BO Germany/Austria: Dune first 2024 blockbuster (3mil admissions)

[el sid]

Some Thursday actuals (source Blickpunk:Film):

New Releases:

Conni & Co 2 - Das Geheimnis des T-Rex: 20k (released in 525 theaters, mixed reviews)
Alles unter Kontrolle!: 3.2k (200, bad to ok reviews) → first trend says 35k admissions OW
The Bye Bye Man: 6.5k (171, modest reviews) → 42.5k
The Founder: 2.3k (107, good reviews) → 30k
Bleed for This: ?k (102, good reviews) → 10k
Ein Dorf sieht schwarz: 3.6k (80, some bad but mostly good reviews)  → no prediction but 3.6k are not bad for only 80 theaters
Chips: ?k (58, very modest reviews)

Holdovers:

Fast 8: 100k
BatB: 30k

The Boss Baby: 50k
The Smurfs: 40k - the best Thursday it had here

 

We still have Easter holidays in most states but today is no official holiday like last week which means the movies had no help yesterday evening. Weather is mixed and it's (very) cold.

Edited April 21, 2017 by el sid

[IndustriousAngel]

Excellent numbers all around ... Boss Baby and Smurfs are increasing again, both seems to enjoy really good WoM!

[George Parr]

2nd trend by insidekino:

 

#1 FF8 575k

#2 Boss Baby 260k

#3 Smurfs 3 220k

#4 BatB 180k

#5 Conni & Co 2 105k

#6 Going in Style 80k

#7 The Bye Bye Man 50k

#8 GitS 45k

 

everything else at 35k or lower

Edited April 22, 2017 by George Parr

[George Parr]

Third trend is in, pretty much everything seems to be down:

 

#1 FF8 550k

#2 Boss Baby 225k

#3 Smurfs 190k

#4 BatB 160k

#5 Conni & Co 2 90k

#6 Going in Style 80k

#7 The Bye Bye Man 47.5k

#8 GitS 42.5k

 

everything else below 40k

[Aristis]

Are you too lazy for calculating changes

 

FF8 (-52%/-59%)

BB and Smurfs (-3%/-2%)

BatB (-26%)

Going in Style (-25%) the only movie that did not move down!

GitS (-49%)

 

So still good holds, if there would not have been the great trends before!

[titanic2187]

that drop from F8 was a bit harsh

[IndustriousAngel]

no, drop is completely in line with F&F7

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top20 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total adm.	total €	drop	week
1	Fast & Furious 8	565.286	690	819	2.381.135	22.430.557	-51	2
2	The Boss Baby	216.914	706	307	1.420.096	10.682.801	-7	4
3	Smurfs 3	185.807	724	257	894.839	6.497.357	-4	3
4	Beauty and the Beast	153.021	677	226	3.059.746	29.738.784	-29	6
5	Going in Style	80.948	342	237	245.324	2.096.753	-24	2
6	Conni & Co 2	80.828	525	154	86.993	573.668	-	1
7	Ghost in the Shell	41.790	500	84	520.627	5.699.399	-50	4
8	The Bye Bye Man	39.757	171	232	47.032	395.818	-	1
9	The Shack	29.025	265	110	131.042	1.122.834	-5	3
10	Bibi & Tina 4	25.720	379	68	1.595.164	10.282.435	+9	9
11	Bienvenue à Marly-Gomont	25.366	80	317	34.049	252.354	-	1
12	Débarquement immédiat	21.214	204	104	37.365	255.239	-	1
13	Lommbock	20.634	363	57	311.748	2.536.114	-43	5
14	Die Häschenschule	19.531	444	44	295.820	1.828.659	-49	6
15	The Founder	15.457	108	143	35.343	244.130	-	1
16	Zu guter Letzt	15.332	240	64	90.734	755.793	-51	2
17	Moonlight	14.322	250	57	378.165	3.012.844	-37	7
18	Lion	12.228	183	67	489.955	4.009.704	-28	9
19	Toivon tuolla puolen	12.091	116	104	97.057	751.958	-32	4
20	Life	11.470	288	40	291.052	2.458.647	-54	5

 

Ok weekend with no big openers. Family stuff was strong again, Bibi und Tina 4 did even increase against the best opener, Conni & Co 2 (which saw a sizeable drop from the first one). Beauty and the Beast crossed 3mil total, nice! Both french comedies missed the Top10, at least Bienvenue à Marly-Gomont had a decent PTA and might have a good hold.

Next weekend: Guardians of the Galaxy 2 will take the weekend crown; the first one is well remembered and I expect (or hope for) an increase; a 600-700k opening weekend would be nice. Against this maybe-blockbuster (the first one missed 2mil total though) there are no other big releases, but Unforgettable gets releasesed in an market devoid of thrillers, so maybe some success in late evening shows.

[titanic2187]

again, superhero film is tested against european market, to me, european including german, were not really keen to superhero films,

never had a superhero film, if i'm not mistaken, break $40m here, 

Edited April 25, 2017 by titanic2187

[Aristis]

2 hours ago, titanic2187 said:

again, superhero film is tested against european market, to me, european including german, were not really keen to superhero films,

never had a superhero film, if i'm not mistaken, break $40m here, 

Spider Man 1 did €30M, which would have been $40M a long time. It just made $30M according to BOM. TDKR is probably the closest with about $35M (again BOM). So you're right, Germans do not really like SH

[IndustriousAngel]

GotG is not really a SH movie in general perception, rather some kind of SciFi action comedy.

[titanic2187]

6 hours ago, IndustriousAngel said:

GotG is not really a SH movie in general perception, rather some kind of SciFi action comedy.

but it's hard to remove that perception from me, as long as i see the marvel logo in front of the movie, and every marvel's movie, to some extent, are action comedy

[el sid]

No Thursday estimates available but at least we have the South-West-reports: According to them GotG2 had 3.425 admissions today in the picked theaters in that region. For comparison the first GotG had 2.094 admissions. Of course GotG2 will be more frontloaded but OTOH when GotG started we had summer holidays and this time GotG2 had no help.

And a report from Rhein & Ruhr (mid-west): Last Thursday Fast 8 had 1.355 admissions in the selected theaters and 100k admissions on Thursday according to the actuals, today Guardians 2 had very fine 3.389 admissions. Unfortunately we can't just take the factor 2.5 ;), but it's a very good sign.

 

The reviews for GotG2 are good and it starts in 686 theaters which means a little increase from the first one which was released in 596 theaters.
 

The weather was terrible here in Bavaria today (as the entire week) and I think in the „rest“ of Germany mixed and tomorrow it will not improve. So far, so good for movies. The Saturday is no longer predicted to be sunny but the Sunday.

[IndustriousAngel]

yep, weather should be extremely movie-friendly, and GotG2 shows have good bookings, especially the 2D shows.

[keysersoze123]

Insidekino is saying 650K which is 40% ahead of 1st film. Quite good.

[el sid]

 

650k are of course ok, but I too hoped for a little bit more. At least Mark_G says that it could go higher with worse weather than predicted on Sunday but the prediction of the Meteorological Service for the weekend did improve so I wouldn't speculate on it.
At least the Monday is a national holiday which will help the Sunday evening (if it's not too sunny and warm).

 

The Thursday actuals (source Blickpunkt:Film):

New Releases:

GotG2: 120k – above the first one with 95k but much lower than I would have guessed I have to admit, the first one had a factor of around 5 (463k/491k with previews) and the Thursday was a school holiday back then but probably GotG2 is more front-loaded.
Happy Burnout: 6.5k (200, pretty modest reviews between 2 and 6.5/10) → 60 OW predicted, a start as expected
Gimme Danger (a docu about The Stooges, starts in ca. 50 theaters, good reviews): 1k

 

Holdovers:

Fast 8: 25.5k (actuals last Thursday: 100k) → 200k OW predicted
BatB: 7k (30k) → 60k OW
Going in Style: 5.2k – the only acceptable hold

I don't know: Now the weather is not too good (here in Bavaria it's grey without clouds at the moment– depressing) and still theaters are not frequented like we hoped.

[IndustriousAngel]

I think that's a good number for GotG, of course I was hoping for 700k or maybe more but a 40% increase is nothing to be sneered at ... remember what happened to the LEGO Batman movie? The first one was equally well remembered and loved and yet, no increase from the LEGO movie. So, GotG2 managed to cash in on the first one's success and that's all that could be hoped for.

Edited April 28, 2017 by IndustriousAngel

[titanic2187]

6 hours ago, IndustriousAngel said:

I think that's a good number for GotG, of course I was hoping for 700k or maybe more but a 40% increase is nothing to be sneered at ... remember what happened to the LEGO Batman movie? The first one was equally well remembered and loved and yet, no increase from the LEGO movie. So, GotG2 managed to cash in on the first one's success and that's all that could be hoped for.

is weather a big factor to box office number??

 

either way, bigger opening doesn't mean bigger total, GOTG2 may have lesser total in the end..... 

[Aristis]

1 hour ago, titanic2187 said:

is weather a big factor to box office number??

 

either way, bigger opening doesn't mean bigger total, GOTG2 may have lesser total in the end..... 

Weather is a pretty big factor - especially for family-movies (but it is for the most) It seems that is an european phenomenon...

 

[IndustriousAngel]

2nd trend:

GotG2 - 650k

F&F8 - 240k (-55% but better than first estimates)

BatB - 65k (-55%)