Accursed Arachnid!™ Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Because word is out that it's boring.Well, that was my expectation as well, but the "word" is wrong. FOTR was more "boring" than this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gopher Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 You guys are forgetting that I Am Legend faced National Treasure 2 on its second Friday. Nothing else besides Hobbit is making more than 5m today. Hobbit is guaranteed to increase more than 80%. By how much, I don't know... 90%-100% seems safe. 12.77m Friday (93%) 15.58m Saturday (22%) 12.6m Sunday (-19.1%) 40.95m weekend (-51.6%) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jack Nevada Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 So how are the movies doing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Elessar Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 In 2007 with the exact same setup you describe (Alvin and the Chipmunks, Golden Compass, Enchanted all having inflated weekdays), I am Legend still increased 80% against direct competition from National Treasure 2 which did mid-40s business.So again I ask you, with all of the advantages The Hobbit has over I am Legend (particually that fact it has no competition really at all until the 25th), how will it not have a substantially better Friday and Saturday increase?For what it's worth, i hope you are right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Accursed Arachnid!™ Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 People keep saying that but at least on OW, audiences skewed older and male.Of course it did...on opening weekend. Sure, they drop harder but they also don't increase better. Let's take Skyfall for instance, which i think also skews a little older and male. It increased 90% last Friday, i'd be surprised if it increases 90% again this Friday since its Thursday week-to-week drop will probably be only around 10% (just a guess based on the good Thursday numbers so far for other movies). If Skyfall increases less than 90%, i think Hobbit will follow suit (provided Skyfall's drop is not caused by theater loss). You have to look at other movies in terms of figuring out the current market situation. And current situation is that midweek days are clearly inflated. Well the "current market situation" is about to change as all kids will be out of school Friday, causing a bigger than "current" jump for films that are more family friendly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moviedweeb Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 WOM on The Hobbit is not very good which, sorry to upset some people, is a fact. I am not hating on the movie and although I didn't like it very much, I do not wish failure upon it. But this is NOT Lord of the Rings quality; not even close (but on a $$ level, it does have IMAX, 3D and a decades worth of inflation so we shall see). I personally see this clocking out at around $275 or 280m DOM and $850-915m WW. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jack Nevada Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Pitch Perfect had a nice run, didn't it? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Twilight is on pace to drop less than 30% this weekend. It will pass BD1 maybe on Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 For what it's worth, i hope you are right. Thanks. I don't expect some massive jump like say the Narnia films had, my prediction is 105% based on the substantially less competition than I am Legend and The Hobbit skewing more towards families and kids than Legend did (not saying it is a "family" film though like the Narnia ones). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 WOM on The Hobbit is not very good which, sorry to upset some people, is a fact.Aside from personal anecdotes, I don't see how you can say that. Its WOM is not insanely awesome/spectacular/amazing, but it's pretty solid. Certainly far from "not very good". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Elessar Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Well the "current market situation" is about to change as all kids will be out of school Friday, causing a bigger than "current" jump for films that are more family friendly.There's no school today (Friday)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jack Nevada Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 The finnish reviews for The Hobbit ranged from 2 stars to 3,5 stars. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Accursed Arachnid!™ Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 (edited) WOM on The Hobbit is not very good which, sorry to upset some people, is a fact.A Cinemascore4/5 Stars on Yahoo8.5/10 #92/250 from 90k IMDb users81% 4.2/5 from 150k RT usersI liked it. My friends liked it. I just don't see "Not very good WOM" as a "fact". Edited December 21, 2012 by Accursed Arachnid!™ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rockNrollaDIM Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Ok, this is getting ridiculous, I thought my boss was gonna let us leave at 2 today due to the 4 day weekend, it's now 245, I got shit to do!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Ok, this is getting ridiculous, I thought my boss was gonna let us leave at 2 today due to the 4 day weekend, it's now 245, I got shit to do!! You think you have it bad? It's gonna be a late night for me, and probably some weekend work too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 There's no school today (Friday)?Depends on the school district. Some school districts in the U.S. started winter break yesterday with no school, some started it today with no school, but the majority of districts I think still have school today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hiccup Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 I would have to laugh/cry if the Hobbit made less than BD2 and Skyfall 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rockNrollaDIM Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 You think you have it bad? It's gonna be a late night for me, and probably some weekend work too.That sucks, I'm bringing my laptop home and might answer a few e-mails on Monday.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moviedweeb Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Aside from personal anecdotes, I don't see how you can say that. Its WOM is not insanely awesome/spectacular/amazing, but it's pretty solid. Certainly far from "not very good".I mean it is literally not "very good." WOM on the Hobbit is, as you say, perhaps solid (I think it is closer to mediocre but that is an opinion) but that is not "very good." WOM on something like Life of Pi or even Flight is very good while Argo and Lincoln have excellent WOM. WOM on The Hobbit is NOT "very good." Rant over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
