 PM, Issac Newton said: Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One T-11 02:00 KST - 14,623 admits T-10 00:00 KST - 28,707 admits T-09 00:00 KST - 44,713 admits T-08 00:00 KST - 64,538 admits T-07 00:00 KST - 82,132 admits 130K+ admits today. I might not be able to take a click today so someone please do have a shot on it Spoiler TGM: D-06 - 89.1k D-05 - 99.2k D-04 - 117.7k D-03 - 125.1k D-02 - 131.3K D-01 - 194.9K (+63.6K) D-00 - 266.5K (+70.6k) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted July 6, 2023 Share Posted July 6, 2023 23 minutes ago, JustLurking said: Elemental has about the same amount of presales today as it had last friday, so another increase this weekend seems pretty locked Huh wait? It's looking like 133k PS for today, vs 119.3k last week (friday last week PS where 153.4k, so we are still 20k behind, will obviously beat that tomorrow). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted July 6, 2023 Share Posted July 6, 2023 (edited) 49 minutes ago, Issac Newton said: 130K+ admits today. I might not be able to take a click today so someone please do have a shot on it Hide contents TGM: D-06 - 89.1k D-05 - 99.2k D-04 - 117.7k D-03 - 125.1k D-02 - 131.3K D-01 - 194.9K (+63.6K) D-00 - 266.5K (+70.6k) We are tracking it in here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1mpf92NunqhPZOQkYsA3479cMmcBW80Dn0cK8HjlN0v8/edit#gid=238579431 So I will surely note it down Also had a great day today, gain alot of ground on thor, reviews seem to have given it a bumb! Edit: Made it to 131.1k today 49 minutes ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said: That makes sense, do you know of anywhere where you can track the showtimes? Yeah there is: https://www.kobis.or.kr/kobis/business/stat/boxs/findDailyShowTicketList.do Edited July 6, 2023 by pepsa 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AniNate Posted July 6, 2023 Share Posted July 6, 2023 Inside Out's performance definitely helps bring expectations back to earth, hopefully Elemental doesn't collapse so quickly here 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son Posted July 6, 2023 Share Posted July 6, 2023 2 hours ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said: 7pm: 82,840 9pm: 91,554 Really nice evening business today, caught up to Wednesday's pace which means we're probably looking at another 4k to end the day at ~95.5k, just -6% from yesterday and a whopping +29% from last week! 11pm: 94,702 Final: 95,028 (-7% yesterday, +29% last week) 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted July 6, 2023 Share Posted July 6, 2023 Days Daily Admissions Weekly % Total Admissions Wednesday (OD) 48,002 52,039 Thursday (Lowest Day) 41,921 93,960 Friday 64,999 158,959 Saturday 177,851 336,810 Sunday 179,225 516,035 Monday 52,398 568,433 Tuesday 55,730 624,163 Wednesday 60,867 +27% 685,030 Thursday 58,135 +39% 743,165 Friday 81,941 +26% 825,106 Saturday 205,899 +16% 1,031,005 Sunday 210,688 +18% 1,241,693 Monday 65,141 +24% 1,306,834 Tuesday 68,444 +23% 1,375,278 Wednesday (Culture Day) 110,284 +81% 1,485,562 Thursday 73,648 +27% 1,559,210 Friday 133,215 +63% 1,692,574 Saturday 289,894 +41% 1,982,468 Sunday 264,686 +26% 2,247,178 Monday 77,403 +19% 2,324,604 Tuesday 84,365 +23% 2,408,962 Wednesday 101,652 -7.9% 2,510,614 Thursday 95,037 +29% 2,605,651 Fantastic performance continues!!! Presales are over 133K well ahead of where they were last week. Another increase is going to happen, how big is the question. 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son Posted July 6, 2023 Share Posted July 6, 2023 Interesting... the CGV start is down ~10% from last Friday at 19k versus 21k in @pepsa's report last week but the overall PS is up 12%. So maybe there was a special reason why last Friday jumped up so much and now we are gonna come back to a normal number and have a more backloaded weeked. Maybe tomorrow will be a slight decrease before we get bigger jumps on Sat and Sun. What do you guys think? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted July 6, 2023 Share Posted July 6, 2023 We are starting at 19k CGV vs 21k last week, jump won't be as big as last friday but I think it should beat it never the less. Last week it jumped 75% in CGV start from thursday to friday to get a 80% jump. This friday is 58% higher in CGV start than thursday, asuming the same patern we expect a 60% ish jump today? That would be 152k, it still has more PS so I am guessing we will see a bigger saturday jump, as presalles seem to be more back load this weekend. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted July 6, 2023 Share Posted July 6, 2023 2 minutes ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said: Interesting... the CGV start is down ~10% from last Friday at 19k versus 21k in @pepsa's report last week but the overall PS is up 12%. So maybe there was a special reason why last Friday jumped up so much and now we are gonna come back to a normal number and have a more backloaded weeked. Maybe tomorrow will be a slight decrease before we get bigger jumps on Sat and Sun. What do you guys think? I mean both this thursday and last thursday started with 12k in CGV presalles at midnight, in the end this thursday was 28.8% higher than last one so I think it fair to asume a better PS multi this weekend as well. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustLurking Posted July 6, 2023 Share Posted July 6, 2023 1 hour ago, pepsa said: Huh wait? It's looking like 133k PS for today, vs 119.3k last week (friday last week PS where 153.4k, so we are still 20k behind, will obviously beat that tomorrow). hmm I guess I misremembered then, didn't write it down but could've sworn it was lower Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted July 6, 2023 Share Posted July 6, 2023 (edited) Elemental starting with 45.679 admission today and a cgv start of 19k vs the 27.992 start of yesterday, up 63.2%. Edited July 6, 2023 by pepsa 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
