China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[tarabeesley]

2 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

Sunday is a workday while Saturday will perform like Sunday 

 

Conservative Forecast is better for time being - Let's wait and watch - If numbers holds per forecast then final Projection will improve

If it can make 43 million in 3 days it will by a very large margin be the highest amount a Ghibli film ever made in 3 days and the largest number of people seeing one at the cinema in a short amount of time. 

The largest Ghibli opening was Spirited Away's release in China where it made about 25 mil.

Edited April 2 by tarabeesley

[Issac Newton]

4 minutes ago, tarabeesley said:

If it can make 43 million in 3 days it will by a very large margin be the highest amount a Ghibli film ever made in 3 days and the largest number of people seeing one at the cinema in a short amount of time. 

The largest Ghibli opening was Spirited Away's release in China where it made about 25 mil.

"Spirited Away" ranked 5th among all-time *best* rated work in Douban Top 250 with 9.4⭐. Heron is not a work as equivalent of SA - so its sure for Heron to have higher % of Final in 5-Days Debut.

[Issac Newton]

Tuesday

1. Godzilla x Kong The New Empire - ¥24.90M / ¥371.97M
2. Viva De Vida - ¥5.25M / ¥168.98M
3. The Pig, the Snake and the Pigeon - ¥2.48M / ¥648.19M
4. Kung Fu Panda 4 - ¥2.20M / ¥249.94M
5. Anatomy Of The Fall - ¥1.37M / ¥16.17M
6. ⊃∪∩⪽ Part II - ¥1.03M / ¥336.22M
7. I Miss You - ¥660K / ¥209.09M
8. Article 20 - ¥610K / ¥2,449.31M
9. Pegasus 2 - ¥460K / ¥3,394.07M
10. Remember Me - ¥400K / ¥97.53M

[tarabeesley]

8 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

"Spirited Away" ranked 5th among all-time *best* rated work in Douban Top 250 with 9.4⭐. Heron is not a work as equivalent of SA - so its sure for Heron to have higher % of Final in 5-Days Debut.

I wonder what the likelihood of TBATH overperforming in China is since it overperformed in practically every other jurisdiction outside of Asia...

[SaltyPistola]

Are the Monday/Tueday drops for GxK good? How far can the total leg out? 100M?

[Issac Newton]

Current Final Projection is ¥856M / $118M per Maoyan

[Issac Newton]

Heron 1st Day live forecast is at ¥98M per Maoyan (which is ahead of GxK ¥96.67M) - Best OD for an Imported Release.

 

Total Pre-Sales has exceeded ¥100M while OD PS (T-5 hrs) - ¥61M

[Issac Newton]

The Boy and The Heron 

 

OD PS (T-0 hr) - ¥77M / T-PS - ¥124M

 

Shows starts now - Maoyan Live Forecast is slightly closer to ¥99M for OD

[Issac Newton]

21 hours ago, Issac Newton said:

@Maoyan

Wednesday - ¥92.185M (+17.10%)

 

21 hours ago, Issac Newton said:

@Taopiaopiao 

Wednesday - ¥90.198M (+11.92%)

Crossed Both OD Forecast. Final Projection will improve in both Maoyan/TTP

[Issac Newton]

Biggest OD for a Japanese Film! taking down "Suzume" (¥94.96M)!!! 

[Issac Newton]

With (Maybe even without) EA Screenings - ¥100M OD looks like it's happening!

 

Current Numbers is at ¥98M !

 

— Biggest Opening Day for an Imported Film in 2024! GxK - ¥96.67M

[Flip]

how does it rank for imported movie OD post Covid? I'd guess probably behind GvK, Avatar, and JWD, any more?

[Issac Newton]

2 minutes ago, Flip said:

how does it rank for imported movie OD post Covid? I'd guess probably behind GvK, Avatar, and JWD, any more?

After 2nd Re-opening? June 2022 then 3rd behind Avatar 2 and Fast X

 

If straightly after 1st Re-Opening then 5th behind F 9, GvK, Avatar 2 &Fast X

[Issac Newton]

The Boy and The Heron

 

9.4 Taopiaopiao

9.0 Maoyan

8.0 Douban

[tarabeesley]

1 hour ago, Issac Newton said:

Biggest OD for a Japanese Film! taking down "Suzume" (¥94.96M)!!! 

So if WOM is good it could easily gross over 100 million dollars... Will they recalculate their predictions for the final gross then?

What about the total opening numbers over the first 5 days?

Edited April 3 by tarabeesley

[tarabeesley]

7 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

The Boy and The Heron

 

9.4 Taopiaopiao

9.0 Maoyan

8.0 Douban

I'd imagine those are good then compared to Slam Dunk and Suzume? 

[Issac Newton]

6 minutes ago, tarabeesley said:

So if WOM is good it could easily gross over 100 million dollars...

$100M is pretty much a done deal in this dead month - how much more it can add extra will be the question of relevance

 

7 minutes ago, tarabeesley said:

Will they recalculate their predictions for the final gross then?

Forecast are adjusted regularly based on PS pace for each consecutive day and on high note - if they are going up against their forecast then Projection for next upcoming days goes up and like-wise opposite if its down

 

9 minutes ago, tarabeesley said:

What about the total opening numbers over the first 5 days?

We will get Saturday Projection in few minutes.

[Issac Newton]

7 minutes ago, tarabeesley said:

I'd imagine those are good then compared to Slam Dunk and Suzume? 

Slam Dunk is at 9.2 &Suzume at 9.0 at Maoyan

 

9.3 TTP for Suzume &9.2 TTP for Slam Dunk

[Issac Newton]

Final Forecast is projected up!

 

Maoyan - ¥652M / $90M

Taopiaopiao - ¥609M / $84M

[Issac Newton]

Wednesday

1. The Boy and The Heron - ¥101.00M / ¥101.24M
2. Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire - ¥37.80M / ¥409.95M
3. Dwelling by the West Lake - ¥10.82M / ¥10.90M
4. The Victims ! - ¥10.00M / ¥10.60M
5. Viva De Vida - ¥4.10M / ¥173.09M