China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[A Marvel Fanboy]

August schedule is out, and not surprisingly, only two foreign films got greenlight (meanwhile 15 local releases at the moment):

 

Jurassic Park 3D 8.20

Monsters University 8.23

 

Flicks like Lone Ranger, The Wolverine and Smurfs 2 are nowhere to be found. These all approved by the Sarft censorship earlier.

 

That makes it only 7 major releases or revenue sharing releases in total during this year 2013 June-Agu Summer phase: MoS 6.20, AE 7.12, WHD 7.22, FF6 7.26, PR 7.31, JP3D 8.20, MU 8.23; There were another 2 releases in May 2013: IM3 and STiD.

 

For comparison, 2012 June-Agu Summer phase had 8: Madcarsgar 3 6.8, THG 6.14, TMW 6.16, Brave 6.19, IA4 7.27, Lorax 7.27, TDKR 8.27, TASM 8.27; And there were another 3 releases in May 2012: TA, MIB3 and HUGO.

 

That means Summer 2013 is weaker in shedule than Summer 2012 for Hollywood movies, all thanks to Sarft.

 

Animated film wise:

 

TWO animations, Sammy 2 and MU, got summer 2013 release; while in summer 2012, there were FOUR. 

 

Through end of August 2013, only THREE foreign animated films get released: Croods, Sammy 2and MU.

Through end of August 2012, already SIX foreign animated films get released: HF2, Pirates, Mad 3, Brave, Lorax and IA4.

 

No wonder local animated films have been doing so well this year so far, with report saying local animation gross by end of June 2013 already matched that of the whole year of 2012. Overal local films gross growth first half year 2013/2012 (+144%).[TBN: Foreign gross down 23% in first half year 2013/2012]

 

Total releases through end of August will be like:

 

2013

Total foreign releases 32, including 20 revenue sharing releases and 12 buyout ones. [not counting HK/TW produced ones]

Total local releases 146, including 15 in August

 

2012 

Total foreign releases 51, including 20 revenue sharing releases and 31 buyout ones.

Total local releases 153, including 38 in August 2012

 

Revenue sharing foreign movies may be in trouble in China, while buyouts certainly are dead.

Edited July 23, 2013 by firedeep

[Bob Violence]

Sammy's Adventures 2 got released last month, unless you're only counting revenue-shared animated films. Of course that's a much "safer" import (i.e. less competitive) than a Dreamworks or Blue Sky film.

 

What does "buyouts certainly are dead" mean? Dead as in no more for the rest of the year?

[Alex Bennett]

August schedule is out, and not surprisingly, only two foreign films got greenlight (meanwhile 15 local releases at the moment):

 

Jurassic Park 3D 8.20

Monsters University 8.23

 

Flicks like Lone Ranger, The Wolverine and Smurfs 2 are nowhere to be found. These all approved by the Sarft censorship earlier.

 

That makes it only 7 major releases or revenue sharing releases in total during this year 2013 June-Agu Summer phase: MoS 6.20, AE 7.12, WHD 7.22, FF6 7.26, PR 7.31, JP3D 8.20, MU 8.23; There were another 2 releases in May 2013: IM3 and STiD.

 

For comparison, 2012 June-Agu Summer phase had 8: Madcarsgar 3 6.8, THG 6.14, TMW 6.16, Brave 6.19, IA4 7.27, Lorax 7.27, TDKR 8.27, TASM 8.27; And there were another 3 releases in May 2012: TA, MIB3 and HUGO.

 

That means Summer 2013 is weaker in shedule than Summer 2012 for Hollywood movies, all thanks to Sarft.

 

Animated film wise:

 

only ONE animation, MU, got summer 2013 release; while in summer 2012, there were FOUR. 

 

Through end of August 2013, only TWO foreign animated films get released: Croods and MU.

Through end of August 2012, already SIX foreign animated films get released: HF2, Pirates, Mad 3, Brave, Lorax and IA4.

 

No wonder local animated films have been doing so well this year so far, with report saying local animation gross by end of June 2013 already matched that of the whole year of 2012. Overal local films gross growth first half year 2013/2012 (+144%).[TBN: Foreign gross down 23% in first half year 2013/2012]

 

Total releases through end of August will be like:

 

2013

Total foreign releases 32, including 20 revenue sharing releases and 12 buyout ones. [not counting HK/TW produced ones]

Total local releases 146, including 15 in August

 

2012 

Total foreign releases 51, including 20 revenue sharing releases and 31 buyout ones.

Total local releases 153, including 38 in August 2012

 

Revenue sharing foreign movies may be in trouble in China, while buyouts certainly are dead.

This country who looks like a chicken on map is really a piece of...

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Sammy's Adventures 2 got released last month, unless you're only counting revenue-shared animated films. Of course that's a much "safer" import (i.e. less competitive) than a Dreamworks or Blue Sky film.

 

What does "buyouts certainly are dead" mean? Dead as in no more for the rest of the year?

Thanks. Forgot that one. 

 

The problem with buyout movies is that they can now even hardly get a release, let alone making box office. 2012 first 8 months nearly 30 buyout releases; 2013 first 8 months only 12.

[POLYLOVE]

The pre-sales for FF6 won't match IM3, but still looking good.

[Leyla]

saw Tiny Times scheduled for DOM release this weekend

only 3 theatrs tho

[A Marvel Fanboy]

The pre-sales for FF6 won't match IM3, but still looking good.

Of course it wont ... 

[Fullbuster]

So, IM3 will be the biggest Hollywood movie this year. Or maybe I'm wrong?

[Bob Violence]

There's nothing else coming from Hollywood this year that could match it, and even if there was it would get sabotaged with a lousy release date.

[Michael Seng Wah]

At least WHD saves some face here, good job.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

I would say no other Hollywood release will even come close to IM3 this year at this point. FF6 could have done it if released on June 8 as originally planned ...

 

I would also say before TA2 comes in May 2015, no other foreign movie, except TF4, will surpass IM3.

[POLYLOVE]

Of course it wont ... 

I still think it could win over WHD this week. WHD will be seriously hurt by FF6 during weekend just like what it did to AE.

[POLYLOVE]

Prediction:

 

FF6： OD ￥45M+  OW ￥175M+

[fmpro]

Thats around 30 mill $ right?

[POLYLOVE]

Thats around 30 mill $ right?

Yes, close to $30M in 3 days opening week.

[efialtes76]

Yes, close to $30M in 3 days opening week.

No way.

Edited July 23, 2013 by efialtes76

[fmpro]

7day right??

[POLYLOVE]

No way.

The only problem is to what extent will piracy hurt it. 

[POLYLOVE]

7day right??

FF6 will open on Friday this week. 

 

It's WHD that has a 7 days opening week.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Prediction:

 

FF6： OD ￥45M+  OW ￥175M+

So you mean 45m/70m/60m ??

 

It wont increase that much on Sat.... too hard. I think 40/60m/50m is already tough given the situation. Less than that, not good.