23IsEverywhere Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 10M is likely. DOS mad 396M yen during 3 days. If it continues at 3.5-4x DOS 1.386-1.584B yen or a Fri-Sun total of $13,629,924-$15,577,056 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 If it continues at 3.5-4x DOS 1.386-1.584B yen or a Fri-Sun total of $13,629,924-$15,577,056 Frozen will have cheaper tickets though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 In that case, according to Olive's extrapolation, you are hoping for a 7M opening weekend. So your hopes are for an OW which is just 15% above my (apparently) conservative, pessimistic prediction. it's still higher than you Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
23IsEverywhere Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Frozen will have cheaper tickets though. If you are talking about my conversion to USD, it is based off of todays conversion rate. Otherwise, what did I forget to incorporate? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 If you are talking about my conversion to USD, it is based off of todays conversion rate. Otherwise, what did I forget to incorporate? I'm thinking ￥950M to1B 3-day OW. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mojoguy Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 How much did Monsters University make OW in Japan? Maybe that would be a good comparison. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mojoguy Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 BOM says MU made $8.3M OW in Japan and had a $90M final gross. That's amazing! Are multipliers in Japan always this great? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
23IsEverywhere Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 I'm thinking ￥950M to1B 3-day OW. Those numbers are likely closer to the right ones. I thought that you were talking about an error in my extrapolation... I kinda figured it had little chance of actually reaching those numbers Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
23IsEverywhere Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 (edited) BOM says MU made $8.3M OW in Japan and had a $90M final gross. That's amazing! Are multipliers in Japan always this great? DM2 3,386,836 23,984,758 Ponyo 9,667,033 164,565,997 Cloudy 2 138,004 1,009,051 Edited March 14, 2014 by 23IsEverywhere Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mojoguy Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 DM2 3,386,836 23,984,758 Ponyo 9,667,033 164,565,997 Cloudy 2 138,004 1,009,051 Any older and it gets a bit hard to find Japan OW on boxoffice mojo I see the movies in Japan commonly have insane legs! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
catlover Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 (edited) I see the movies in Japan commonly have insane legs! Yeah like I said before, Japan is a very leggy market. They look insane, but those multipliers are common there. That's why Frozen doesn't need a big OW to get a big total. But of course, the bigger its OW, the better. Edited March 14, 2014 by catlover Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omni Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 I think a 10x multiplier is locked for Frozen considering how legs are d'habitude its strong point and its has a couple of holidays helping it. Heck, even a 15x isn't out of question. I'd like to point out that people are all excited for a possible 1B 3-day opening, with 0.3B coming from Friday, apparently - but a number like that would mean an OW of 7M, very close to Doraemon's. So the delirium of a hard-boiled pessimist has quickly become a wonderful number. Also, I predict that South Korea will happen again - at some point people will start overprojecting it considerably, throwing numbers well above its actual final gross. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
23IsEverywhere Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 I think a 10x multiplier is locked for Frozen considering how legs are d'habitude its strong point and its has a couple of holidays helping it. Heck, even a 15x isn't out of question. I'd like to point out that people are all excited for a possible 1B 3-day opening, with 0.3B coming from Friday, apparently - but a number like that would mean an OW of 7M, very close to Doraemon's. So the delirium of a hard-boiled pessimist has quickly become a wonderful number. Also, I predict that South Korea will happen again - at some point people will start overprojecting it considerably, throwing numbers well above its actual final gross. 1B 3 day opening Spirited Away is going down Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
edroger3 Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 screendaily.com says: Frozen stands at $619.5m through WDSMPI and debuts in its final market of Japan. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Omni,Frozen will beat Doraemon's 2-day ow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mojoguy Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 screendaily.com says: Frozen stands at $619.5m through WDSMPI and debuts in its final market of Japan. What's does WDSMPI mean? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hernan Gonzalez Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 What's does WDSMPI mean? Walt Disney Studios Movie Pictures International maybe? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
edroger3 Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 (edited) Walt Disney Studios Movie Pictures International maybe?yes, screendaily reports official data provided by studios (or at least we hope so) every friday Edited March 14, 2014 by edroger Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Wow, awesome news. If Frozen really does 10M+ for 3 day than 100M is possible as it'll get multiple boosts during it's run. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
edroger3 Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 is safe (if screendaily says the truth) another 5M WW in weekdays = 1,015 b$ before japan start 1,015 b$ + another about 10m$ in other location at the end of the run = about 1,025 b$ then it take only about 40/45m$ in japan to reach top ten WW Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
