Estimated Wknd Numbers - BD2(141.3M) Skyfall(41.5M) Lincoln(21M)

[Cedarpoint1111]

Well Baumer can't say we didn't warn him at least. Most of us here kept saying we didn't feel any hype or finale factor for this one. And obviously that was for a reason. There was no finale factor!

Opening within 10M of 2 previous installments = no hype to you? This will still end up making 270M+... I am far from a twilight fan but there really is no reason to bash this number.

[Nasm99]

lol I hope the ow number is lower than 130mil tbh. the reaction from the twihards will be interesting..

The majority of Twihards I met have no clue about the boxoffice, very few people outside of this board do actually. Edited November 17, 2012 by Nasm99

[John Marston]

I am shocked with Bond's hold though. Especially with BD2 underperforming.

shocked in which way

[MovieMan89]

Opening within 10M of 2 previous installments = no hype to you? This will still end up making 270M+... I am far from a twilight fan but there really is no reason to bash this number.

Finale factor means that it blows the other movies out of the water on OW. Such as DH2. The fact that it will be the lowest OW of all the sequels by a good margin and it's the finale means there was no finale factor. And there was no hype outside of the core fans either.

[John Marston]

Opening within 10M of 2 previous installments = no hype to you? This will still end up making 270M+... I am far from a twilight fan but there really is no reason to bash this number.

sorry man but it it follows the multiplier of the last one it will make less than 250m. For a finale to drop that much from the penultimate installment is just bad

[senmitsuji]

The majority of Twihards I met have no clue about the boxoffice, very few people outside of this board do actually.

yeah but I'm pretty sure there will be articles about how it underperformed at the boxoffice. they'll be able to understand that, right?

[Cedarpoint1111]

sorry man but it it follows the multiplier of the last one it will make less than 250m. For a finale to drop that much from the penultimate installment is just bad

135M x 2 multiplier = 270 .....

[MovieMan89]

shocked in which way

In a bad way. With the great WOM it was supposedly getting 65% drop is pretty bad. That big of 2nd weekend drops are usually reserved for $120m+ OWs.

[Gopher]

I am shocked with Bond's hold though. Especially with BD2 underperforming.

Variety has it at 40m+ for the weekend so we'll see. Definitely not a bad hold. Lincoln really broke out though so that'll take some audience away.

[druv10]

Lol, and I see Nikki is clearly stoned into oblivion again judging by her latest update where she says BD2 might "squeak" by the franchise record of BD1's OW. Lets all count how many things are incorrect in that statement!

lol, that's why we love Nikke. Her entire statement is incorrect. :lol: :lol:

[John Marston]

In a bad way. With the great WOM it was supposedly getting 65% drop is pretty bad. That big of 2nd weekend drops are usually reserved for $120m+ OWs.

actually Variety and Hollywood Reporter are saying 40m+. I hope these revised statements go up

[MovieMan89]

Variety has it at 40m+ for the weekend so we'll see. Definitely not a bad hold. Lincoln really broke out though so that'll take some audience away.

That would be a fine hold then. Yeah I guess Lincoln would steal some audience.

[druv10]

I am shocked with Bond's hold though. Especially with BD2 underperforming.

Nikke's not great with holdovers but it's looking like Skyfall will have okay hold this weekend, nothing spectacular.

[riczhang]

Nikke's not great with holdovers but it's looking like Skyfall will have okay hold this weekend, nothing spectacular.

Well there's a chance for a sub 50% drop which is fantastic any way you see it. I was hoping for a 47 million myself but yeah... I'm hoping that the Saturday bump will be higher than anticipated and a softer Sunday drop. Really surprised with Lincoln. It's only in 1700 theatres, doing Flight numbers.

[Nasm99]

yeah but I'm pretty sure there will be articles about how it underperformed at the boxoffice. they'll be able to understand that, right?

I think Twihards have build up a strong immunity against outside criticism. It will be disappointing but they had heard worst. Edited November 17, 2012 by Nasm99

[MovieMan89]

Really surprised with Lincoln. It's only in 1700 theatres, doing Flight numbers.

See, those two movies looked like adult audience gold mines to me all along. Never did understand why either one were being treated like little indie films no one would see. Both should've been given 3000+ TC wide releases.

[riczhang]

See, those two movies looked like adult audience gold mines to me all along. Never did understand why either one were being treated like little indie films no one would see. Both should've been given 3000+ TC wide releases.

Well expanding too wide doesn't always work too well, look at The Master. I think that expanding into 3000+ theatres even for a movie like Lincoln or Flight would've been too risky. But it should've at least been 2000+. Personally, I didn't like Lincoln though, thought it was quite the snoozefest. It's a good movie but boring.

[druv10]

Well there's a chance for a sub 50% drop which is fantastic any way you see it. I was hoping for a 47 million myself but yeah... I'm hoping that the Saturday bump will be higher than anticipated and a softer Sunday drop.Really surprised with Lincoln. It's only in 1700 theatres, doing Flight numbers.

Lincoln is the real winner this weekend. I expect another expansion coming for it. Saturday is going to be most important day for Skyfall this weekend.

[Dementeleus]

baumer's situation made me remember when I strongly supported the DOM sub 200m club for TASM and failed miserably, god I was embarrassed... I left the forums for about 2-3 days

Why embarrassed? I was in that club too... yeah, it was a crazy long shot but heck, no guts, no glory.

[Dementeleus]

giteshpandya

Source tells me #Twilight heading to about $70M opening day incl THU night. May end wknd near BD1 at about $135M.

11/16/12 9:06 PM