POTUS 2020 Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 (edited) On Friday, April 08, 2016 at 3:23 PM, No Prisoners said: Im going to track JB and CA3 to see if we can find a multi. Ill keep each movie in one post and edit to make it more accessible. Jungle Book OD April 15, 2016 Maoyan PS 0000 F 4/8. 1.10m 0000 S 4/9 1.33 +20% 0000 S 4/10 1.86 +40% 0000 M 4/11 2.48 +33% 0000 T 4/12 3.67 +50% 0000 W 4/13 5.86 +67% 0000 T 4/14 9.76 +67% 0000 F 4/15 19.10 +96% Midnight OD 0900 F 4/15 20.00 + 5% Morning OD OD Total 77.8m PS Multi 4.1 x 00:00 PS OW Total 325.0m Total OD Multi OW Multi 50-66% increases in the final days followed by a 100% increase on the last day is a typical trend. On Monday, April 18, 2016 at 10:35 AM, No Prisoners said: Maoyan PS multi has been all over the place lately. Going to compare to CBO. CA3 OD May 6, 2016 Maoyan. CBO MN OD MN OD 0000 W 4/27 0.1m 0.3m 0000 T 4/28 0.8 2.4 0000 F 4/29 1.2 3.6 +50% 0000 S 4/30 1.8 6.2 +72% 2.4m 7.3m 0000 S 5/1 2.1 8.1 +31% 2.9 10.3 +41% 0000 M 5/2 2.8. 11.9 +47% 3.7 14.2 +39% 0000 T 5/3 3.5 16.3 +37% 4.4 18.5 +31% 0000 W 5/4 4.8 25.4 +56% 5.1 31.1 +68% 0000 T 5/5 6.4 37.9 +50% 5.2 41.4 +33% 0000 F 5/6 18.1 65.8 +75% 13.3 58.9 +44% 0900 F 5/6 OD Total PSxMao PSxCBO OW Total Total OD Multi OW Multi Likely to do 2.5- 3x 65.8m. However this year a couple of movies have been 2.2x and TJB was 4x. SW7 tallied PS until 2am in a last minute rush and had 73m to start the day. Could be 150m to 225m. No matter, it's all about WoM . Zoo made only 24m it's first day and wound up with 1.5B. SW7 made 193m OD and made only 825m. Flat to up 15% on Saturday- doomed Up 30%+ and it could be a runner that Kenya could be proud of. Edited May 5, 2016 by No Prisoners 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Agafin Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 SW7, KFP3, BVS and perhaps CW. It seems like every hyped tentpole is getting overestimated here lately. Movies with no hype like JB or Zoo are the ones to do gangbusters now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrstickball Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 I'd wait to see reviews more than anything. Zoo and TJB had good review scores from Chinese filmgoers. SW7 and BVS got slaughtered in WOM. KFP3 was a victim of its studio's own stupidity on release date. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moviesRus Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 I'm still confused why TFA got such terrible WOM in China. Even if China isn't big on Star Wars, the plot and spectacle are pretty in line with what China likes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snitch Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 1 hour ago, Agafin said: SW7, KFP3, BVS and perhaps CW. It seems like every hyped tentpole is getting overestimated here lately. Movies with no hype like JB or Zoo are the ones to do gangbusters now. What is the situations with Warcraft? Has the marketing stared for it in China? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 (edited) 12 minutes ago, moviesRus said: I'm still confused why TFA got such terrible WOM in China. Even if China isn't big on Star Wars, the plot and spectacle are pretty in line with what China likes. Two reasons I heard and are conflicting. They didn't grow up with star wars and we're unfamiliar with it unlike transformers the other was they don't like remakes. Of course if you don't know the franchise then it's not a remake if you didn't see the first one. Oh, and light Saber fighting is sub par to Chinese sword play Anyone know the early WoM on this yet? Edited May 5, 2016 by No Prisoners Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 17 minutes ago, moviesRus said: I'm still confused why TFA got such terrible WOM in China. Even if China isn't big on Star Wars, the plot and spectacle are pretty in line with what China likes. We have seen too many sword fightings in Wuxia movies, lightsabre fights look lame and stupid to many people. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moviesRus Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 2 minutes ago, Olive said: We have seen too many sword fightings in Wuxia movies, lightsabre fights look lame and stupid to many people. Is Game of Thrones super boring to people there too? lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 Just now, moviesRus said: Is Game of Thrones super boring to people there too? lol No, very popular and it's one of best-reviewed TV series. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moviesRus Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 2 minutes ago, Olive said: No, very popular and it's one of best-reviewed TV series. But I mean aren't those sword fights very slow and dull in comparison too? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 Just now, moviesRus said: But I mean aren't those sword fights very slow and dull in comparison too? Other aspects are strong though, personally not a fan. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ttr Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 We have seen too many sword fightings in Wuxia movies, lightsabre fights look lame and stupid to many people. You think that Rogue One will have that disadvantage? I mean, might be that there won't be any lightsabrefights... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jiangsen Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 26 minutes ago, No Prisoners said: Two reasons I heard and are conflicting. They didn't grow up with star wars and we're unfamiliar with it unlike transformers the other was they don't like remakes. Of course if you don't know the franchise then it's not a remake if you didn't see the first one. Oh, and light Saber fighting is sub par to Chinese sword play Anyone know the early WoM on this yet? 8.4 currently on Douban but assume that's mostly the diehard fans coming back from midnight screenings. https://movie.douban.com/subject/25820460/?from=showing. Let's see if it dips. Ultron is 7.1...doubt it'll fall that low. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrstickball Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 Ironically, its jumped to 8.5 in the past hour with 5,463 reviews. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 I think it will have decent legs in China rather then a huge record start. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 42 minutes ago, Mrstickball said: Ironically, its jumped to 8.5 in the past hour with 5,463 reviews. Thats actully pretty good for a CB movie i think. Lets hope it stays up there Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 8 minutes ago, Lordmandeep said: I think it will have decent legs in China rather then a huge record start. I want both Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 As long it Crosses 200 million us I be happy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted May 6, 2016 Share Posted May 6, 2016 OD showtimes close to 90k, widest for a foreign release I think. It could hit 10K with easy if runtime being shorter. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 6, 2016 Share Posted May 6, 2016 TF4 AOU CA3 Day Yn Daily % +/- Last Week Tot $Tot Yn Daily % +/- Last Week Tot $Tot Yn Daily % +/- Last Week Tot $Tot Comp TF4 Comp AOU Tues 212 212 34 -34.3 Wed 123 -42.1% 335 54 -54.1 Thur 91 -26.0% 426 69 -68.8 Fri 195 195 32 127 40.0% 554 89 200 200 31 -1.2 -58.6 Sat 223 14.4% 418 69 236 85.2% 790 127 200 31 -37.8 -96.6 Sun 213 -4.6% 631 103 165 -29.9% 955 154 200 31 -72.6 -123.3 Mon 123 -42.1% 754 124 45 -72.6% 1001 161 200 31 -92.8 -130.6 Tues 112 -8.9% 866 142 41 -9.7% -80.7% 1042 168 200 31 -111.2 -137.2 Wed 95 -15.7% 961 157 50 22.0% -59.3% 1092 176 200 31 -126.7 -145.3 Thur 84 -11.0% 1045 171 31 -38.0% -65.9% 1123 181 200 31 -140.5 -150.3 Fri 87 3.4% -55.3% 1132 186 42 35.5% -67.0% 1165 188 200 31 -154.8 -157.1 Sat 130 48.8% -41.9% 1262 207 78 85.7% -66.9% 1243 200 200 31 -176.0 -169.7 Sun 118 -9.0% -44.6% 1379 226 59 -24.4% -64.3% 1302 210 200 31 -195.4 -179.2 Mon 54 -58.3% -56.1% 1433 235 15.8 -73.2% -65.2% 1317 212 200 31 -204.2 -181.7 Tue 53 -1.9% -52.8% 1486 244 10.8 -31.6% -73.7% 1328 214 200 31 -212.9 -183.5 Wed 43 -18.9% -54.5% 1529 251 9.5 -12.0% -81.0% 1338 216 200 31 -220.0 -185.0 Thu 39 -9.3% -53.7% 1568 257 8.4 -11.6% -72.9% 1346 217 200 31 -226.3 -186.3 Fri 42 7.7% -51.8% 1610 264 11.9 41.7% -71.7% 1358 219 200 31 -233.2 -188.3 Sat 62 47.6% -52.2% 1672 274 26.0 118.5% -66.7% 1384 223 200 31 -243.4 -192.5 Sun 58 -6.45% -50.8% 1730 284 24.0 -7.7% -59.3% 1408 227 200 31 -252.9 -196.3 Mon 26 -55.2% -51.9% 1756 288 25.0 4.2% 58.2% 1433 231 200 31 -257.2 -200.4 Tue 28 7.7% -47.2% 1784 293 4.0 -84.0% -63.0% 1437 232 200 31 -261.8 -201.0 Wed 23 -17.9% -46.5% 1807 296 3.5 -12.5% -63.2% 1441 232 200 31 -265.5 -201.6 Thu 18 -21.7% -53.8% 1825 299 3.0 -14.3% -64.3% 1444 233 200 31 -268.5 -202.1 1900 319 1450 236 TF4 opened on a summer Friday, had summer weekdays fro a boost and held very good at a 50% WoW average AoU is more comparable. A Tuesday open deflated the weekend by at least 25%. WoM was mixed and less than average holds. I threw in 200m including midnights for now. could be 185m, +/- 10%. will know better at 1400 CA3 is at 5% currency disadvantage to AoU 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...