China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[efialtes76]

Is Dreamworks the studio with better relations with China's government?

[Bob Violence]

DWA has an office in Shanghai that's doing a lot of the work on Kung Fu Panda 3 (which has been set up as a Chinese co-production). Unless I'm mistaken, The Croods is only one of two Hollywood movies this year (the other was IM3) to get an extended run in China. That would definitely suggest DWA has better relations with the Film Bureau. Of course The Croods was still pulled well before its run was supposed to end, but the fact it got an extension at all is remarkable.

[efialtes76]

DWA has an office in Shanghai that's doing a lot of the work on Kung Fu Panda 3 (which has been set up as a Chinese co-production). Unless I'm mistaken, The Croods is only one of two Hollywood movies this year (the other was IM3) to get an extended run in China. That would definitely suggest DWA has better relations with the Film Bureau. Of course The Croods was still pulled well before its run was supposed to end, but the fact it got an extension at all is remarkable.

Thanks.KFP3 will be huge in China!

[Godzilla]

Assuming 70M Saturday holds, another 60M Sunday is possible. So nearly 279M, or right $45M, for first 5-days. WB most likely will report only $43M or so on Sunday though. Next week, beginning on Thursday, will be critical: FOUR big local ROM-COM opens for the Chinese Valentine's Day (8.13), which could easily score one of the biggest day of the year at the box office, maybe the biggest summer day. PR for sure will lose most of its screenings to those movies. Possible weekly breakdown for PR: 279M ------ 150M ------  60M ------ 15M = 504M finish $80M For comparison, IM3, also 5-days OW, with little competitions except SY for half months: 400M ------ 200M ------  100M ------ 40M ---- 10M = 750M finish, less than 2X multiplier. As for FF6: 180M ------ 160M ------  50M ------ 10M = 400M finish $65M, (one of) the worst legs for any Hollywood movies EVER.

80M is the bare minimum, it mostly likely will cross 90M+.....................

[A Marvel Fanboy]

dont set up your expectations too high. here movies drop bigger than you could imagine.

[LexJoker]

dont set up your expectations too high. here movies drop bigger than you could imagine.

Just accept it that you underestimated PR's potential in China

[Olive]

Sat #s

PR 68m(+48%) 216m(should do 270-275 OW)

FF6 21.5m 320m

WHD 4.2m 160m

[POLYLOVE]

TT2 won't take away PR's audiences, but it will take away screens, a lot...

 

That's the problem.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Just accept it that you underestimated PR's potential in China

Not by much. My range $50~60M. While $80M is still no lock.

Edited August 4, 2013 by firedeep

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Fun fact:

 

PR: 5-days 275M ----- ATP 41 yuan ---- Adm: 6.7M

FF6: 5-days 240M ----- ATP 32 yuan ---- Adm: 7.5M

 

In other words: PR first 5 days attendance less than that of FF6

 

Take it by daily, PR daily admissions always fall behind FF6. For example, PR Sat 68M & 1.65M adm. while FF6 Sat 66M yuan & 2.06M adm. That is really a BIG gap between PR and FF6. So in adms. PR is no match to FF6. Yet FF6 atm is dropping like a rock.

 

With that Sat, PR 5-days should be 275M $44M. WB will be reporting $42M or so.

 

Do keep in mind that $80M is no lock for PR.

 

As for FF6, 400M is in danger with almost all its screens taken in next three days. 180M 3-days opening, 400M finish. Worst legs of all time. It just shows movies do drop bigger than you expect.

[POLYLOVE]

Fun fact:

 

PR: 5-days 275M ----- ATP 41 yuan ---- Adm: 6.7M

FF6: 5-days 240M ----- ATP 32 yuan ---- Adm: 7.5M

 

In other words: PR first 5 days attendance less than that of FF6

 

Take it by daily, PR daily admissions always fall behind FF6. For example, PR Sat 68M & 1.65M adm. while FF6 Sat 66M yuan & 2.06M adm. That is really a BIG gap between PR and FF6. So in adms. PR is no match to FF6. Yet FF6 atm is dropping like a rock.

 

With that Sat, PR 5-days should be 275M $44M. WB will be reporting $42M or so.

 

Do keep in mind that $80M is no lock for PR.

 

As for FF6, 400M is in danger with almost all its screens taken in next three days. 180M 3-days opening, 400M finish. Worst legs of all time. It just shows movies do drop bigger than you expect.

But MOS is holding well against the claim that it will finish under STID.

[POLYLOVE]

Edited August 4, 2013 by POLYLOVE

[POLYLOVE]

PR got less screenings than FF6. The average number of people per show is higher than FF6.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

But MOS is holding well against the claim that it will finish under STID.

MOS opened bigger than STiD and didnt face as many competitors as PR will.

That said, PR will finish around 530M $85M with MOS legs.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

PR got less screenings than FF6. The average number of people per show is higher than FF6.

Nah, the two got pretty much the same amount of daily shows.

 

Per show attendence first week:

 

FF6 52 (181M yuan, 105K shows, 5.4M adms.)

PR 50 (200M yuan through 100K shows and 5M adms.)

[Bishop54]

Nah, the two got pretty much the same amount of daily shows.

 

Per show attendence first week:

 

FF6 52 (181M yuan, 105K shows, 5.4M adms.)

PR 50 (200M yuan through 100K shows and 5M adms.)

So the difference in revenue would be PR's IMAX prices, correct?

[A Marvel Fanboy]

So the difference in revenue would be PR's IMAX prices, correct?

3D

 

PR all 3D and IMAX 3D

FF6 all 2D and IMAX 2D

[Bishop54]

3D

 

PR all 3D and IMAX 3D

FF6 all 2D and IMAX 2D

Sorry, I meant 3D. Well I guess that makes all the difference. Are people complaining about the lack of 2D showings or are they content with 3D?

[POLYLOVE]

Nah, the two got pretty much the same amount of daily shows.

 

Per show attendence first week:

 

FF6 52 (181M yuan, 105K shows, 5.4M adms.)

PR 50 (200M yuan through 100K shows and 5M adms.)

I mean on Saturday. PR obviously got less screenings than FF6's first Saturday.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Sorry, I meant 3D. Well I guess that makes all the difference. Are people complaining about the lack of 2D showings or are they content with 3D?

Of course they are. All the time. This year, only IM3 got 2D shows, all other 3D movies only had 3D shows.

Edited August 4, 2013 by firedeep