Frank Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 49 minutes ago, Belakor said: Warcraft rocks the China market and targets $300M box office http://www.pandahedge.com/?p=193 Fake news. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 2 hours ago, Frank said: Fake news. Real probability... WC on pace for 280-300m today XMA 48-50m 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
picores Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 So 100m USD for X-Men in 10 days with heavy competition from Warcraft. Did not like the movie too much, but very pleased with this number. This could have been a 60-70m USD run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blackout Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 43 minutes ago, No Prisoners said: Real probability... WC on pace for 280-300m today XMA 48-50m X-Men looks like it's pacing faster than Monday where it did 49m. Maybe it can do closer to 60m? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blackout Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 (edited) double post Edited June 9, 2016 by Blackout Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Belakor Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 57 minutes ago, picores said: So 100m USD for X-Men in 10 days with heavy competition from Warcraft. Did not like the movie too much, but very pleased with this number. This could have been a 60-70m USD run. Warcraft was just released. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
picores Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 36 minutes ago, Belakor said: Warcraft was just released. And X-Men is gonna fall fine against it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 XMen looks like doubling from yesterday. Definitely will help in adding more shows for tomorrow. I think DOFP total should happen at this rate. It should do fine until ID4-2 opens in 2 weeks. Warcraft could have a 300m day if evenings are strong. I think beating Furious 7 is probable at this point. Need to see how it does during next week will tell us how close its gonna get to Mermaid(most probably it wont come close). 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 1 hour ago, Blackout said: X-Men looks like it's pacing faster than Monday where it did 49m. Maybe it can do closer to 60m? It's pacing faster at this time but Mondays pace increased after 1800. Today will remain constant at 3m p/h being a holiday and be below Monday evenings pace. Still on course for 50m~, a 100% bump. WC 290-305m 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blackout Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 looks like the performance of WC in China will guarantee its sequels to happen. Can't wait to see the likes of Sylvanas and Arthas on the big screen! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 (edited) XM will hit 50m. WC does not look like cracking 300m. its now looking at 270-280m day 2. still fantastic. edit: XM barely moved with 7PM update and so seem to be tapering off. May end up with just low 40 's at this rate. WC is moving along well. Edited June 9, 2016 by keysersoze123 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jiangsen Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 31 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said: XM will hit 50m. WC does not look like cracking 300m. its now looking at 270-280m day 2. still fantastic. edit: XM barely moved with 7PM update and so seem to be tapering off. May end up with just low 40 's at this rate. WC is moving along well. Any kind of drop on Thursday for Warcraft isn't a good sign. Thursday should clearly be its biggest day considering the entire country has off for the holiday. A drop means demand is already waning and will continue to drop off from Fri-Sun. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rentaro1989 Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 57 minutes ago, jiangsen said: Any kind of drop on Thursday for Warcraft isn't a good sign. Thursday should clearly be its biggest day considering the entire country has off for the holiday. A drop means demand is already waning and will continue to drop off from Fri-Sun. Anything above 250 as cum is a huge thing for Warcraft. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 1 hour ago, jiangsen said: Any kind of drop on Thursday for Warcraft isn't a good sign. Thursday should clearly be its biggest day considering the entire country has off for the holiday. A drop means demand is already waning and will continue to drop off from Fri-Sun. It's increasing from yesterday. Question is will it increase from mid + proper Wednesday? At this point, I agree with No Prisoner with 295-305 day. It just had 10M bump with the last update. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCsoft Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 1 hour ago, druv10 said: It's increasing from yesterday. Question is will it increase from mid + proper Wednesday? At this point, I agree with No Prisoner with 295-305 day. It just had 10M bump with the last update. I read somewhere that it would level off to Friday 230M and then Saturday 170M, is that reasonable at all? or too big of a drop? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 2 minutes ago, NCsoft said: I read somewhere that it would level off to Friday 230M and then Saturday 170M, is that reasonable at all? or too big of a drop? Presales are down quite a bit for Friday so 230M would be quite a good hold. Your Friday and Saturday drops seem reasonable. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 Since it was OD and then DB Festival day pre-sales were high. Otherwise it should behave like a normal movie. Its multi would be better than today for sure. So it should have decent numbers for next 2 days. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 28 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said: Since it was OD and then DB Festival day pre-sales were high. Otherwise it should behave like a normal movie. Its multi would be better than today for sure. So it should have decent numbers for next 2 days. No doubt, potentially 1.2B for first 5 days. Even if it collapses 300M dollars should happen and with good legs 400M+. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 (edited) 1 hour ago, NCsoft said: I read somewhere that it would level off to Friday 230M and then Saturday 170M, is that reasonable at all? or too big of a drop? Holiday holds are a little steeper but similar to weekday holds. Mermaid held -10% it's second holiday then held flat. M3 and MK fell 25%. LiHK fell 18% through the October holidays. It could just be more front loaded but with good WoM I would think it holds better than 20%, then -25% on Saturday since Sunday is a workday. 1 hour ago, druv10 said: Presales are down quite a bit for Friday so 230M would be quite a good hold. Your Friday and Saturday drops seem reasonable. PS are off on maoyan. The increases slowed in the afternoon. CBO has identical PS for all other movies but 11m more for WC at 51m. That's still a 27% drop for this time. The PS multi does increase with each day. It was 2.66 on OD. 3.6x today and could be over 4x tonight's PS total for tomorrow. It could be 230m for tomorrow, possibly 240s. Edited June 9, 2016 by No Prisoners 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted June 9, 2016 Share Posted June 9, 2016 Thursday est WC 302M/603M ($92M) X 47.8M/549m Birds 9.4M/487M Alice 9.2M/349M WC becomes the first movie with 2 days over 300M yuan. 18 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...