China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[Frank]

49 minutes ago, Belakor said:

Warcraft rocks the China market and targets $300M box office

http://www.pandahedge.com/?p=193 

Fake news.

[POTUS 2020]

2 hours ago, Frank said:

Fake news.

Real probability...

WC on pace for 280-300m today

XMA 48-50m

[picores]

So 100m USD for X-Men in 10 days with heavy competition from Warcraft. Did not like the movie too much, but very pleased with this number. This could have been a 60-70m USD run.

[Blackout]

43 minutes ago, No Prisoners said:

Real probability...

WC on pace for 280-300m today

XMA 48-50m

 

X-Men looks like it's pacing faster than Monday where it did 49m. Maybe it can do closer to 60m? 

[Blackout]

double post 

Edited June 9, 2016 by Blackout

[Belakor]

57 minutes ago, picores said:

So 100m USD for X-Men in 10 days with heavy competition from Warcraft. Did not like the movie too much, but very pleased with this number. This could have been a 60-70m USD run.

Warcraft was just released.

[picores]

36 minutes ago, Belakor said:

Warcraft was just released.

 

And X-Men is gonna fall fine against it.

[keysersoze123]

XMen looks like doubling from yesterday. Definitely will help in adding more shows for tomorrow. I think DOFP total should happen at this rate. It should do fine until ID4-2 opens in 2 weeks.

 

Warcraft could have a 300m day if evenings are strong. I think beating Furious 7 is probable at this point. Need to see how it does during next week will tell us how close its gonna get to Mermaid(most probably it wont come close).

[POTUS 2020]

1 hour ago, Blackout said:

 

X-Men looks like it's pacing faster than Monday where it did 49m. Maybe it can do closer to 60m? 

It's pacing faster at this time but Mondays pace increased after 1800. Today will remain constant at 3m p/h being a holiday and be below Monday evenings pace.  Still on course for 50m~, a 100% bump. 

WC 290-305m

[Blackout]

looks like the performance of WC in China will guarantee its sequels to happen. Can't wait to see the likes of Sylvanas and Arthas on the big screen!

[keysersoze123]

XM will hit 50m. WC does not look like cracking 300m. its now looking at 270-280m day 2. still fantastic.

 

edit: XM barely moved with 7PM update and so seem to be tapering off. May end up with just low 40

's at this rate. WC is moving along well.

Edited June 9, 2016 by keysersoze123

[jiangsen]

31 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

XM will hit 50m. WC does not look like cracking 300m. its now looking at 270-280m day 2. still fantastic.

 

edit: XM barely moved with 7PM update and so seem to be tapering off. May end up with just low 40

's at this rate. WC is moving along well.

Any kind of drop on Thursday for Warcraft isn't a good sign. Thursday should clearly be its biggest day considering the entire country has off for the holiday. A drop means demand is already waning and will continue to drop off from Fri-Sun.

[Rentaro1989]

57 minutes ago, jiangsen said:

Any kind of drop on Thursday for Warcraft isn't a good sign. Thursday should clearly be its biggest day considering the entire country has off for the holiday. A drop means demand is already waning and will continue to drop off from Fri-Sun.

Anything above 250 as cum is a  huge thing for Warcraft.

[druv10]

1 hour ago, jiangsen said:

Any kind of drop on Thursday for Warcraft isn't a good sign. Thursday should clearly be its biggest day considering the entire country has off for the holiday. A drop means demand is already waning and will continue to drop off from Fri-Sun.

It's increasing from yesterday. Question is will it increase from mid + proper Wednesday? At this point, I agree with No Prisoner with 295-305 day. It just had 10M bump with the last update.

[NCsoft]

1 hour ago, druv10 said:

It's increasing from yesterday. Question is will it increase from mid + proper Wednesday? At this point, I agree with No Prisoner with 295-305 day. It just had 10M bump with the last update.

I read somewhere that it would level off to Friday 230M and then Saturday 170M, is that reasonable at all? or too big of a drop?

[druv10]

2 minutes ago, NCsoft said:

I read somewhere that it would level off to Friday 230M and then Saturday 170M, is that reasonable at all? or too big of a drop?

Presales are down quite a bit for Friday so 230M would be quite a good hold. Your Friday and Saturday drops seem reasonable.

[keysersoze123]

Since it was OD and then DB Festival day pre-sales were high. Otherwise it should behave like a normal movie. Its multi would be better than today for sure. So it should have decent numbers for next 2 days.

[druv10]

28 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Since it was OD and then DB Festival day pre-sales were high. Otherwise it should behave like a normal movie. Its multi would be better than today for sure. So it should have decent numbers for next 2 days.

No doubt, potentially 1.2B for first 5 days. Even if it collapses 300M dollars should happen and with good legs 400M+.

[POTUS 2020]

1 hour ago, NCsoft said:

I read somewhere that it would level off to Friday 230M and then Saturday 170M, is that reasonable at all? or too big of a drop?

Holiday holds are a little steeper but similar to weekday holds. Mermaid held -10% it's second holiday then held flat. M3 and MK fell 25%. LiHK fell 18% through the October holidays.

It could just be more front loaded but with good WoM I would think it holds better than 20%, then -25% on Saturday since Sunday is a workday.

1 hour ago, druv10 said:

Presales are down quite a bit for Friday so 230M would be quite a good hold. Your Friday and Saturday drops seem reasonable.

PS are off on maoyan. The increases slowed in the afternoon.  CBO has identical PS for all other movies but 11m more for WC at 51m. That's still a 27% drop for this time. The PS multi does increase with each day. It was 2.66 on OD. 3.6x today and could be over 4x tonight's PS total for tomorrow. It could be 230m for tomorrow, possibly 240s. 

Edited June 9, 2016 by No Prisoners

[Olive]

Thursday est

WC 302M/603M ($92M)

X 47.8M/549m

Birds 9.4M/487M

Alice 9.2M/349M

WC becomes the first movie with 2 days over 300M yuan.