BO Germany/Austria: Dune first 2024 blockbuster (3mil admissions)

[IndustriousAngel]

yep, with rainy weather over easter holidays we should expect some strong numbers, especially a much-needed rebound for family stuff!

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Topo20 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total adm.	total €	drop	week
1	Beauty and the Beast	216.131	742	291	2.371.742	23.486.687	-30	4
2	The Boss Baby	182.683	659	277	555.517	4.334.914	-32	2
3	The Smurfs 3	142.053	680	209	172.312	1.307.788	-	1
4	Ghost in the Shell	101.384	540	188	316.272	3.526.891	-35	2
5	Lommbock	38.910	381	102	222.163	1.804.406	-10	3
6	Life	35.911	514	70	231.253	1.958.498	-30	3
7	Kong - Skull Island	32.664	450	73	810.128	8.428.462	-32	5
8	The Shack	24.380	197	124	27.033	243.170	-	1
9	Logan	22.272	332	67	993.831	9.098.386	-29	6
10	Moonlight	20.545	249	83	314.735	2.527.118	-9	5
11	Power Rangers	20.029	432	46	171.189	1.406.724	-49	3
12	Bibi & Tina 4	18.208	518	35	1.490.004	9.630.072	-42	7
13	Sword Art Online - Ordinal Scale	18.182	68	267	22.283	291.740	-	1
14	Toivon tuolla puolen	17.632	105	168	46.885	362.330	+3	2
15	A United Kingdom	16.816	153	110	65.040	478.491	-12	2
16	Die Häschenschule	16.756	528	32	183.662	1.153.630	-8	4
17	Lion	12.619	260	49	437.405	3.605.928	-25	7
18	Fifty Shades of Grey 2	11.577	242	48	3.407.229	30.472.463	-36	9
19	Radin!	10.705	133	80	20.840	149.372	-	1
20	Wilde Maus	9.968	163	61	179.674	1.376.459	-16	5

Depressing weekend, really … Smurfs (which isn't really a part 3 but should be) couldn't come anywhere close to Smurfs 1 and 2. Low PTA's across the chart, so on to this week and next weekend:

With weather a bit unstable and easter holidays, family releases should see nice weekdays as well as good holds next weekend. The big opener is F&F8; the last one had a lot of publicity so maybe we should expect a little drop this time but 600k admissions seem like a sensible prediction; hopefully it can get a bit higher..

[el sid]

Too bad that exactly today we get no Thursday estimates :(. According to several other reports and some theaters where you can see the reservations/sold tickets I would say Fast 8 was today not far behind Fast 7. But I don't dare to say more because I'm just not sure how frontloaded it is. It was released in 660 theaters and reviews plus WOM are good.

[IndustriousAngel]

First estimates: F&F8 1,3mil admissions - that's great, finally a mil+ opener and not that big a drop from F&F7!

Good holds for family stuff as expected - BossBaby 225k admissions (+20%), Beauty 200k (-5%), Smurfs 175k (+20%)

[Zamor]

1 hour ago, IndustriousAngel said:

First estimates: F&F8 1,3mil admissions - that's great, finally a mil+ opener and not that big a drop from F&F7!

Good holds for family stuff as expected - BossBaby 225k admissions (+20%), Beauty 200k (-5%), Smurfs 175k (+20%)

 

You're talking about OW not OD, right? 

[Aristis]

15 minutes ago, Zamor said:

 

You're talking about OW not OD, right? 

Wed to Sun - 1,3M OD would be crazy  (Would love to see that, for an other movie thuogh )

[Zamor]

3 hours ago, Aristis said:

Wed to Sun - 1,3M OD would be crazy  (Would love to see that, for an other movie thuogh )

 

Yes ahaha it would be crazy, so I asked.

[el sid]

And probably for the first time in weeks in the second trend all movies stabilized or the numbers improved:

#1 Fast8 1.3M - a really nice surprise also to me, I didn't see that coming with the lower buzz and muted reservations till around Tuesday
#2 The Boss Baby 225k - still around 45k admissions more than last weekend = 20%
#3 BatB 200k
#4 Smurfs 175k
#5 Going in Style 90k
#6 GitS 75k
#7 Zu guter Letzt 50k
#8 Lommbock 32.5k
#9 Die Häschenschule 32.5k
#10 The Shack 25k - at least flat

Edited April 15, 2017 by el sid

[IndustriousAngel]

Going in Style is the only release with a significant difference in the 2nd trend ... saw it yesterday, it's the kind of feelgood comedy that should get a lot of good WOM among older audiences, might become a longrunner.

Die Häschenschule was released a few weeks too early, I didn't understand the thinking then and still don't - why release an Easter movie 4 weeks before Easter holidays?!

[Aristis]

3rd:

 

F&F8 still at 1,3M.

 

The rest is stable as well, Boss Baby down to 215k

[IndustriousAngel]

Going in Style is up from earlier estimates again, might come close to a 100k weekend! Good number for F&F8. With rainy weather, family stuff should have excellent afternoon numbers today and tomorrow!

[titanic2187]

i was surprise by F8's number....especially given that it drops hard in domestic market

[IndustriousAngel]

31 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

i was surprise by F8's number....especially given that it drops hard in domestic market

yes, I was expecting a much bigger drop, too. Not complaining though ...

[IndustriousAngel]

Preliminary numbers for the weekend are in and yes, Going in Style made it over 100k:

#1: F&F8 - 1.330k admissions (incl. 200k previews)

#2: BBaby - 230k

#3: Beauty - 215k

#4: Smurfs - 190k

#5: Going - 105k

[Aristis]

1. F&F8 1.135/1.335 - the 1st had 1,33M/1,62M, s0 15-20% down. Best start since SW7
2. Boss Baby 230/975 (+26%)
3. S&B 215/2.745 (=)
4. Smurfs 190/505 (+34%/+10%)
5. Going in Style 105

6. GitS 82,5/445 (-18%)
7. Häschen 37,5/242,5 (+120%)
8. Lommbock 35/275 (-10)
9. The last Word32,5/57,5
10. The Shack 30/77,5 (+25%)

11. Life 25/272,5 (-30%)
12. B&T 22,5/1.525 (+25%) / Kong 22,5/847,5 (-30%) / Moonlight 22,5/347,5 (+5%)

 

Today should be huge: holiday + awful weather

Edited April 17, 2017 by Aristis

[George Parr]

Sounds like FF8 is at 1.55m after Monday, so about 200k on that day.

 

FF7 had 1.9m admissions during its first week, plus not quite 300k from the Wednesday before that, for a total of 2.19m after eight days and a final result of ~4.2m. No idea how large Tuesday and Wednesday will be, but if those two days would combine for 200-250k, then FF8 would end its first week with around 1.55-1.6m, with an eight day total 1.75-1.8m.

 

Looks like it might be rather close between FF8 and BatB when it comes to the total. Maybe somewhere around 3.5m admissions for both.

[zackzack]

Where

On 17/04/2017 at 5:09 PM, IndustriousAngel said:

Preliminary numbers for the weekend are in and yes, Going in Style made it over 100k:

#1: F&F8 - 1.330k admissions (incl. 200k previews)

#2: BBaby - 230k

#3: Beauty - 215k

#4: Smurfs - 190k

#5: Going - 105k

 

How much total box office do you think F8, Beauty & Boss end up with? Beauty is locked to pass 30M euros

 

 

[George Parr]

Both FF8 and BatB seem very close to 10 Euro per admission so far, so multiplying the total by ten should work out as a rough guideline.

 

After last weekend, BatB had 2.371m admission and made 23.486m Euro

FF8, meanwhile, had 1.33m admissions in its first five days, while making ~12.75m Euro

 

If the average prices would stay that way, and if both would reach around 3.5m admissions, BatB should end up slightly ahead. The obvious number would then be 35m Euro.

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top20 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total adm.	total €	drop	week
1	Fast & Furious 8	1.144.880	661	1.732	1.344.577	12.885.587	-	1
2	The Boss Baby	232.673	693	336	975.155	7.442.252	+27	3
3	Beauty and the Beast	215.571	711	303	2.746.821	26.920.007	-0	5
4	Smurfs 3	192.676	707	273	509.479	3.762.882	+36	2
5	Going in Style	106.253	286	372	107.468	941.646	-	1
6	Ghost in the Shell	82.772	550	150	446.158	4.900.531	-18	3
7	Die Häschenschule	38.426	552	70	242.443	1.510.917	+129	5
8	Lommbock	36.434	391	93	276.893	2.251.251	-6	4
9	The Last Word	31.083	241	129	54.668	455.008	-	1
10	The Shack	30.485	219	139	77.263	665.230	+25	2
11	Life	25.189	373	68	271.660	2.293.362	-30	4
12	Bibi & Tina 4	23.569	450	52	1.536.915	9.922.464	+29	8
13	Moonlight	22.863	245	93	351.145	2.805.571	+11	6
14	Kong - Skull Island	22.781	317	72	847.307	8.795.454	-30	6
15	Toivon tuolla puolen	17.715	110	161	75.659	582.946	+0	3
16	Lion	17.084	215	79	464.378	3.813.587	+35	8
17	Logan	16.535	233	71	1.018.936	9.331.699	-26	7
18	A United Kingdom	15.202	157	97	90.847	678.607	-10	3
19	Wilde Maus	13.190	159	83	199.427	1.528.749	+32	6
20	Denial	12.031	70	172	18.477	133.779	-	1

 

Finally, an all around fine weekend! Fast & Furios 8 opened better than expected and family releases had great rebounds (best, of course, Easter-themed Die Häschenschule). And Going in Style kept going up from estimate to estimate, a sure sign of good WOM and hopefully some good multiplier (1mil total might be possible the way it was developing).

 

Next weekend: No big releases; between F&F8 and GotG2 the week after, nobody dared release anything expensive. Conni & Co 2 is the domestic favourite, and Chips might attract some audiences since there's no big competition for comedies.

[George Parr]

First trend by insidekino:

 

#1 FF8 575k

#2 Boss Baby 260k

#3 Smurfs 220k

#4 BatB 175k

#5 Conni % Co 2 110k

 

FF8 would be down by almost exactly 50%, not counting previews. It would stand at 2.4m admissions, FF7 was at 2.97m at the same point.