Omni Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Looks like a 2nd weekend just a tad above 8 millions. While that's about in line with the average early expectations, it's a really wonderful hold as every other holdover dropped quite hard. Weekdays have also been much higher than expected. A possible projection: *TS3 reached on Friday night or Saturday morning *3rd weekend between 7 and 8 millions // 50M total *4th weekend around 6 millions // 68M total *post-Spring Break drop in the 30's, weak dailies for 3 weeks // 85M or so before Obon starts *Obon boost // 95M by the first weekend of May, T3 overtaken *quick drops afterwards, 105M total Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfantin65 Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Overseas Weekdays vs Weekend vs full week (by Rentrak) WEEK 01 Weekdays $ 0.000.000,00 Weekend $ 16.700.000,00 FULL WEEK $ 16.700.000,00 TOTAL $ 16.700.000,00WEEK 02 Weekdays $ 8.600.000,00 Weekend $ 30.600.000,00 FULL WEEK $ 39.200.000,00 TOTAL $ 55.900.000,00WEEK 03 Weekdays $ 14.200.000,00 Weekend $ 31.500.000,00 FULL WEEK $ 45.700.000,00 TOTAL $ 101.600.000,00WEEK 04 Weekdays $ 15.900.000,00 Weekend $ 35.100.000,00 FULL WEEK $ 51.000.000,00 TOTAL $ 152.600.000,00WEEK 05 Weekdays $ 40.400.000,00 Weekend $ 50.500.000,00 FULL WEEK $ 90.900.000,00 TOTAL $ 243.500.000,00WEEK 06 Weekdays $ 46.100.000,00 Weekend $ 52.500.000,00 FULL WEEK $ 98.600.000,00 TOTAL $ 342.100.000,00WEEK 07 Weekdays $ 24.700.000,00 Weekend $ 27.800.000,00 FULL WEEK $ 52.500.000,00 TOTAL $ 394.600.000,00WEEK 08 Weekdays $ 7.300.000,00 Weekend $ 24.600.000,00 FULL WEEK $ 31.900.000,00 TOTAL $ 426.500.000,00WEEK 09 Weekdays $ 15.800.000,00 Weekend $ 20.200.000,00 FULL WEEK $ 36.000.000,00 TOTAL $ 462.500.000,00WEEK 10 Weekdays $ 17.900.000,00 Weekend $ 24.000.000,00 FULL WEEK $ 41.900.000,00 TOTAL $ 504.400.000,00WEEK 11 Weekdays $ 16.700.000,00 Weekend $ 24.000.000,00 FULL WEEK $ 40.700.000,00 TOTAL $ 545.100.000,00WEEK 12 Weekdays $ 16.400.000,00 Weekend $ 18.200.000,00 FULL WEEK $ 34.600.000,00 TOTAL $ 579.700.000,00WEEK 13 Weekdays $ 7.600.000,00 Weekend $ 9.000.000,00 FULL WEEK $ 16.600.000,00 TOTAL $ 596.300.000,00WEEK 14 Weekdays $ 8.400.000,00 Weekend $ 6.800.000,00 FULL WEEK $ 15.200.000,00 TOTAL $ 611.500.000,00WEEK 15 Weekdays $ 1.300.000,00 Weekend $ 3.600.000,00 FULL WEEK $ 4.900.000,00 TOTAL $ 616.400.000,00WEEK 16 Weekdays $ 3.400.000,00 Weekend $ 10.400.000,00 FULL WEEK $ 13.800.000,00 TOTAL $ 630.200.000,00WEEK 17 Weekdays $ 12,800,000,00 Weekend $ 9,000,000,00 FULL WEEK $ 21.800.000,00 TOTAL $ 652.000.000,00 OW TOTAL Weekdays $ 257.500.000,00 (39%) TOTAL Weekend $ 394.500.000,00 (61%)next week will increase Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfantin65 Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Looks like a 2nd weekend just a tad above 8 millions. While that's about in line with the average early expectations, it's a really wonderful hold as every other holdover dropped quite hard. Weekdays have also been much higher than expected. A possible projection:*TS3 reached on Friday night or Saturday morning*3rd weekend between 7 and 8 millions // 50M total*4th weekend around 6 millions // 68M total*post-Spring Break drop in the 30's, weak dailies for 3 weeks // 85M or so before Obon starts*Obon boost // 95M by the first weekend of May, T3 overtaken*quick drops afterwards, 105M totalsounds reasonable and a very possible outcome.I'm looking for a bigger spring break (73m) and stronger hold in the weeks that follow. 128m. 116.5 is our over/under. Good luck!anyone else w a prediction? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omni Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Nice! Do you feel like betting an avatar "change"? Or we keep the usual hat? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfantin65 Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Nice!Do you feel like betting an avatar "change"? Or we keep the usual hat? if this puppy holds huge the week after spring break we'll start looking at avatar. For now TS3 has a shot. I need 2.5 m(44,000 toho) tomorrow to keep the dream alive and buy you a TS3 hat to eat! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omni Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Lol!I meant an avatar change on the forum for the one who loses the bet (in your case, it's not really a change as you don't have one, but still...). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 MU is the target for now.TS3 we'll see after Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfantin65 Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Ah! Got it. Ill put a picture keanu reeves if I lose. My least favorite actor. And you Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfantin65 Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 On second thought you put a picture of keanu reeves when you lose. What do u want me to put in case an asteroid hits Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omni Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 A picture of a guy dressed like Sailor Moon? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mojoguy Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 A picture of a guy dressed like Sailor Moon? GROSS! I would not want to see a picture like that whenever mfantin65 posts. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfantin65 Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 A picture of a guy dressed like Sailor Moon?I would have been clueless on that one too if I hadn't seen miracle in cell no7 recently Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Murgatroyd Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Looks like a 2nd weekend just a tad above 8 millions. While that's about in line with the average early expectations, it's a really wonderful hold as every other holdover dropped quite hard. Weekdays have also been much higher than expected. A possible projection: *TS3 reached on Friday night or Saturday morning *3rd weekend between 7 and 8 millions // 50M total *4th weekend around 6 millions // 68M total *post-Spring Break drop in the 30's, weak dailies for 3 weeks // 85M or so before Obon starts *Obon boost // 95M by the first weekend of May, T3 overtaken *quick drops afterwards, 105M total I assume you mean Golden Week, rather than Obon. The latter seems like it's a bit too far in the future. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LABAS Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Update Japan by 2 pm 2013 3/24 Last Mon Today TOHO 9396 14958 109 2426 4343 KINEZO 2004 4061 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
catlover Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Looks like a 2nd weekend just a tad above 8 millions. While that's about in line with the average early expectations, it's a really wonderful hold as every other holdover dropped quite hard. Weekdays have also been much higher than expected. A possible projection: *TS3 reached on Friday night or Saturday morning *3rd weekend between 7 and 8 millions // 50M total *4th weekend around 6 millions // 68M total *post-Spring Break drop in the 30's, weak dailies for 3 weeks // 85M or so before Obon starts *Obon boost // 95M by the first weekend of May, T3 overtaken *quick drops afterwards, 105M total That's my projection too, for now. I kinda hope it can increase again in its 3rd weekend. It's possible. And if it happens 110m+ total. And yeah, it's Golden Week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omni Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Yeah, I inverted the holiday names! Another increase on its 3rd weekend is definitely possible, and considering this weekend was underestimated, it could reach 9M. Heck, there's even a small chance it gets a double-digit 3rd weekend. Looks like Monday is going above 2M, though maybe it won't touch 2.5M. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfantin65 Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Yeah, I inverted the holiday names! Another increase on its 3rd weekend is definitely possible, and considering this weekend was underestimated, it could reach 9M. Heck, there's even a small chance it gets a double-digit 3rd weekend. Looks like Monday is going above 2M, though maybe it won't touch 2.5M.There have been big weekend boosts in middle of spring break/summer. 10m would be nice weekend and maybe 25m for next 7 days.toho needs to go over 40,000 to get to 2.5. 2m is looking likely. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LABAS Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 (edited) toho today 2836341% up from last monday Edited March 24, 2014 by LABAS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rsyu Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 toho today 2836341% up from last sunday Weekday is stronger than weekend? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LABAS Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 sorry typo. 41% plus from last Monday Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
