China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[bangbingchan]

31 minutes ago, FranMan said:

How's Panda's WOM like? Maybe it can do a Jurassic World climb?

WOM is even better than JW.

8.2 Douban 9.1 Maoyan 9.0 Gewara 

But CNY is different from other holiday,Panda will loss most screens on Feb.8.JW benefited a lot from dragon boat festival.

Edited January 31, 2016 by bangbingchan

[MrFanaticGuy34]

5 minutes ago, bangbingchan said:

WOM is even better than JW.

8.2 Douban 9.1 Maoyan 9.0Gewara 

But CNY is different from other holiday,Panda will loss most screens Feb.8

 

True. It'll lose screens......just hope it doesn't lose a lengthy run in China.

 

Cause most imported films gets 1 month run in China......But KFP3 is also done by the chinese....so i dunno how different the case will be for Panda.

[bangbingchan]

4 minutes ago, MrFanaticGuy34 said:

 

True. It'll lose screens......just hope it doesn't lose a lengthy run in China.

 

Cause most imported films gets 1 month run in China......But KFP3 is also done by the chinese....so i dunno how different the case will be for Panda.

If KFP3 lose most screens,nothing can save it.frozen had more than one month run in China.it cant help much.

[Olive]

Let's assume KFP3 has 5-7% screens, the highest it can made on CNY is 15M yuan since it only have smallest screens and loses IMAX.

250M yuan is absolute the roof it can make After CNY since WOM is not as exceptional as TMK.

Don't foeget several local movies will open on Valentine's day...

[POTUS 2020]

23 minutes ago, bangbingchan said:

WOM is even better than JW.

8.2 Douban 9.1 Maoyan 9.0 Gewara 

But CNY is different from other holiday,Panda will loss most screens on Feb.8.JW benefited a lot from dragon boat festival.

Allright so WOM is looking good. Sundays hold was good. Let's see tuesday. If it holds flat we will have a shot.  -15%+ and it's toast. In between? Meh 

[bangbingchan]

I wanna cry.There is one morning show for Panda in IMAX on Feb.8 in suburb.I believe it's an exception.Other downtown cinemas only have showtimes new releases

[Archerdude]

28 minutes ago, bangbingchan said:

WOM is even better than JW.

8.2 Douban 9.1 Maoyan 9.0 Gewara 

But CNY is different from other holiday,Panda will loss most screens on Feb.8.JW benefited a lot from dragon boat festival.

 

Yes, Dragonboat weekend and also weakened competition until July Summer holidays with which it partook in even for a week or so.  It was the last Hollywood flick in June and no rev share imports came in till Aug with Termina-turd.  That it was a Summer spectacle and had CG dinosaurs might've helped too.  KFP is going to be under siege once the CNY movies pile in...WOM is not the issue here, it's the rather low occupancy it is toting on its day and date opening with the US.  My 2 cents.

[Olive]

Animated movies always have better WOM than other movies...

Even Alvin 4 has very good WOM, KFP3's not far from that...

[druv10]

4 minutes ago, bangbingchan said:

I wanna cry.There is one morning show for Panda in IMAX on Feb.8 in suburb.I believe it's an exception.Other downtown cinemas only have showtimes new releases

I can't cry for DWA and their brain dead decision. 

[bangbingchan]

24 minutes ago, No Prisoners said:

Allright so WOM is looking good. Sundays hold was good. Let's see tuesday. If it holds flat we will have a shot.  -15%+ and it's toast. In between? Meh 

Nothing is wrong with KFP3 itself.WOM is good.weekday hold will be good.it's winter holiday for kids afterall.it's WRONG with release date.Panda should have been more huge.DWA ruined it by arrogance.Even now  they didn't realize they were wrong.DWA haven't started wide presale and discount tickets for CNY yet.It totally fall behind most local films in market campaign.

Edited January 31, 2016 by bangbingchan

[POTUS 2020]

1 hour ago, The Good Olive said:

Let's assume KFP3 has 5-7% screens, the highest it can made on CNY is 15M yuan since it only have smallest screens and loses IMAX.

250M yuan is absolute the roof it can make After CNY since WOM is not as exceptional as TMK.

Don't foeget several local movies will open on Valentine's day...

I remember you saying the vast majority of screens are small and the same size, 120 seats? If CNY has 500m days then it could do 35m+ at 7%. If mermaid sucks, there have been many underperformers recently, it could still do 10% market share, 50m. 

Edited January 31, 2016 by No Prisoners

[bangbingchan]

1 hour ago, druv10 said:

I can't cry for DWA and their brain dead decision. 

I cry for one IMAX cinema still give a chance for Panda in CNY.So expectation.DWA is ignorance and arrogance.poor panda

[POTUS 2020]

KFP3 pre-sales for Monday at 12.5m. It's been totaling 4x. That indicates 50m and a strong hold, in line with TMK's summer mondays. Thats not including the first week when the dailies were ramping up

[POTUS 2020]

Last year there were 7 new releases. They had 7.5% - 25% of screens. 

First day total gross was 367m.

The next 5 days were 300m declining to 270m  screens shifted to 5% - 20%

 

4 new releases this year

Presales  

Mermaid 22m 

TMK2 18m

MFM3  14

4th release ??? 3m

With a 75m or possibly larger saturday I believe KFP3 will have 10% to start, if it's market share outperforms screens coupled with one of the big 3 disappointing it could increase to 15% by the end of the holiday.

 

 

[POTUS 2020]

4 hours ago, The Good Olive said:

2nd week prediction:

Monday 50/432

Tuesday 48/480

Wednesday 45/525

Thursday 40/565

Friday 55/620

Saturday 70/690

Sunday 25/715

 

 

4 hours ago, efialtes76 said:

Too much optimistic,IMO.

Monday looks like it going to happen. The rest looks realistic. I think Saturday could bump more. Yesterday's bump was muted by OD Fri. 

[Olive]

The big four on CNY will have many discounted tickets in favor of theaters to secure more showtimes, thus old movies will suffer...

[MonstersandRoy]

Could Panda end up with less than TFA?

[Olive]

47 minutes ago, MonstersandRoy said:

Could Panda end up with less than TFA?

Possible, but still very probable to beat TFA.

[Olive]

Januray 2016

Monthly revenue 3.834B yuan, +47%

Edited February 1, 2016 by The Good Olive

[A Marvel Fanboy]

According to an anonymous source, Mermaid is indeed terrible, so is Macao 3. 

 

Panda still has a chance ？

Edited February 1, 2016 by firedeep