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A Marvel Fanboy

China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

By A Marvel Fanboy, in China At The Box Office

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A Marvel Fanboy Global Phenomenon

A Marvel Fanboy

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Posted (edited)

This is what I can see about PR at the moment:

 

Mon 30m

Tue 30m

Wed 18m

Thu 10m

Fri 11m

Sat 15m

Sun 13m

 

127M 2nd week, -54% drop, 407M cume

 

Or:

 

Mon 30m

Tue 30m

Wed 20m

Thu 12m

Fri 13m

Sat 18m

Sun 15m

 

138M 2nd week, -51% drop, 418M cume

 

Another 50ish% weekly drop, or 60~70m week, will give it cume of 467M ~~ 488M after 3 weeks.

 

After that, it will struggle its way to 500M for the rest two weeks of its five weeks run.

 

So 500M $80M may happen and may not happen. Hard to say at the moment. We will see.

Big mistake .... I confused Wed with Thu ... 8.7 is Wed. So:

 

 

Mon 30m

Tue 32m

Wed 29m

Thu 18m

Fri 10m

Sat 14m

Sun 12m

 

145M 2nd week, -48% drop, 425M cume

 

Or:

 

Mon 30m

Tue 32m

Wed 29m

Thu 19m

Fri 11m

Sat 15m

Sun 13m

 

149M 2nd week, -47% drop, 429M cume

 

Another 50ish% weekly drop, or 70m week, will give it cume of  490M+ after 3 weeks.

 

After that, it will struggle its way to 530M $85M for the rest two weeks of its five weeks run.

 

So 500M $80M will happen but wont go too far. We will see.

Edited by firedeep
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A Marvel Fanboy Global Phenomenon

A Marvel Fanboy

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Good news for your guys who dont read Chinese:

 

Rentrak to Offer Daily Box-Office Reports from China

 

In a sign of China's growing importance to the movie business, Rentrak said Tuesday that it will begin providing daily box-office results for films released in that country. 

China recently surpassed Japan as the second largest movie market in the world after it contributed $2.7 billion in box-office revenue in 2012. The country is also investing heavily in its infrastructure and building new theaters at a rate of 10 screens a day.

Rentrak, which provides box-office information domestically as well as in other Asian countries like Malaysia and Japan, said it has gathered two years of historical data from China. It said it will receive data from 2,500 theaters, which accounts for 95 percent of the market in China.

"Our theatrical business is all about growth, and China is the fastest-growing theatrical market,"  Ron Giambra, president of theatrical worldwide at Rentrak, said in a statement. "As international box office revenue continues to grow in China, our expanded measurement is vital in helping

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Olive Global Phenomenon

Olive

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Screening count for 8.7:

 

1. PR ---- 36%

2. FF6 ---- 24%

3. I Love Woff 2 ---- 11%

4. Young Style ---- 9%

5. WHD ---- 7%

Others ---- 13%

 

Screening count for 8.8:

 

1. Tiny Times 2 ---- 30% ---- NEW

2. PR ---- 25%

3. Crime of Passion ---- 13% ---- NEW

4. FF6 ---- 11%

5. I Love Woff 2 ---- 7%

Others ---- 14%

 

Screening count for 8.9 (Forecast):

 

1. Tiny Times 2 ---- 30% ---- NEW

2. The Palace ---- 20% ---- NEW

3. PR ---- 15%

4. One Night Surprise ---- 15% ---- NEW

5. Crime of Passion ---- 13% ---- NEW

Others ---- 7%

 

Both FF6 and WHD will be gone by Thursday. Expect 70% weekend drop for PR with 60% screening cut.

The Palace 8/13

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druv10 Global Phenomenon

druv10

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Screening count for 8.7:

 

1. PR ---- 36%

2. FF6 ---- 24%

3. I Love Woff 2 ---- 11%

4. Young Style ---- 9%

5. WHD ---- 7%

Others ---- 13%

 

Screening count for 8.8:

 

1. Tiny Times 2 ---- 30% ---- NEW

2. PR ---- 25%

3. Crime of Passion ---- 13% ---- NEW

4. FF6 ---- 11%

5. I Love Woff 2 ---- 7%

Others ---- 14%

 

Screening count for 8.9 (Forecast):

 

1. Tiny Times 2 ---- 30% ---- NEW

2. The Palace ---- 20% ---- NEW

3. PR ---- 15%

4. One Night Surprise ---- 15% ---- NEW

5. Crime of Passion ---- 13% ---- NEW

Others ---- 7%

 

Both FF6 and WHD will be gone by Thursday. Expect 70% weekend drop for PR with 60% screening cut.

 

 

I hope Tiny Times 2 bombs, massively. 

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POLYLOVE Sleeper Hit

POLYLOVE

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Screening count for 8.9 (Forecast):

 

1. Tiny Times 2 ---- 30% ---- NEW

2. The Palace ---- 20% ---- NEW

3. PR ---- 15%

4. One Night Surprise ---- 15% ---- NEW

5. Crime of Passion ---- 13% ---- NEW

Others ---- 7%

 

Both FF6 and WHD will be gone by Thursday. Expect 70% weekend drop for PR with 60% screening cut.

Now it's clear. 8.9, PR 22% screens.

 

What do you say? :D

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A Marvel Fanboy Global Phenomenon

A Marvel Fanboy

Posted
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Posted (edited)

Revised forecast:

 

 

Mon 30m

Tue 32m

Wed 29m

Thu 18m ~ 20m

Fri 15m ~ 20m

Sat 20m ~ 28m

Sun 20m ~ 24m

 

167M~186m 2nd week,  447M~466m cume

 

Another 50ish% weekly drop, or 80m~90m week, will give it cume of  520~530M+ after 3 weeks.

 

So $90M+ is still possible. All depends on this Thursday and Friday, and next week's CVD.

Edited by firedeep
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Bishop54 Blockbuster

Bishop54

Posted
Posted

Revised forecast:

 

 

Mon 30m

Tue 32m

Wed 29m

Thu 18m ~ 20m

Fri 15m ~ 20m

Sat 20m ~ 28m

Sun 20m ~ 24m

 

167M~186m 2nd week,  447M~466m cume

 

Another 50ish% weekly drop, or 80m~90m week, will give it cume of  520~530M+ after 3 weeks.

 

So $90M+ is still possible. All depends on this Thursday and Friday, and next week's CVD.

Not too shabby at all. 

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A Marvel Fanboy Global Phenomenon

A Marvel Fanboy

Posted
  • Author
Posted

Revised forecast:

 

 

Mon 30m

Tue 32m

Wed 29m

Thu 18m ~ 20m

Fri 15m ~ 20m

Sat 20m ~ 28m

Sun 20m ~ 24m

 

167M~186m 2nd week,  447M~466m cume

 

Another 50ish% weekly drop, or 80m~90m week, will give it cume of  520~530M+ after 3 weeks.

 

So $90M+ is still possible. All depends on this Thursday and Friday, and next week's CVD.

 

 

Not too shabby at all. 

Tuesday 34M now cume 345M.

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