BO Germany/Austria: Dune first 2024 blockbuster (3mil admissions)

[miketheavenger]

Hopefully Logan and Skull Island will still get to 1m admissions.

[Aristis]

2 hours ago, miketheavenger said:

Hopefully Logan and Skull Island will still get to 1m admissions.

Logan should reach that mark, as for Kong it is a bit more difficult - it would need worse weather probably...

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top20 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total adm.	total €	drop	week
1	Beauty and the Beast	502.810	727	692	1.593.686	16.003.867	-42	2
2	Life	95.204	470	203	95.204	834.772	-	1
3	Kong - Skull Island	92.566	587	158	695.706	7.272.020	-53	3
4	Rammstein: Paris	89.164	348	256	89.164	1.136.779	-	1
5	Power Rangers	85.950	427	201	85.950	726.118	-	1
6	Lommbock	65.658	244	269	100.792	787.185	-	1
7	Bibi & Tina 4	58.632	766	77	1.426.643	9.229.402	-64	5
8	Logan	54.506	508	107	914.114	8.366.518	-56	4
9	Moonlight	38.678	160	242	242.451	1.956.420	-41	3
10	Fifty Shades of Grey 2	34.023	294	116	3.360.355	30.050.756	-55	7
11	Die Häschenschule …	29.060	440	66	132.584	847.356	-64	2
12	Lion	27.561	301	92	387.632	3.218.428	-43	5
13	Wilde Maus	22.546	120	188	141.639	1.081.216	-39	3
14	The LEGO Batman Movie	14.354	484	30	874.607	6.753.699	-69	7
15	La La Land	13.568	342	40	1.618.146	13.834.405	-60	11
16	John Wick 2	11.540	225	51	790.830	6.933.553	-63	6
17	Sleepless	10.185	191	53	117.063	946.101	-64	3
18	Hidden Figures	9.947	198	50	450.090	3.679.433	-50	8
19	Der junge Karl Marx	7.414	130	57	145.618	1.093.080	-57	4
20	Le ciel attendra	6.407	78	82	9.285	65.668	-	1

 

With beautiful spring weather, movie theaters had a hard time … Beauty and the Beast had a very good hold, all things considered - other family stuff dropped much harder. Among openers, Life had the edge over Lommbock and Power Rangers, but both Hollywood releases stayed below expectations.

 

Next weekend: Some new releases with potential - The Lost City of Z rather not, but I expect some nice numbers for Ghost in the Shell and especially The Boss Baby (Germany loves shitty CGI …) - #1 however should be Beauty again. And as we saw this weekend with Rammstein, concert movies can sell a lot of seats, so The Rolling Stones Olé Olé Olé should be able to make the Top10 at least.

[IndustriousAngel]

Friday estimates from insidekino.de:

#1: BatB - 350k (-30%)

#2: BossBaby - 325k (including some previews afaik)

#3: Ghost - 200k

#4/5: Life / Lommbock 75k each (that would be a healthy increase for the domestic comedy)

[el sid]

Some Thursday actuals (source Blickpunkt:Film):

New releases:

The Boss Baby: 20k (released in 611 theaters, ok and good reviews, much better than in the USA)
Ghost in the Shell: 30k (531, mixed reviews between 3 and 8/10)
A United Kingdom: 2.5k (141, some mediocre but mostly good reviews) → 30k admissions predicted so far

Holdovers:

BatB: 40k (last Thursday 60k)
Life: 7.5k (15.5k)
Lommbock : 7k (12.5k)

A better first trend than I feared. Sunshine the whole day in the south yesterday and mixed according to the weather report in the north. Therefor GitS, Boss Baby and BatB are not doing bad at all.
How the weekend weather will be is unclear. One weather forecast page sees clouds and rain in Germany on Saturday, the other, wetter.de, which was right for Bavaria the last days says there will be mostly sunshine in Germany...at least Sunday is congruent said to be worse.

[IndustriousAngel]

yep, Sunday should be good for the movies

[Aristis]

2nd:

 

BatB 350k (-30%) About 2M after Sunday

Boss Baby 325k Pretty good considering the weather...

GitS 175k

Life 55k (-42%)

Lommbock 52,5k (-20%/-48%)

Kong 50k (-46%)

PR 37,5k (-56%)

B&T 35k (-41%)

Häschenschule 30k (about the same as last week!)

Logan 30k (-45%)

A United Kingdom 30k

 

InsideKino

Edited April 1, 2017 by Aristis

[IndustriousAngel]

Sadly, most releases a bit down from first estiamtes (well, that Lommbock number was too good to be true anyway) - GitS below my expectations but the weekend seems slow anyway.

 

4 hours ago, Aristis said:

Häschenschule 30k (about the same as last week!)

I thought the start last weekend a little premature with easter weekend so far away, so a good hold is not that surprising - it might even see increases over easter holidays!

[el sid]

An ugly but expected final trend. I don't know how the weather is in the the middle and the north of Germany but in Bavaria it's even today mostly sunny.
 

#1 BatB 325k
#2 Boss Baby 300k
#3 GitS 150k
#4 Life 50k
     Kong 50k
#6 Lommbock 45k

#7 Power Rangers 35k
#8 B&T4 32.5k
#9 Logan 30k
#10 A United Kingdom 30k

[efialtes76]

1 hour ago, el sid said:

An ugly but expected final trend. I don't know how the weather is in the the middle and the north of Germany but in Bavaria it's even today mostly sunny.
 

#1 BatB 325k
#2 Boss Baby 300k
#3 GitS 150k
#4 Life 50k
     Kong 50k
#6 Lommbock 45k

#7 Power Rangers 35k
#8 B&T4 32.5k
#9 Logan 30k
#10 A United Kingdom 30k

Actuals will be better(especially for BB)

Sunday morning was HUGE.

Edited April 2, 2017 by efialtes76

[George Parr]

Weekend estimates per insidekino:

 

#1 BatB 310k

#2 Boss Bayb 310k (270k without previews)

#3 GitS 155k

#4 Life 50k

#5 Kong 47.5k

 

So far no further numbers listed, apart from A United Kingdom at 30k

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top20 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total adm.	total €	drop	week
1	Beauty and the Beast	308.648	746	414	2.043.999	20.372.528	-39	3
2	The Boss Baby	270.410	611	443	310.228	2.449.725	-	1
3	Ghost in the Shell	156.665	531	295	156.871	1.794.800	-	1
4	Life	51.150	499	103	177.865	1.514.883	-46	2
5	Kong - Skull Island	47.894	490	98	764.007	7.963.582	-48	4
6	Lommbock	43.259	308	140	165.065	1.328.159	-34	2
7	Power Rangers	39.278	431	91	141.710	1.174.554	-54	2
8	Bibi & Tina 4	31.559	640	49	1.465.930	9.476.777	-46	6
9	Logan	31.362	398	79	961.415	8.796.642	-43	5
10	Moonlight	22.525	210	107	281.161	2.261.526	-42	4
11	A United Kingdom	19.111	148	129	36.580	258.503	-	1
12	Die Häschenschule	18.237	468	39	158.427	1.004.831	-37	3
13	Fifty Shades of Grey 2	18.175	298	61	3.388.888	30.307.384	-47	8
14	Toivon tuolla puolen	17.085	80	214	18.692	146.318	-	1
15	Lion	16.928	293	58	415.430	3.436.293	-39	6
16	Wilde Maus	11.893	151	79	162.296	1.241.027	-47	4
17	Tschick	8.446	12	704	808.824	5.311.382	+357	29
18	Rico, Oskar und der Diebstahlstein	7.887	59	134	475.663	2.539.031	+++	49
19	Finding Dory	7.475			3.860.015	31.902.433	+++	27
20	John Wick 2	6.672	161	41	800.094	7.017.259	-42	7

 

Another boring weekend … low admissions everywhere so even Tschick made a comeback in the Top20 playing in only 12 theaters. Among openers, The Boss Baby did about what I expected while Ghost in the Shell stayed behind expectations. Beauty and the Beast crossed 2mil total without problems and is on its way to well beyond 3mil, hopefully overtaking Fifty Shades 2 which is already up there.

 

Next weekend: The F&F franchise had an upwards trend so it's a very safe bet Fast & Furious 8 will be #1 - the question is how high it can go, even with good weather 600k OW should be the lowest treshold. Sequelmania: The third Smurfs movie hits theaters; it's been a few years but nr. 1 and 2 were mildly successful too, both counting between 2,5 and 3mil admissions total - so #2 for the weekend is highly probable. Other interesting releases include the latest Dany Boon comedy Radin!, Free Fire, domestic release Tiger Girl, The Shack, and there's even a re-release of Battle Royale. Overall a very crowded weekend!

[efialtes76]

3 minutes ago, IndustriousAngel said:

Germany's Top20 last weekend:

 

 

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total adm.	total €	drop	week
1	Beauty and the Beast	308.648	746	414	2.043.999	20.372.528	-39	3
2	The Boss Baby	270.410	611	443	310.228	2.449.725	-	1
3	Ghost in the Shell	156.665	531	295	156.871	1.794.800	-	1
4	Life	51.150	499	103	177.865	1.514.883	-46	2
5	Kong - Skull Island	47.894	490	98	764.007	7.963.582	-48	4
6	Lommbock	43.259	308	140	165.065	1.328.159	-34	2
7	Power Rangers	39.278	431	91	141.710	1.174.554	-54	2
8	Bibi & Tina 4	31.559	640	49	1.465.930	9.476.777	-46	6
9	Logan	31.362	398	79	961.415	8.796.642	-43	5
10	Moonlight	22.525	210	107	281.161	2.261.526	-42	4
11	A United Kingdom	19.111	148	129	36.580	258.503	-	1
12	Die Häschenschule	18.237	468	39	158.427	1.004.831	-37	3
13	Fifty Shades of Grey 2	18.175	298	61	3.388.888	30.307.384	-47	8
14	Toivon tuolla puolen	17.085	80	214	18.692	146.318	-	1
15	Lion	16.928	293	58	415.430	3.436.293	-39	6
16	Wilde Maus	11.893	151	79	162.296	1.241.027	-47	4
17	Tschick	8.446	12	704	808.824	5.311.382	+357	29
18	Rico, Oskar und der Diebstahlstein	7.887	59	134	475.663	2.539.031	+++	49
19	Finding Dory	7.475			3.860.015	31.902.433	+++	27
20	John Wick 2	6.672	161	41	800.094	7.017.259	-42	7

 

 

 

Another boring weekend … low admissions everywhere so even Tschick made a comeback in the Top20 playing in only 12 theaters. Among openers, The Boss Baby did about what I expected while Ghost in the Shell stayed behind expectations. Beauty and the Beast crossed 2mil total without problems and is on its way to well beyond 3mil, hopefully overtaking Fifty Shades 2 which is already up there.

 

 

 

Next weekend: The F&F franchise had an upwards trend so it's a very safe bet Fast & Furious 8 will be #1 - the question is how high it can go, even with good weather 600k OW should be the lowest treshold. Sequelmania: The third Smurfs movie hits theaters; it's been a few years but nr. 1 and 2 were mildly successful too, both counting between 2,5 and 3mil admissions total - so #2 for the weekend is highly probable. Other interesting releases include the latest Dany Boon comedy Radin!, Free Fire, domestic release Tiger Girl, The Shack, and there's even a re-release of Battle Royale. Overall a very crowded weekend!

Fast & Furious 8 will open on Thursday 13th...

[IndustriousAngel]

2 hours ago, efialtes76 said:

Fast & Furious 8 will open on Thursday 13th...

You're right, so Smurfs will be on top I guess!

 

btw, The Austrian Film Institut was exceptionally quick this time, March numbers are in and it's been a terrible one (just like January). But with the strong February numbers, our 1st quarter was NOT the worst in recent history (barely).

[Aristis]

On 4.4.2017 at 3:41 PM, efialtes76 said:

Fast & Furious 8 will open on Thursday 13th...

Actually it starts Wednesday the 12th...

[IndustriousAngel]

uh-oh. first trend for the weekend is not so good

#1 BatB 225k admissions (-30%, actually ok)

#2 / 3 BoddBaby and Smurfs3 with 175k each ... that's a major decline for Smurfs from the earlier movies

#4 GitS 100k (-35%)

[el sid]

Some Thursday actuals (source Blickpunkt:Film):

New releases:
 

Smurfs: The Lost Village: 16.5k (680, pretty bad reviews)
The Shack: 3.5k (191, reviews: hem) → 25k admissions predicted in the first trend
Nichts zu verschenken: 1.5k (133, only modest reviews) → 20k admissions predicted so far
Tiger Girl: ?k (ca. 70 theaters, ok to very good reviews)
Es war einmal in Deutschland: 1.5k (67, mixed reviews between 3 and 8/10)

Holdovers:

BatB: 31k (last Thursday 40k)
The Boss Baby: 20k (20k) – flat to last Thursday! Mark_G counts already with much sunshine over the weekend. Still his projection seems very conservative to me
Ghost in the Shell: 18k (30k)

[Aristis]

No changes in the 2nd Trend.

 

Life 35k (>-30%)

Kong 35k (<-30%)

B&T 25k (>-20%)

Edited April 8, 2017 by Aristis

[George Parr]

3rd trend from insidekino:

 

#1 BatB 215k

#2 Boss Baby 185k

#3 Smurfs 3 175k

#4 Ghost itS 95k

#5 Lommbock 40k

#6 Life 35k

#7 Kong 32.5k

#8 The Shack 25k

 

Nichts zu verschenken 20k

 

Edited April 9, 2017 by George Parr

[el sid]

You could say that only tomorrow is a weekday this week and that the "weekend" is starting with Fast 8 on Tuesday 23:59. Reservations look ok though they could improve a little bit. But the weather is favorable next week. Exactly as from Tuesday it's said to be changeable, colder and rainy. Ok, not so pleasant for people how planned a trip over Easter but great for films. Friday – Karfreitag – is a legal holiday here and the Easter holidays have in some states already started, will start in most states tomorrow and in the rest during the next week.