mfantin65 Posted March 30, 2014 Share Posted March 30, 2014 (edited) Hunger games CF had a 50% boost OS. I could see OS taking HG3 over 1b if dom holds tight. Edited March 30, 2014 by mfantin65 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boxx93 Posted March 30, 2014 Share Posted March 30, 2014 I think Interstellar has a shot at 1B WW. Inception made 800m and Nolan is a very bankable director all over the globe. But oh boy would love to see Disney pull another Frozen with Big Hero 6 but that will depend on the quality of the movie. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfantin65 Posted March 30, 2014 Share Posted March 30, 2014 Transformer sucks, i think Dark side of the Moon was enough for this seri. but we got marky mark and the funky bunch now ;-) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfantin65 Posted March 30, 2014 Share Posted March 30, 2014 (edited)   Transformer sucks, i think Dark side of the Moon was enough for this seri. Dbl post Edited March 30, 2014 by mfantin65 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
edroger3 Posted March 30, 2014 Share Posted March 30, 2014 It's disgusting to see how big the Ice Age junks are overseas. They need to be dethroned, it's at least a matter of respectability. Transformers is a near-lock for 1B. Hobbit has a good chance, HG3 will likely miss it by around 10%. As much as I'd love Maleficent to win the year, I'm sure that a sub-500M gross is much much more likely than a finish close to 1B. Ice Age Continental Drift did significantly better than Frozen in South America (near 180M$!), China, Germany and Russia. Frozen triumphs in United Kingdom, South Korea and Japan. (in North America Frozen more than double of Ice Age) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Incarnadine Posted March 30, 2014 Share Posted March 30, 2014 That is true but who knows. Which films do you think can earn 1b? The Hobbit- likely, but just barely. Transformers- probably. Hard to say how the new cast will affect things Mockingjay pt. 1- Possible. Caching Fire increased from 691m to over 864m. A similar increase would push it over 1b, although I think it will do around 950m. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
edroger3 Posted March 30, 2014 Share Posted March 30, 2014 The Hobbit- likely, but just barely.Transformers- probably. Hard to say how the new cast will affect thingsMockingjay pt. 1- Possible. Caching Fire increased from 691m to over 864m. A similar increase would push it over 1b, although I think it will do around 950m.Interstellar is sure for me. Inception was one of the highest grossing original release of past years. Nolan brothers builds a very strong fanbase all around the world. Leading actor is the oscar winner.I agree for Hobbit (the last Tolkien movie), but not for Trasformers, cast appeal is less important in this franchise than for example for Pirates of Caribbean. Good or bad marketing is the point.Hunger games could be have a run like Twilight, strong increase for second movie, small increase (or no increase) for 3rd and 4rt and new increase for the final movie. So billion is for Mockingjai 2. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrozenFan626 Posted March 30, 2014 Share Posted March 30, 2014 (edited) The Hobbit- likely, but just barely. Transformers- probably. Hard to say how the new cast will affect things Mockingjay pt. 1- Possible. Caching Fire increased from 691m to over 864m. A similar increase would push it over 1b, although I think it will do around 950m. I agree on the Hobbit. Transformers I think will crack 1b only because of expanding international markets and so many Asian countries love any big budget movie about robots. Hopefully there will be enough of a domestic decrease to prevent this one from getting into the top 10 though. Mockingjay pt. 1 is doubtful for me. The foreign haul will definitely increase and there is a quite a lot of goodwill built up from the first two films but I think Lion's Gate may have hurt their chances of a billion dollar movie when they opted to split this one up especially since the book is easily the weakest in the trilogy. WOM from part 1 may hurt Part 2's chances but probably not enough to stop that one from crossing the billion dollar threshold in 2015. Intersteller has a outside shot too but it could just as easily gross half that imo and WOM will be a huge factor. Also, X-Men: DoFP is an interesting wildcard. If it gets an Avengers type bump (which is possible given the huge cast tie-ins and multi-faceted nature of this sequel/prequel) then it should at least contend for the spot of number 1 superhero movie of the year which may be enough to push it over 1 Billion if all of the overseas markets also over-perform (although it will still probably fall a little short). Remember the highest grossing pre-Avengers tie-in Movie was Iron Man 2 which only hit $623m so the bump to over 1.5 billion was about 143%. A similar increase from X-Men: First Class would yield a worldwide haul in the $860m range. Of course it remains to be seen if this assemblage of X-men Franchises will even be treated with the same type of event status that The Avengers was. Ultimately, I hope that none of these movies come close to passing Frozen because I don't see any of them being nearly as good although X-Men has the potential to be pretty solid. If Transformers passes it I will be especially disappointed Edited March 30, 2014 by FrozenFanatic Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Incarnadine Posted March 30, 2014 Share Posted March 30, 2014 Interstellar is sure for me. Inception was one of the highest grossing original release of past years. Nolan brothers builds a very strong fanbase all around the world. Leading actor is the oscar winner.I agree for Hobbit (the last Tolkien movie), but not for Trasformers, cast appeal is less important in this franchise than for example for Pirates of Caribbean. Good or bad marketing is the point.Hunger games could be have a run like Twilight, strong increase for second movie, small increase (or no increase) for 3rd and 4rt and new increase for the final movie. So billion is for Mockingjai 2. I don't know why, but I'm not completely sold on Interstellar yet. I think it will be big, but I doubt it comes within shouting distance of 1 billion. New properties have an extremely tough time with the 1 billion mark, only 6 movies in the top 40 worldwide all time aren't sequels (maybe 7 if you count Alice In Wonderland, that's kind of a judgement call), and the almost universally liked Inception happens to be #40 with 825m. I see Inception numbers as the extreme high end, but Interstellar could come in much lower. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tong kosong Posted March 30, 2014 Share Posted March 30, 2014 (edited) That is true but who knows. Which films do you think can earn 1b? I think only Hobbit will get 1B Transformers and Mockingjay - around 900M TASM 2 and Interstellar - around 800M But none of them have any chance of passing Frozen. Edited March 31, 2014 by tong kosong Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Murgatroyd Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 I've got graph updates based on Corpse's weekend estimates. So far, Frozen is tracking fairly close to Ponyo. That should continue for about one more week, then it'll fall behind when its post-Spring Break slump hits at the same point where Ponyo had a holiday boost. Overall, I see it finishing somewhere between Finding Nemo and Ponyo. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mojoguy Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 (edited) Do you guys think Frozen becoming the biggest animated movie worldwide this weekend will help generate even more hype, and get more Japanese people to see the movie if it hadn't? Edited March 31, 2014 by Mojoguy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dalek Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 I don't know why, but I'm not completely sold on Interstellar yet. I think it will be big, but I doubt it comes within shouting distance of 1 billion. New properties have an extremely tough time with the 1 billion mark, only 6 movies in the top 40 worldwide all time aren't sequels (maybe 7 if you count Alice In Wonderland, that's kind of a judgement call), and the almost universally liked Inception happens to be #40 with 825m. I see Inception numbers as the extreme high end, but Interstellar could come in much lower. Avatar Titanic Frozen Jurassic Park Alice in Wonderland Lion King Harry Potter and the Philosopher's Stone Finding Nemo The Lord of the Rings: the Fellowship of the Ring Inception I think you missed a few Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
edroger3 Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 Frozen grosses 398,4M$ DOM after a poor 660K full week. Will achieve 400M$? Would be a disappointment if does not make it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hernan Gonzalez Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 Frozen grosses 398,4M$ DOM after a poor 660K full week. Will achieve 400M$? Would be a disappointment if does not make it. I was thinking the same thing!!! Damned DVD release date!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCS Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 Congrats to Frozen! A solid animated film that just clicked worldwide, how long will it last as #1 animated worldwide though? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hernan Gonzalez Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 Congrats to Frozen! A solid animated film that just clicked worldwide, how long will it last as #1 animated worldwide though? Until Frozen 2? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
edroger3 Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 Congrats to Frozen! A solid animated film that just clicked worldwide, how long will it last as #1 animated worldwide though? I was thinking the same thing!!! Damned DVD release date!!! Certainly Disney did not expect 16 weeks in a row in top ten, but could not postpone the dvd release date due the astronomical number of presales. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfantin65 Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 Frozen grosses 398,4M$ DOM after a poor 660K full week. Will achieve 400M$? Would be a disappointment if does not make it. Dollar theater bump will happen in the next week or two. That'll get it over. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 Congrats to Frozen! A solid animated film that just clicked worldwide, how long will it last as #1 animated worldwide though? Only foreseeable challenger is FN2 or TS4. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
