China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[fmpro]

80-90% increase for DS today is very possible. AntMan did 80%..

Still running ahead and 100mill is looking more and more likely 

[Olive]

Don't over-estimate, Friday was already inflated, doubt it will increase more than 80%.

[POTUS 2020]

5 hours ago, fmpro said:

80-90% increase for DS today is very possible. AntMan did 80%..

Still running ahead and 100mill is looking more and more likely 

it will be close to 80% even a with the bumped Friday. nice call

678m/$100m will happen if it keeps at least 1/2 its show next weekend. 700m possible

 

Day	Yn	Daily % +/-	Last Week	Tot	$Tot	Yn	Daily % +/-	Last Week	Tot	$Tot
Fri	76			80	13	81			85	13
Sat	108	41.6%		188	29	119	47.1%		204	30
Sun	84	-22.1%		272	43	94	-21.5%		298	44
Mon	32	-61.9%		304	48	34	-63.7%		332	49
Tues	29	-10.0%		333	52	31	-9.4%		363	53
Wed	25	-13.2%		358	56	27	-11.0%		390	58
Thur	23	-9.0%		380	60	23	-16.1%		413	61
Fri	33	46.4%	-56.3%	414	65	37	60.9%	-54.4%	450	66
Sat	60	80.2%	-44.4%	474	74	66	78.4%	-44.7%	516	76
Sun	47	-22.2%	-44.4%	520	82	proj   51	-22.7%	-45.5%	567	84
Mon	15.3	-74.5%	-52.2%	536	84	17.0	-74.2%	-50.0%	584	86
Tue	14.7	-3.9%	-49.0%	550	86	15.5	-8.8%	-49.7%	600	88
Wed	13.4	-8.8%	-46.4%	564	88	14.0	-9.7%	-48.9%	614	91
Thu	12.2	-9.0%	-46.4%	576	90	12.5	-10.7%	-45.7%	626	92
Fri	15.6	27.9%	-53.2%	592	93
Sat	30.5	95.5%	-49.2%	622	98
Sun	22.0	-27.87%	-52.9%	644	101
Mon	7.3	-66.8%	-52.3%	651	102
Tue	5.0	-31.5%	-66.0%	656	103
Wed	2.7	-46.0%	-79.9%	659	103
Thu	2.6	-3.7%	-78.7%	662	104
				672	105
				XR	6.38				XR	6.78

 

Using todays total and projecting the dailies for total BO thru the 17th finds Nov flat YoY at that point. 

 

 

 

Edited November 12, 2016 by POTUS

[Olive]

Saturday Estimates
Doctor Strange: ￥66.5M/￥518M (+75%)
Billy Lynn: ￥ 30.6m/56.9M
One Piece: ￥25.5M/49.8M
Scandal Maker: ￥12.5M/23.7m
Mr Donkey: ￥4.2M/￥159M
Hide and Seek: ￥2.8M/￥64.3M
Operation Mekong: ￥1.2M/￥1177M

Trolls:￥1.66M/￥49.3M

[druv10]

5 minutes ago, Olive said:

Saturday Estimates
Doctor Strange: ￥66.5M/￥518M (+75%)
Billy Lynn: ￥ 30.6m/56.9M
One Piece: ￥25.5M/49.8M
Scandal Maker: ￥12.5M/23.7m
Mr Donkey: ￥4.2M/￥159M
Hide and Seek: ￥2.8M/￥64.3M
Operation Mekong: ￥1.2M/￥1177M

Trolls:￥1.66M/￥49.3M

Great weekly hold for DS. If it doesn't collapse next weekend than 100M will happen.

 

[POTUS 2020]

15 hours ago, terrestrial said:

China Film Insider ‏@china_film 2m

There’ll soon be more movie theaters in China than in the US -@CNBC http://www.cnbc.com/2016/11/11/movie-theaters-china-market-us-culture-cinema-hollywood.html …

Interesting article

they are still drinking the koolaid on growth and I don't know how they are getting 9.9b for this

 

from cnbc

In terms of revenue, the Chinese market is still smaller than the U.S. According to consultancy PwC, the revenue will grow from $9.9 billion in 2016 to $11 billion in 2020.

However, IHS forecasts that China's box office revenue will top the U.S. market by 2019.

 

interesting note. even with the BO close to flat this year, the per screen admissions will stay within the low end of the 12 year range. But if they build at a similar rate for next year and if the market stays flat they are going to be a new low level per screen and 20% below the average

	Screens	% Inc	Adm (m)	Adm Inc	Adm P/Sc	BO $M	% Inc	Tix Ave
2003						125
2004						187	49.6%
2005	4400		157		35682	250	33.7%	$1.59
2006	4700	6.8%	176	12.1%	37447	342	36.8%	$1.94
2007	5600	19.1%	195	10.8%	34821	438	28.1%	$2.25
2008	5700	1.8%	209	7.2%	36667	586	33.8%	$2.80
2009	6300	10.5%	263	25.8%	41746	873	49.0%	$3.32
2010	7800	23.8%	290	10.3%	37179	1452	66.3%	$5.01
2011	9200	17.9%	370	27.6%	40217	1929	32.9%	$5.21
2012	14000	52.2%	462	24.9%	33000	2586	34.1%	$5.60
2013	18100	29.3%	612	32.5%	33812	3400	31.5%	$5.56
2014	23600	30.4%	830	35.6%	35169	4800	41.2%	$5.78
2015	31500	33.5%	1200	44.6%	38095	6800	41.7%	$5.67
2016	39000	23.8%	1300	8.3%	33333	7000	2.9%	$5.38
2017	45000	15.4%	1350	3.8%	30000	7000	0.0%	$5.19
2005-16% Increase	786%	23%	728%	22%	36673	1820%	36%	379%
		Average		Average	Average		Average

 

 

 

[Olive]

24 minutes ago, druv10 said:

Great weekly hold for DS. If it doesn't collapse next weekend than 100M will happen.

 

100m  is locked.

[fmpro]

50 minutes ago, Olive said:

Saturday Estimates
Doctor Strange: ￥66.5M/￥518M (+75%)
Billy Lynn: ￥ 30.6m/56.9M
One Piece: ￥25.5M/49.8M
Scandal Maker: ￥12.5M/23.7m
Mr Donkey: ￥4.2M/￥159M
Hide and Seek: ￥2.8M/￥64.3M
Operation Mekong: ￥1.2M/￥1177M

Trolls:￥1.66M/￥49.3M

 

66,5m should be a 80% increase from 37,5 mill

[AvaGiannaTara]

Holy moly. Did Dr.Strange made almost as much on its second saturday as its opening day ?

[POTUS 2020]

Just now, fmpro said:

 

66,5m should be a 80% increase from 37,5 mill

and more importantly held -45% WoW after losing 45% of its theaters. very rare these last few months

[ttr]

I want Moana to pass $100m there, that would be so great. I'd like China to be more like Japan and SK when it comes to Disney animation because when it happens the results are amazing : Zootopia wouldn't be beyond $1B without China.

So you love Disney, don't you [emoji4] Maybe the Shanghai Park will give elevation to WDAS and vice versa.

[Quigley]

What do we expect from Sunday? 20-25% drop from Sat?

[Olive]

1 hour ago, fmpro said:

 

66,5m should be a 80% increase from 37,5 mill

Fri actual 37.9m

[Fullbuster]

2 hours ago, ttr said:

So you love Disney, don't you Maybe the Shanghai Park will give elevation to WDAS and vice versa.

 

Let's hope so

[kswiston]

2 hours ago, Olive said:

Fri actual 37.9m

 

That math was wrong anyhow, even with the old Friday, the bump would have been 77%.

 

 

 

So about ￥100M to go before Strange passes BvS?

Edited November 12, 2016 by kswiston

[Olive]

1 hour ago, kswiston said:

 

That math was wrong anyhow, even with the old Friday, the bump would have been 77%.

 

 

 

So about ￥100M to go before Strange passes BvS?

Will beat BVS with ease, I have it finish around 720M,  likely beating Winter Soldier.

[fmpro]

Looks like DS will have a great drop today

[terrestrial]

1 hour ago, fmpro said:

Looks like DS will have a great drop today

language is so funny, here great will be in translation used for 'big' and for 'good'.

A big drop wouldn't be good, but good is, what was meant (I think).

= not a criticism, only pointing out a detail that threw me for a second. Thanks for the update

[Olive]

Just now, terrestrial said:

language is so funny, here great will be in translation used for 'big' and for 'good'.

A big drop wouldn't be good, but good is, what was meant (I think).

= not a criticism, only pointing out a detail that threw me for a second. Thanks for the update

In Chinese, A good/great drop = small drop/ good hold

A big/nasty drop =bad hold.

[ttr]

language is so funny, here great will be in translation used for 'big' and for 'good'.
A big drop wouldn't be good, but good is, what was meant (I think).
= not a criticism, only pointing out a detail that threw me for a second. Thanks for the update

I think it depends more on person than on language. For a BOT person great drop is small, but for "normal" person great drop could mean large drop. Actually I think great in general has a positive tone in it. So one can translate it as he/she wants in this case...