China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[ZeeSoh]

6 minutes ago, SURAJ said:

168.9 @ 1 PM

That would be amazing but I think you got the wrong number. 

 

1 pm - 113.77 (+6.1 in last half hour)

 

Midpoint yesterday was around 2.30pm. If it follows that then we are looking at 260ish for the day. Could come in higher seeing that tomorrow is a holiday. But lets stick with 250-260 for now

Edited April 30, 2019 by ZeeSoh

[SURAJ]

1 minute ago, ZeeSoh said:

That would be amazing but I think you got the wrong number. 

 

1 pm - 113.77 (+6.1 in last half hour)

 

Midpoint yesterday was around 2.30pm. If it follows that then we are looking at 260ish for the day. Could come in higher seeing that tomorrow is a holiday. 

Sorry this number was related to russia's BO. My bad. 

Edited April 30, 2019 by SURAJ

[Olive]

MOnday final about 124.5M

 hard to imagine an increase over 100% today... 

[POTUS 2020]

1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said:

its already at 101m and its just 1120AM. Is the midpoint so early that we are seeing only 210m. Only reason could be that evening shows are sold out and so BO stops moving after some point.

We haven't seen 1800 to 2100 increase by 100% the entire run.  With the PSm at 2-2.3 Wed-Sat, we didn't have a midpoint. Yesterday was 1430 at a 3.7 PSm.  But with PS at 82m for today it could drop under 3 again

 

However, PS did more than double Mon and the RR appears to also be double at 12m.  It does look like 240-250m for now +100%?? Thats another first.

1200-1400 RR has faked us out.  Need to see if it maintains 12m ph thru 1600 to confirm mid 200s.  We saw the RR drop midday by 30% on a couple of days, in which case it would be low 200s

1330

119.9m +6.1 for 30m    12.2m for 1hr

 

 

[ZeeSoh]

19 minutes ago, Olive said:

MOnday final about 124.5M

 hard to imagine an increase over 100% today... 

PS was more than double for today and the 1:30pm number is 117% more than Monday’s 1:30pm number. It’s behaving like a holiday today for some reason. Even if it slows down, an 80% increase over yesterday seems likely

Edited April 30, 2019 by ZeeSoh

[Tokugennumataka]

Does it look like it will clear ¥400m on May 1?

[A Marvel Fanboy]

thinking about it again, many people are taking break today, one day earlier than officially scheduled, so that might be the reason of the nearly 100% bump.

 

So we may see a smaller increase tomorrow if things are to be balanced out.

[pepsa]

8 hours ago, HouseOfTheSun said:

600m is a good benchmark, but I hope nobody starts sayin “easily” about it and then freak out if it stops at 580 or 590. This performance is incredible and frankly I thought impossible it could scale into the 500s even prior to release 

Easily  

 

Spoiler

Let the meltdowns come !!! 

 

[POTUS 2020]

42 minutes ago, Tokugennumataka said:

Does it look like it will clear ¥400m on May 1?

As i wrote last night its possible. 

Wed should bump 200-250% over Mon. 

I put 375m in the chart representing 200% like FF7 which has weaker weekend bumps. TLJ was over 250%. That takes it up to 433m, about the same PTA as Sat as it will have 20% less shows.

I was looking foe tues +50%, wed +100% or more but todays bump is huge and will reduce tomorrow's % increase. 

It should be close

A 400m wed and 300m+ thur just about locks $600m

Edited April 30, 2019 by POTUS 2020

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Another 100% tomorrow (if, if it happens) would give it a shot at Wandering Earth.

[Tokugennumataka]

Will the second 5 day weekend in China be included in the worldwide second weekend or will it be added to individual day totals?

[ZeeSoh]

Tomorrow's PS stands currently at 110m. With 12 hours to go that will definitely rise a lot. 

 

Endgame's 8th day PS is going to be higher than actual OD grosses of other SH movies like Spiderman Homecoming, Guardians 2, Thor Ragnarok, Justice League, Black Panther and perhaps even Ant Man 2 and Aquaman. 

[A Marvel Fanboy]

3 minutes ago, Tokugennumataka said:

Will the second 5 day weekend in China be included in the worldwide second weekend or will it be added to individual day totals?

2nd weekend is always three days.

[Tokugennumataka]

13 hours ago, POTUS 2020 said:

Over a 50% bump for a Fri for an SH I haven't seen but PS are indicating that possible

 

here is 2015 and 2016. the calendar isn't the same but you can see the bumps.  FF plays stronger on weekdays and has smaller weekend bumps. not sure if EG will bump 50 or 75% tomorrow but i'm still looking for a 200%+ bump from mon to wed

May Day

FF7			D1 to D3 %
Day 1	24
Day 2	31	29.17%
Day 3	70	125.81%	191.67%
TJB
Day 1	19
Day 2	51	168.42%
Day 3	70	37.25%	268.42%

 

still see $600m happening

		EG				XR 6.73	IW				XR 6.35
	Day	Yn	DoD	WoW	Tot	$Tot	Yn	DoD	WoW	Tot	$Tot
	Wed	535			725	108
	Thur	316	-40.9%		1041	155
	Fri	424	34.2%		1465	218	387			447	70
	Sat	551	30.0%		2016	300	493	27.5%		940	148
Workday	Sun	208	-62.3%		2224	330	332	-32.8%		1272	200
	Mon	124	-40.4%		2348	349	109	-67.1%		1381	217
Pre Holi Bump	Tues	199	60.5%		2547	378	81	-25.7%		1462	230
Holiday	Wed	375	88.4%		2922	434	65	-20.0%		1526	240
Holiday	Thur	280	-25.3%		3202	476	53	-19.0%		1579	249
Holiday	Fri	238	-15.0%	-43.9%	3440	511	72	36.4%	-81.5%	1650	260
Holiday	Sat	170	-28.6%	-69.1%	3610	536	142	98.2%	-71.2%	1792	282
Workday	Sun	72	-57.6%	-65.4%	3682	547	132	-7.0%	-60.2%	1924	303
	Mon	45	-37.5%	-63.7%	3727	554	31.6	-76.1%	-71.0%	1956	308
	Tue	38	-15.6%	-80.9%	3765	559	25.2	-20.3%	-68.9%	1981	312
	Wed	33	-13.2%	-91.2%	3798	564	21.1	-16.3%	-67.4%	2002	315
	Thu	29	-12.1%	-89.6%	3827	569	18.6	-11.8%	-64.6%	2021	318
	Fri	29	0.0%	-87.8%	3856	573	23.1	24.2%	-67.7%	2044	322
	Sat	58	100.0%	-65.9%	3914	582	50.8	119.9%	-64.2%	2095	330
	Sun	43	-25.9%	-40.3%	3957	588	39.9	-21.5%	-69.8%	2135	336
	Mon	14	-67.4%	-68.9%	3971	590	12.0	-69.9%	-62.0%	2147	338
	Tue	12	-14.3%	-68.4%	3983	592	11.1	-7.5%	-56.0%	2158	340
	Wed	11	-12.5%	-68.2%	3994	593	10.5	-5.9%	-50.5%	2168	341
	Thu	9	-12.4%	-68.3%	4003	595	12.1	15.8%	-34.9%	2180	343
							35.2	190.9%	52.4%	2215	349
							31.6	-10.2%	-37.8%	2247	354
							23.2	-26.6%	-41.9%	2270	358
							7.8	-66.4%	-35.0%	2278	359
							8.5	9.0%	-23.4%	2287	360
							8.9	4.1%	-15.3%	2295	361
							7.8	-11.9%	-35.5%	2303	363
							8.5	9.5%	-75.7%	2312	364
							18.4	115.5%	-41.8%	2330	367
							15.5	-15.8%	-33.2%	2346	369
										2390	376

May I ask why would the 2nd Friday and Saturday decline from their previous days? 

[Tokugennumataka]

4 minutes ago, firedeep said:

2nd weekend is always three days.

I see. Thanks!

[pepsa]

2 minutes ago, Tokugennumataka said:

May I ask why would the 2nd Friday and Saturday decline from their previous days? 

Because from Wednesday to Saturday are holidays so the 1st holiday will be the biggest and it will go down from there because of burning off the demand. Also saturday is like a 'sunday' because the sunday after this saturday is a work day so thats why the bigger drop on sat.

[shruth]

wow these holds are even better than expected, can endgame hit $650m in China realistically?

[cdsacken]

38 minutes ago, POTUS 2020 said:

As i wrote last night its possible. 

Wed should bump 200-250% over Mon. 

I put 375m in the chart representing 200% like FF7 which has weaker weekend bumps. TLJ was over 250%. That takes it up to 433m, about the same PTA as Sat as it will have 20% less shows.

I was looking foe tues +50%, wed +100% or more but todays bump is huge and will reduce tomorrow's % increase. 

It should be close

A 400m wed and 300m+ thur just about locks $600m

Haha 600+ and before this opened people would have just loved 500. Hard to imagine.

[Olive]

Many people(most students) take half a day off earlier, thus the huge increase day.

Tomorrow's bump will be more muted than expected possibly?

Edited April 30, 2019 by Olive

[POTUS 2020]

1 hour ago, shruth said:

wow these holds are even better than expected, can endgame hit $650m in China realistically?

Maybe. If tomorrow is over 400m and holds strong thru the holiday it should be close to $600m on Sunday then $625m the following Friday when DP opens and leg it out 

 

Averaging 11m per hour. RR didnt drop much. 225-235m.

Insane 80%+ bump

Wed PS at 115m and running at 2.5m ph.

Projecting 140m+ still.

Todays PSm will be 3.  Tomorrow likely to be under 3

Edited April 30, 2019 by POTUS 2020