China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[POTUS 2020]

Sunday Estimates

 

 

1). Monster Hunt ￥46.5M/cume: 204M($328M) 

2).To The Fore ￥22M/cume: 71M

3). TMK  ￥14.7M/cume:852M  ($137.1M) 

4).JianBingMan ￥13M/cume: 1098M($176.8M)

 

MH and TMK on pace to drop 30-35% today w/o/w

[sgchn40]

Sunday (9th Aug 2015) actuals from the same source as Kylin (where did he go?  )

 

No of Screenings: ~164,000

Attendance: ~4.14 million

Total Gross: ~¥142 million

 

 

 

Rank	Movie	Sunday	Lifetime	in USD
1	MH	¥46.7m	¥2.05b	$330.6m
2	TTF	¥22.3m	¥72.5m	$11.69m
3	TMK	¥14.86m	¥854m	$137.7m
4	JBM	¥13.15m	¥1.1b	$177.4m
5	Mr Black: Green Star	¥11.4m	¥38.4m	$6.19m
6	Kwai Boo	¥10.0m	¥37.8m	$6.10m
7	Time to Love 2015	¥6.5m	¥21.2m	$3.42m
8	WC	¥4.9m	¥135m	$21.77m
9	Lady of the Dynasty	¥2.4m	¥128m	$20.65m
10	Imitation Game	¥2.04m	¥42.9m	$6.92m

 

Edited August 10, 2015 by sgchn40

[Fake]

I wonder if TMK can manage 10x multiplier from its 4-day opening.

[Olive]

Rank	Movie	Monday(Aug. 10)	Lifetime	in USD
1	MH	¥23m	¥2073m	$333.8m
2	TTF	¥11,5m	¥84m	$13.5m
3	JBM	¥7.25m	¥1107m	$178.3m
4	TMK	¥6.7m	¥861m	$138.7m
5	Kwai Boo	¥4m	¥41.8m	$6.73m

 

[jiangsen]

Weekly China Box Office Preview: “Go Away, Monster Hunt!” - Inspirational Comedy Set To Knock 'Monster Hunt' Off Its Perch

Bai Baihe (also in Monster Hunt) plays Xiong Dun in the film adaptation of Go Away, Mr. Tumor! and director Han Yan recounts her life story through dreamscapes meant to represent the illustrator's vivid imagination; see the trailer below to get an idea of what we mean. Early reactions have been very positive calling the film heartbreakingly funny and Ms. Bai’s best performance since her debut in Love Is Not Blind ($56M). The film grossed $2M from sold-out Saturday night previews and we expect its uplifting theme to strike a chord with Mainland filmgoers, earning $150M+ by the end of its run. Mr. Tumor's box office total will also benefit from premium-priced IMAX ticket sales.

[POTUS 2020]

MH bumping a little from yesterday to 26m and TMK to 8m, down just 29 and 22% respectively w/o/w

[Olive]

Rank	Movie	Tuesday(Aug. 11)	Lifetime	in USD
1	MH	¥24.1m	¥2098m	$331.9m
2	TTF	¥11.4m	¥95.5m	$15.1m
3	JBM	¥7.7m	¥1116m	$176.5m
4	TMK	¥7.3m	¥868m	$137.3m
5	Kwai Boo	¥4.1m	¥46m	$7.3m

 

Chinese yuan value dropped a lot today.

Edited August 11, 2015 by Kylin Zhang

[sgchn40]

 

Rank Movie Tuesday(Aug. 11) Lifetime in USD 1   MH ¥24.1m ¥2098m $331.9m 2   TTF ¥11.4m ¥95.5m $15.1m 3   JBM ¥7.7m ¥1116m $176.5m 4   TMK ¥7.3m ¥868m $137.3m 5   Kwai Boo ¥4.1m ¥46m $7.3m

 

Chinese yuan value dropped a lot today.

 

 

This is quite a spectacle... The gross in USD is lower than the day before

[MinaTakla]

Wondering how these sharp yuan drops will affect the box office grosses especially for Hollywood movies this fall.

[Olive]

Not good, its keep dropping.

Monday $~6.21 yuan

Today $~6.42 yuan

[MinaTakla]

Not good, its keep dropping.

Monday $~6.21 yuan

Today $~6.42 yuan

Yea I think this means that if a movie was expected to make 100m USD in China, now the max would be 96m.

It probably means movies like MI5 and Minions will make 4-5% less than their ceiling projections 

ie MI5 in the 190s instead of 200s, and Minions in the 90s - low 130s instead of the 100-150s.

We should probably revise our projections for Minions, T5, IO, MI5, Antman and Pixels and lower them a bit.

Edited August 12, 2015 by MinaTakla

[peludo]

I have heard news that this drop in exchange rate is a currency devaluation ordered by Chinese government. We should not discard more punctual drops. To put into perspective the grosses from now, it is quite better to see figures in local currency instead dollars. That is the best possible comparison. Another thing is if we want to see spectacular OS/WW figures, but the truth is that Chinese people use Yuan, not Dollar.

 

Edit: with current exchange rates, top 10 changes in this way relative to Monday (approx figures. Correct me if I am wrong):

 

1. F7: 390 - 376

2. Monster Hunt: 337 - 325

3. TF4: 318 - 307

4. AoU: 236 - 227

5: Jurassic World: 229 - 220

6. Avatar: 216 - 208

7. Titanic: 210 - 203

8. Lost in Thailand: 204 - 197

9. Journey to the West: 201 - 193 

10. Breakup buddies: 188 - 181

Edited August 12, 2015 by peludo

[MinaTakla]

I have heard news that this drop in exchange rate is a currency devaluation ordered by Chinese government. We should not discard more punctual drops. To put into perspective the grosses from now, it is quite better to see figures in local currency instead dollars. That is the best possible comparison. Another thing is if we want to see spectacular OS/WW figures, but the truth is that Chinese people use Yuan, not Dollar.

 

Edit: with current exchange rates, top 10 changes in this way relative to Monday (approx figures. Correct me if I am wrong):

 

1. F7: 390 - 376

2. Monster Hunt: 337 - 325

3. TF4: 318 - 307

4. AoU: 236 - 227

5: Jurassic World: 229 - 220

6. Avatar: 216 - 208

7. Titanic: 210 - 203

8. Lost in Thailand: 204 - 197

9. Journey to the West: 201 - 193 

10. Breakup buddies: 188 - 181

It will definitely impact the new movies going to play in China and am thinking we need to re-think how MI5, Minions and other films will do there and lower the ceiling a bit for them.

For example if MI5 is exected to do 200 million, now it will probably make 192m etc

[peludo]

It will definitely impact the new movies going to play in China and am thinking we need to re-think how MI5, Minions and other films will do there and lower the ceiling a bit for them.

For example if MI5 is exected to do 200 million, now it will probably make 192m etc

We should wait to see if drops in currency continue or it has already finished. If we were thinking in $200m for MI5 before this change, we should say something like 1.2-1.25 billion Yuan. When the film is released we will be able to "traduce" that number to dollars with a more accurate figure.

 

For the record, before this drop, $100m was more or less 625 million Yuan.

[Olive]

In the worst case, 10-15% drop may happen.

[MinaTakla]

In the worst case, 10-15% drop may happen.

Wow that would be a huge drop for a currency, not just from a BO perspective

Did this ever happen before for a currency in such a short time?

[Asyulus]

So Monster Hunt hitting $400m.

Then watch KFP3 break that record again, and become the first $500m China grosser.

[MrFanaticGuy34]

I don't get why BOM doesn't update the OS gross of Monster Hunt to add it in the top #615 WW grosses.

[jiangsen]

So Monster Hunt hitting $400m.

Then watch KFP3 break that record again, and become the first $500m China grosser.

Why hitting $400M? MH will be hit pretty hard by this week's opener Go Away, Mr Tumor! and will end up around $370M

[jiangsen]

I don't get why BOM doesn't update the OS gross of Monster Hunt to add it in the top #615 WW grosses.

Because BOM's international data is woefully incomplete...