China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[Olive]

I think 200m rmb can happen. Pre-sales look stronger than Furious 7. Only question is can it get similar number of showtimes as Furious 7?

It won't ,as it's 3D only while FF7 had 2D.

[druv10]

25-30M

 

That would be great. Opening Saturday will be it's biggest day followed by Sunday. With 25-30M OD, we're probably looking at 120-130M from the 6 days.

[Lordmandeep]

A big opening is needed. 

[Olive]

That would be great. Opening Saturday will be it's biggest day followed by Sunday. With 25-30M OD, we're probably looking at 120-130M from the 6 days.

Yeah it can make 250M with this kind of opening week if WOM is not bad.

[Olive]

OMFG, some theaters are selling AOU IMAX ticket for 185 yuan/$30...

I only spent 35/$5.7 on FF7 IMAX ticket.

Edited April 28, 2015 by Johnny Storm

[keysersoze123]

OMFG, some theaters are selling AOU IMAX ticket for 185 yuan/$30...

I only spent 35/$5.7 on FF7 IMAX ticket.

 

Will there be demand at that price.

[druv10]

OMFG, some theaters are selling AOU IMAX ticket for 185 yuan/$30...

I only spent 35/$5.7 on FF7 IMAX ticket.

 

Holy crap. Will people buy at those prices?

[Olive]

I expect AOU first 6 days performs like:

midnights: 15M

Tues: 145M

Wed: 110M

Thu: 100M

Fri: 130M

Sat: 220M

Sun: 180M

900M yuan/$150M 6-DAY OW

[Lordmandeep]

I expect AOU first 6 days performs like:

midnights: 15M

Tues: 145M

Wed: 110M

Thu: 100M

Fri: 130M

Sat: 220M

Sun: 180M

900M yuan/$150M 6-DAY OW

 

 

what would be the final total with that? 

 

250-300? 

 

If that happens then Overseas will go to 1.1 billion

Edited April 28, 2015 by Lordmandeep

[Olive]

Holy crap. Will people buy at those prices?

They always raise the price when a super hot movie released..Of course people will buy but I won't.

what would be the final total with that? 

 

250-300? 

 

If that happens then Overseas will go to 1.1 billion

1.7-1.8x its 6-day opening will be its final total.

[Pypa94]

3145

14 days more

[druv10]

3145

14 days more

 

No question TA2 has higher presales than FF7 at the same point but FF7 shot up crazy over the last few days. Will TA2 do that is the question?

[Neo]

That would be great. Opening Saturday will be it's biggest day followed by Sunday. With 25-30M OD, we're probably looking at 120-130M from the 6 days.

 

I expect AOU first 6 days performs like:

midnights: 15M

Tues: 145M

Wed: 110M

Thu: 100M

Fri: 130M

Sat: 220M

Sun: 180M

900M yuan/$150M 6-DAY OW

[Olive]

Tuesday(4/28/2015) estimates

#/Title: Daily(yuan)~Total(yuan)~Total($)

1.The Left Ear: 30M~257M~$41.3M

2.Furious 7: 26M~2065M~$333M #1 all time grosser

3.Home: 3.3M~56.5M~$9.1M

4.Ever Since We Love: 2.9M~142M~$22.9M

5.Sabotage:2.2M~30.5M~$3.3M

 

 

(Current exchange rate $=6.22 Yuan). 

 

Early Thursday showtimes

You Are My Sunshin - 34%

Helios - 24.1%

FF7 -13.8%

The Left Ear - 13%

HOME - 4.8%

[Fake]

I expect AOU first 6 days performs like:

midnights: 15M

Tues: 145M

Wed: 110M

Thu: 100M

Fri: 130M

Sat: 220M

Sun: 180M

900M yuan/$150M 6-DAY OW

I think it will be more frontloaded than that.

My. guess:

Midnights 20M

Tuesday: 180M

Wednesday: 130M

Thursday: 100M

Friday: 120M

Saturday: 180M

Sunday: 150M

880M 6-day.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

By my calculation, April box office should match February's 4.1B yuan for biggest month all time. That marks a 125% increase from last April. 

 

By Apr 30, 2015 YTD box office should be around 13.7B, up 58% from the first four months of 2014, with the share of foreign films rising to 42%+.

 

With TA2, May could have 3.5B (May 2014 was 2.23B). June will be big too, if JW gets released. But July could see a decrease over last year. If July is not too terrible, 2015 yearly box office will be increasing at least 30% from 2014, with a shot at 40%+.

[Olive]

I think it will be more frontloaded than that.

My. guess:

Midnights 20M

Tuesday: 180M

Wednesday: 130M

Thursday: 100M

Friday: 120M

Saturday: 180M

Sunday: 150M

880M 6-day.

Weekend bumps should be bigger, as most kids love Avengers.

[POTUS 2020]

		TF4								FF7
Day	Yuan	% +/-	Last Week	Total	$ Tot		Yuan	% +/-	Last Week	TF4 vs FF7	Total	$ Tot	% Cume
Fri	195			195	32
Sat	223	14.4%		418	69		51	- MN
Sun	213	-4.6%		631	103		347			63.1%	398	64	-37.9%
Mon	123	-42.1%		754	124		185	-46.7%		50.3%	583	94	-23.9%
Tues	112	-8.9%		866	142		167	-9.7%		48.8%	750	121	-14.8%
Wed	95	-15.7%		961	157		137	-18.0%		44.8%	887	143	-9.2%
Thur	84	-11.0%		1045	171		115	-16.1%		36.6%	1002	162	-5.6%
Fri	87	3.4%	-55.3%	1132	186		142	23.8%		63.5%	1144.4	185	-0.5%
Sat	130	48.8%	-41.9%	1262	207		226	59.0%		74.7%	1370.8	221	6.9%
Sun	118	-9.0%	-44.6%	1379	226		185	-18.1%	-46.6%	57.3%	1556.2	251	11.0%
Mon	54	-58.33%	-56.1%	1433	235		73	-60.6%	-60.5%	35.2%	1629.2	263	11.8%
Tue	53	-1.85%	-52.8%	1486	244		64	-11.8%	-61.4%	21.5%	1694	273	12.1%
Wed	43	-18.87%	-54.5%	1529	251		52	-18.6%	-61.8%	21.9%	1746	282	12.3%
Thu	39	-9.30%	-53.7%	1568	257		45	-14.1%	-60.9%	15.4%	1791	289	12.4%
Fri	42	7.69%	-51.8%	1610	264		59	31.1%	-58.6%	40.5%	1850	298	13.0%
Sat	62	47.62%	-52.2%	1672	274		92	55.1%	-59.6%	47.6%	1942	313	14.2%
Sun	58	-6.45%	-50.8%	1730	284		69	-24.6%	-62.8%	19.0%	2011	324	14.3%
Mon	26	-55.17%	-51.9%	1756	288		26	-62.3%	-64.4%	0.0%	2037	328	14.1%
Tue	28	7.69%	-47.2%	1784	293		26	0.0%	-59.6%	-7.1%	2063	333	13.7%
Wed	23	-17.86%	-46.5%	1807	296
Thu	18	-21.74%	-53.8%	1825	299

 

              

Showtimes improved for Thursday. Are these two openers supposed to be promising? Still looking for some kind of holiday pop. I find it hard to believe that a movie so popular with so much early demand could fizzle like every other release.

Edited April 28, 2015 by No Prisoners

[Fake]

Weekend bumps should be bigger, as most kids love Avengers.

Could be.....

[htall90]

They always raise the price when a super hot movie released..Of course people will buy but I won't.

1.7-1.8x its 6-day opening will be its final total.

Super fan's will pay any price for a decent seat OW lol!